Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

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  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9853

    #10921
    Was reviewing Omicron numbers, starting to go parabolic in US and Europe, still don't see the cases in hospitals and remain confident its likely gonna be better than having a really effective vaccine since everyone is probably just gonna get it and have mild symptoms but with cases surging we are likely to see some fears...lots of the e-commerce stonks caught bids, likely gonna spray gun some calls on SHOP AMZN STNE etc
    Comment
    • Slurry Pumper
      SBR MVP
      • 06-18-18
      • 2811

      #10922
      I'm back on auto pilot for today and tomorrow. Sold most of those SPY calls that expire today, and have a trailing stop for if they can ekk out some more today. I suspect the trading will dry up probably in the next hour and that will be bout it going into the Christmas holiday. I kept all of my short positions which are mostly QQQ and IWM puts that expire in March, and on Monday I think there will be another chance to jump in on that play.

      Have a good Christmas and I hope you all get the shyt you want. I'm off on vacation for a while drinking heavily, smoking and probably even snorting something. Basically totally partying with my now ancient body trying to show these kids how drugs are done.
      Comment
      • trobin31
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-09-14
        • 9853

        #10923
        Originally posted by Slurry Pumper
        I'm back on auto pilot for today and tomorrow. Sold most of those SPY calls that expire today, and have a trailing stop for if they can ekk out some more today. I suspect the trading will dry up probably in the next hour and that will be bout it going into the Christmas holiday. I kept all of my short positions which are mostly QQQ and IWM puts that expire in March, and on Monday I think there will be another chance to jump in on that play.

        Have a good Christmas and I hope you all get the shyt you want. I'm off on vacation for a while drinking heavily, smoking and probably even snorting something. Basically totally partying with my now ancient body trying to show these kids how drugs are done.
        Fuking legend
        Comment
        • chico2663
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-02-10
          • 36915

          #10924
          Good time for you guys to get into nio. It should be up to 90 by start of 23.
          Comment
          • Madison
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-16-11
            • 6366

            #10925
            Originally posted by chico2663
            Good time for you guys to get into nio. It should be up to 90 by start of 23.
            I finally gave up and sold half of my holdings. Any further detail on why you believe so? Most of what I've read has been neutral at best.
            Comment
            • Madison
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-16-11
              • 6366

              #10926
              How can one be this fkn smart?

              Even though Musk is in the process of dumping shares, he's actually boosted his stake in Tesla. As of Thursday, he's exercised about 21.3 million stock options at about $6.24 per share.

              Full story here. It’s short.

              Elon Musk offloads more Tesla shares for $15.4 billion in total, saying there's still a few more chunks to go (msn.com)
              Comment
              • trobin31
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-09-14
                • 9853

                #10927
                got some UVXY calls 5 minutes before close, already up 6%...just gonna let me sleep better this weekend...

                don't see how any sustained rally occurs without a much larger pullback in the setting of Fed taking away the punch bowl....
                Comment
                • trobin31
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-09-14
                  • 9853

                  #10928
                  Right on cue major airlines wait until market close to announce cancellations...


                  likely only days until Biden urges “slow the spread”


                  GG bulls
                  Comment
                  • chico2663
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-02-10
                    • 36915

                    #10929
                    Originally posted by Madison
                    I finally gave up and sold half of my holdings. Any further detail on why you believe so? Most of what I've read has been neutral at best.
                    I originally bought when it was 1.98. Sold 1/3 at 11 and another at 55. Omicron will not last forever. China gave a discount on the way companies changed the batteries are installed. Nio allows the people that buy there product the decision to pay for battery …monthly or in price of car. China has bailed nio out of financial problems…I think twice. Nio is being pushed in Asia, S America and any place that China does business. If not for the virus it would already be there. Another reason to give them notice
                    Another reason is that Elon talks about what a good company nio and Xpev are. Figure guy knows more than I. Whether he is lifting them or talking shit about them. Goodluck
                    Comment
                    • Madison
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-16-11
                      • 6366

                      #10930
                      Originally posted by chico2663
                      Good time for you guys to get into nio. It should be up to 90 by start of 23.
                      • Deutsche Bank calls out the recent dip in Nio (NIO) as a great buying opportunity. The firm believes the stock has been unjustly hit by negative headwinds that will pass soon enough — namely supply chain constraints, shortage of new vehicles, and a U.S. delisting fear. But none of these issues impact the company’s fundamentals, which will pave the way for a massive increase in vehicle manufacturing output over the next year. On the back of that manufacturing ramp, we fully expect the stock to power toward $100. In 2022 in particular, we are bullish on the company’s ET7 launch and European market expansion.
                      Comment
                      • Madison
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-11
                        • 6366

                        #10931
                        Originally posted by chico2663
                        I originally bought when it was 1.98. Sold 1/3 at 11 and another at 55. Omicron will not last forever. China gave a discount on the way companies changed the batteries are installed. Nio allows the people that buy there product the decision to pay for battery …monthly or in price of car. China has bailed nio out of financial problems…I think twice. Nio is being pushed in Asia, S America and any place that China does business. If not for the virus it would already be there. Another reason to give them notice
                        Another reason is that Elon talks about what a good company nio and Xpev are. Figure guy knows more than I. Whether he is lifting them or talking shit about them. Goodluck
                        Thanks! Find us another earner like that. Nice work.

