LTA's NBA Plays

[Spaceviews]

Luck and the fact that these girls couldnt hit the side of a friggin barn right now won that for me!! Lets see what the 2nd half holds for us....

[Spaceviews]

I'm taking over (73) 2nd Half. Break A Leg!!

[ManBearPig]

I'm taking over (73) 2nd Half. Break A Leg!!

I was tempted but I'm gonna lay off..I'm curious to Seattle's ability to maintain this pace and would be surprised to see the grow this lead. I expect SA to not shoot 20% for the game so I took them small at @-2.

I had the 1H pegged to go under, but didn't play it either. Think it was easier than the earlier play actually. GL

Another thing I just looked at...Seattle has yet to go over in the 2H in a game that they went under for the 1H at home. Maybe that streak ends tonight. I mean as soon as I pointed out that the O/U for July was 8-21 in favor of the under, the next 5 games went over.

[Spaceviews]

Nice pace to start the 2nd Half. Seattle man handling S.A!! Took a sm. amount out on S.A (-2) as well. Yikes..... It looks like they just don't want to be there. Didn't know that stat about never seeing the 2nd Half over cash if the 1st Half under hits. Very interesting. Had I known that I don't think I would have taken it!! We'll see... WOW!!!! 2mins no scoring!! Miracle aside, looks like your stat will hold true.Wish I Knew, But What Can Ya Do.... Break A Leg Bro!!cheers:

[ManBearPig]

Nice pace to start the 2nd Half. Seattle man handling S.A!! Took a sm. amount out on S.A (-2) as well. Yikes..... It looks like they just don't want to be there. Didn't know that stat about never seeing the 2nd Half over cash if the 1st Half under hits. Very interesting. Had I known that I don't think I would have taken it!! We'll see...

I'm sure you'll be fine. Everytime I find something like that out it's immediately broken...I'm cursed like that. When you expect SEA to be bad like they usually are...they come to play. SA is really slumping now and they may just be trying to get to the break to refresh. I should've just kept my SEA for the game play and just took it.

[Spaceviews]

S.A should be embarrassed....... This is bad. L.O.L!! It would be even funnier if I didn't have a half unit on these dip sh#ts. I figured there was NO WAY these Bimbos could hold such a bad shooting % through out the 2nd Half as well.

[Spaceviews]

Well, gotta work a dble shift in the a.m. my friend. It was nice talking to You. Break A Leg tomorrow. (it being bad luck to wish someone good luck I always tell people to break a leg)............So, Break A Legout

[Spaceviews]

You called it Bro!! NICE STAT-

[Love The Action]

So what happened with the games last night? I didn't follow...any bad beats or crazy wnba scoring spurts or droughts? It was nice taking a day off from the ladies but I'm pissed that both unders hit and that was my lean. I think this mini wnba break will do us all some good so we can come back refreshed and excited about wnba again. I'm ready to get back to the + 15x level we were at in here before my little wnba slump these last ten days. On the bright side, we have had 4 out of 5 days of profitability in mlb so we are heating up in bases. I'm expecting a big mlb weekend and will be hanging out in my mlb thread if you are looking for some action this weekend. Good luck everyone!

[Love The Action]

I'll get back to the WNBA this weekend.

I've had some changes at my job recently with a promotion, more money and much more responsibility. Therefore, because of time limitation, I had to decide between capping MLB or WNBA and stuck with my first love in MLB. I've been tracking WNBA though and will have some time this weekend, so I think it's time to get my WNBA 2h of the season off the ground.

I hope everyone in this forum has been kicking butt...looking forward to getting back to the ladies...

[ManBearPig]

I've been doing fairly well..got some things going but still trying to iron out some of the kinks. I've got a 2H system/trend...not sure what to call it right now, that looks promising. This particular one went 2-3 tonight with a close loss by 2pts. I've noticed some situational things that happen over the course of a game that I've been tracking and they seem promising, but I have very little data to support it. Some things you can't cap...like 20pt total quarters, but I'm learning on the fly.

