Nordic soccer 2011

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  • Mr.Kitty
    SBR MVP
    • 11-10-09
    • 1880

    #106
    Sweden Allsvenskan; Elfsborg v AIK, over 2, 2.5 @ 1.85 (1x)


    Norway Tippeligaen;

    Molde v Stabaek, Molde -0.5 @ 1.90 (3x)
    Molde v Stabaek, over 3 @ 1.9 (1x)
    Odd Grenland v Ålesund, Odd Grenland @ 1.75 (1x)


    Elfsborg-AIK; Elfsborg comes from a dissapointing loss against Helsingborg (1-0), they cant lose to many points to other top teams if they want to win this year. They scored an own goal and missed a penalty kick, it was not a good day. This means that today they will be fully motivated and hungry to prove themselves at their best. Central defender Jon Jönsson suffered a knee injury in the opener and his replacement M.Andersson got injured against Helsingborg.
    AIK usually have a very difficult time when playing on Borås Arena, and they havent scored here since 2006 but I think they look more promising now then they where all last year. The team have many alternatives in attack and last game they won 3-0. Looks like defender Per Karlsson cant play in this one.
    Elfsborg scored the most goals at home last season, 37 goals in 15 games = 2.46 per/game and AIK have many interesting players up front. I think its very possible we see some goals in this game.

    Molde-Stabaek; At first glance this looks like a X2 game because Stabaek have won two straight against the two strongest teams on beforehand Rosenborg and Vålerenga. But as we´ve seen Rosenborg are weaker this year and Vålerenga always have it very difficult away against Stabaek who has 10-6-0 H2H so it wasnt a surprise win at all.
    Moldes results are a bit deceiving because they´ve actually played good in all games from what ive read. They´ve missed plenty of chances a team like them usually score on. Its an offensive minded team and they are prone to make some mistakes in defense which has been the case so far. A team with this quality cant go long without a win, and at home their chances look good against a team coming from two big wins and perhaps are over-confident. With Molde being so hungry and motivated to get their first win I think we will see some goals. They might want to prove a point and win big but Stabaek are somewhat likely of scoring a goal. Gunnarsson is deadly and Moldes defense arent the best.

    Odd Grenland-Ålesund; Odd where solid at home last year 8-4-3, 26:15 but the start for this season havent been the best. Only one win against newcomers Sogndal and they are looking for their first win at home. Ålesund are of less quality this year because they´ve lost some key players. Their away record was 5-1-9 and this year they´ve had a rough start. Only one win, 1-0 against Haugesund last round. The H2H against Odd isnt pretty for them. Odd have six wins and one draw in seven meetings at home. Look for Odd to egde out a win here.
    Comment
    • Mr.Kitty
      SBR MVP
      • 11-10-09
      • 1880

      #107
      Norway Adeccoligaen; Nybergsund v Kongsvinger, Kongsvinger @ 2.20 (1x)

      Nybergsund-Kongsvinger; Many interesting clashes in Adecco today but im only betting on one. I thought about playing Stommen again, solid team but asking for a third consecutive win might be asking for too much. Instead im rolling with Kongsvinger, should be one of the best teams this year after relegating from Tippeligaen. Some players have left the club but its still a strong group at this level.
      Nybergsund will have a hard task to avoid relegation because some key players left the club becuase it has financial problems. Last season they had a 5-3-6 record at home, 21:22 in goals. They finished in 11th place 2010. Kongsvinger should be able to win in this spot more often then 45.5% so I see the odds as value. Should be a difference in quality between the teams.
      Comment
      • Kraghen
        SBR MVP
        • 07-08-10
        • 2509

        #108
        Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
        Norway Adeccoligaen; Nybergsund v Kongsvinger, Kongsvinger @ 2.20 (1x)

        Nybergsund-Kongsvinger; Many interesting clashes in Adecco today but im only betting on one. I thought about playing Stommen again, solid team but asking for a third consecutive win might be asking for too much. Instead im rolling with Kongsvinger, should be one of the best teams this year after relegating from Tippeligaen. Some players have left the club but its still a strong group at this level.
        Nybergsund are new from a lower league and it will be a hard task to avoid relegation because some key players left the club becuase it has financial problems. Kongsvinger should be able to win in this spot more often then 45.5% so I see the odds as value. Should be a difference in quality between the teams.
        Good luck with your pick. I tailed you.
        Comment
        • Mr.Kitty
          SBR MVP
          • 11-10-09
          • 1880

          #109
          Originally posted by Kraghen
          Good luck with your pick. I tailed you.
          Thanks. Good luck to us.

