Advanced System Strategies NFL/CFB

**ShivaBowl** · 10-10-12, 07:44 AM

College Football Artificial Intelligence
Team Projected Points for 10/13/2012 (Week 7)
2.5 Unit
Not Updated
Oct 13 11:00 AM ET Louisville @ Pittsburgh 49
Oct 13 12:00 PM ET Texas @ Oklahoma 61
Oct 13 1:00 PM ET Temple @ Connecticut 41.5
Oct 13 2:30 PM ET North Carolina @ Miami (FL) 68
Oct 13 3:00 PM ET Maryland @ Virginia 45
Oct 13 3:30 PM ET Fresno State @ Boise State 57
Oct 13 6:00 PM ET Florida @ Vanderbilt 40

Tracking Filter: Week 7 CFB
1/2 Unit
Oct 13 12:00 PM ET UAB @ Houston 67
Oct 13 12:30 PM ET Duke Blue @ Virginia Tech 55.5
Oct 13 12:00 PM ET Iowa @ Michigan State 40.5
Oct 13 8:00 PM ET South Carolina @ LSU 39.5
Oct 13 10:30 PM ET California @ Washington State 54.5

**usernametaken** · 10-10-12, 10:16 AM

Do we bet over on the cfb week 7 games or...?

**ShivaBowl** · 10-10-12, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by franklee168

Just wanted to drop a thanks for the over picks yesterday. I've been lurking for a few days and wanted to try out the picks. I also like a few other guys/gals on this thread is confused over the lingo. Any light shed would be much appreciated. Thanks again!

franklee168 Thanks for posting, what exactly are you confused about?
I'm sure myself or TG can help you.
Thanks

Originally posted by usernametaken

Do we bet over on the cfb week 7 games or...?

Yes and I will rename them, to A/I Over the total plays.
Thanks for posting.

cesar8000, MIA? please check in?

Now let's see how much money I can manage to lose today. with the major league baseball playoffs
BOL

**ShivaBowl** · 10-10-12, 11:22 AM

I can tell you this much, I don't like the way Washington looks at all.
I'll stick with the World Series Champs today with their playoff soldier in Carpenter. 9-2

STL (C Carpenter) v WAS (E Jackson)
STL (C Carpenter) +101
200/202

Romanov, Or TX: do you like anything in MLB today?

Send me a PM or post.
Thanks

**ShivaBowl** · 10-10-12, 07:06 PM

Call me crazy but I think Oakland is the better overall team Detroit should be a + 115 underdog tonight.

OAK -108
218/200

**ShivaBowl** · 10-11-12, 12:20 AM

I'm buying all the lipstick city that I can right now at +110

San Fran & Cincinnati
You have a sickly Latos on the mound for Cincinnati Along with what is now a shaky bullpen
and don't forget You have Dusty working for you, no thanks.

I have an ace on the mound with Cain and a bullpen that is in tacked and ready to go.

Going to start buying the Giants right now at +110

**BaratoForYou** · 10-11-12, 03:06 AM

I created an account just to say, Thanks Shiva.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-11-12, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by BaratoForYou

I created an account just to say, Thanks Shiva.

Thanks BaratoForYou; my dearest friend. Please keep the posts coming.

BOL

**ShivaBowl** · 10-11-12, 10:03 AM

Shiva Plays went 2-0 yesterday +$402.00
STL WIN
OAK WIN

Today,

SFO (M Cain) +113
200/226
SFO (M Cain) +114
100/114

Wow, St. Louis has Washington right where they want them, what a disaster.
Think about it, they should have Strasburg starting today and I think that's what's on their minds, they're done.
Of course I can be absolutely wrong about this, but that's the way I see it.
And same opinion I had yesterday.
BOL

STL (K Lohse) –108
216/200

FYI: TEX @ OKLA dropped out as an Over play this week.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-11-12, 10:23 AM

A/I play week 6 NFL
Never lay a 1/2-point.
Plays based on early lines.

Updated
1 Unit Play
Pittsburgh Steelers v Tennessee Titans
Game Total OVER 43½

**airattackers** · 10-11-12, 10:46 AM

@shivabowl..when you do the ai over plays how do you determine which games will go over and which ones will not go over..are there certain calculations that you use?

**Tommygunn** · 10-11-12, 10:58 AM

Here's for the play for tonight. I'll post rest and update record on Saturday.

AI

Pitt

**booplash** · 10-11-12, 11:17 AM

You play the spread or just ml in TNF?

**Romanov** · 10-11-12, 12:15 PM

Shiva,

I agree. I put some lunch money on SF.

Also, I'll be tailing you on your over in TNF. BOL to us

**Tommygunn** · 10-11-12, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by booplash

You play the spread or just ml in TNF?

Always spread

**LionsFTW** · 10-11-12, 02:31 PM

Tommy: How has the MD and TP system been doing this year? I know you were tracking, but weren't posting it.

**Romanov** · 10-11-12, 03:28 PM

Shiva,

If your AI over tonight is 1 unit, how many units were on last weekends AI over NFL plays? I see CFB overs were 2.5 units

**BaratoForYou** · 10-11-12, 05:38 PM

Tommygunn,

How many units is the Pitt -7 play worth?