Had I avoided a couple evening plays in bases I would've actually been in the positive today. Running the numbers for tomorrow to see if anything stands out. See you when you get back.

[FJ_islander]

I'll get back to the WNBA this weekend.

I've had some changes at my job recently with a promotion, more money and much more responsibility. Therefore, because of time limitation, I had to decide between capping MLB or WNBA and stuck with my first love in MLB. I've been tracking WNBA though and will have some time this weekend, so I think it's time to get my WNBA 2h of the season off the ground.

I hope everyone in this forum has been kicking butt...looking forward to getting back to the ladies...

Will be waiting for you to return to WNBA with your future plays LTA. Looking forward to making some money as always. All the best.

[ManBearPig]

These are what I lean with possible 2H plays today. I'll be in Tahoe tonight so I won't be around today to follow-up. GL boys!!!

WAS/IND o143.5
WAS/IND o70.5 1H
SEA/MIN u 71.5 1H
WAS +6.5

[Love The Action]

WNBA 2011 Season

39 - 37 = -4.4x

That's where we ended the 1h...we started off hot getting up to +15x, but then made some big plays in the last couple week before the all star break and ended up having a tough time getting all the way down to -2.2x...time to rebound. Good luck to everyone on their plays today!

[csmkr18]

Any plays for today LTA?

[ebemiss]

WNBA 7/20/11

Play #1

Atlanta/Wash under (155) 2x (Locked)


Short on time...lots of early action today in both wnba and mlb...also playing 1h under (76) for halfs unit in this one as part of 1h experiment (not part of records). GL...

Those darn losses, we always forget to add them to our record. At least some of us do. Unless you aren't counting this one. You forgot to add this one.

[Love The Action]

WNBA 7/30/11

Play #1

Seattle/Tulsa under (142.5)

I have this one ending around 140. We have Seattle on a b2b and as we know, those have been conducive to unders this year. Seattle is 3-7 o/u on the road this year and Tulsa is 3-5 o/u at home. Tulsa is on one day rest when they trend under and they definitely not a scoring machine period. Both teams trend under big time with almost every team trend pointing under here. In their first game this year, Seattle shot 54% and I think that drops a bit today. The pace of this series has been slow and the pace of these teams in general is pretty slow. I wish I would have gotten the open at Pinny of 153 (I would have bet the house at that number), but I'm still rolling under here for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Those darn losses, we always forget to add them to our record. At least some of us do. Unless you aren't counting this one. You forgot to add this one.

Ofcourse...just ran through my last page and looked for my last updated record. Barely have time to breath, so I appreciate your record keeping. I will gladly give you my two points per day to keep my record in WNBA for the rest of the year. I know for wannabe touts like yourself, having a monitor is vital. Thanks...fixed.

[ebemiss]

Ofcourse...just ran through my last page and looked for my last updated record. Barely have time to breath, so I appreciate your record keeping. I will gladly give you my two points per day to keep my record in WNBA for the rest of the year. I know for wannabe touts like yourself, that stuff is vital. Thanks...fixed.

This is the 2nd time in the last 3 times you posted you didn't add in a loss. Doesn't seem that honest that's all.

I guess I'm a wannabe tout because I post plays and projections on an open forum and give information on a website I own away for free. You got me. I give winners away on this forum and I let people access my power rankings for all sports for FREE.

That sounds like a tout to me. Read some of your Tony Robbins, we're going to be great, better, hot, etc....garbage, and ask anyone who's the wannabe tout. Maybe you definitely not me.

[Love The Action]

This is the 2nd time in the last 3 times you posted you didn't add in a loss. Doesn't seem that honest that's all.

I guess I'm a wannabe tout because I post plays and projections on an open forum and give information on a website I own away for free. You got me. I give winners away on this forum and I let people access my power rankings for all sports for FREE.

That sounds like a tout to me. Read some of your Tony Robbins, we're going to be great, better, hot, etc....garbage, and ask anyone who's the wannabe tout. Maybe you definitely not me.