          Just a heads up for everyone, I mixed up Nybergsund and Randaberg in my write up, I wrote that Nybergsund where new from a lower league but thats untrue I was thinking of Randaberg but I edited the post so all the info is correct now.
          Comment
          • phenomenon
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-10
            • 3227

            #110
            any idea copenhagen match ?
            I am on over for this match...
            Comment
            • Mr.Kitty
              SBR MVP
              • 11-10-09
              • 1880

              #111
              Originally posted by phenomenon
              any idea copenhagen match ? I am on over for this match...
              Its hard because Copenhagen have nothing to play for, they´ve already won the league and are out of CL. Still, its a very good team that can play great if they want to, its their motivation right now thats the question. The statistics for the over bet looks good and Nordsjaelland must be excited and motivated to try and win against the champions.

              Sorry I cant help you more, good luck!
              Comment
              • phenomenon
                SBR MVP
                • 03-11-10
                • 3227

                #112
                ty bro,ıt ıs too late I ve already placed it we will se what happens.. u know sometimes teams which have nothing play more open and doing some great pressures... may be this time ... or not
                ty so much... waiting ur good picks...
                goodluck all...
                Comment
                • Mr.Kitty
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-10-09
                  • 1880

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
                  Sweden Allsvenskan; Elfsborg v AIK, over 2, 2.5 @ 1.85 (1x) WIN


                  Norway Tippeligaen;

                  Molde v Stabaek, Molde -0.5 @ 1.90 (3x) WIN
                  Molde v Stabaek, over 3 @ 1.9 (1x) WIN
                  Odd Grenland v Ålesund, Odd Grenland @ 1.75 (1x) LOSS
                  Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
                  Norway Adeccoligaen; Nybergsund v Kongsvinger, Kongsvinger @ 2.20 (1x) LOSS
                  Results;

                  Elfsborg 2 - 2 AIK

                  Molde 3 - 2 Stabaek

                  Odd Grenland 2 - 2 Ålesund

                  Nybergsund 1 - 0 Kongsvinger

                  AIK proved me right, Molde won, Gunnarsson showcased that he is a lethal striker but on the downside Odd and Kongsvinger failed. +2.5 units profit today .
                  Comment
                  • Mr.Kitty
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-10-09
                    • 1880

                    #114
                    Norway Tippeligaen; Fredrikstad v Rosenborg, Rosenborg @ 2.25 (1x)

                    Fredrikstad-Rosenborg; Newcomers Fredrikstad has done it well so far, dangerous on counter attacks which has proved to be effective in away games having won both so far. Rosenborg are a dissapointment so far, they havent had any luck and have played aweful defense and the attack has been so-so. Last game Rade Prica woke up and scored four times. RBK had the lead 4-3 after 90min at home against Lilleström but managed to concede in stoppage time to 4-4. During the week coach Jönsson has drilled defense in order to get better for Fredrikstad. A team like Rosenborg wont go long without a win, and the whole team is very motivated. You shouldent underestimate Fredrikstad but a newcomer against the winners in 2010 who are searching for their first win must be worth a try at +odds.
                    Comment
                    • Metanoia
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-20-10
                      • 2102

                      #115
                      Good Luck on your pick, i agree with it, Rosenborg will start winning soon and let's hope it is today
                      Comment
                      • beeps220
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-29-10
                        • 4227

                        #116
                        Hope this one comes in. I agree + odds in this situation looks good. I'm on over 2.75 in this one just because of RBK's poor defense so far.
                        Comment
                        • pouroupoupou
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-13-10
                          • 971

                          #117
                          If they don't buy a decent defensive midfielder they will continue to concede at least 2 goals per game.Until then, I will keep betting on over 2.5.GL
                          Comment
                          • Metanoia
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-20-10
                            • 2102

                            #118
                            2-0 close to the end of the match, Rosenborg still in trouble, it might take a little more time for them to get on thr right track
                            Comment
                            • Kraghen
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-08-10
                              • 2509

                              #119
                              was on rosenborg as well
                              Comment
                              • beeps220
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-29-10
                                • 4227

