El Niño's NHL Thread

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  • Vegas39
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-22-11
    • 30686

    #701
    Comment
    • El Nino
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-03-12
      • 18426

      #702
      Originally posted by Vegas39
      Brutal pal! Pounded the fukk out of $ line parlays in hoops. Positive day but pucks is killing me, guey. Pac 12 disrespected hard.
      Comment
      • fitguy67
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-13-11
        • 5082

        #703
        who'da thot' three good home-teams'd get thumped like that on the same night?...

        nothin' u can do, but keep on doin' what ur doin' cuz it's workin'
        Comment
        • El Nino
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-03-12
          • 18426

          #704
          3/22

          Anaheim Ducks Regulation (+100) 3u
          Pittsburgh Penguins Regulation (+100) 2u

          Ducks get Perry back, Fasth in net.
          Comment
          • Vegas39
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-22-11
            • 30686

            #705
            Probably other side in pens game but GL tonight
            Comment
            • fitguy67
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-13-11
              • 5082

              #706
              hey Nino

              when you're liking a fave, i notice that you weigh the relative merits of
              *ML,
              *-0.5 reg, and
              *-1.5 (aka. PL)
              when deciding how to play it

              But for a dog you like...seems to always be a ML play...

              so was wondering if you'd ever consider the other two ways to play a dog=
              * +0.5 reg
              *+1.5 (aka. reverse PL)

              ...the +0.5 reg seems especially tantalizing to me, as it is a relatively low-cost way to get a "two-way" bet (ie. both reg win or draw will cash)...a nice way to win if your dog plays well (knocks that heartbreaking OT/SO crap out of the equation)...the +1.5 never has the same lure to me, but thot' i'd roll it into the same "ask the capper?" item
              Last edited by fitguy67; 03-22-13, 04:01 PM.
              Comment
              • El Nino
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-03-12
                • 18426

                #707
                Originally posted by fitguy67
                hey Nino

                when you're liking a fave, i notice that you weigh the relative merits of
                *ML,
                *-0.5 reg, and
                *-1.5 (aka. PL)
                when deciding how to play it

                But for a dog you like...seems to always be a ML play...

                so was wondering if you'd ever consider the other two ways to play a dog=
                * +0.5 reg
                *+1.5 (aka. reverse PL)

                ...the +0.5 reg seems especially tantalizing to me, as it effectively gives you a two-way winner (ie. both reg win or draw will cash)
                Reverse PL are garbage most of the time due to the -225ish juice you will normally lay. Not a fan of them due to the unpredictability of the empty netter. I thought about playing one on the Bluejackets against the Blackhawks. +1.5 was (-115). I was going to hit it if it got to evens but it stayed (-115 - -130ish). BookMaker doesn't have the +0.5 option. I did use the +1.5 as parlay fodder in the Coyotes/Blackhawks series and the Rangers/Capitals series in last years playoffs.
                Comment
                • fitguy67
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-13-11
                  • 5082

                  #708
                  thanks...about what I expected re: the reverse puckline...

                  the -0.5 option for dogs=yet another reason (among many as you know as a MMA fan) to post up at Dimey...

                  but when u do, keep funds in BM...cuz apparently, it's the best (certainly the best open to US'rs) for MMA live-bets...in fact, I'm going to post up about 300 bucks to BM, just for this purpose (I'll cash in a ton of SBR-pts to credit the ac, so i can avoid that whole p2p hassle)
                  Comment
                  • El Nino
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-03-12
                    • 18426

                    #709
                    Originally posted by fitguy67
                    thanks...about what I expected re: the reverse puckline...

                    the -0.5 option for dogs=yet another reason (among many as you know as a MMA fan) to post up at Dimey...

                    but when u do, keep funds in BM...cuz apparently, it's the best (certainly the best open to US'rs) for MMA live-bets...in fact, I'm going to post up about 300 bucks to BM, just for this purpose (I'll cash in a ton of SBR-pts to credit the ac, so i can avoid that whole p2p hassle)
                    Yeah, 5dimes is looking more and more like something I have to do.

                    Cash Penguins
                    Comment
                    • krustbox
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 03-04-13
                      • 21

                      #710
                      I disagree with the claim that reverse PL bets are garbage, taking the +1.5. If you know how to pick them you can do well, and they can also serve as a great hedge to cover a ML bet on the same game. It's true, open nets can be painful when laying a +1.5, however you will also win open nets when you play -1.5 just as often in the long run. The thing i love about +1.5 is when you have those really close games, it goes into OT and you know you've already locked your win in, and can't lose. Rather than sweating the OT and shootout with your ML bet hoping for the miracle, you already won. So there's good and bad to all bets, i'm simply pointing out the good that i think a lot of people miss.

                      I'm not saying you have to agree. That's the great things about sports betting, is everyone has their own things that they are good at.
                      Comment
                      • ch3ss
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-18-13
                        • 208

                        #711
                        Originally posted by El Nino
                        3/21

                        New York Rangers Regulation (-130) 2u
                        Winnipeg Jets Regulation (+110) 2u
                        Los Angeles Kings Regulation (-125)

                        YTD
                        70-48-1 +38.21u
                        went opposite of you... took the Caps.. they are on fire against the jets...