                        Have a great holiday season.
                        Comment
                        • trobin31
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-09-14
                          • 9853

                          #10932
                          Originally posted by chico2663
                          I originally bought when it was 1.98. Sold 1/3 at 11 and another at 55. Omicron will not last forever. China gave a discount on the way companies changed the batteries are installed. Nio allows the people that buy there product the decision to pay for battery …monthly or in price of car. China has bailed nio out of financial problems…I think twice. Nio is being pushed in Asia, S America and any place that China does business. If not for the virus it would already be there. Another reason to give them notice
                          Another reason is that Elon talks about what a good company nio and Xpev are. Figure guy knows more than I. Whether he is lifting them or talking shit about them. Goodluck
                          I still for the life of me can’t see how battery pack ev tech will be scalable but maybe I am missing something, really hard for me to see Nio coming out of China as strongest ev company unless they convert to plug charging
                          Comment
                          • chico2663
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-02-10
                            • 36915

                            #10933
                            Originally posted by trobin31
                            I still for the life of me can’t see how battery pack ev tech will be scalable but maybe I am missing something, really hard for me to see Nio coming out of China as strongest ev company unless they convert to plug charging
                            Sort of like an oil change. Ford has made it that a lot of engine things are done by the dealership…it will be similar.
                            Comment
                            • trobin31
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-09-14
                              • 9853

                              #10934
                              Looking at latest IHME Covid case projections...this shits about to go parabolic....highest number of cases by 2-3x in US...hospitalizations and deaths should be okay but will see a spike...I doubt they let this get past w/o dropping some nukes on the market....


                              Zoom Docu Roku PayPal...all the usual suspects are in play as long as US10Y doesn’t pop
                              Comment
                              • Madison
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-16-11
                                • 6366

                                #10935
                                Originally posted by trobin31
                                Looking at latest IHME Covid case projections...this shits about to go parabolic....highest number of cases by 2-3x in US...hospitalizations and deaths should be okay but will see a spike...I doubt they let this get past w/o dropping some nukes on the market....


                                Zoom Docu Roku PayPal...all the usual suspects are in play as long as US10Y doesn’t pop
                                PYPL and SQ have gotten hammered and are getting pumped by most of my feeds.
                                Comment
                                • trobin31
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-09-14
                                  • 9853

                                  #10936
                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                  PYPL and SQ have gotten hammered and are getting pumped by most of my feeds.
                                  Yeah I like them both this week, as long as BTC holds up should see good movement...this Covid surge is gonna be insane I think...
                                  Comment
                                  • flyingillini
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 41219

                                    #10937
                                    Ford
                                    המוסד‎
                                    המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                    Comment
                                    • trobin31
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-09-14
                                      • 9853

                                      #10938
                                      Originally posted by flyingillini
                                      Ford
                                      Seems like it’s on its way but pretty overbought here, maybe wait for broad market pull back, but agree, their mustang and F150 value are not baked in yet
                                      Comment
                                      • trobin31
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-09-14
                                        • 9853

                                        #10939
                                        Took BABA calls, monthly looks like a bottom if there were ever going to be one, china closing its doors for Olympics they are dreaming will occur
                                        Comment
                                        • Slurry Pumper
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-18-18
                                          • 2811

                                          #10940
                                          Originally posted by trobin31
                                          Took BABA calls, monthly looks like a bottom if there were ever going to be one, china closing its doors for Olympics they are dreaming will occur
                                          You think they shut down the Olympics? I think they are starting in like a month and a half.

                                          I think BABA is a good day trade today at this level right now, actually I'm 10 minutes late but I'll go with it anyway.
                                          Comment
                                          • trobin31
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-09-14
                                            • 9853

                                            #10941
                                            levels I'm probably getting short, IWM 226, QQQ 403 SPX 4778-4782


                                            starting to consider a short squeeze here into January so not gonna get ballsy
                                            Comment
                                            • Slurry Pumper
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-18-18
                                              • 2811

                                              #10942
                                              Originally posted by trobin31
                                              levels I'm probably getting short, IWM 226, QQQ 403 SPX 4778-4782


                                              starting to consider a short squeeze here into January so not gonna get ballsy
                                              I think any short squeeze would be short lived. This week is all computer Algos so keep that in mind. I have my short play put that expire in march going and if we do have a short squeeze this week which is probable actually with a slow motion continuous floater up market, then I will come in and short some more on Friday perhaps.

