Chicken Dinner w/EP36

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  • Yezzir
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-29-10
    • 933

    #456
    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
    EUROPA LEAGUE DRAW PROJECT

    Going to go with the group that has seen draws in six of the eight clashes through the group stages. Group K with Liverpool, Napoli, Utrecht & Steaua Bucuresti.

    UTRECHT-STEAUA BUCURESTI +286
    NAPOLI-LIVERPOOL +260

    Utrecht may well burst their scoreless bubble against the Romanians today, but they have so far been content with working their defense and taking a point. That might not be a bad strategy as another point today will have them either in sole possession of 2nd in this group of tied. Against a stronger side, Steaua Bucuresti might be risky here, but they can score and with Utrecht seemingly a little gun shy to play too much offense, they could steal a point. I think Liverpool without their big guns and on the road will be extremely happy if they take a result in Napoli. It would keep them on top of the group and help shove their domestic struggles down a bit. Napoli still has to play on the road at Utrecht and Liverpool, but a point today won't be the worst scenario for them.
    Brilliant.
    Comment
    • Ruff
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-10-10
      • 647

      #457
      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
      EUROPA LEAGUE DRAW PROJECT

      Going to go with the group that has seen draws in six of the eight clashes through the group stages. Group K with Liverpool, Napoli, Utrecht & Steaua Bucuresti.

      UTRECHT-STEAUA BUCURESTI +286
      NAPOLI-LIVERPOOL +260

      Utrecht may well burst their scoreless bubble against the Romanians today, but they have so far been content with working their defense and taking a point. That might not be a bad strategy as another point today will have them either in sole possession of 2nd in this group of tied. Against a stronger side, Steaua Bucuresti might be risky here, but they can score and with Utrecht seemingly a little gun shy to play too much offense, they could steal a point. I think Liverpool without their big guns and on the road will be extremely happy if they take a result in Napoli. It would keep them on top of the group and help shove their domestic struggles down a bit. Napoli still has to play on the road at Utrecht and Liverpool, but a point today won't be the worst scenario for them.

      to bad i missed them
      well done EP
      Comment
      • pinnerpsk
        SBR MVP
        • 03-16-09
        • 1687

        #458
        Great Call on the Draws!!
        Comment
        • svenodds
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-09
          • 1790

          #459
          Nice day
          Comment
          • Ruff
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-10-10
            • 647

            #460
            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
            PLAY #87: [EUROPA LEAGUE] PALERMO-CSKA MOSCOW OVER 2.5 [-104]
            Both teams can score goals in bunches, but it is Palermo's weaker defense that could help yield the over in this one. They rarely keep clean sheets and the Russians have already pounded home six goals in their two group stage matches. The Russians have also tallied multiple goals in six of their last seven overall. The question is probably can Palermo penetrate their defense which has kept clean sheets in six straight overall? Seeing as the Italians have only been held scoreless once in eleven tilts since their domestic campaign began, I think they can. For me, if this doesn't go over ... it will likely be a score draw. So a wise backup might be to place one unit on the over and half a unit on the draw at +233.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #461


              Damn I was just sitting here watching the scoreboard hoping that there wouldn't be a late goal. That's the 1st time the draw project has cashed both!
              Comment
              • Rixsaw
                SBR MVP
                • 10-23-08
                • 4532

                #462
                nice hit bro. I didn't check back for your plays
                Comment
                • Regul8er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-06-07
                  • 10666

                  #463
                  Good Job thus far today. It looks like you called your two ties.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #464
                    Record: 42-44 [-7.51]
                    Draw Project Plays: 8-12 [+7.44]

                    Thanks for the points Yezzir, much appreciated.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #465
                      Missed PK by Moscow I have a feeling is going to be the reason why this one ends under, but perhaps at the 1-1 draw backup.
                      Comment
                      • Ruff
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-10-10
                        • 647

                        #466
                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                        Missed PK by Moscow I have a feeling is going to be the reason why this one ends under, but perhaps at the 1-1 draw backup.
                        Hope thats not the case. Lets get some goals
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #467
                          PLAY #87


                          Red card finally helps me! Gotta say that is easily the best day I have ever had betting futbol!