                                #120
                                Now along with poor defense RBK can't score
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #121
                                  Missin Anthony Annan big time
                                  Comment
                                  • pouroupoupou
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-13-10
                                    • 971

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                    Missin Anthony Annan big time
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr.Kitty
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-10-09
                                      • 1880

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
                                      Norway Tippeligaen; Fredrikstad v Rosenborg, Rosenborg @ 2.25 (1x) LOSS
                                      Result: Fredrikstad 2 - 0 Rosenborg

                                      Well, what can I say that hasnt been said already, one thing is for sure, I wont overestimate this team anymore. Its clear they need improvement and fast because the next two rounds they meet Vålerenga and Molde. I´d say their first win is likely to come in round seven against Haugesund. Against Molde the over will most likely be a big play for me. To bad we lost but we´ll get em next time!

                                      Thanks for the good luck wishes and comments

                                      Weekly update:

                                      Record: 19-13-2, +14.2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • tukkk
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-04-10
                                        • 391

                                        #124
                                        any thoughts on todays swedish soccer?
                                        gl
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr.Kitty
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-10-09
                                          • 1880

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by tukkk
                                          any thoughts on todays swedish soccer? gl
                                          GAIS-Djurgården; GAIS can temporarily move up to tie first place in the league if they win today. That would be an unfamiliar place for this team whom most ppl rated as a relegation candidate before the season. Since then they aquired strikers Omotoyossi and Wanderson and things are looking up right now. Omotoyossi are not ready to play because FIFA havent cleared his transfer yet, its unclear whats going to happen.
                                          Wanderson have been absolutely vital, in two games hes scored three goals and assisted to three goals. How many goals have GAIS scored in those two games you ask? six goals, so if hes having a bad day you can bet GAIS have a bad day. Because of his imense success, scouts from Juventus, Arsenal, PSV, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax and Chelsea among others will watch this game.
                                          Against Halmstad you could say they got lucky because HBK striker Joe Sise got sent off after 12 minutes so GAIS where able to control the game with a one man advantage. Yet, it took them 78 minutes to score when Wanderson put the ball behind Peréz for 0-1. Key striker Alvaro Santos is injured and wont play for 4-5 weeks, this will most certainly make them weaker in attack.

                                          Djurgården has had a tough start to the year, last game against Malmö they shot themselves in the foot when goalkeeper Pa Dembo Touray got himself sent off after 45mins. You cant do that, especially against such a skilled team like Malmö because they will capitalize on it. He is of course suspended today, moreover they have a couple of injured players. Most notable is Christer Youssef who often starts but today are unable to play. I feel that Touray is a liability, maybe one of the young keepers seize the opportunity they get today.
                                          DIF played solid defense against Malmö and GAIS also have solid defense and today they will be weaker in attack. The game is likely to go under IMO, so does the oddsmakers think . Without Santos almost all the pressure will be on Wanderson to score. He can surely decide this game but I feel it could go either way, maybe GAIS are a bit overrrated now. 1.90 on the home team doesnt look appealing to me.
                                          Wanderson will treat it like any other game but he must know people are there to watch him. The question is how he handles such pressure.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr.Kitty
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-10-09
                                            • 1880

                                            #126
                                            Sweden Allsvenskan; GAIS v Djurgården, Djurgården draw-no-bet @ 2.75 (1x)

                                            I cant shake the feeling that GAIS are a bit overrated here, DIF won here last year, can they do it again?

                                            This is risky but if you dont risk anything you cant gain anything either.
                                            Comment
                                            • Blue_Chips
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-20-10
                                              • 1775

                                              #127
                                              What about the total?
                                              Comment
                                              • Mr.Kitty
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-10-09
                                                • 1880

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by Blue_Chips
                                                What about the total?
                                                I would say under
                                                Comment
                                                • Blue_Chips
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-20-10
                                                  • 1775

                                                  #129
                                                  Ok. Thanks, but I didn't play it because it looked like an under. I wasn't sure though.

