LTA's NFL PLays

**brucethebear** · 12-19-11, 12:15 AM

Originally posted by grizzy

LOL at the announcers saying "and the Ravens scoring a meaningless TD, meaningless except for some friendly degenerates." Hahahhah. Damn right it wasn't meaningless to me.

Wish the cowgirls would have punched through a "meaningless" fg yesterday

**GChild** · 12-19-11, 12:17 AM

Nice job buddy thank you for all your hard work.

**peterrr** · 12-19-11, 02:37 AM

LTA

**IllyPhilly[DOC]** · 12-19-11, 02:52 AM

LOL. I just loved reading all your posts on page 68 from 10:35 til the game was over! I was at work saying/doing all the same things! I was freaking out so bad. Made the biggest bet this year on that over due to so many people and YOU LTA loving it! glad it pulled through, i can too get lucky

**Redscot** · 12-19-11, 06:20 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NFL 2011-2012 Week 15 Recap (With MNF under pending)

5 - 2 - 2 = +2.5x

NFL 2011-2012 Season

79 - 69 = +6x

The pushes have killed us the last two weeks as we missed out on 9x in profit. However, if we can cash tomorrow's MNF under, we will be up 7x and poised nicely to make a big run the final 2 weeks of the regular season. That will give us the momentum we need to hit our profit goals during the playoffs. This season is shaping up nicely.

Nice weekend bro, can't believe you didn't get the Cincy game. Slowly but surely season profit is rising, dbl digits soon

.

**MrXYZ** · 12-19-11, 07:16 AM

What a game, I've definitely sprouted grey hairs since the start of the season! Thanks LTA & I hope this kicks off a well-deserved profitable run to the playoffs.

**Donnie Brasco** · 12-19-11, 08:55 AM

Love ur steelers under 39. Great # and will beat the closer! I can get 37.5 at 5d, maybe 38 later, but we wont see 39 again! Great job as usual. My play for the night is:
Pitt ML +145 1X
Pitt +3.5 -115 2X
I agree this will be two great defenses taking the field tonight. The niners ability to patrol the redzone and hold apponents to field goals is topnotch. We know what the steelers defense is about, and even without harrison, will be able to contain a somewhat limited niners offense. Which brings me to the pittsburgh offense. Way better qb, though he is hobbled. I think this kid plays better hurt. Pitt can run it as well as anyone, but they have big play ability as well. They are good on the road, and i think +3.5 is a steal in this game. Sf has not proven to me that they can beat a perrenial elite team, though they sport a great record. Balty handled this team and i think pitt does as well. I got the ML at +145, and it is already down to +135 at 5dimes. Good luck to all the contributors and visitors of the most solid forum, and most of all LTA, a true professional!

**pacocn** · 12-19-11, 08:58 AM

Lta, nice work

**BigDan** · 12-19-11, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by Donnie Brasco

Love ur steelers under 39. Great # and will beat the closer! I can get 37.5 at 5d, maybe 38 later, but we wont see 39 again! Great job as usual. My play for the night is:
Pitt ML +145 1X
Pitt +3.5 -115 2X
I agree this will be two great defenses taking the field tonight. The niners ability to patrol the redzone and hold apponents to field goals is topnotch. We know what the steelers defense is about, and even without harrison, will be able to contain a somewhat limited niners offense. Which brings me to the pittsburgh offense. Way better qb, though he is hobbled. I think this kid plays better hurt. Pitt can run it as well as anyone, but they have big play ability as well. They are good on the road, and i think +3.5 is a steal in this game. Sf has not proven to me that they can beat a perrenial elite team, though they sport a great record. Balty handled this team and i think pitt does as well. I got the ML at +145, and it is already down to +135 at 5dimes. Good luck to all the contributors and visitors of the most solid forum, and most of all LTA, a true professional!

balty handled pit as well (twice) and neither of those was on a short holiday week traveling across the country (like sf had to do)...just saying..

**pacocn** · 12-19-11, 09:11 AM

Lta, Under moved back up to 38 w/ the news
that big Ben is going to hobble around, key
pieces of Defense missing on both sides (Willis,Harrison)
for starters. Any concerns?

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by pacocn

Lta, Under moved back up to 38 w/ the news
that big Ben is going to hobble around, key
pieces of Defense missing on both sides (Willis,Harrison)
for starters. Any concerns?

Nope. As I stated in my writeup, the under (39) play was made with the assumption that Big Ben plays. I like the fact that the line is moving back up because I may make this a 2x play if I can get 39 again.

**killersweet** · 12-19-11, 10:08 AM

Great Calls as usual LTA. Finally we caught a break last night

**GChild** · 12-19-11, 10:20 AM

Is Patrick Willis going to play tonight?

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by GChild

Is Patrick Willis going to play tonight?

No....but that has not been confirmed. He's not playing from what I have read.

**letsgo** · 12-19-11, 11:11 AM

Willis will not play from everything I see.

**Donnie Brasco** · 12-19-11, 11:41 AM

Steelers getting pounded, pinny = +3 -125/ +120!

**mikeewyn** · 12-19-11, 11:53 AM

"Under" is the safer bet. Big Ben might get hurt again after 1st quarter. BTW

LTA for all of ur Picks. By far ur still the best capper on SBR. Man cant wait till baseball season with you again. Merry Christmas

**upscope** · 12-19-11, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by Donnie Brasco

Steelers getting pounded, pinny = +3 -125/ +120!

Pinny 1.5

**Donnie Brasco** · 12-19-11, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by upscope

Pinny 1.5

Nice

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 12:38 PM

NFL 2011-2012 Week 16

Play #1

Eagles/Cowboys over (50) 4x (Locked)

Writeup to come, but wanted to post it now before it moves. Some outlets have 50.5, which is acceptable, but do not take this over the key number 51. I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

**Donnie Brasco** · 12-19-11, 04:01 PM

Sweet, my saints future to win superbowl, which i got +750, is now +650.

