El Niño's NHL Thread

**bald_guy** · 03-17-13, 09:51 AM

I been betting on the Pens most of the season (and doing pretty good) but wasn't going to bet on this one due to the Bruins have a pretty good record.

But put a small bet down today due to your insight. Should be a great game.

Good luck everyone. Go Pens!!

**Huckleberry Pig** · 03-17-13, 10:05 AM

congrats on your run nino, keep up the good work

**mcduggly** · 03-17-13, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

McDuggers, I would never encourage anyone to blindly tail. FWIW I started Feb. cold and went on a heater 19-4 and picked up a lot of my profit for that month. Most of the plays were 1u plays and I crushed my 3u plays. I started March slow as well, lost 3u or so and dipped back and forth. Currently I am on a 17-4 +21.71u run dating back to 3/8. I have been hitting my puck line bets and 3u plays are 3-0 in March.

The 3u plays have been the $ maker. YTD 10-1 +23.81u

I've been a little more aggressive with plays this month. I have been playing a few more puck lines and all 3 of the March 3u plays have been Regulation plays in order to maximize profit.

There will be variance of course. At the beginning of March I was losing every game that went to OT/SO. I think I was 0-3 and in each of the games, the team I was on had a lead at one point in the 3rd period. Hell, just yesterday the Islanders had a 3-0 lead in the 3rd and gave up 3 goals in less than 2 minutes and almost killed my regulation bet. I'm just practicing solid BRM, being selective, and attempting to get the most value for my bets when I can. I would not be surprised if I regressed a bit or had a losing month. It's all in the game.

**bald_guy** · 03-17-13, 02:05 PM

Awesome pick and result. Thanks El Nino. I plan to follow you till the end. Congrats everyone.

**19th Hole** · 03-17-13, 02:31 PM

EL NIÑO

Los Penguins

**chabooky386** · 03-17-13, 02:44 PM

Much appreciated on your insight and tips!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-17-13, 03:39 PM

Great job my man! Continued success!!!

**loodachris99** · 03-17-13, 05:03 PM

Any plays for this evening?

**El Nino** · 03-17-13, 06:47 PM

Thanks, boys. Pens were the only play for the day. 1-0 +0.74u

YTD
66-44-1 +40.70u

**Checkerboard** · 03-18-13, 12:28 AM

thx el nino!

**77racing** · 03-18-13, 09:51 AM

Very nicely done El Nino..I had to get an account here to post.. Lots of great info and feedback on the hockey forms Congrats again El Nino Very awesome

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 10:45 AM

Bravo El Nino! Had a good wknd too with the ol' soccer and GSP getting it done....I am 'appie wit my performance!

**mnwild11** · 03-18-13, 12:37 PM

we backing the wild tonight in VAN there eh nino? Line has some value

**Jayvegas420** · 03-18-13, 05:33 PM

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-18-13, 05:46 PM

Was hoping to tail on some Nino magic tonight!!

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Bravo El Nino! Had a good wknd too with the ol' soccer and GSP getting it done....I am 'appie wit my performance!

I knew my ahponent could not handle my riddim. My Jew Jiff Shoes.

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 07:16 PM

3/18

Vancouver Canucks (-150) 3u
Over 5.5 Goals Chicago Blackhawks/Colorado Avalanche (+105)
Los Angeles Kings Regulation (-110)

YTD
66-44-1 +40.70u

See Post #111 for reasoning on the Wild in Vancouver. No regulation bet for Vancouver due to how many games they have played this season that have gone to OT/SO. Avalanche should score 2-3 goals and Blackhawks are good for 3-4. Coyotes offense is ice cold. They usually play the Kings tough, but I like LA here. Ducks are a pass with Perry still serving his suspension and Fasth making his first start in 10 days off an injury.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-18-13, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

3/18

Vancouver Canucks (-150) 3u
Over 5.5 Goals Chicago Blackhawks/Colorado Avalanche (+105)
Los Angeles Kings Regulation (-110)

YTD
66-44-1 +40.70u

See Post #111 for reasoning on the Wild in Vancouver. No regulation bet for Vancouver due to how many games they have played this season that have gone to OT/SO. Avalanche should score 2-3 goals and Blackhawks are good for 3-4. Coyotes offense is ice cold. They usually play the Kings tough, but I like LA here. Ducks are a pass with Perry still serving his suspension and Fasth making his first start in 10 days off an injury.

