Official Streak for the Cash discussion thread

**lordswing** · 08-03-11, 11:22 AM

all the favs have been shit so far

**craigpb** · 08-03-11, 01:22 PM

Just never know sometimes.

**craigpb** · 08-04-11, 12:03 AM

Wish I would have stuck with u20 instead of the pathetic pro showings.

**CaDDyy** · 08-04-11, 07:14 AM

w2 on sergio then rangers?

**teecee** · 08-04-11, 09:43 AM

mlada boleslav: win
texas rangers: win
fc thun: win or draw
municipal: win
s.f. giants: win

these are the only matchups i'll be considering.

oops! this is a pool thread, not open discussion. carry on.

**yisman** · 08-04-11, 10:37 AM

it's open discussion

**craigpb** · 08-04-11, 11:02 PM

Early matchups look dreadful. Not sure about Tiger prop yet.

**yisman** · 08-04-11, 11:51 PM

I don't know of a site that has odds for a player's score. Guess I'll pass on Tiger.

Watson would be the favorite with the tie, but not by a lot. Pass on that as well.

**yisman** · 08-05-11, 12:00 PM

Turns out a stroke over 18 holes isn't worth much.

I was going to take Phil because he's getting the tie and was actually a slight favorite to win (-115 or so), but when I looked at 5 Dimes, they had alternate odds. Phil +.5 was -135/+115.

Guess it makes sense. Over 18 holes, it's unlikely for there to be a tie.

**craigpb** · 08-05-11, 11:56 PM

Soccer really killed the masses today.

**craigpb** · 08-07-11, 12:02 AM

Really need some NFL to get some better options.

**yisman** · 08-07-11, 08:25 PM

Ugh, missed an easy winner with under 2.5 hits tonight.

Forgot to set an alarm so I'd check back during the small window between picks.

Suckmaster fails to understand that 1.5 hits is usually around a PK. 2.5 gives a large edge to the under.

**craigpb** · 08-08-11, 02:47 PM

Lot of options today. Can at least throw in some other sports when just a few baseball games.

**yisman** · 08-08-11, 07:16 PM

wow, got a push instead of an easy win

I picked the XBH prop in the second inning. I go there now and see it's been pushed due to an incorrect lock time.

They have the capability to only give win/loss to those that picked in time, but instead choose to screw people who picked it before it began.

**lordswing** · 08-08-11, 08:41 PM

Phillies/Giants win is good right? I've never bet a parlay before, I only picked them in Pinny (lol@Pinny adding 2 cents to the vig) and got 1.53 decimal odds

Guessing that makes no vig ~-130 or so? I should probably learn how to calculate no vig parlays

**yisman** · 08-08-11, 08:49 PM

Phillies/Giants no vig parlay pays out at about +161.

One of them losing is thus about -161.

lordswing, 1.53 decimal odds is over -190, so that can't be what you got.

no vig line -> parlaycalculator.com

**Inkwell77** · 08-08-11, 08:51 PM

Edit: already explained!

**lordswing** · 08-09-11, 08:39 AM

the payout on pinny for $1 was $1.53, i put that in as the decimal odds instead of one of them losing D:

it looked like an interesting prop, didn't pull the trigger of course

**yisman** · 08-09-11, 11:05 AM

Oh, you meant payout was that. Right, so a Pinnacle parlay was +153. No vig was about +161.

You said decimal, so I thought you meant decimal odds.

**immy5150** · 08-09-11, 11:14 AM

i never pull the trigger it seems on a good price except when i do i lose it

**l7ustin** · 08-09-11, 01:25 PM

What's the play for today anything worth risking a 3 streak

**yisman** · 08-09-11, 01:44 PM

WNBA looks good, but the dumbest prop of the day is asking which late game will finish first.

Smart money is on the Phillies game: starts earlier and has a lower total.

