2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • Kermit
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-27-10
    • 32555

    #2416
    Comment
    • RoyBacon
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-21-05
      • 37074

      #2417
      Originally posted by RoyBacon
      Vitty- I can ride Sleepy Joe to victory!


      Comment
      • TheGoldenGoose
        SBR MVP
        • 11-27-12
        • 3745

        #2418
        Comment
        • 19th Hole
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-22-09
          • 18836

          #2419
          Originally posted by RoyBacon
          Vitty- I can ride Sleepy Joe to victory!


          Classic Vitturd
          Comment
          • vitterd
            Restricted User
            • 09-14-17
            • 58460

            #2420
            Originally posted by 19th Hole
            Classic Vitturd
            Toad
            Comment
            • rkelly110
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 10-05-09
              • 39691

              #2421
              Comment
              • RoyBacon
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-21-05
                • 37074

                #2422
                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                Vitty- I can ride Sleepy Joe to victory!


                Comment
                • RudyRuetigger
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-24-10
                  • 65086

                  #2423
                  Im surprised so many say Florida is already in the bag Trump


                  I was just following their lead, but it looks a bit worrisome to me
                  Comment
                  • RoyBacon
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-21-05
                    • 37074

                    #2424
                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                    Im surprised so many say Florida is already in the bag Trump


                    I was just following their lead, but it looks a bit worrisome to me
                    FL is called. Man of the People WINS the great state of Florida.
                    Comment
                    • RudyRuetigger
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-24-10
                      • 65086

                      #2425
                      Miami and Latino numbers are down

                      But democrats are back over 100k (more than hillary)


                      I'm still betting on that website some point today just to see how it goes
                      Comment
                      • RoyBacon
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-21-05
                        • 37074

                        #2426
                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                        Miami and Latino numbers are down

                        But democrats are back over 100k (more than hillary)


                        I'm still betting on that website some point today just to see how it goes
                        Not a big enough lead/ Broward and Dade unperformed in '16 and are even worse in '20. Meanwhile, in Trump country of northern FL, vote totals are off the chart. Trump by 300,000+.
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30041

                          #2427
                          Bets going in
                          Trump FL
                          Joni Ernst
                          Trump NH
                          Trump Nebraska 02 district
                          Republican Texas 21 district
                          Comment
                          • trytrytry
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-13-06
                            • 23649

                            #2428
                            sbr pizza points political picks rolling in past few days over 40,000 . SBr Pros

                            Comment
                            • Auto Donk
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-03-13
                              • 43559

                              #2429
                              the looks on the faces of the cnn/msnbc idiots tell you all you need to know.......

                              another four years of KING TRUMP!!!!!!!!!!!
                              Comment
                              • JohnGalt2341
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-31-09
                                • 9138

                                #2430
                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                Uh huh...tell it to the hand.

                                I see Trump passing Sleepy just exactly as he did Hillary. The undecided's breaking for Trump.

                                You guys can cry all you want. We wouldn't expect you to congratulate us like men. But if you win I will be a real patriot and congratulate you and wish your POTUS well.
                                Trump's already crying and it's not even election day yet.

                                Prediction:

                                If/When Trump loses, he's going to claim Dem's cheated and he won't accept the results. And of course, the cult will believe him 100%. This will happen in a multitude of ways but specifically... I predict Trump's going to be winning Pennsylvania by tomorrow night and any votes that are counted for PA after tomorrow night Trump will claim that they are illegal/fraudulent votes.

                                This will be just the beginning of the biggest shit show this country has ever seen.
                                Comment
                                • Judge Crater
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-05-20
                                  • 2024

                                  #2431
                                  Betfair
                                  Biden -196
                                  Trump +192
                                  Comment
                                  • RoyBacon
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-21-05
                                    • 37074

                                    #2432
                                    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                    Trump's already crying and it's not even election day yet.

                                    Prediction:

                                    If/When Trump loses, he's going to claim Dem's cheated and he won't accept the results. And of course, the cult will believe him 100%. This will happen in a multitude of ways but specifically... I predict Trump's going to be winning Pennsylvania by tomorrow night and any votes that are counted for PA after tomorrow night Trump will claim that they are illegal/fraudulent votes.

                                    This will be just the beginning of the biggest shit show this country has ever seen.
                                    No need to even predict Dems will claim they were cheated when they lose. It's a given.

                                    They ain't boarding up businesses all over the country because they are scared of Trump supporters.

                                    Comment
                                    • navyblue81
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-29-13
                                      • 4143

                                      #2433
                                      Momentum is on Trump’s side. There’s no doubt. His approval rating has ticked up an average of four points in two weeks. The IBD poll released this morning, which was the most accurate poll in 2016 and called the popular vote on the number, has it Biden 49, Trump 46 nationally.

                                      I don’t know if it’s enough. I still think Biden wins. But the gap is closing. It’s looking to be a tighter race than it did a week or two ago.
                                      Comment
                                      • stake1
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-19-18
                                        • 18116

                                        #2434
                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                        No need to even predict Dems will claim they were cheated when they lose. It's a given.

                                        They ain't boarding up businesses all over the country because they are scared of Trump supporters.

