NEW Streak for the Cash

**yisman** · 07-22-10, 06:14 PM

Only book that I found softball odds at was 5 Dimes, and that only had ML.

Regardless, I think 6.5 is too low and in the discussion they claim the real line is 10.5.

If that's the case I'd put a big streak on that, but I have 0 thanks to the Honking loss.

I'll take that followed by San Fran or Galaxy.

**yisman** · 07-22-10, 10:12 PM

I bet Ron Washington has a good streak going.

**losturmarbles** · 07-23-10, 12:58 AM

stage 18

sbo odds with vig removed:

Mark Cavendish (GBR) - 41.7%
Alessandro Petacchi (ITA) - 12.9%

54.6% of the cyclists listed (sbo doesn't include "any other cyclist" to account for the whole field)

bodog odds with vig removed:

Mark Cavendish (GBR) - 33.1%
Alessandro Petacchi (ITA) - 9.9%

43% out of the entire field (bodog lists AOC at 19.9%)

pinny has the prop:

Will Mark Cavendish win Stage 18? (-110/-106) or (50.45%/49.55%)

(I would nail the NO on this prop if I could bet pinny.)

**losturmarbles** · 07-23-10, 01:04 AM

I would lean AOC, but with pinny giving Cavendish a 50/50 shot of winning... Probably check back and see how much that prop bet gets bet down by 7am eastern.

**yisman** · 07-23-10, 11:16 AM

that's a big arb opportunity there if you could bet at Pinnacle as well as American books.

**yisman** · 07-23-10, 01:02 PM

two afternoon options, both with even odds

Fri 7/23Will J. Isner Win 2-0? 01:05 PM4329 Yes-105 4330 No-105

Sligo -0.5 +108

Drogheda United+0.5 -119

**losturmarbles** · 07-24-10, 07:18 PM

i meant to post earlier

Using bodogs lines the implied odds for winning outright are

Keselowski 18.59%
Edwards 9.3%

(Keselowski is almost 2x times more likely to win)
so the fair odds for this matchup would be 66.7%/33.3% or -200

**yisman** · 07-24-10, 07:38 PM

I did horrible while I was away.

**yisman** · 07-24-10, 09:07 PM

I wonder how many streaks went down on softball.

USA was over -1000 and lost.

**ugadawgs** · 07-24-10, 10:04 PM

i got busted out on twins vs balt last night!!

**yisman** · 07-25-10, 04:15 PM

Morons running SftC must be passed out. Softball has yet to start, but they locked it 15 minutes ago.

Anyone who picked tennis, WNBA, or any of the two 1:35 baseball games got locked out.

Only NASCAR pickers and 2:05 baseball pickers were able to pick softball, and NASCAR was a typical SftC ending. Montoya was one of the leaders for most of the race, set to easily top Gordon, but he crashed near the end.

So if you did the logical thing and took the things which looked like they'd end in time, you wound up locked out.

**yisman** · 07-25-10, 04:30 PM

they finally woke up. At about 5:20, they unlocked it and pushed the start time to 5:45.

**yisman** · 07-25-10, 06:45 PM

having trouble deciding what to do tonight.

I like the Cards to win.

On the props I'd go:

Yes
No
No

Softball is in a rain delay, which could have a big impact on the monthly. The leader is stuck in the pick.

**MexicanStallion** · 07-25-10, 06:50 PM

I will start up August Pool tomorrow. I'll probably pay out Cabo as well. It's possible, but highly unlikely anybody gets 14 wins since he would win the tie breaker as well. Two posters on W3 currently.

**yisman** · 07-25-10, 07:35 PM

dammit, I wasn't patient, and it cost me.

Lost my three game streak.

I was swayed by a stat about Carpenter striking guys out in the first the vast majority of the time.

I hear it was the first time in two months that he didn't.

**Cabo** · 07-25-10, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

I will start up August Pool tomorrow. I'll probably pay out Cabo as well. It's possible, but highly unlikely anybody gets 14 wins since he would win the tie breaker as well. Two posters on W3 currently.

Mex, If I'm the winner of the July pool, keep 40 points, 20 for my August fee and 20 for your August Fee.

**tltaylor89** · 07-25-10, 08:02 PM

Cabo why couldent you take it all the way?

**mikejamm** · 07-26-10, 07:42 AM

You might wanna wait Mex, someone could still go on a run with 6 days left. Not saying that's gonna happen, but it's possible.

**MexicanStallion** · 07-26-10, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by Cabo

Mex, If I'm the winner of the July pool, keep 40 points, 20 for my August fee and 20 for your August Fee.

Thanks Cabo. I appreciate it.

Originally posted by mikejamm

You might wanna wait Mex, someone could still go on a run with 6 days left. Not saying that's gonna happen, but it's possible.

I will probably wait another day or two, but it's doubtful especially with everybody but Yis busted right now and he's on one.

I will make a thread though for August and hopefully we can get over 300 points again. Lately we have been slightly down from where we had started originally.