                          Record: 43-44 [-6.51]
                          Draw Project Plays: 8-12 [+7.44]

                          Comment
                          • Ruff
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 647

                            #468
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            PLAY #87


                            Red card finally helps me! Gotta say that is easily the best day I have ever had betting futbol!

                            Record: 43-44 [-6.51]
                            Draw Project Plays: 8-12 [+7.44]

                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #469
                              ARGENTINA PRIMERA DRAW PROJECT

                              Looking for the split and profit again tonight in Argentina!

                              ARSENAL-GODOY CRUZ +238
                              VELEZ SARSFIELD-ESTUDIANTES +229

                              Think the 1st one has the better shot. Arsenal rarely concedes goals at home with just two given up in five matches, but only six goals scored. Godoy Cruz has three road draws and leads the league with ten road goals. Arsenal has two draws in their last three at home. Godoy Cruz has three draws in their last four overall. Second one might have a shot as well with the top two teams batling. Velez is unbeaten at home with just one goal allowed in five matches. Estudiantes two draws have both come on the road where they drew last weekend with Colon. Estudiantes would probably be perfectly fine getting a point and staying on top of the table with a draw. We'll see how it goes.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #470
                                Record: 43-44 [-6.51]
                                Draw Project Plays: 9-13 [+8.73]

                                Whew! Squeaked out the draw in the 2nd game despite a 90th minute red card. Draw project success.
                                Comment
                                • dvw5bf
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-05-10
                                  • 252

                                  #471
                                  ur killin it... keep up the good work and GO BIRDS!
                                  Comment
                                  • beefcake
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 14029

                                    #472
                                    Nice job eagles..Missed your posts though..
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #473
                                      ENGLAND PREMIER DRAW PROJECT

                                      Let's get that split and profit.

                                      WEST BROMWICH-FULHAM +244
                                      SUNDERLAND-ASTON VILLA +229

                                      Going with two of the biggest draw teams so far in the EPL with Fulham and Sunderland who have both drawn in 75% of their matches so far. Fulham has four draws in four road matches with West Brom holding two draws in four home matches. West Brom has played to draws in their last two with Fulham tallying draws in three of their last four. West Brom has been one of the nice surprises in the EPL so far, but Fulham has found ways to frustrate on the road with just four goals allowed. Sunderland has three draws in four home matches. Aston Villa has only found a result once in four road matches. Sunderland has kept clean sheets in two straight and have four draws in five matches. Villa should be looking hard to find a way to get some points here and that could mean they'd be happy with a dull match.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #474
                                        Record: 43-44 [-6.51]
                                        Draw Project Plays: 9-15 [+6.73]


                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #475
                                          MONDAY MISHMASH DRAW PROJECT

                                          NAPOLI-AC MILAN +218
                                          SEDAN-EVIAN TGFC +213

                                          Same formula as usual, look for the split and profit. In Italy, Napoli has found the draw as a result in six of their last ten overall matches. At home in Serie A play, they are 1-1-1 with five goals scored and five allowed. AC Milan is 1-1-1 on the road with just three goals allowed and only two scored. With both jockeying for position right now, a point for each wouldn't be frowned up. The other shot today is in France's Ligue 2. Evian has drawn their last three at home with just one goal scored and one allowed. They have also drawn in three of their last four overall. Sedan has found the draw as their result in two straight and away from home.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #476
                                            Record: 43-44 [-6.51]
                                            Draw Project Plays: 10-16 [+7.86]

                                            Snagged the draw in the French match, but missed out in Italy. Red card probably doomed that one, but met the goal of split and profit.

                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #477
                                              PLAY #88: [COPA DEL REY] REAL MADRID -2 [-108]
                                              Jose Mourinho has already warned his players ahead of today's Copa Del Rey clash that if they fall to Murcia, they are "dead to him." Saying that, he is set to start a pretty strong side with Ronaldo in the starting eleven. Real Madrid looks to be in superb form with goals now freely flowing with 18 in their last four. Cup style play is always a little bit iffy because strange things happen, but Mourinho will be keen here to avoid an Alcorncon rehash that cost Pellegrini his job last season. I think Real Madrid will be looking for a comfortable win here so that they can field a weaker side in the 2nd leg of this clash at home and still feel good about winning.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #478
                                                Record: 43-45 [-7.59]
                                                Draw Project Plays: 10-16 [+7.86]

                                                Dumb bet by me today. Should stick to the draws.


