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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #2171
    Originally posted by Redscot
    Really liking the Falcons play here bro. Just hypothetically speaking....would you lean more over 36 1/2 or under 48 1/2.........not that I am thinking of adding a teaser to the play or anything ....I swear . I think the Falcons are good for 27 or so points, so the question to me becomes can the Jag's get 10? hmmmm. What you think?

    Nice emoticon.

    I was thinking about a tease as well, but I view this total too volatile to touch in any manner. The defensive stats say under all the way. Unfortunately, those stats are fraudulent because the jags D players that earned those numbers are mostly on IR right now. Plus, you don't know what youre going to get from Gabbert. He generally does not move the offense which is good for the under, but is also prone to throw interceptions in his own territory leading to points in favor of the over.

    I just think there are too many variables to touch the total tonight. However, I think the Falcons roll. They will wear the jags down with Turner and then hit the big play on the outside to White and Jones.

    Good luck in whatever you choose
    Comment
    • Redscot
      SBR MVP
      • 05-16-11
      • 2571

      #2172
      Originally posted by Love The Action
      Nice emoticon.

      I was thinking about a tease as well, but I view this total too volatile to touch in any manner. The defensive stats say under all the way. Unfortunately, those stats are fraudulent because the jags D players that earned those numbers are mostly on IR right now. Plus, you don't know what youre going to get from Gabbert. He generally does not move the offense which is good for the under, but is also prone to throw interceptions in his own territory leading to points in favor of the over.

      I just think there are too many variables to touch the total tonight. However, I think the Falcons roll. They will wear the jags down with Turner and then hit the big play on the outside to White and Jones.

      Good luck in whatever you choose
      Thanks for the input bro.

      Agreed about the total. Gonna play Atlanta at -12 for the full unit and put 1/2 unit tease -6/ over 36 1/2.

      As per Saturday night I am really warming up to a Dallas/over tease. Come to think of it I may just tease Atlanta/Dallas as well. I think Dallas takes care of business big.

      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #2173
        Originally posted by Redscot
        Thanks for the input bro.

        Agreed about the total. Gonna play Atlanta at -12 for the full unit and put 1/2 unit tease -6/ over 36 1/2.

        As per Saturday night I am really warming up to a Dallas/over tease. Come to think of it I may just tease Atlanta/Dallas as well. I think Dallas takes care of business big.

        I personally like an ATL/over tease better Red, so I think you made the right choice.

        What about teasing ATL/over/DAL in a three-team, 10-pointer?
        Comment
        • Redscot
          SBR MVP
          • 05-16-11
          • 2571

          #2174
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          I personally like an ATL/over tease better Red, so I think you made the right choice.

          What about teasing ATL/over/DAL in a three-team, 10-pointer?
          That's a good lookin' tease NoCo! You do realize you are feeding my addiction right? I'm your pusherman(You seem like you'd know Curtis Mayfield )

          Comment
          • Pick'nParlays
            SBR MVP
            • 02-22-08
            • 3134

            #2175
            Lta. Noticed some plays are 2 units and others are 1. Does this mean you like a 2x bet more than a 1x?
            Comment
            • fecgp40
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-11
              • 5750

              #2176
              Originally posted by Love The Action
              Where? That number sucks...you gotta add oprions buddy. Most of the offshore market is at -12 or -12.5. At this point, -14 is ludicrous. However, I would not be surprised if that is the closing number. I hate dd faves, but this is as solid a dd fave as you will see because of the rough spot the jags are in.
              I use 5 dimes LTA, and they're at -14 right now at -110. Unfortunately, all I've been doing this week is working and sleeping, so this is the first I've read your thread since Monday night. I missed out on a lot of the key numbers on your totals plays. Should I stay away now?
              Comment
              • ultrasouth
                SBR MVP
                • 12-23-10
                • 1175

                #2177
                Originally posted by Love The Action
                What are the odds? More than -110?than
                $1.74
                Comment
                • Krazymojo
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-01-10
                  • 444

                  #2178
                  LTA just recently moved to 5dimes last week and thats where I saw that line @ -14
                  Comment
                  • Krazymojo
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-01-10
                    • 444

                    #2179
                    wow up to 15.5 right now lol i dont think the jags are that bad nor the falcons that good
                    Comment
                    • spk1313
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-18-11
                      • 127

                      #2180
                      Love your plays LTA. Been following you for near a year now...

                      Saw an interesting prop on my offshore book..

                      Will the Jaguars ever have a lead.. YES -145 NO +115

                      My gut says they could grab an early lead with a field goal, but it looks like you think the Falcons will roll tonight. Think its worth taking a shot on NO? Appreciate your input!
                      Comment
                      • TheAntFather
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-14-11
                        • 3021

                        #2181
                        GL today guys.
                        Comment
                        • str8shooter68
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 11-03-11
                          • 36

                          #2182
                          hey LTA ty for all your valuable insight and plays every week! I have a question for you... Do you think its bad to tease nfl games with a side and a total? Im kinda wanting to tease jags +19.5 and U47.5. What you think?
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #2183
                            Originally posted by Redscot
                            That's a good lookin' tease NoCo! You do realize you are feeding my addiction right? I'm your pusherman(You seem like you'd know Curtis Mayfield )



                            BTW, Curtis at his best:

                            Comment
                            • Redscot
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-16-11
                              • 2571

                              #2184
                              Originally posted by No coincidences


                              BTW, Curtis at his best:

                              Amen brother, amen. Goosebumps.

                              GL all on your bets tonight.

                              Let's do this LTA! Thanks as always for your efforts. Got my sons home for the holiday, rum is flowing, hoping for an easy night........yeah right!