                        did a 2 team parlay with the pens and caps won some easy money
                        Comment
                        • ch3ss
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-18-13
                          • 208

                          #712
                          Originally posted by El Nino
                          Rangers and Jets getting blown out of their rinks. Rangers couldn't come back from a 2 goal lead if the franchise depended on it.
                          Jets cant beat the caps... .caps are on fire right now... been playing good hockey the past 5 games
                          Comment
                          • El Nino
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-03-12
                            • 18426

                            #713
                            3/23
                            Minnesota Wild Regulation (+125) 2u
                            Comment
                            • El Nino
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-03-12
                              • 18426

                              #714
                              Adding: Dallas Stars Regulation (+115)
                              Comment
                              • El Nino
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-03-12
                                • 18426

                                #715
                                It's been a minute since the brooms came out. 2-0
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #716
                                  Comment
                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-07-13
                                    • 8803

                                    #717
                                    Where are you looking for today? I have been leaning Flyers in regulation.....such a great rivalry between the two teams, Philly will come to play AND the are +266 right now....


                                    D2D
                                    Comment
                                    • THam12
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-12-13
                                      • 12640

                                      #718
                                      I like the islanders in regulation. They are at home and are a due for a win against a bad Florida team.
                                      Comment
                                      • El Nino
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-03-12
                                        • 18426

                                        #719
                                        3/24
                                        Pitt Pens/ Philly Flyers Over 6 Goals (-125) 2u
                                        Comment
                                        • El Nino
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-03-12
                                          • 18426

                                          #720
                                          Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                          Where are you looking for today? I have been leaning Flyers in regulation.....such a great rivalry between the two teams, Philly will come to play AND the are +266 right now....


                                          D2D
                                          Yeah, value in that. Like the Pens a little better. Malkin and Letang are game time decisions.
                                          Comment
                                          • odog11
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-14-11
                                            • 3874

                                            #721
                                            Originally posted by El Nino
                                            Yeah, value in that. Like the Pens a little better. Malkin and Letang are game time decisions.
                                            Looks like they are both out. Must be ascared of the bullies.
                                            Comment
                                            • El Nino
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-03-12
                                              • 18426

                                              #722
                                              Adding: St. Louis Blues (-130)
                                              Comment
                                              • ch3ss
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 03-18-13
                                                • 208

                                                #723
                                                Pens are about to make a big trade with the stars... could give them more firepower lovely...
                                                Comment
                                                • ch3ss
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-18-13
                                                  • 208

                                                  #724
                                                  did you have a pick El Nino on the caps/rangers ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • El Nino
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-03-12
                                                    • 18426

                                                    #725
                                                    Originally posted by ch3ss
                                                    did you have a pick El Nino on the caps/rangers ?
                                                    Leaned Caps and Under. Under destroyed in first period
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ch3ss
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 03-18-13
                                                      • 208

                                                      #726
                                                      Originally posted by El Nino
                                                      Leaned Caps and Under. Under destroyed in first period
                                                      ha... yeah 4 goals in the first the under got crushed...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fitguy67
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                        • 5082

                                                        #727
                                                        i missed the STL -130

                                                        they're down 1-0 after first, and STL ml now at +155...couldn't resist a chance to get in late on the bambino's side "on the cheap" (we'll find out if was a "bargain" or not over the next few hours)

                                                        go Blues
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bald_guy
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-02-12
                                                          • 990

                                                          #728
                                                          Originally posted by El Nino
                                                          3/24
                                                          Pitt Pens/ Philly Flyers Over 6 Goals (-125) 2u
                                                          I would say for this to happen, will take some very good luck. Don't seem either team can score tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • El Nino
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-03-12
                                                            • 18426

                                                            #729
                                                            Originally posted by bald_guy
                                                            I would say for this to happen, will take some very good luck. Don't seem either team can score tonight.
                                                            Yep, not looking like a good night.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fitguy67
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-13-11
                                                              • 5082

                                                              #730
                                                              Originally posted by El Nino
                                                              Yep, not looking like a good night.
                                                              luckily it doesn't have to be a good night EVERY night...in order to have a very good season
                                                              Comment
                                                              • El Nino
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-03-12
                                                                • 18426

                                                                #731
                                                                Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                                luckily it doesn't have to be a good night EVERY night...in order to have a very good season
                                                                Very true. Banging my head right now. Had the button pushed on Caps/Rangers game for regulation draw but thought it would be a waste of 0.5u I think I went 0-2 on those last month.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bald_guy
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-02-12
                                                                  • 990

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Originally posted by El Nino
                                                                  Very true. Banging my head right now. Had the button pushed on Caps/Rangers game for regulation draw but thought it would be a waste of 0.5u I think I went 0-2 on those last month.
                                                                  I wouldn't beat yourself up on the regulation draw, nobody can see in the future. I funded my 5 dimes account, so I can get comparable odds to what you get. I look forward to following you in the upcoming games.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • El Nino
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-03-12
                                                                    • 18426

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Thread was a little disorganized. Back from Vegas. Was distracted with hoops and hockey capping took a back seat. Back focused and ready to pick winnerz.

                                                                    YTD
                                                                    73-54-1 +32.86u
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • El Nino
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-03-12
                                                                      • 18426

                                                                      #734
                                                                      3/25

                                                                      Chicago Blackhawks Regulation (+115) 2u
                                                                      Minnesota Wild Regulation (+140)
                                                                      Detroit Red Wings/Phoenix Coyotes Under 5 Goals (+125)

                                                                      YTD
                                                                      73-54-1 +32.86u
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bald_guy
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-02-12
                                                                        • 990

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Originally posted by El Nino
                                                                        3/25

                                                                        Chicago Blackhawks Regulation (+115) 2u
                                                                        Minnesota Wild Regulation (+140)
                                                                        Detroit Red Wings/Phoenix Coyotes Under 5 Goals (+125)

                                                                        YTD
                                                                        73-54-1 +32.86u
                                                                        I'm locked and loaded. Due to 5 dimes got lines as good if not slightly better. Lets get this one!!
                                                                        Comment
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