thank goodness - bulls game almost collapsed, hoping for an ot in this spurs game
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Ughhhh! Wierd Houston game!! What happened in the 4th qtr?Comment -
I got my azz handed to me tonight
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Maybe Miami will wake up in quarters 2-4. !st qt they shot 29%
Denver shot 62% .... thank godComment -
yeah i loaded up on the 1st half 106... about 2 pts behindComment -
love the pace of this game... added more on the live over of 207.5Comment -
need 3.2 points per minute now with 7 1/2 minutes left... figured the pace would slow up here in the fourth.. hopefully doesnt kill us thoComment -
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16 points in the last 58 sec in the Cavs/Lakers game destroyed my bet on the under.
How does anybody win on these games?
But congrats if you took the over! Tomorrow's another day.Comment -
Tc woods. Please take this the right way. I am not sure gambling is for you.
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TC, the best I can do is ask you to PM me, so we can exchange IM addresses. I check these forums to see what LTA and couple of others are taking before the game. If I'm watching the game I'm pretty intuitive on this Live Betting stuff, which is an option if you have an online book. If you reach out to me, I can quickly tell you what I'm doing on certain games. GL!Comment -
Live betting allows you to place a wager at every commercial break. The lines are adjusted every break to reflect the current score of the game...its a compulsive gamblers worst enemyComment -
Look if you guys have opinions for LTA, or whatever great. This thread has become so junked up with amateur hour that it is almost unbearable to read. Please don ruin this cashcow. Am i the only one who feels this way? He posts plays and then......would u bet it at this LtA? What do u think of this tease or parlay LTA? Let the man post and bet it, fade it or pass! Take the sideshow elsewhere.Comment -
NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/14/2012
Play #1
Jazz (-8)(-120) 1x (Locked)
With the Nets in a fatigue spot (b2b, 3 in 4), coming off a win over Phoenix and the Jazz playing with revenge from losing last season, left over bitterness about the Williams trade and anger about losing to the Lakers in overtime the other day, I think this is a great situational spot for Utah. The Jazz have played well this season and I expect that to continue tonight. Even though both teams are playing 3 games in 4 nights, the Jazz rested last night while the Nets won a high paced energy depleting game in Phoenix. Utah dominates in the Nets in OEFF, DEFF, EFG%, OEFG%, TS%, OTS% and all the rebounding stats except for defensive rebounding. The biggest disparity is really all about defense, where Utah has played surprisingly well and the Nets are generally the worst team in the league right now. I think the Utah crowd will be rocking and rolling looking in this game and the altitude is going to hurt this Nets team in the 4th quarter. I suspect this is a rather close game through 3 quarters because Williams is the best player on either team and will be ultra-motivated, however, he can't do it alone and his teammates will not be as motivated as him, especially coming off a win yesterday. I think Utah wears the Nets down in the 4th and takes this game by 10 or more. I have this game set at -9.5 and I'm not going to take a chance with the hook on this one by buying down to -8. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the Jazz for 1x. Good luck.Comment -
NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/13/2012 Recap
2 - 2 = -0.2x
NBA 2011-2012 Season
33 - 27 = +5.05x
Probably one of the most frustrating days of the season so far. All four plays were great plays, that averaged 2 points of value between the number I bet and the closing number. I bought the Bulls under at 178 and it closed at 175.5, Spurs over at 193 and it closed at 196, Rockets over at 198 and it closed at 200.5 and the Heat over at 210 and it closed at 210.5. In the end, I lose the Rockets/Kings over by 4 points because they failed to score 40 points in the fourth quarter. They had 156 points going into the 4th quarter and only scored 39 points as the Kings just quit in the last 5 minutes. That is some bullshit. The Spurs/Portland over was the same way. Portland just stopped playing after they combined for 100 points at halftime. We killed the closers in all of those games and deserved a 4-0 day after going 0-4, instead, it looks like variance is hitting hard right now causing us to lose some close games. Such is life and such is sports investing. We move on.Comment -
Portland (-1.5) at Houston Rockets.....who you like?Comment -
Well, I guess you should calculate it in sometimes...Comment -
Nah...not too worried about a sample size I can count on my hands. If you think that strategy is a long term winner, more power to you and I wish you luck. However, there's no need to come in here pounding your chest. Congrats on the win, but you act like the under was an easy winner. That game was on a 210 final pace until the last 6 minutes and if you watched it, you were sweating it out. Regardless, I bet that game at 198 and it closed at 200.5. That's a +EV play that is a long term winner -- I am more than satisfied with my play in that game. I just wish the results were a little different.Comment -
guys! Please make this thread about LTA and his plays! don't post your crap in here and ask random questions like what do you think for this play and are you sure for this bet and is this play final etc... He gives his picks for FREE. He doesn't force you to put the bets on it... If you want advice about the picks, there are people who charge you for that and u can bug them by paying money but whats the point of sports betting if you have to ask? Use your guts/ judgement/ analysis and move on... Y not just let him talk... Its his thread and its about his picks.. Not yours! For haters/critics, If you have so much knowledge, y d f*** you start your own thread and put the YTD numbers so please will follow you... Don't give a shit in hereComment -
Almost a ditto of my previous post. LTA is giving u $$$ for free!!! Guys like him dont have to waste their time in this shthole forum and give u analysis and pics. This man wagers 4 dollars per play. If that doesnt give you insight into his confidence in his model and his pics, then go elsewhere. He is not gonna change his model or his style cause someone trew darts and got lucky for a day. Its a marathon kids, not a sprint. I say this not out of criticism but out of fear that this man will get tired of the romperroom this is becoming and quit posting. Then what?? Most people on here couldnt pick their sister out of a three person lineup! Sit back and enjoy the ride. If he posts he likes it, if he doesnt he wont play it. Get his line, or play at ur own risk.
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And that after 5 posts...
I agree the questions on how he feels about a certain play are not worth asking, but a little brainstorming about some plays is a great contribution to any threat; IF the brainstorming is regarding LTA's plays that is.
LTA: I'm not pounding my chest on this one. Just saying that results in the past are a factor I for one won't rule out in my strategy. You are right though that a sample size that small is not contributing to a long term winning strategy, but sometimes (and this time it did, regardless of the last 6 minutes) it does help with making your final choice.Last edited by BigBurk; 01-14-12, 11:13 AM.Comment -
Now racial slurs, wow!Comment -
Dude this is an SBR FREE forum.....anyone can give their picks for free. You are acting as if LTA or any other poster for that matter wins like 60-70% of the time they give out picks in this forum, when they don't. Similarly anyone should be able to ask anyone for their two cents on particular games. It can actually help the OP even cap better because there might be games that he or she didn't realize that they missed. You posting that makes you just as pompous and rude as the people asking for his opinion on certain games.Last edited by NYSportsGuy210; 01-14-12, 11:25 AM.Comment -
I am and always will be no matter what you say clown.
PS -And no offense to LTA on the post I wrote above this....I respect your thread and analysis on all your plays win or lose.....and yes you can easily get on a hot streak and nail four or five in a row....I have seen you do it from time to time.
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You guys are acting like little girls......obviously you have nothing better to do than fight on a sports gambling forum. It's simple....let LTA post his plays and analysis and read and respond.....no need to question his picks, if you dont like them dont say anything back. I've found hes very helpful and profitable. if you don't seem to think so, theres no reason you should be on this read and your making it unbearable to followComment