No...you are a wannabe tout based on the website that you were touting with your "projections"....you have also expressed the same in other forums from what I have been told.

Again, ask anyone on here and they will attest to both my reputation for honesty and positivity. As I stated, I just ran through my last page and posted the last updated record. I haven't been posting in here and forgot I didn't update my last game before the break. I know that is such a dishonest thing...or maybe just an honest mistake.

Ask anyone about your reputation on here and they will attest to your poor attitude. That is a fact.

You and I both know people use these forums to establish some slight success and then go tout. I and others suspect that is your intention. And hey, more power to you...I have no problem with people making money any way they can. I just don't see why you deny it.

And if that's not your intention, I apologize. However, I have had things sent to me which state otherwise.

I again offer you the invitation to keep my record for the rest of the year in WNBA. I have a ton of work, plus family, plus MLB, plus NFL, plus NCAAF coming up. The last thing I am going to be worrying about is keeping up my WNBA record. Therefore, because you seem infatuated with my thread and record, and already seem to be keeping track, I would love for you to accept my two-point per day offer. You would be doing me a great favor and I would really appreciate it.

[ebemiss]

No...you are a wannabe tout based on the website that you were touting with your "projections"....you have also expressed the same in other forums from what I have been told.

Again, ask anyone on here and they will attest to both my reputation for honesty and positivity. As I stated, I just ran through my last page and posted the last updated record. I haven't been posting in here and forgot I didn't update my last game before the break. I know that is such a dishonest thing...or maybe just an honest mistake.

Ask anyone about your reputation on here and they will attest to your poor attitude. That is a fact.

You and I both know people use these forums to establish some slight success and then go tout. I and others suspect that is your intention. And hey, more power to you...I have no problem with people making money any way they can. I just don't see why you deny it.

And if that's not your intention, I apologize. However, I have had things sent to me which state otherwise.

I again offer you the invitation to keep my record for the rest of the year in WNBA. I have a ton of work, plus family, plus MLB, plus NFL, plus NCAAF coming up. The last thing I am going to be worrying about is keeping up my WNBA record. Therefore, because you seem infatuated with my thread and record, and already seem to be keeping my record, I would love for you to accept my two-point per day offer. You would be doing me a great favor and I would really appreciate it.

You don't know anything about me. I've done nothing but share my information. You must be honest, just not good at subtracting, my mistake.

I have a website, yes. Have I asked anyone for anything, NO. Am I charging anything. NO. Have I asked for feedback on my numbers YES.

Most people are so stupid, you included, they can't see a good thing when it's staring right at them.

[Love The Action]

You don't know anything about me. I've done nothing but share my information. You must be honest, just not good at subtracting, my mistake.

I have a website, yes. Have I asked anyone for anything, NO. Am I charging anything. NO. Have I asked for feedback on my numbers YES.

Most people are so stupid, you included, they can't see a good thing when it's staring right at them.

So you are saying you don't have a paid service part of that website?

Uhhh...I hope not..because I've seen it and I know you will eventually stop posting for free here as soon as you establish the slightest bit of success...

Its cool dude...I have no problem with it....everyone has to eat. Just don't lie about it.

Good luck on your future touting

I mean, based on your comments you seem to think you are better and smarter than everyone else here so you should have no problems. Yes you are just sooo smart and eveyone else is beneath you....what a sad, lonely existence you must have...

So go ahead, post another response insulting me and the other posters on here....I will let you have the last word because (1) I don't care, (2) I don't have any more time to waste on you and (3) you are so tranparently pathetic its comical...

And either track my record for me or I have no use for you. Will you please track it...2 pts per day guaranteed!

[ebemiss]

I DON'T HAVE A PAID ANYTHING. HERE'S THE SITE MORON. www.nationalsportsrankings.com.

