Sawyer's NBA Totals Thread 2010-2011 Season

**schaeon** · 11-13-10, 12:56 PM

Thanks Sawyer...I agree with another poster. you can simply post the systems as they are. There are alot of sad children or the same sad child posting in this thread. The adults appreciate all you work and look forward to your FREE plays.

**linedrivr** · 11-13-10, 01:13 PM

Hang in there Sawyer. You're going to have good runs and dryspells throughout the season. It comes with the territory. Best to keep sticking with what you know that works and keep moving along. It will play itself out by seasons end.

**BRO3** · 11-13-10, 01:14 PM

S you do not have to justify yourself. Those who follow you and your pics, very well know how big "player" you are, and those who criticize you .... just do not have to enter your post.
End of story, all the best mate!

**BRoZ** · 11-13-10, 02:00 PM

Originally posted by BRO3

S you do not have to justify yourself. Those who follow you and your pics, very well know how big "player" you are, and those who criticize you .... just do not have to enter your post. End of story, all the best mate!

brate imas li sta za nocas ?

**PLAYA-PLAYA** · 11-13-10, 02:11 PM

Sawyer---KEEP THE FAITH BRO--------Thanks for what you do------"REFUSE TO LOSE"

**sapidoc** · 11-13-10, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by ScottLocke

here's some plays for you guys tonight Orlando/NJ Under 190.5 Boston/Memphis Over 196 Portland/New Orleans Under 189 I know you guys are gonna hate, but i'll be sure to bump this when I go 3-0 or 2-1

Just show some balls and bump the picks regardless, even if you go 0-3. I'll give u mad props.

**ScottLocke** · 11-13-10, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by sapidoc

Just show some balls and bump the picks regardless, even if you go 0-3. I'll give u mad props.

No worries, if I go 0-3 I will man up.

**dimon** · 11-13-10, 02:38 PM

Sawyer, give these guys some horse picks, they will be thankfull

**SavageTrojan** · 11-13-10, 02:50 PM

OK, here's an idea. I know this is a free forum but there has to be ground rules. If you are an idiot with an IQ of 60 that thinks anyone should be hitting 70% AND you decide you have to open your mouth and bash Sawyer then you should have your forum account shut down by an administrator/moderator. None of us intelligent people here would question Sawyer's integrity but if Sawyer comes back in December and says his system has been running at 60% since he stopped posting, the dumbass haters would flame him and say he's lying. While this doesn't bother Sawyer, most of us here will stick up for him. He hasn't asked for anything in return for his picks, and to date his picks are still profitable if you have followed him for any period of time. I agree, I think Sawyer should continue to post his plays and let everyone decide but I RESPECT his decision and look forward to following him again in December.

**ScottLocke** · 11-13-10, 03:39 PM

Originally posted by SavageTrojan

OK, here's an idea. I know this is a free forum but there has to be ground rules. If you are an idiot with an IQ of 60 that thinks anyone should be hitting 70% AND you decide you have to open your mouth and bash Sawyer then you should have your forum account shut down by an administrator/moderator. None of us intelligent people here would question Sawyer's integrity but if Sawyer comes back in December and says his system has been running at 60% since he stopped posting, the dumbass haters would flame him and say he's lying. While this doesn't bother Sawyer, most of us here will stick up for him. He hasn't asked for anything in return for his picks, and to date his picks are still profitable if you have followed him for any period of time. I agree, I think Sawyer should continue to post his plays and let everyone decide but I RESPECT his decision and look forward to following him again in December.

Who in this thread is expecting 70%???

**Sawyer** · 11-13-10, 04:35 PM

Thank you for your kind words.

My advice is to wait 'til December or January but if you insist,

There's only 1 system play for today. Saturday's System Play is Hornets vs Blazers Under 189. (188 & 188½ also ok)

**schenker88** · 11-13-10, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Thank you for your kind words. My advice is to wait 'til December or January but if you insist, There's only 1 system play for today. Saturday's System Play is Hornets vs Blazers Under 189. (188 & 188½ also ok)

thank u sawyer
please keep posting if there is any system play... it doesnt matter if 3 or 6 losses in a row occurs or not
only long term result counts!

**ScottLocke** · 11-13-10, 04:52 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Thank you for your kind words. My advice is to wait 'til December or January but if you insist, There's only 1 system play for today. Saturday's System Play is Hornets vs Blazers Under 189. (188 & 188½ also ok)

Already on that one, i've been doing well with totals lately, what u think bout boston/memphis over and orlando/nj under?

**Sawyer** · 11-13-10, 05:03 PM

By the way,

Please don't reply to haters. Don't waste our precious time with these idiots. Time is precious, time is money you know

Personally, I don't even read their posts. What a waste of time. Too bad there is no "ignore" button in SBR Forum.

**tom1234** · 11-13-10, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

By the way,

Please don't reply to haters. Don't waste our precious time with these idiots. Time is precious, time is money you know

Personally, I don't even read their posts. What a waste of time. Too bad there is no "ignore" button in SBR Forum.

totally agreed, thanks for the pick Sawyer

**Nookx** · 11-13-10, 05:41 PM

Thanks sawyer!, were gonna bounce back bro.

