Drama's picks

[Johndrama]

They won't, they might even cover. Not much to say about the germans, impressed with bayern, that's how a champion should fight.

adding a 0.7u @ syrianska over 2.5 (0-1) 70' @ 1.9.

Returning with the turkish plays in a sec

[Johndrama]

Kardemir - Fener -> Very hard game where kardemir needs the points, you might say Fener that has the cup's final facing trabzonspor will bring a B team but their coach is an idiot, there is big rivalry between these 2 because of the accusations of fixed gaming that happened 2 years ago, and fener might try and punish Kardemir. If I recall correctly some years ago, these 2 faced eachother and fener promised one of kardemir's player a contract if he doesnt play against them, he didn't and kardemir did everything they could do defeat fener.
Kardemir had nice big odds a few days ago now they are very low. I'll wait for the game to begin and then make my decision but I'm leaning on home win.

Orduspor vs Akhisar. I like akhisar here but not at those odds. Pretty sure I'll stay away.

Then there's galatasaray. Trabzonspor with the cup's final coming will surely not take this game seriously. I'm just awaiting lineup details. I hope not to see out of form elmander and sneider back in the middle with Burak and Drogba holding hands in the front. 1.5 is great value here if they are bringing a full squad. Will wait and see

[Akatana]

Unfukcing-real Pandurii fuckced up big time. that's it i'm gone mental for the day regardless of my other plays

[Johndrama]

hold on buddy, don't get tilted there are a lot of more good games coming up. Just hang on

[Johndrama]

my god they even fukced up my -1 in play bet, cocksuckers

[Akatana]

my god they even fukced up my -1 in play bet, cocksuckers

See what i mean lol
I hope Petrolul dont suck Cokc like Pandurii, i have more faith in Petrolul

[Johndrama]

Buyuksehir scored, kardemir must win now, each player gets a bonus as well if they secure a win. Let's try it, 1u @ 2.37

5u galatasaray -1 @ 1.85. Full squad galatasaray, I'm a galata fan so this bet might cost me

[Akatana]

Buyuksehir scored, kardemir must win now, each player gets a bonus as well if they secure a win. Let's try it, 1u @ 2.37

5u galatasaray -1 @ 1.85. Full squad galatasaray, I'm a galata fan so this bet might cost me

Tailing ^ BOL

[Johndrama]

rofl, bring a shovel, I think this is one of those days

[Johndrama]

have to leave, so I wont be able to watch the games, I just hope we hold. I'll be back

[Akatana]

Ok man enjoy.

[Johndrama]

I'm sorry akatana that you had to share the defeat with me in the petrolul game, I only hope you went bigger on the galata play.

Few things to add. I tried being cute with the petrolul play, I could say a lot of things about quality and performance but that won't change the outcome. The biggest profit this league has brought me was when I simply didn't bet one cent on it.
Taking pandurii when they were down 1-0 was a good play, a good one not an excellent one, an excellent one would have been taking the bts and over like I originally intented, but brasov scored too fast and instead of making a profit I chose losing.
With that being said, I will no longer make any pregame plays on this league, only live plays and even that is a maybe.

Regarding the turkish league... I'm afraid galatasaray was the play of the day, sure it is easy for me saying this when the game has won, but galatasaray has never had such a strong squad till now and trabzonspor may have been a CL candidate a few years ago but they are far from that level, and even then, they came with no intentions today while galatasaray came with the same squad that defeated a full strength real madrid in the CL, and you try to give that team a 1.5 odd to win? well good luck with that books. Burak Ylmaz is no doubt the best player this country has, the man is a machine, a beast programmed to score, and of course he had that desire today against his former club.
Regarding karabuk, what is there to say? Their coach must have said a better speech than leonidas said to his 300 spartans . I'm honestly impressed, and I'm glad foolish fener paid for their arrogance.

I have a few french plays, writeup pending...

[Johndrama]

France la ligue 1 :

Fast opinions, basing these picks on experience and intuition, I only threw a fast eye on missings as I didnt have time to do it properly.

