Moar Threads? Moar Picks

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 03-31-15, 06:07 PM

You mentioned that you feel Venus is true dog here, may I request you elaborate?

I see no real advantage either way myself just curious.

**Hardcoar** · 03-31-15, 06:29 PM

Venus hasn't been consistent enough in her last two matches to beat CSN, and the Spaniard is the most in form player on the entire tour at the moment, IMO. I'd make CSN slight favorite.

Edit: It really is just mostly a product of watching all their recent matches.

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 03-31-15, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Venus hasn't been consistent enough in her last two matches to beat CSN, and the Spaniard is the most in form player on the entire tour at the moment, IMO. I'd make CSN slight favorite.

Edit: It really is just mostly a product of watching all their recent matches.

Something I have not done, GL!

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 03-31-15, 11:08 PM

Nice call on CSN and thanks for convincing me not to take Venus

**gaebiskon** · 04-01-15, 05:32 AM

Impressive week for CSN who ended lots of losing streaks.

**tsimmns** · 04-01-15, 07:03 AM

Originally posted by JohnnyRudebo
y;23810551

See no reason Isner can't keep rolling, GL!

Isner versus Kei. Will be a tough matchup IMO. Cant wait for the write-up on this.

**Hardcoar** · 04-01-15, 09:23 AM

Originally posted by JohnnyRudeboy

Nice call on CSN and thanks for convincing me not to take Venus

It ended up being a close, low quality match with the Spaniard maintaining a higher level in the end. The way things played out wasn't too predictable, but I am absolutely confident Venus was being overrated pre-match. For example, I think Mannarino was a great bet theoretically, all things considered, but Theme-Park happened to have a ridiculously good performance and the inner French kicked in after going a break up in 3:rd. All you can do is try to judge a particular match as objectively as possible and use your best estimate (if you're confident enought in it) to make a bet. In the end it's all about coincidence in the short run and averages in the long run...

Originally posted by tsimmns

Isner versus Kei. Will be a tough matchup IMO. Cant wait for the write-up on this.

There's not much to write about IMO. The only way Japman could possibly lose is if he dies on court or Isner goes full Cilic.

**Hardcoar** · 04-01-15, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Suarez-Navarro @ 2.44 – 3 units

W

Originally posted by Hardcoar

V. Williams @ 1.87 – 2 units

W

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Bellucci @ 4.7

L

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Darcis @ 46

L

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Pennetta @ 3.5 – 4 units

L

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Mannarino @ 1.79 – 5 units

L

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Petkovic @ 2.32 – 3 units

W

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Monaco @ 2.52 – 3 units

W

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Simon @ 3.55

L

Total Wins: 48
Total Losses: 84
Total stake: 200u
Net* Yield: +30.9472u
Return on investment (rounded): 15.47%

*After deducting commission: 6.5%

**kenz** · 04-01-15, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

There's not much to write about IMO. The only way Japman could possibly lose is if he dies on court or Isner goes full Cilic.

**Hardcoar** · 04-01-15, 10:07 AM

It's true after all...

**Hardcoar** · 04-01-15, 02:32 PM

Thiem-Park @ 10 – 5 units

**Hardcoar** · 04-01-15, 04:48 PM

Anderson/Chardy @ 7.2 – 2 units

**Hardcoar** · 04-02-15, 07:47 AM

Weintraub @ 4.3 – 2 units

**Hardcoar** · 04-02-15, 12:01 PM

Petkovic 2-1 @ 5.3 – 2 units

**Cappinpicks** · 04-02-15, 12:12 PM

Thought on othrr challengers? Edmund is a sure favorite but looking for dogs

**Hardcoar** · 04-02-15, 12:29 PM

I haven't really looked into it, to be honest, so I don't have any thoughts on them today.

**kenz** · 04-04-15, 03:33 PM

your presence is missed

**Hardcoar** · 04-04-15, 04:21 PM

Sure, but if I've nothing to say I'm not going to make any posts...

**Hardcoar** · 04-04-15, 04:35 PM

Collarini @ 4.64

**Hardcoar** · 04-05-15, 05:35 AM

Murray @ 4.2 – 4 units

**Hardcoar** · 04-05-15, 06:38 AM

Linzer @ 10

**Hardcoar** · 04-05-15, 08:46 AM

Kostova @ 1.97 – 2 units

**Snowball** · 04-05-15, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Murray @ 4.2 – 4 units

this is like 40-50 basis points higher than i can find Murray odds.

**Hardcoar** · 04-05-15, 11:32 AM

You must not have checked Betfair, then.

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/tennis/market/1.118102173

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/tennis/marketactivity?id=1.118102173&selectionId=2256509

**kenz** · 04-05-15, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

this is like 40-50 basis points higher than i can find Murray odds.

@4.40 in marathonbet right now

https://www.marathonbet.com/tr/betting/Tennis/

**Snowball** · 04-05-15, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

You must not have checked Betfair, then.

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/tennis/market/1.118102173

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/ten...tionId=2256509

i knew you had it, just wondering where.. once again surely not at a book that allows Americans.
we get the short end of the stick in tennis.

**Snowball** · 04-05-15, 11:44 AM

just so pathetic, the book i am working on a w/d from has him at 3.6
it is such a ripoff i'm not going to bother.

**Hardcoar** · 04-05-15, 02:19 PM

Bemelmans @ 2.52 – 5 units

**JC1186** · 04-06-15, 09:22 AM

Best of luck

**Joenaes** · 04-06-15, 12:39 PM

Thoughts on Barthel tonight? Those odds seem really good.

**Hardcoar** · 04-06-15, 01:34 PM

Yes I like Barthel at these odds.

**Hardcoar** · 04-06-15, 02:27 PM

Arguello @ 2.08 – 3 units

**Hardcoar** · 04-06-15, 04:11 PM

Bondarenko @ 2.08 – 3 units

**kenz** · 04-07-15, 12:33 AM

Good Run

Are we fading Tipsarevic today?

**Honeybadger44** · 04-07-15, 03:04 AM