**Cardiff** · 11-13-10, 06:25 PM

Thanks for keep sharing... good to know what your system have, as a "lean", until December.
Thanks and good luck!

**y2kr1000** · 11-13-10, 06:36 PM

This system play will win

**JR007** · 11-13-10, 06:37 PM

**y2kr1000** · 11-13-10, 06:38 PM

The "haters" are simply degenerates who can by no mean think for themselves. After all, this is a gambling forum so there are bound to be a lot of misfits on here trying to make a quick bob. I followed Sawyer closely and the end of last season and his plays were always spot on. My best advice is to cap the games yourself and then use this thread to compare plays. If Sawyer has the same play as what you've capped, then it's usually a solid play. If it loses, then at least you know you haven't just followed blindly and that two heads have combined to make the play rather than one. No blame, just a bad play.

**Pick'nParlays** · 11-13-10, 06:44 PM

bol Sawyer

**Sawyer** · 11-13-10, 06:45 PM

Not a lean, Portland-New Orleans is a play according to system. But personally, I won't touch these 'til december or january.

Leans: Orlando-Charlotte Under.

**cala56** · 11-13-10, 06:48 PM

Sawyer Yesterday

Sawyer Today

Sawyer Tomorrow

Best Of Luck Professor.

**y2kr1000** · 11-13-10, 06:57 PM

That is GOLD!!!

**F.Lucena** · 11-13-10, 07:01 PM

Good luck tonight Sawyer... You will be back on track soon..

**dynamitappletini** · 11-13-10, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

By the way,

Please don't reply to haters. Don't waste our precious time with these idiots. Time is precious, time is money you know

Personally, I don't even read their posts. What a waste of time. Too bad there is no "ignore" button in SBR Forum.

well there is an ignore list @ sbr!
Just go to settings --> on the left under "Settings & Options" hit "Edit ignore list" and add any member you want!

**bill2266** · 11-13-10, 07:16 PM

gl tonight lets cash

**smallbluedonkey** · 11-13-10, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by Nookx

Sawyer, your longterm winrate and your winrate over 43 games can vary drastically. Even with a 60% winrate longterm you will have loosing stretches for far far far longer then 43 games. I can do the exact math if your interested but from looking at it briefly you need to be ready for winning %'s of less 50% for sample sizes of 100+ games. We are not even close to that.

Hmmm... I'm not sure I entirely agree with you. For 20,30,40,50, 60 picks I CAN see short-term 'slumps', but if the system does indeed have a genuine and consistent long-term win rate of 60% then the probability of going 49-51 or worse (i.e <50%) over 100 picks is only about 1.67%.

For larger samples:
e.g. 200 picks going 99-101 the chance is only 0.62%;
e.g. 400 picks going 199-201 the chance is only 0.002%

But the inherent assumption is that the system is consistent in its edge (60% win rate) over those 100+ plays. This is what Sawyer will be tracking (I assume). Depending on his system and what data it uses, he could back-test against historic data, but I would assume that if he could do that he would have done so already. Sawyer seems to know his stuff from what I have read on this forum.

I have a system of my own that I followed "on paper" for last year that was quite successful, but it relies on teams having played around 20 games or so. It would be really unreliable if applied in November where stats are very volatile.

**Sawyer** · 11-13-10, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by dynamitappletini

well there is an ignore list @ sbr!
Just go to settings --> on the left under "Settings & Options" hit "Edit ignore list" and add any member you want!

Thank you mate. It's gonna be very useful!

Guys, do you know why some people are haters? Why they get happy when you lose? Because they're jealous, LoL.

**Michaelmakesit** · 11-13-10, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Not a lean, Portland-New Orleans is a play according to system. But personally, I won't touch these 'til december or january.

Leans: Orlando-Charlotte Under.

looking good ...i bet this too..did u bet it ?

**BRO3** · 11-13-10, 08:32 PM

r

Originally posted by BRoZ

brate imas li sta za nocas ?

Jbg bratac,tek sad vidim poruku....Prosao jedan singl, Charlotte H 1, cekaju se josneke.
Jel zabranjeno ovde da spikamo po nasem ili smemo samo preko PP?

**Sawyer** · 11-13-10, 08:34 PM

Yeah, 0-6 can happen anytime, I know. But the best thing I love about this system is, stability. I don't remember wild days like 5-0, 6-0 but I don't remember any 0-6 streak last season either, if my memory serves right. If you like hard work, you can search through statfox archieves, my system plays last season.

I wish everyone a profitable weekend.

**Sawyer** · 11-13-10, 09:14 PM

So far so good. 83 points in 1st half.

**BankrollBuilding** · 11-13-10, 10:14 PM

So who is the guy in the avatar? Looks familiar but no clue

**BankrollBuilding** · 11-13-10, 10:27 PM