                                              I don't think things will just fall apart this week, but Snowballer has warned us that things will happen that are in the Black Swan camp so I keep an open mind and have small long positions (IWM, QQQ, and XLF) that expire Friday.
                                              Comment
                                              • trobin31
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-09-14
                                                • 9853

                                                #10943
                                                Unity software flipped a downtrend, suspect it could be heading back to 160s in no time
                                                Comment
                                                • Slurry Pumper
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-18-18
                                                  • 2811

                                                  #10944
                                                  Obviously I got out of the BABA day trade, but I'm going to try again at $115.75 if it gets there in the next 10 minutes or so.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • trobin31
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-09-14
                                                    • 9853

                                                    #10945
                                                    Originally posted by Slurry Pumper
                                                    Obviously I got out of the BABA day trade, but I'm going to try again at $115.75 if it gets there in the next 10 minutes or so.
                                                    I added more
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Madison
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-16-11
                                                      • 6366

                                                      #10946
                                                      Originally posted by trobin31
                                                      Yeah I like them both this week, as long as BTC holds up should see good movement...this Covid surge is gonna be insane I think...
                                                      Both SQ and PYPL underperforming the overall market move(s) which right or wrong is always a caution sign for me.

                                                      "The tide lifts all boats" type thing ???
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Snowball
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                        • 30041

                                                        #10947
                                                        gonna start shorting soon. wednesday the latest.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Madison
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-16-11
                                                          • 6366

                                                          #10948
                                                          Originally posted by Snowball
                                                          gonna start shorting soon. wednesday the latest.
                                                          98% of my liquid? $$ in 401K. Love hate as I don't get taxed on gains but I get taxed on withdraw. And, they totally limit my ability to short, and buy cryto.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Slurry Pumper
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-18-18
                                                            • 2811

                                                            #10949
                                                            Originally posted by Madison
                                                            98% of my liquid? $$ in 401K. Love hate as I don't get taxed on gains but I get taxed on withdraw. And, they totally limit my ability to short, and buy cryto.
                                                            If I had a 401K, I think I would be in cash for the 1st 6 months.

                                                            BABA day trading update so far:

                                                            Well it didn't get to $115.75, but I must be pretty desperate for action today as I front ran it at $116.35 right after I mentioned my price because I saw it stop going down. Now it is like Mrs. Sapphire at the local strip club, a slow grind up. Its right at a spot now that can be resistance.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chico2663
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-02-10
                                                              • 36915

                                                              #10950
                                                              Originally posted by flyingillini
                                                              Ford
                                                              Got 950+ shares. Finally gave dividend.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • trobin31
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-09-14
                                                                • 9853

                                                                #10951
                                                                Originally posted by Slurry Pumper
                                                                If I had a 401K, I think I would be in cash for the 1st 6 months.

                                                                BABA day trading update so far:

                                                                Well it didn't get to $115.75, but I must be pretty desperate for action today as I front ran it at $116.35 right after I mentioned my price because I saw it stop going down. Now it is like Mrs. Sapphire at the local strip club, a slow grind up. Its right at a spot now that can be resistance.
                                                                at this point you cannot convince me some government, whether theirs or ours isn't pinning this thing down, forward p/e of 2 lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • teecee
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-18-09
                                                                  • 6295

                                                                  #10952
                                                                  Originally posted by chico2663
                                                                  Got 950+ shares. Finally gave dividend.
                                                                  950 shares of FORD? Wow! Why so bullish on Ford? I thought you said at one point that 200 shares of anything was your limit. I don't know. Maybe that was someone else.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • homie1975
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                                    • 15442

                                                                    #10953
                                                                    Originally posted by trobin31
                                                                    at this point you cannot convince me some government, whether theirs or ours isn't pinning this thing down, forward p/e of 2 lol
                                                                    i'm holder of BABA with cost base 205ish.

                                                                    don't know what the hell to do. i am certainly not going to add to this position and might have to eject in 2022.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15442

                                                                      #10954
                                                                      i'm also BIDU at cost 160 and just holding. not doing my usual thing of averaging down every ~25% dip like i do on many other positions i have (not all because luckily have not gone down 25% on most who are in the Red)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #10955
                                                                        Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                        i'm holder of BABA with cost base 205ish.

                                                                        don't know what the hell to do. i am certainly not going to add to this position and might have to eject in 2022.
                                                                        Maybe consider selling covered calls during 2022, but try not to get called until you're ready.

                                                                        You can get a little cash back for holding it and I think there should be some decent effort to reach around 154 or so. I think.

                                                                        Something to think about.

                                                                        Merry Christmas and Happy New Year Homie!!

                                                                        Comment
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