                                        Big day tomorrow. Gear up. Will look like the 4th of July tomorrow night when Trump kicks his ass
                                        Comment
                                        • RoyBacon
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 09-21-05
                                          • 37074

                                          #2435
                                          Originally posted by navyblue81
                                          Momentum is on Trump’s side. There’s no doubt. His approval rating has ticked up an average of four points in two weeks. The IBD poll released this morning, which was the most accurate poll in 2016 and called the popular vote on the number, has it Biden 49, Trump 46 nationally.

                                          I don’t know if it’s enough. I still think Biden wins. But the gap is closing. It’s looking to be a tighter race than it did a week or two ago.
                                          I'm not so sure. The pop vote will be close but it looks like Trump is going to win AZ and PA. This could be a mini landslide.
                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65086

                                            #2436
                                            i was unable to bet florida for trump because they said too many already bet????


                                            i got NC and Ohio instead


                                            (on predictit.org)
                                            Comment
                                            • khicks26
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-16-06
                                              • 45396

                                              #2437
                                              Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                              No need to even predict Dems will claim they were cheated when they lose. It's a given.

                                              They ain't boarding up businesses all over the country because they are scared of Trump supporters.

                                              Is Dwight on vacation & your watching the troll farm?
                                              Comment
                                              • Judge Crater
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-05-20
                                                • 2024

                                                #2438
                                                Trafalgar's chief pollster just told Hannity last night that Trump will win Pennsylvania, but "they" will try to take it away from him with mass voter fraud.
                                                Comment
                                                • Auto Donk
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-03-13
                                                  • 43559

                                                  #2439
                                                  harris county, texas, clerk, tabulating drive thru votes:


                                                  Comment
                                                  • StackinGreen
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                    • 12140

                                                    #2440
                                                    Trump IS ahead and will increase his lead in every state. The 3 day rule in PA for example is a contingency for cheating. Why wouldn't it be, state law is clearly settled and has always been votes there on Election Day, period.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                      • 65086

                                                      #2441
                                                      We have reached the maximum number of trades on this contract.


                                                      Wtf does that mean?


                                                      I can't even bet it at a worse price?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • navyblue81
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-29-13
                                                        • 4143

                                                        #2442
                                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                        I'm not so sure. The pop vote will be close but it looks like Trump is going to win AZ and PA. This could be a mini landslide.
                                                        If he were to win Fla and Pa, it’s over. I don’t care what the math says, if one of these guys wins both those states, the other dominos fall in line with or without Arizona and Michigan.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoyBacon
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-21-05
                                                          • 37074

                                                          #2443
                                                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                          We have reached the maximum number of trades on this contract.

                                                          Wtf does that mean?


                                                          I can't even bet it at a worse price?
                                                          Maybe PromisedLand can check in. I've never seen that. Let me see if I can make a bet there. Are you in FL by any chance?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83691

                                                            #2444
                                                            Trump better win this thing again or God help us all!!!


                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoyBacon
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-21-05
                                                              • 37074

                                                              #2445
                                                              Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                              If he were to win Fla and Pa, it’s over. I don’t care what the math says, if one of these guys wins both those states, the other dominos fall in line with or without Arizona and Michigan.
                                                              Got the same message.

                                                              They operate scared to death with all their low limits and withdrawal fees and whatever this rule is.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65086

                                                                #2446
                                                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                                Maybe PromisedLand can check in. I've never seen that. Let me see if I can make a bet there. Are you in FL by any chance?
                                                                no



                                                                but why wouldnt i just buy biden at NO 56cents instead of Trump Buy Yes at 62c anyway?


                                                                Comment
                                                                • DwightShrute
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                                  • 102340

                                                                  #2447
                                                                  <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="und" dir="ltr">���� <a href="https://t.co/SG6sHx9H5g">https://t.co/SG6sHx9H5g</a></p>&mdash; Midnight Rider���� Chump for Trump! (@m1dn7ghtrider) <a href="https://twitter.com/m1dn7ghtrider/status/1323263993402839040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 2, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RoyBacon
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-21-05
                                                                    • 37074

                                                                    #2448


                                                                    This is the better way I think.

                                                                    Buy under 1%, 1%-2% and 2%-3% and get +odds. You lose if Trump wins by 3.1% but he's not. That's like 800k??
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoyBacon
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 09-21-05
                                                                      • 37074

                                                                      #2449
                                                                      Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                      <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="und" dir="ltr">���� <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/SG6sHx9H5g">https://t.co/SG6sHx9H5g</a></p>&mdash; Midnight Rider���� Chump for Trump! (@m1dn7ghtrider) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/m1dn7ghtrider/status/1323263993402839040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 2, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                                      Funny as fvvk!!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 08-24-10
                                                                        • 65086

                                                                        #2450
                                                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                        no



                                                                        but why wouldnt i just buy biden at NO 56cents instead of Trump Buy Yes at 62c anyway?


                                                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                                        https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ion-in-Florida

                                                                        This is the better way I think.

                                                                        Buy under 1%, 1%-2% and 2%-3% and get +odds. You lose if Trump wins by 3.1% but he's not. That's like 800k??
                                                                        i dont know, i saw 2.5 - 3% so that 3.1% is a little scary


                                                                        it just let me put shares on biden no but i only did like $5.60 just to test it out incase im doing something ass backwards


                                                                        and i have to be because why wouldnt you rather take no biden than yes trump anyway
                                                                        Comment
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