So funny that I wait for your picks on Vancouver before doing anything.....you would think because I see them all the time I would have some sort of feel....

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

So funny that I wait for your picks on Vancouver before doing anything.....you would think because I see them all the time I would have some sort of feel....

You know like I know. The Wild do not win in Vancouver. Getting a $0.60 discount from the last time they met due to public perception that the Wild' offense is more potent than it actually is.

**Huckleberry Pig** · 03-18-13, 08:20 PM

your 3u plays are the ones that have done very well, correct?

**mcduggly** · 03-18-13, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig

your 3u plays are the ones that have done very well, correct?

I'll answer for him and say yes, he is hitting almost every one of them.

**Huckleberry Pig** · 03-18-13, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by mcduggly

I'll answer for him and say yes, he is hitting almost every one of them.

thats what I thought, wish I had seen it earlier, woulda tailed him. He has been on fire with those 3u picks.

Thanks for answering

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig

your 3u plays are the ones that have done very well, correct?

Yessir. 10-1 +23.81u

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig

thats what I thought, wish I had seen it earlier, woulda tailed him. He has been on fire with those 3u picks.

Thanks for answering

Game starts in 28 min.

**Huckleberry Pig** · 03-18-13, 08:33 PM

guess i still have time to make a play. think I'll tail ya here.

heres to 11-1

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig

guess i still have time to make a play. think I'll tail ya here.

heres to 11-1

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-18-13, 11:28 PM

Come on Canucks!!! Look alive you bums!

While watching that last PP I actually spilled my big glass of vodka all over tomorrow night's Canucks tickets.......

**El Nino** · 03-18-13, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Come on Canucks!!! Look alive you bums!

While watching that last PP I actually spilled my big glass of vodka all over tomorrow night's Canucks tickets.......

Yep, pretty brutal. Another decent start then they fell asleep. Another tough game tomorrow night. Might be looking the Blues way.

**El Nino** · 03-19-13, 12:38 AM

2-1 -1.04u

First 3u loser since 2/5. Damage minimized.

**Huckleberry Pig** · 03-19-13, 08:40 AM

can't hit'em all. your 3u record is still great though and I'm still gonna tail ya on'em.

**Drakester45** · 03-19-13, 09:42 AM

Even the King fails once in a while. Van and a BS empty net goal by TB with :03 left to push the under we're only blemishes on a great night.
Back on the horse tonight boys!! Riding my Pens until they bite me!!

**El Nino** · 03-19-13, 10:59 AM

3/19

Pittsburgh Penguins Regulation (-125) 2u
Montreal Canadiens Regulation (-125) 2u
St. Louis Blues (+105)

YTD
68-45-1 +39.66u

Will most likely be a play on the Coyotes/Kings game after goaltenders are announced.

**Huckleberry Pig** · 03-19-13, 11:12 AM

taking Pens, Canadiens, and Kings as well. GL

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 03-19-13, 11:42 AM

This is probably a dumb question here, but whats the difference between regulation and 1st 60 min bets?

I assumed they were the same thing, until I saw Pitt 1st 60 min is -225 and Montreal 1st 60 min is also -225.

**El Nino** · 03-19-13, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

This is probably a dumb question here, but whats the difference between regulation and 1st 60 min bets?

I assumed they were the same thing, until I saw Pitt 1st 60 min is -225 and Montreal 1st 60 min is also -225.

I can't speak for other books, but BookMaker offers 3-Way Regulation lines. It's bet just as soccer is. 2 sides and a draw. If the Penguins won in OT or shootout, my bet loses. I don't know 1st 60. -225 is steeper than the $ line at most places. You'd have to look at the rules listed on your book.