**Tommygunn** · 10-11-12, 06:11 PM

Originally posted by BaratoForYou

Tommygunn,

How many units is the Pitt -7 play worth?

I play 1 per system and only AI is picking Pitt so I'm going with just 1 unit,

**BaratoForYou** · 10-11-12, 10:10 PM

thanks!

**werd2525** · 10-11-12, 10:53 PM

annnnnd thats a winner....great call shiva! lets have a big fri and sat!

**ShivaBowl** · 10-12-12, 08:23 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

Shiva,

If your AI over tonight is 1 unit, how many units were on last weekends AI over NFL plays? I see CFB overs were 2.5 units

Hey Roma,
I blew it, I was all over the place yesterday and I posted it as a
one-unit play out of habit.
It should have been 2.5 units. But there’s nothing I do about it now.
Thanks

Are you doing anything with live betting with the MLB playoffs?

Is the greatest thing, I got to hell off to St. Louis in top of the seventh yesterday for almost even money.
You can use this strategy with live betting; pick the underdog before game start, Let’s just say +125
now if you get lucky and the underdog takes a lead at some point in the game.
You can now turn around and bet what was the favorite at an underdog price.
If this scenario plays out you can't lose, it’s a beautiful thing.

There is 1 million ways you can play this but let's just say you love Baltimore tonight at +180 and your wager is in.
If Baltimore goes up at some point 3 zip.
Now you have to bet on the Yankees at + money, you're now
in a situation where you cannot lose.
And that is what it is all about, not losing your $$$
You can do the same thing with run lines and so on.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-12-12, 09:58 AM

College Football Artificial Intelligence
Team Projected Points for 10/13/2012 (Week 7)
2.5 Unit
2nd Update
Last Update Sat AM

Oct 13 11:00 AM ET Louisville @ Pittsburgh 49

Oct 13 12:00 PM ET Texas @ Oklahoma 61 OUT

Oct 13 2:30 PM ET North Carolina @ Miami (FL) 68.5

Oct 13 3:00 PM ET Maryland @ Virginia 45

Oct 13 3:30 PM ET Fresno State @ Boise State 57

Oct 13 6:00 PM ET Florida @ Vanderbilt 40

Oct 13 7:00 PM ET TCU @ Baylor 68

Remember we are on the Over if the line moves >
You may have already missed the play.
Case in point FRES @ BSU is now at 58.5
You will have to buy it down.

Tracking Filter: Week 7 CFB
1 Unit
Oct 13 12:00 PM ET Northwestern @ Minnesota 51

Oct 13 12:00 PM ET UAB @ Houston 67

Oct 13 12:30 PM ET Duke Blue @ Virginia Tech 55.5

Oct 13 12:00 PM ET Iowa @ Michigan State 40.5

Oct 13 1:00 PM ET Temple @ Connecticut 41.5

Oct 14 12:00 AM ET New Mexico @ Hawaii 52

Oct 13 8:00 PM ET South Carolina @ LSU 39.5 OUT

Oct 13 10:30 PM ET California @ Washington State 54.5 OUT

**ShivaBowl** · 10-12-12, 10:20 AM

I'll stick with the World Series Champs today with Wainwright.
I will look it up again later, but Wainwright has a < 1.00 ERA in the playoffs.
Also, STL is has been fantastic when facing elimination.
BOL

STL (A Wainwright) v WAS (G Gonzalez)
STL (A Wainwright) +124
200/448

**easyliving** · 10-12-12, 10:25 AM

will check this out

**wizcodlifa** · 10-12-12, 12:08 PM

how do you figure power rating? im confused on how you get the numbers. can anyone help?

**rumnblack** · 10-12-12, 12:14 PM

Good luck

**Romanov** · 10-12-12, 05:53 PM

I haven't been doing too much with MLB lately. What you say is true about live betting dogs... but it can bite you in the ass! You already know this so BOL

**FinkleIsEinhorn** · 10-12-12, 06:24 PM

It's been a while since I've been on here. Few questions. Excuse me if I ask something that's been covered lately.

Where is formula wiz? I searched and don't see where he has posted in months.

Is anyone using the marginal difference this year?

**airattackers** · 10-12-12, 10:46 PM

@finkelseinhorn...i am using margin difference, true power, and power ratings..any questions pls pm me..

**ShivaBowl** · 10-13-12, 01:45 AM

That's it, I will no longer be disrespected In my own thread.
Or have my emails go Ignored
Thank you

**airattackers** · 10-13-12, 02:15 AM

@shivabowl...whats the problem? who has disrespected you? i just wanted to answer the man's question..i even told him to pm me...i dont understand what your problem is?

**ShivaBowl** · 10-13-12, 06:07 AM

Refunded your points, unsubscribed to this thread so please don't bother posting anything anymore thank you

**Pete0** · 10-13-12, 08:39 AM

Shiva, I was wondering if weather gets factored into the AI Over plays - especially at this time of the season

What would you recommend on the plays depending on weather ? say rain/snow or too cold.

Thanks and GL today !!

**Romanov** · 10-13-12, 09:29 AM

Im confused