It gives predictions from high schools to the pros, and has sports games. Next time you want to accuse me of something get your facts straight. You are saying stuff about me that isn't true. All I did was mention you forget to subtract your losses. Stop trying to say things about me that aren't true. You are not even close.

Stop lying about your record. You've done it twice in a week.

[Love The Action]

I DON'T HAVE A PAID ANYTHING. HERE'S THE SITE MORON. www.nationalsportsrankings.com.

It gives predictions from high schools to the pros, and has sports games. Next time you want to accuse me of something get your facts straight. You are saying stuff about me that isn't true. All I did was mention you forget to subtract your losses. Stop trying to say things about me that aren't true. You are not even close.

Stop lying about your record. You've done it twice in a week.

Uh huh...for now...I know, me and everyone else on here who can spot a tout from a mile away are such morons.

Yes, I always lie about my records...and again, that's why I need you to track them. You seem to already be doing it so just keep it going...2 points per day! Get those points!

Perhaps now I will keep going with this...you are making my day fun. My first personal grudge match on SBR. This could be interesting.

However, I will have to say, for a future tout like yourself, it sure seems like bad business to go around insulting your customers. I mean, you have called the posters on this site stupid and morons on several occasions. Be careful, those are the same stupid morons who you need to visit your website, to get you hits, so you can sell advertising (for now). After you get enough hits, that site will become a paid only site. You are fooling no one sir. Just another pathetic tout...

Listen...I have to run out with the baby and then go get a haircut. You post another stupid post in my thread and I'll come back and respond. Sound like fun? OK..go...tag, you're it!

[ebemiss]

Quote:
Originally Posted by RoagBettor

RAS/HoopsEdge put out San Antonio +4 and Solo is apparently on San Antonio +3.5

Quote:
Originally Posted by RoagBettor
Well WNBA continues to be up and down for us. I really don't know of anyone absolutely killing it so far this season. Even the Bloomberg "experts" are struggling. Last year and the year before we'd have all doubled our rolls already. We're still 4-2 in our last 6 plays but losing 3 units tonight is a setback for the project. I'm moving forward though, I still have most of the original bankroll and if I can get on a run in July I know i can get it up to 4-5K.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Love The Action
Who the heck are all these guys? Touts I assume? Are these guys the standard of WNBA excellence or something?

I am not impressed.

I would not be surprised if we are currently doing better than they are with me up 10x and you up a few units as well. My totals deviation spreadsheet is working quite well so far with the proper adjustments and all of your systems will start hitting as we get further along in the season.

I bet by the end of the WNBA season you, me and maybe Kob (if he still posting), will have a better record and/or more units than the three touts you mentioned....I'll put all my points on it if someone can figure out a way to arrange it.

Good luck on Thursday's card!
--------------------------------------------------------------------
More great insight from a guy who cheats on his record from another thread. I'm sorry. He's too busy to count losses.

You are minus units. The guy Roag has given up betting the WNBA. Just admit you don't know what you are doing and attacking me because I pointed out your addition mistake (twice).

You said you'd bet your whole worthless whatever that you'd have a better record including RAS. Pointing out how ridiculous you are would just be piling on. You've done enough to prove your WNBA capping ability.

Now I'm done. Good luck, but with your record keeping in this thread who needs it.

[suicidekings]

WNBA 7/30/11

Seattle/Tulsa under (142.5)

Agreed on this play. It's my only play of the day, however i also lean to the Sky covering. I would have taken the -6 if I had been paying more attention earlier. As it stands at -7 I probably won't touch it.

[Love The Action]

Quote:
Originally Posted by RoagBettor

RAS/HoopsEdge put out San Antonio +4 and Solo is apparently on San Antonio +3.5

Quote:
Originally Posted by RoagBettor
Well WNBA continues to be up and down for us. I really don't know of anyone absolutely killing it so far this season. Even the Bloomberg "experts" are struggling. Last year and the year before we'd have all doubled our rolls already. We're still 4-2 in our last 6 plays but losing 3 units tonight is a setback for the project. I'm moving forward though, I still have most of the original bankroll and if I can get on a run in July I know i can get it up to 4-5K.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Love The Action
Who the heck are all these guys? Touts I assume? Are these guys the standard of WNBA excellence or something?

