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  • JohnnyRudeboy
    SBR MVP
    • 11-30-09
    • 1646

    #351
    You mentioned that you feel Venus is true dog here, may I request you elaborate?

    I see no real advantage either way myself just curious.
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #352
      Venus hasn't been consistent enough in her last two matches to beat CSN, and the Spaniard is the most in form player on the entire tour at the moment, IMO. I'd make CSN slight favorite.

      Edit: It really is just mostly a product of watching all their recent matches.
      Last edited by Hardcoar; 03-31-15, 06:33 PM.
      Comment
      • JohnnyRudeboy
        SBR MVP
        • 11-30-09
        • 1646

        #353
        Originally posted by Hardcoar
        Venus hasn't been consistent enough in her last two matches to beat CSN, and the Spaniard is the most in form player on the entire tour at the moment, IMO. I'd make CSN slight favorite.

        Edit: It really is just mostly a product of watching all their recent matches.
        Something I have not done, GL!
        Comment
        • JohnnyRudeboy
          SBR MVP
          • 11-30-09
          • 1646

          #354
          Nice call on CSN and thanks for convincing me not to take Venus
          Comment
          • gaebiskon
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-10-12
            • 869

            #355
            Impressive week for CSN who ended lots of losing streaks.
            Comment
            • tsimmns
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-23-13
              • 677

              #356
              Originally posted by JohnnyRudebo
              y;23810551
              See no reason Isner can't keep rolling, GL!
              Isner versus Kei. Will be a tough matchup IMO. Cant wait for the write-up on this.
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #357
                Originally posted by JohnnyRudeboy
                Nice call on CSN and thanks for convincing me not to take Venus
                It ended up being a close, low quality match with the Spaniard maintaining a higher level in the end. The way things played out wasn't too predictable, but I am absolutely confident Venus was being overrated pre-match. For example, I think Mannarino was a great bet theoretically, all things considered, but Theme-Park happened to have a ridiculously good performance and the inner French kicked in after going a break up in 3:rd. All you can do is try to judge a particular match as objectively as possible and use your best estimate (if you're confident enought in it) to make a bet. In the end it's all about coincidence in the short run and averages in the long run...

                Originally posted by tsimmns
                Isner versus Kei. Will be a tough matchup IMO. Cant wait for the write-up on this.
                There's not much to write about IMO. The only way Japman could possibly lose is if he dies on court or Isner goes full Cilic.
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #358
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Suarez-Navarro @ 2.44 – 3 units
                  W
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  V. Williams @ 1.87 – 2 units
                  W
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Bellucci @ 4.7
                  L
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Darcis @ 46
                  L
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Pennetta @ 3.5 – 4 units
                  L
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Mannarino @ 1.79 – 5 units
                  L
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Petkovic @ 2.32 – 3 units
                  W
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Monaco @ 2.52 – 3 units
                  W
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  Simon @ 3.55
                  L

                  Total Wins: 48
                  Total Losses: 84
                  Total stake: 200u
                  Net* Yield: +30.9472u
                  Return on investment (rounded): 15.47%


                  *After deducting commission: 6.5%
                  Comment
                  • kenz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-12
                    • 4879

                    #359
                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                    There's not much to write about IMO. The only way Japman could possibly lose is if he dies on court or Isner goes full Cilic.
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #360
                      It's true after all...
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #361
                        Thiem-Park @ 10 – 5 units
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #362
                          Anderson/Chardy @ 7.2 – 2 units
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #363
                            Weintraub @ 4.3 – 2 units
                            Comment
                            • Hardcoar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-13
                              • 15606

                              #364
                              Petkovic 2-1 @ 5.3 – 2 units
                              Comment
                              • Cappinpicks
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-11-10
                                • 14986

                                #365
                                Thought on othrr challengers? Edmund is a sure favorite but looking for dogs
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #366
                                  I haven't really looked into it, to be honest, so I don't have any thoughts on them today.
                                  Comment
                                  • kenz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-12
                                    • 4879

                                    #367
                                    your presence is missed
                                    Comment
                                    • Hardcoar
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-17-13
                                      • 15606

                                      #368
                                      Sure, but if I've nothing to say I'm not going to make any posts...
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #369
                                        Collarini @ 4.64
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #370
                                          Murray @ 4.2 – 4 units
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #371
                                            Linzer @ 10
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #372
                                              Kostova @ 1.97 – 2 units
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30047

                                                #373
                                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                Murray @ 4.2 – 4 units
                                                this is like 40-50 basis points higher than i can find Murray odds.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #374
                                                  You must not have checked Betfair, then.


                                                  Comment
                                                  • kenz
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-09-12
                                                    • 4879

                                                    #375
                                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                                    this is like 40-50 basis points higher than i can find Murray odds.
                                                    @4.40 in marathonbet right now

                                                    https://www.marathonbet.com/tr/betting/Tennis/
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30047

                                                      #376
                                                      i knew you had it, just wondering where.. once again surely not at a book that allows Americans.
                                                      we get the short end of the stick in tennis.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Snowball
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                        • 30047

                                                        #377
                                                        just so pathetic, the book i am working on a w/d from has him at 3.6
                                                        it is such a ripoff i'm not going to bother.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hardcoar
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-17-13
                                                          • 15606

                                                          #378
                                                          Bemelmans @ 2.52 – 5 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JC1186
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-21-14
                                                            • 1070

                                                            #379
                                                            Best of luck
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Joenaes
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 02-25-15
                                                              • 86

                                                              #380
                                                              Thoughts on Barthel tonight? Those odds seem really good.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #381
                                                                Yes I like Barthel at these odds.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hardcoar
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                                  • 15606

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Arguello @ 2.08 – 3 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Bondarenko @ 2.08 – 3 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kenz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                                      • 4879

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Good Run

                                                                      Are we fading Tipsarevic today?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Honeybadger44
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-03-14
                                                                        • 1675

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Comment
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