                              Comment
                              • phatRoll
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 10-19-11
                                • 20

                                #2185
                                I'm with you on the Denver v NE over sir.. Good luck!

                                Dec 18 01:15 PM
                                INTERNET / -1 Dec 14 09:17 PM
                                NFL
                                STRAIGHT BET
                                [323] TOTAL o45-130 (B+1)
                                (NE PATRIOTS vrs DEN BRONCOS)

                                260 / 200
                                Comment
                                • GoggsViggs
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-05-10
                                  • 1884

                                  #2186
                                  LTA, dog is well again.

                                  Like the cowboys over (I have 51 total) and pats over (I have 48). Bol with ur plays bro.
                                  Comment
                                  • Donnie Brasco
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-04-11
                                    • 862

                                    #2187
                                    Jags +14 2x!
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #2188
                                      Rough day at work....glad to see the Falcons are playing like we predicted though. Let's close this out 2h
                                      Comment
                                      • billysink
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 03-29-09
                                        • 5172

                                        #2189
                                        Good job on the Falcons brother. Like we said, that line might have been a bit short
                                        Comment
                                        • 3smokesaround
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-12-11
                                          • 2

                                          #2190
                                          The ATL is looking good. Nice call.
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #2191
                                            Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                            Lta. Noticed some plays are 2 units and others are 1. Does this mean you like a 2x bet more than a 1x?
                                            Yes.
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #2192
                                              Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                              LTA just recently moved to 5dimes last week and thats where I saw that line @ -14
                                              Good move...

                                              So now you got some reduced vig options and a square book like Bodog. Way to expand.

                                              Make sure you play the reduced juice at 5d and don't play for that bonus BS. Be careful though, you have to dig for the best line at 5d. In football, they post off lines looking to avoid teaser liability. So you will see a lot -120 and -130 options posted with you needed to click down the menu to play more traditional numbers.
                                              Comment
                                              • Overbettor
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-08-11
                                                • 951

                                                #2193
                                                Wish they were all this easy Lta. Great call tonight sir and I thank you.
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #2194
                                                  Originally posted by spk1313
                                                  Love your plays LTA. Been following you for near a year now...

                                                  Saw an interesting prop on my offshore book..

                                                  Will the Jaguars ever have a lead.. YES -145 NO +115

                                                  My gut says they could grab an early lead with a field goal, but it looks like you think the Falcons will roll tonight. Think its worth taking a shot on NO? Appreciate your input!
                                                  Sorry bud, I couldn't get on the forum today because of work. However, I would have told you that I don't really play props because they are difficult to discern an edge imo. Those are available to make the books money, not us. Hope you got on the Falcons with me...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #2195
                                                    Originally posted by str8shooter68
                                                    hey LTA ty for all your valuable insight and plays every week! I have a question for you... Do you think its bad to tease nfl games with a side and a total? Im kinda wanting to tease jags +19.5 and U47.5. What you think?
                                                    I don't think you should make a regular habit of it unless there is a strong correlation between the two. True correlations are not as common as some think. The problem lies in the fact that a 6 point tease on a total is not generally a profitable proposition. However, correlated teasers can be profitable long term and that is a fact. The hard part is finding the correlation. GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #2196
                                                      Originally posted by TheAntFather
                                                      GL today guys.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #2197
                                                        Originally posted by Redscot
                                                        Let's do this LTA! Thanks as always for your efforts. Got my sons home for the holiday, rum is flowing, hoping for an easy night........yeah right!

                                                        That's great! Glad to hear you got the whole fam together for the Holidays. I'm sure your wife must be really happy right now.

                                                        Plus, we did get an easy one tonight.

                                                        Nice win on the correlated teaser to boot
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #2198
                                                          Originally posted by phatRoll
                                                          I'm with you on the Denver v NE over sir.. Good luck!

                                                          Dec 18 01:15 PM
                                                          INTERNET / -1 Dec 14 09:17 PM
                                                          NFL
                                                          STRAIGHT BET
                                                          [323] TOTAL o45-130 (B+1)
                                                          (NE PATRIOTS vrs DEN BRONCOS)

                                                          260 / 200
                                                          Damn, -130 is a pretty heavy price for a total, but in the NFL, key numbers are king. Let's get it
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #2199
                                                            Originally posted by GoggsViggs
                                                            LTA, dog is well again.

                                                            Like the cowboys over (I have 51 total) and pats over (I have 48). Bol with ur plays bro.
                                                            That's great news. I am happy to hear that.

                                                            Good luck this weekend
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #2200
                                                              Originally posted by Donnie Brasco
                                                              Jags +14 2x!
                                                              What was your angle on this one? I just didn't see any reason to back the Jags here at all. Interested in hearing if I missed something.

                                                              Good luck this weekend bud
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #2201
                                                                Originally posted by billysink
                                                                Good job on the Falcons brother. Like we said, that line might have been a bit short
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #2202
                                                                  Originally posted by 3smokesaround
                                                                  The ATL is looking good. Nice call.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GChild
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-11-10
                                                                    • 3885

                                                                    #2203
                                                                    Boooooom
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Love The Action
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                                      • 10952

                                                                      #2204
                                                                      Originally posted by Overbettor
                                                                      Wish they were all this easy Lta. Great call tonight sir and I thank you.
                                                                      Me too!!!!

                                                                      Good luck this weekend
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Doug C.
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 10-22-11
                                                                        • 12

                                                                        #2205
                                                                        Thanks LTA, got Atlanta tonight, hoping to cash in on the parlay with Dallas -6 1/2
                                                                        Comment
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