I am not impressed.

I would not be surprised if we are currently doing better than they are with me up 10x and you up a few units as well. My totals deviation spreadsheet is working quite well so far with the proper adjustments and all of your systems will start hitting as we get further along in the season.

I bet by the end of the WNBA season you, me and maybe Kob (if he still posting), will have a better record and/or more units than the three touts you mentioned....I'll put all my points on it if someone can figure out a way to arrange it.

Good luck on Thursday's card!
--------------------------------------------------------------------
More great insight from a guy who cheats on his record from another thread. I'm sorry. He's too busy to count losses.

You are minus units. The guy Roag has given up betting the WNBA. Just admit you don't know what you are doing and attacking me because I pointed out your addition mistake (twice).

You said you'd bet your whole worthless whatever that you'd have a better record including RAS. Pointing out how ridiculous you are would just be piling on. You've done enough to prove your WNBA capping ability.

Now I'm done. Good luck, but with your record keeping in this thread who needs it.

Yes, you responded....fun! I can't believe you pretend that you didn't start this feud...me, attacking you...funny. You have been trying to instigate a fight with me for some time -- how jealous and petty you must be to be infatuated with a cheater like me. Which is why you should keep my record.

Come on now, you can't really think people are stupid do you? Oh wait, you do...in fact you have stated on numerous times how stupid the posters are here at SBR, even though you continue to post in here in order to tout your website. What does that say about you?

And what is your point with respect to the above post...that I am confident in my abilities - yes; that I was trying to cheer Roag up when he was having a tought time..yep, guilty there. Sorry if I'm positive and try to help people instead of trolling threads like yourself looking to start trouble and tout your website.

And don't pretend you are coming after me over the record keeping bullshit that was nothing more than an honest mistake by me after not having been in this thread for two weeks. Regardless, I still agree with my statements in the above post. I always think I am going to win and succeed. If I didn't, I wouldn't play these games.

Dude...it's half the season in my first season of playing WNBA. There is plenty of time to get plus units and plus units big. I was up over +15x and will be again.

I didn't see you talking shit at the start of July when I was rolling...how easy it is to beat up on someone after a losing streak. However, no biggie, I just lost a few big plays. The women play into September...perhaps you should have not talked shit until the season is over.

I seriously enjoy this now...you have not arrived at SBR until pathetic trolls that are wannabee touts invade to clutter up your thread...now I know I have truly arrived here at SBR

Anytime, anywhere dude....perhaps I will take this to your thread now so we don't keep cluttering this one...it's only fair.

[Love The Action]

Agreed on this play. It's my only play of the day, however i also lean to the Sky covering. I would have taken the -6 if I had been paying more attention earlier. As it stands at -7 I probably won't touch it.

It's my only WNBA play as well. The other totals are just coinflips at their current line.

Although, I do have an under lean in the Sky/Sparks game, I would not take the under at any number below 153.

I completely agree with you about the Sky at home. LA is not playing any defense right now which should allow the Sky to get some easy baskets and I don't think LA will be able to score quite so easily on Chicago at home. However, a 5 or 6 point win is more likely than 7 or above. I'm excited to get back to WNBA now. I hope I can continue to find the time during the week to cap it.

Good luck on your plays today SK...

Are you making any NCAAF/NFL futures wagers?

[Love The Action]

I think a play on the Phoenix ML might be worth taking here at +130 or so.

Phoenix has played well on the road, while NY has not been dominant at home. I think this could be a good spot for Phoenix to escape with a win...

[suicidekings]

I got ahead on my NCAAF handicapping a few weeks ago, but the last month has been insane at work so with little free time, I'm behind again on where I wanted to be by now. I have a few leans on who will over/under perform this year, but I'm not big on regular season futures. Fortunately, it's a long weekend up here and I have nothing I need to do but lie on the beach and put some time into handicapping. There's a LOT of schedules to go through...