Troyes - bordeaux -> Troyes to win. Basing this on two factors : desire to remain in the league and revenge of the cups defeat. 1u
Psg -2.5 -> 2u @ 1.9. This day needs a total trashing from a team, and I expect psg to be that team. Brest are trash, just a horrible team.
Lille game to go over 2.5 -> I'll grab the over 2.0 line if I can, lille has a tendency to go over.
Perhaps Nancy to win, but I'll reserve judgement until I see the game.

More to add live

[Johndrama]

HAHHA, vaslui - dinamo 2-1, I never ever ever bet on unders and this one was the only game I wanted to play the under. Lucky I forgot about it

[Johndrama]

0.5u real sociedad to win @ 3.75 // 0.5u real sociedad +0.5 @ 2.00

[Johndrama]

1u montepellier - lille over 0.5 min 71 (0-0) @ 1.8

[andyrocha90]

Psg f-ing around man. Really didn't give a shit in the 2nd half. Killed all -2.5 bets

[Johndrama]

yeah well, hundreds of millions of euros < some U19 kids that felt like touching the grass at parc des princes. More pissed @lille game honestly, it was a statistical pick on my part, montpellier never had a scoreless game so far.

[Johndrama]

Summary 18/5/2013

1u montepellier - lille over 0.5 min 71 (0-0) @ 1.8-> -1
1u Troyes - bordeaux -> Troyes to win -> +1.2
Psg -2.5 -> 2u @ 1.9 -> -2
Kardemir 1u @ 2.37 -> +1.37
5u galatasaray -1 @ 1.85 -> +4.25
0.7u @ syrianska over 2.5 (0-1) 70' @ 1.9 -> +0.63
Pandurii -1 @1.85 (0-1) 30'; 2u -> -2
Bayern -1 (3-2) HT @ 1.9; 1u -> +0.9
Petrolul -0.5 @1.9 2u; -> -2
Petrolul -1.5 @ 3.35; 0.5u -> -0.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.95; 1u -> -1
Petrolul over 1.5 @1.9; 1u. ->-1
Augsburg, dortmund, bayern @ 2.67; 1u. -> -1
Dortmund -1.5; 2u // Dortmund -2.5 @ 3.25; 0.7u -> -2.7
Bayern -1.5; 2u. -> -2
Stuttgart -0.5 @ 1.9; 1u. -> -1
0.5u real sociedad to win @ 3.75 -> +1.375
0.5u real sociedad +0.5 @ 2.00 -> +0.5

Overall : -5.975

Eh, live to bury yourself another day

[Akatana]

Hey it's ok John don't worry, if there's anyone id share a loss with it's you man, i'm not kidding.
I just got home 1 am lost my phone while i was out, what a screwed up day. Yes i went fairly big on Galatasaray almost made my money back, still a little bit down for the day, the romanians fukced me up man, but it's ok, we know better than that.
I also agree with you that it's better to stay away from this shit league (Romania) will never ever bet on this shit league pre-game.
All my other bet's won today even Gent won 4-1. PSG leveled the handicap which meant i got my money refunded. but the romanians absolutely fuckced the day, it's ok man, it's just another learning curve, which we know in football betting there are many of them.

[Jam67es]

You dont fancy the Benfica game?

[Johndrama]

Fast writeup because the game have already started.
Belgium playoffs:

Anderlecht - Waregem -> A lot of firepower in the front with both suarez and mbokani and that tool Jovanovic, while waregem looks identical, they played that squad for 2 games now, only absence is berrier, I think finally internal conflicts have caught up to him. Waregem +0.5 @ 2.4, 0.5u // waregem to win @ 6, 0.3u. The over is what I'm targeting here and I'll have to wait it live.

Club brugge - Genk -> originally wanted to go on genk +1 with my eyes closed but lineups suggest brugge wants some closure while genk came for the view and the absence of Vossen will likely be felt again. Brugge -1; 1.25u

Standard - Lokeren. Stress free game, standard not giving a fukc, I expect a high scoring game maybe a 2-2 kinda game. Will have to wait live to grab the over but meanwhile I'll take lokeren +0.5 @2.15; 0.7u

edit : 1-1 already at lokeren, so the over is no longer a play. I could grab the over in anderlecht but a lot of creativity came from de sutter and with praet in a different position I''m having my doubts

[onemoregoal]

is that your dog or just a random internet dog?