**yisman** · 07-26-10, 08:04 PM

worst beat ever

picked 3 runs or less from 3rd to 6th inning

no hits for either team until 2 outs in the bottom of the 6th

but walk, catcher's interference, and walk, means bases loaded, two outs, two strikes for Joyce, who hits a grand slam off Scherzer.

Seriously. Worst beat ever.

This is a repeat of what happened in the Cardinals game last week.

**losturmarbles** · 07-26-10, 08:33 PM

now that's a bad beat this time yis.

just go ahead get them all out of the way before the new month starts.

**yisman** · 07-26-10, 08:35 PM

catcher's interference was a shaky call too

Scherzer had two strikes on Crawford and the ump claims Laird put his glove out too far or something.

WTF?

I've seen a lot of bizarre *&@# on SftC, but this takes the cake.

**yisman** · 07-26-10, 08:36 PM

1-2-3 for Garza, but of course Crawford with a homer in the bottom of the inning.

Another loss for me on another pick I felt was the right one to make.

**yisman** · 07-26-10, 08:45 PM

Who will WIN this matchup?

10:05 PM

MLB
Boston Red Sox (55-44) Buchholz--Preview
50.0% @ Los Angeles Angels (52-49) Haren--50.0%

right down the middle.

**losturmarbles** · 07-27-10, 02:59 PM

yis, just a heads up.

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

Boys, i hate to brag, but i have a great knack of knowing if a poster is tough in real life by his posting style. 10 yrs of posting has made me an expert in this field.. I have yet to be wrong.

Here are the odds if these 2 posters met in a fight..

JJgold -240---wicked temper
Deuce +205-- he will be intimidated by jj.

________

BadNina -185-- she will destroy him.
Beemore +165-- fight will last 12 seconds.

______

Bobbyfk -120-- this one should be close
Beemore even-- could go either way

______

Patty Bateman -1650--might be toughest guy on site
Mathdotcom +1250-- math whiz.. not a fighter

____

Paco -740--very dangerous kid
wtf +560- not a very dangerous kid.

______

PavyRacer -210--height advantage
Fishhead +175-- also tall, but uncoordinated

______

Richkas -1200-- ex con.. and nuts..
Minet +900-- not tough at all

______

Patty Bateman -8900--he will eat him alive
Beemore +7400

______

Pecos Bill -140 -- seems to have a bad temper
Ttaylor +120- should be a good fight
____

Real Slim Shady -200- sounds tough as hell
Yisman +170- will give him a good fight, but will lose

____

Cougar Bait -340- he has the size
Brock Landers +280-- not a fighter at all

______

Nicky with 1 arm tied behind his back... -220
Bobbyfk and beemore at same time....+180

______

Extra Innings -110-- this one can go either way.
Patty Venditto -110-- patty's quick. opponent slow

______

Archie -130- quick on his feet
Sickler +110- tough as nails.

_____

Holger -700-- ex mobster
Goater +500-- seems small and not too tough

**yisman** · 07-27-10, 06:06 PM

thanks, but not a thread worth looking at.

Anyway, a bunch of good picks tonight, but they all run into each other.

I meant to try to take Washington (not one of the good picks) in the hopes of having a two pick night, but I got locked out.

So one pick.

Milwaukee, Phoenix +9.5, and Angels

**yisman** · 07-27-10, 09:16 PM

It seems choosing Milwaukee over Phoenix was not very wise.

I made the choice because I figured I may as well just pick the game happening earliest for the slight chance of an extra pick. Of course, the game finishing in two hours was unlikely, to say the least. Instead, it looks like it'll last twice that.

**MexicanStallion** · 07-28-10, 11:57 AM

August Longest Streak Points Pool
Post up 20 Points before August 1st
Longest August Streak Wins all points
Tiebreaker: Winning %

New Link Below
SBR Points Pool
Password: baseborn

Thread in the Points section as well.

**yisman** · 07-28-10, 06:18 PM

was Cabo's W13 this month the first time someone in the group got to 13?

**yisman** · 07-29-10, 01:49 PM

I'm torn between San Diego and AOR in tennis (aside from Lopez 2-0).

Both seem like good picks.

edit: I just realized I confused San Diego with San Francisco. San Diego game is later, so I must pick AOR.

edit x2: so they do have San Fran there. I was wondering. OK, San Fran it is, even though AOR probably has better odds.

**Cabo** · 07-29-10, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by yisman

was Cabo's W13 this month the first time someone in the group got to 13?

I think somebody had 13 two months ago.

**MexicanStallion** · 07-29-10, 09:24 PM

Somebody did have at least 13, but I don't recall who.

**yisman** · 07-29-10, 09:43 PM

mexi, can we keep a list of past winners somewhere?

Some day I'll win this and I'll print out the list, circle my name, and frame it or something.

Now for some amazing stats:

I have 58 wins in 29 days, 8 winning streaks of at least 3, 6 losing streaks of at least 3, and no streaks period of over 4.

**OmgUrMom** · 07-29-10, 11:41 PM

13 nice job! what game was your streak breaker?

**lordswing** · 07-30-10, 08:30 AM

congrats Cabo!!

as far as the >13 winner, :P

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