**Donnie Brasco** · 12-19-11, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NFL 2011-2012 Week 16

Play #1

Eagles/Cowboys over (50) 4x (Locked)

Writeup to come, but wanted to post it now before it moves. Some outlets have 50.5, which is acceptable, but do not take this over the key number 51. I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

Man i was eyeballing this total as soon as i saw the schedule, but 5dimes opened at 51. I may grab it anyways, i see this closing in the 54-55. My only concern is that the weight of the outcome of this game is so great, that this may turn into a division grudge match 20-17 type of thing. Cant wait for your write up.

**BigDan** · 12-19-11, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Donnie Brasco

Sweet, my saints future to win superbowl, which i got +750, is now +650.

IF sf loses tonight it will drop even more..Saints find a way to get a 2 seed and you have a great bet on your hands

**IllyPhilly[DOC]** · 12-19-11, 04:55 PM

I see your on the under LTA... i love following your totals, but im not convinced for tonight's match up. Im loving the over especially, since ben deff plays. SF is my favorite pick though. I just like hitting reverses/parlays. Very hesitant on what to do. I like to tail 4 diff cappers and so far 2/4 are on the under. The other 2 have not announced yet(paco and John Ryan).

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by Donnie Brasco

Love ur steelers under 39. Great # and will beat the closer! I can get 37.5 at 5d, maybe 38 later, but we wont see 39 again! Great job as usual. My play for the night is:
Pitt ML +145 1X
Pitt +3.5 -115 2X
I agree this will be two great defenses taking the field tonight. The niners ability to patrol the redzone and hold apponents to field goals is topnotch. We know what the steelers defense is about, and even without harrison, will be able to contain a somewhat limited niners offense. Which brings me to the pittsburgh offense. Way better qb, though he is hobbled. I think this kid plays better hurt. Pitt can run it as well as anyone, but they have big play ability as well. They are good on the road, and i think +3.5 is a steal in this game. Sf has not proven to me that they can beat a perrenial elite team, though they sport a great record. Balty handled this team and i think pitt does as well. I got the ML at +145, and it is already down to +135 at 5dimes. Good luck to all the contributors and visitors of the most solid forum, and most of all LTA, a true professional!

Best I can get is Pit +2.5(-110) or +3(-120), so you grabbed a great number bud. Hope you cash

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Nice weekend bro, can't believe you didn't get the Cincy game. Slowly but surely season profit is rising, dbl digits soon

.

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by IllyPhilly[DOC]

I see your on the under LTA... i love following your totals, but im not convinced for tonight's match up. Im loving the over especially, since ben deff plays. SF is my favorite pick though. I just like hitting reverses/parlays. Very hesitant on what to do. I like to tail 4 diff cappers and so far 2/4 are on the under. The other 2 have not announced yet(paco and John Ryan).

Always go with your own gut

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NFL 2011-2012 Week 16

Play #1

Eagles/Cowboys over (50) 4x (Locked)

Writeup to come, but wanted to post it now before it moves. Some outlets have 50.5, which is acceptable, but do not take this over the key number 51. I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chargers/Lions over (51) 1x (Locked)

Didn't get a great number, but my other local is at 51.5 so I'm going to play it safe and jump on the 51. Writeup to come. I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NFL 2011-2012 Week 16

Play #1

Eagles/Cowboys over (50) 4x (Locked)

Writeup to come, but wanted to post it now before it moves. Some outlets have 50.5, which is acceptable, but do not take this over the key number 51. I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chargers/Lions over (51) 1x (Locked)

Didn't get a great number, but my other local is at 51.5 so I'm going to play it safe and jump on the 51. Writeup to come. I am rolling with the over for 1x and maybe more down the line. Good luck.

Play #3

Buccaneers/Panthers over (48) 1x (Locked)

Writeup to come. I like quite a few overs this week, so we will be locking in a few more plays than usual this early in the week. I think this one goes up and closes is the 49 range. These are two of the worst defenses in the league and I expect a track-meet, especially in the running game. I am rolling with the over for 1x and maybe more down the line. Good luck.

**BigDan** · 12-19-11, 06:47 PM

Big Dummy looked like shit getting off the bus and twitter feeds all over saying it not much better in warmups

that said being the glory hound he is could very well be faking it, high ankle sprains dont typically heal in 10 days tho...

**lonelynoob** · 12-19-11, 06:53 PM

under is the best value play tonight with ben and gore banged up ..... lets cashit !!!!

**Donnie Brasco** · 12-19-11, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Best I can get is Pit +2.5(-110) or +3(-120), so you grabbed a great number bud. Hope you cash

Think the hook is big here. I see steam on sfthough back up to 3/+145ML. If they go to 3.5 im fcked!

**TomatoFace** · 12-19-11, 07:08 PM

Big Ben is in. Hope it gets me a better number on SF

**Pick'nParlays** · 12-19-11, 07:18 PM

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[332] TOTAL u40-150 (B+2)
(PIT STEELERS vrs SF 49ERS)
[127] TOTAL o50-120 (B+½)
(PHI EAGLES vrs DAL COWBOYS)

150 / 302

**Love The Action** · 12-19-11, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

Big Dummy looked like shit getting off the bus and twitter feeds all over saying it not much better in warmups

that said being the glory hound he is could very well be faking it, high ankle sprains dont typically heal in 10 days tho...

Yeah, he's all about making himself look like the hero. However, in this case, I don't think his mobility is all that great and I'm loving my under play right now.