[Johndrama]

I love corgis, but that's a random internet picture

[Johndrama]

fukc it, taking the over 2.0 (0-0) 30' @ 1.9; 1u. If this is the game that goes under so be it
edit: forgot to say, the over is in the anderlecht game

[Johndrama]

why doesn't osters start velic with soderberg in front like they used to. It was a combo that generated good results and this style doesn't. Meh, 0.5u osters +0 @ 2.00 (1-2 ) 34'

[Akatana]

Hey dude, BOL today. Waregem are badass

[Johndrama]

osters missed a penalty.

Feel pretty good about the belgium games, I guess I was pretty accurate, too bad lokeren didn't hold to their 2 goal advantage. Shame most of my bets are voided.

[Akatana]

osters missed a penalty.

Feel pretty good about the belgium games, I guess I was pretty accurate, too bad lokeren didn't hold to their 2 goal advantage. Shame most of my bets are voided.

Congrats anyway John, Belgian games couldn't have been any better for me either. I took Waregem in-play +0.5 two times in a row @ 1.8 and @ 2.000 they held and played well, fearless team i like them. Had St Liege too for my parlay but other games fked it up.

[Johndrama]

Premier league :

Chelsea - Everton -> everton +0.75 @ 1.9; 1u -> Chelsea must be tired, in a state of confusion, who is staying, who is leaving what is happening, while everton will try to pay an homage to moyes. That's on what I'm basing my pick, I could go on with the details but there's nothing else that matters.

Tottenham - Sunderland -> Tottenham -1.75 @1.9; 1.5u // Adebayor to score anytime @ 1.9; 1u. They're a solid team who seem very balanced, not lacking confidence, stamina and they need the win today. Public bet, but you're either on it or staying away from it.

West Brom - Man utd -> United -0.5 @ 2.00; 1.5u. They could be starting de gea next to van persie and I'd still take this bet at these odds.

Wigan - Aston Villa -> Aston Villa +0.5 @ 1.85; 1u. I'm curious how the absence of benteke will affect the team, but they should get a point here. If he was playing i would have made a bigger play on this.

Over 2.5 games : United, Aston Villa, arsenal. Odds are at ~1.6 so I'll camp better odds live and add the plays here.

Probably plays : Arsenal -1 and Swansea but I'll wait live and see how they're playing.

Did a poor writeup about the games but everyone knows what's up by now and I guess without teams fighting out of the relegation zone, the games will be straight forward.

EDIT : mistake the line on everton, it's +0.75 not +1.25

[Johndrama]

Adding Live :

Deportivo la coruna -0.75 @ 1.97; 1.5u (0-0) 15'

[Johndrama]

bunch of sad fukcs this tottenham.

tottenham -0.5 (0-0) 68' @ 1.8; 1u

Swansea -0.25 (0-1) 68' @ 1.87 ;1u

[Johndrama]

good job lukaku, go fuckk yourself

[Johndrama]

Let's do this.

No more writeups, you can't predict the unpredictable.

Beira Mar - Sporting -> beira mar -0.5 @ 2.88; 1.5u // over 2,5 @ 1.9; 1.5u

Guimarae - Rio ave -> over 2.5; 1u

Steaua bucuresti - Viitorul Constanta -> fixed game, hagi should've learned something about fixing games all those years in istanbul. Viitorul wins this, I'm guessing steaua will at least want to score one so they won't look the fools. Over 2.5 @ 1.9; 5u

[Akatana]

Let's do this.

No more writeups, you can't predict the unpredictable.

Beira Mar - Sporting -> beira mar -0.5 @ 2.88; 1.5u // over 2,5 @ 1.9; 1.5u

Guimarae - Rio ave -> over 2.5; 1u

Steaua bucuresti - Viitorul Constanta -> fixed game, hagi should've learned something about fixing games all those years in istanbul. Viitorul wins this, I'm guessing steaua will at least want to score one so they won't look the fools. Over 2.5 @ 1.9; 5u

Nice call on the romanian fukcers fix. I officially hate romanian football now so i didnt even think about putting a cent on it, but very nice call.