**Inkwell77** · 08-09-11, 02:00 PM

Today is tough.
Like the Storm in the WNBA prop even though that team is horrible on the road.
Like the A's to beat the Blue Jays, the sharp money on the A's tonight.
Really like the Marlins over the Braves. The line is at -125 and 98% of the streak for cash crowd is on a -125 line. Seems like a great time to fade.

**lordswing** · 08-09-11, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by yisman

Oh, you meant payout was that. Right, so a Pinnacle parlay was +153. No vig was about +161.

You said decimal, so I thought you meant decimal odds.

I thought 1.53 was the decimal odds for that parlay, which was the Phillies and the Giants winning.
I forgot you want one of them losing, so it should be whatever the opposite of 1.53 is in decimal odds.

tl;dr - I'm no good at parlays or anything non-American!

I've got Toronto so far, but that Giants/Phillies prop looks fun for a W3 on a Tuesday night

I would go with the Giants though, since they're the home team and I think not having to play 3 outs is worth the 5 minute late start.

**yisman** · 08-09-11, 03:05 PM

Decimal odds is the return you get on a bet, including your original investment back.

So 1.5 would mean you get 1.5 back for a bet of 1. That's winnings+stake. Therefore, it's the equivalent of -200.

A 1/1 bet would be 2 in decimal odds.

Therefore, Pinnacle odds for the parlay would've been 2.53.

**CaDDyy** · 08-09-11, 07:01 PM

assuming this is starting when the first pitch is thrown for each game on the giants phillies prop?

**yisman** · 08-09-11, 07:13 PM

it should lock at 10:10. Whichever game ends sooner should be the winner.

So if the Dodgers game ends at 12:45 AM and the Giants game at 12:48, Dodgers game wins.

**craigpb** · 08-09-11, 11:44 PM

WNBA upsets on SFTC just keep happening. US game should be interesting today. Guessing no A squad from Mexico, but are US even good enough to draw usually decent Mexico squad.

**Inkwell77** · 08-10-11, 12:29 AM

Have a five game streak, trying to make it 6. I bet USA ML at -120, but if it is a draw I get the money back. The value in the contest is probably on Mexico, but I can't do that, USA USA!

I'll I'm really seeing is possibly the Indians (Ubaldo) or the AOR in the Jeter prop. Anyone see anything else that looks good for tomorrow?

**lordswing** · 08-10-11, 10:47 AM

Armenia W/D is good, haven't checked the later games yet, but it's much better than Ubaldo and probably the Jeter prop as well

And I greatly dislike waking up to a loss from that Giants game

**yisman** · 08-10-11, 10:54 AM

I was right about that one.

I think start time and total are the two most important factors. While the Phillies were more likely to win than the Dodgers, and the Giants more likely than the Pirates, parlaying them would've been a nice underdog, and thus not a good reason to base the length of the game on.

Weird part is a 2-1 Dodgers game somehow took 2:53. Giants game was 2:51, meaning Dodgers game won by 3 minutes.

**lordswing** · 08-10-11, 12:54 PM

Someone ****** up in the Giants game if you read the comments section, the Giants were in the 9th and the Phillies were still in the 8th at one point, but a Giant missed a double play opportunity?

And I'll gladly disagree with you, taking a road team and a home team with an equal chance to win, the home team's game should finish quicker because there's a chance of having 51 outs instead of 54 outs in a game. It's not like the totals were way off, it was "only" a half run.

**yisman** · 08-10-11, 01:05 PM

And I'll gladly disagree with you, taking a road team and a home team with an equal chance to win, the home team's game should finish quicker because there's a chance of having 51 outs instead of 54 outs in a game.

My point is that for it to happen your way, you'd need a parlay of Giants in regulation and Phillies to come through. I don't view that as anywhere nearly likely enough to offset the advantages of the Dodgers game.

There was a chance of the Dodgers game also only have 51 outs. The Giants game may have been more likely, but not by that much.

**yisman** · 08-10-11, 02:19 PM

Tough call tonight.

Can take Yankees or take props.

**yisman** · 08-10-11, 07:25 PM

5th inning prop was even/-130 at 5 Dimes.

8th inning: -140/+110