                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #479
                                                  FRIDAY MIXED DRAW PROJECT

                                                  Usual hope going into this, go 1-1 and get that profit.

                                                  GENOA-INTER MILAN +214
                                                  BAYERN MUNCHEN-FREIBURG +462

                                                  In Italy first, Genoa has been in pretty good form. They have allowed only nine goals in eight matches with just five allowed at home in four matches along with five goals scored. They are 2-1-1 at home. Inter has continued to struggle for goals in Serie A with just three away goals in four matches. Their stingy defense though has allowed just two road goals, resulting in a 2-1-1 road mark. With Inter having a big Champions League clash early next week, they could be content with taking a point on the road today. Genoa traditionally has little success against Inter outside of getting a draw, so they would likely be content there as well. Most will fancy Bayern Munchen a home win against Freiburg, but Munchen still hasn't put things together consistently. Freiburg has had some defensive woes, but has actually seen better efforts on the road. Cisse has been in a scoring frenzy for Freiburg, so they should have the firepower to keep up with BM who will be without Klose today. Freiburg has many injury concerns, but that could actually force them to be a little conservative defensively. BM has struggled to find goals consistently in Bundesliga play, so for me this isn't as straight forward as it would appear and the large odds offer a decent longshot especially with BM playing a Champions League in mid-week against Cluj, trying to defend a one goal lead on the road.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • harlee71
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-02-09
                                                    • 7202

                                                    #480
                                                    Freiburg has dropped. I just picked it up at +410
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #481
                                                      Record: 43-45 [-7.59]
                                                      Draw Project Plays: 10-18 [+5.86]

                                                      No dice today. Sucks too because I switched off an over play in France to go with the draw project. Thems the breaks!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #482
                                                        PLAY #89: [PARLAY] ARSENAL/VALENCIA/CRUZ AZUL +145
                                                        Taking three teams all at home that I think are among the best shots to win straight up tomorrow without much question. Arsenal draws West Ham at home. The Gunners are surging with four wins in a row in convincing fashion in all competitions and West Ham has been thumped on the road by the two best teams it played in Aston Villa & Manchester United. Valencia is at home against bottom feeding Zaragoza. They sit in 4th overall in La Liga and need results to keep pace with Barca, Villarreal and Real Madrid. Zaragoza has just one road goal, so if Valencia can slip home one goal they will likely win. Cruz Azul is crushing opponents at home in Mexico's top league. They are 6-0 with 16 goals scored and just three conceded. Their opponent, Puebla, has five losses in seven road games. Those losses have come in their last five on the road.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #483
                                                          Whew! Late Arsenal goal gives the parlay legs still.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #484
                                                            Record: 43-46 [-8.59]
                                                            Draw Project Plays: 10-18 [+5.86]

                                                            I f-ing hate Valencia. I rarely bet on them, but every time I have I seem to recall that they F me. No more Valencia bets you fukkaz.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ukbsktbll
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-25-09
                                                              • 2048

                                                              #485
                                                              And Zarzoga had a red card for about the last 30 min. Pathetic
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pinnerpsk
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-16-09
                                                                • 1687

                                                                #486
                                                                Ya that game was terrible. Valencia always ruins my parlays
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #487
                                                                  PLAY #90: [ENGLAND PREMIER] BLACKPOOL vs. WEST BROM OVER 2.5 [-136]
                                                                  If there aren't goals in this one, I guess I am going to starve. You've got Blackpool who has given up the most goals in the EPL and West Brom which has yielded the 3rd most road goals with eleven in four matches. Don't you go a-changin' today lads. Let the goals flow.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Shocking development, a red card! I still have that magic touch. We'll see what this does to the match with almost the entire time in front of us.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Two red cards. Watch the final be 1-0.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pinnerpsk
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-16-09
                                                                        • 1687

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Haha. Blackpool sucks to give up a late goal considering West Brom was 2 men down. We'll take if for the over though
                                                                        Comment
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