[Love The Action]

I got ahead on my NCAAF handicapping a few weeks ago, but the last month has been insane at work so with little free time, I'm behind again on where I wanted to be by now. I have a few leans on who will over/under perform this year, but I'm not big on regular season futures. Fortunately, it's a long weekend up here and I have nothing I need to do but lie on the beach and put some time into handicapping. There's a LOT of schedules to go through...

Glad you guys are getting some nice weather up north...hope it continues for you. And I know about craziness at work - sounds like we are both going through the same thing.

Sounds like you are way ahead of me with respect to prep time for NCAAF and NFL. I have to start reading my conference previews for both and go through the schedules.

I generally don't make regular season futures wagers in NCAAF, but usually make a couple in NFL. So far I like the Bears under (9.5) wins and the Lions over whatever. Those could easily change though based on some free agent moves. It's just getting interesting...glad to get football back.

However, I am really excited about MLB right now as well. I've had a tough July, but I usually heat up once the playoff races begin. This is the best part of the year...you got bases, NCAAF, NFL and even NBA would be getting going in October (just not this year LOL).

Good luck SK...enjoy the beach!

[Love The Action]

WNBA 7/30/11

0 - 1 = -1.1x

WNBA 2011 Season

39 - 38 = -5.5x

I didn't like any of the games today because, according to my model, they lost all their value before my locals opened their WNBA lines. It sucks that I miss out on all the line movement by having to bet stale WNBA lines. That makes my job that much harder, and combined with the books releasing sharper lines, I think I may be better off making spot plays for higher unit stakes until the WNBA playoffs. I think I may make 3 or 4 WNBA plays per week for 2-5 units each until the playoffs. We'll see. I am really looking forward to the WNBA playoffs...

[ManBearPig]

WNBA 7/30/11 0 - 1 = -1.1x WNBA 2011 Season 39 - 38 = -5.5x I didn't like any of the games today because, according to my model, they lost all their value before my locals opened their WNBA lines. It sucks that I miss out on all the line movement by having to bet stale WNBA lines. That makes my job that much harder, and combined with the books releasing sharper lines, I think I may be better off making spot plays for higher unit stakes until the WNBA playoffs. I think I may make 3 or 4 WNBA plays per week for 2-5 units each until the playoffs. We'll see. I am really looking forward to the WNBA playoffs...

It's funny you say this because I was thinking the same thing and I think it is the best idea. You can't win money in this league making lots of plays because of its rather unpredictable nature. You have to pick your spots and hit those harder, like the Fever today for instance.

I'm starting to understand this league a little bit and there doesn't seem to be a lot of good plays day in and day out and it's def not as beatable as it may have been before so you have to be much more selective.

[himeshforex]

nice poster , breaking bad

[Edward-RAS]

Just wanted to give my two cents on the RAS/market discussion from earlier in the thread.

First of all, I think having a "following" is a relevant market force. You don't create or maintain a following unless you win. Secondly, there are enough market forces unrelated to RAS out there to correct overreactions or lines that get out of whack. This is demonstrated by how much line movement there is on games that RAS has no release on. So the margins we beat the closing line by on average can be attriubted to being on the right side most of the time, not just because we have a big following. Lastly, I would be confident that our WNBA lifetime win rate (against gameday widely available lines) compares similarly if not favorably with any private group/syndicate out there.

With all of that said, I don't think any independent handicapper who has shown some level of past success should automatically get off their play because they are against RAS (or some other long term winning handicapper). What you should understand though, and this goes for everyone (including us), is that when long term winning handicappers are against each other (assuming at the same line), both handicappers win rates will (have to) go down, and at least one of the two (if not both) handicappers won't be profitable in that subset. So it probably is not a good idea to add to your wager in these situations, unless there has been significant line movement or you think you are sitting on some critical non-market info/analysis.