                                                  Does Switzerland qualify as one of the countries you cap?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr.Kitty
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-10-09
                                                    • 1880

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Blue_Chips
                                                    Ok. Thanks, but I didn't play it because it looked like an under. I wasn't sure though. Does Switzerland qualify as one of the countries you cap?
                                                    No, Switzerland dont qualify. Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland and Finland are the countries I focus on, those within the Nordic region.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Blue_Chips
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-20-10
                                                      • 1775

                                                      #131
                                                      Ok. Iceland has a lot of overs...normally.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mr.Kitty
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-10-09
                                                        • 1880

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Blue_Chips
                                                        Ok. Iceland has a lot of overs...normally.
                                                        Thats true, the top league in Iceland starts 2 may, its something to look forward too and bet when EPL, Serie A and all the other big leagues are over for the season. Out of the Nordic leagues I know the least about those in Iceland. Ive only bet it sporadically so we will see how it goes .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mr.Kitty
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-10-09
                                                          • 1880

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
                                                          Sweden Allsvenskan; GAIS v Djurgården, Djurgården draw-no-bet @ 2.75 (1x) LOSS
                                                          Result: GAIS 2 - 1 Djurgården

                                                          GAIS coach Axén said they were not worth having 1-1 at halftime, then DIF collapsed in the second . That shouldent have had to happen, after 0-1 they coulda, shoulda closed the game. Wanderson had another assist.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr.Kitty
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-10-09
                                                            • 1880

                                                            #134
                                                            Sweden Allsvenskan; Kalmar FF v Elfsborg, both teams to score @ 1.85 (2x)

                                                            Kalmar FF v Elfsborg; Both teams have attacking power, both teams have players missing in defense, both are hungry for a win. In Kalmars first home game at the new big arena they won 3-2 against Djurgården which to me was quite surprising since I bet the under . I think Kalmar plays more open at home and Elfsborg had almost the same goalaverage away as they did at home. The only difference is that they conceded more then they scored at away games and vice versa at home. Elfsborg must improve their away record this year if they are gonna win Allsvenskan. Last year they had to many draws instead of wins. Previous meetings in Kalmar the last couple of years have been entertaining with results like 2-2, 3-1, 2-1. I think theres a good chance we see this today aswell but as im a little afraid of the draw. So I chose the option of both to score instead of the normal over 2.5 play but @ evens thats not a bad option either.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tukkk
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 10-04-10
                                                              • 391

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
                                                              Kalmar FF v Elfsborg, both teams to score @ 1.85 (2x)
                                                              But why not over 2.5 @ 1.952 with pinnacle ?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mr.Kitty
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-10-09
                                                                • 1880

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by tukkk
                                                                But why not over 2.5 @ 1.952 with pinnacle ?
                                                                I can see this game ending 1-1 more often then it ends like 3-0, 4-0 to either team. I feel like if this game is going over, both teams will score anyway. Just felt like both to score is a little bit safer in a way but I think over 2.5 is a good option aswell, you could get it @ 2.00 last night, today its down to 1.95 like you posted.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thespeculator
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-09-08
                                                                  • 2999

                                                                  #137
                                                                  if got malmo ff today at minus 225, sorry for my dumb question but aren't the nordic leagues through the summer,
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thespeculator
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-09-08
                                                                    • 2999

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
                                                                    Thats true, the top league in Iceland starts 2 may, its something to look forward too and bet when EPL, Serie A and all the other big leagues are over for the season. Out of the Nordic leagues I know the least about those in Iceland. Ive only bet it sporadically so we will see how it goes .
                                                                    yes it is also nice not to have to watch baseball, i love playoff baseball but can't stand the season
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mr.Kitty
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-10-09
                                                                      • 1880

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by thespeculator
                                                                      if got malmo ff today at minus 225, sorry for my dumb question but aren't the nordic leagues through the summer,
                                                                      Thats not a stupid question, and you are absolutely right. The Swedish, Finnish, Norwegian and Icelandic leagues run over the summer because we have a different climate here that does not allow us to play soccer during the winter months. The danish leagues ends in may so they run under a different schedule where they have a break during the winter.

                                                                      Good luck with Malmö FF today, they look strong!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Mr.Kitty
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-10-09
                                                                        • 1880

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by thespeculator
                                                                        yes it is also nice not to have to watch baseball, i love playoff baseball but can't stand the season
                                                                        I dont follow baseball at all but it looks fun to play. In school when growing up we often play a version of baseball/softball thats called brännboll. Thats about my experience with that sort of sport, cant even watch baseball on tv because I dont have ESPN America. Baseball is not a popular sport over here.
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