good luck with your picks
SK: NBA Playoffs 2010
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WileOutSBR MVP
- 02-04-07
- 3844
#71Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#72Added Live at the end of 3Q
Heat +5 (-116) x2
Heat ML (+291) x0.5
This game is going down to the wire. Locking up some some of my return, with a good chance at a middle if the Celts win by 1-4 pts.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
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suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
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suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#774/23: 8-5-0 (+15.58u)
Playoffs: 34-34-4 (+24.03u)Comment -
Goat MilkBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-24-10
- 25850
#78good job with Boston today SK some of us are too stubborn sometimesCause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
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Goat MilkBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-24-10
- 25850
#80I don't know what happened to Wade there at the end, but I'm thinking it may have been just a spasm or crampin up. If he doesn't play Boston sweeps the series with ease. If he plays its still a toss up and will have to analyze it more. But I Wade has taken almost every 1st round series of his career to 7, and he's been on far worse heat teams than this one this year.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
SparJMUSBR MVP
- 02-18-10
- 1648
#81Nice call on Boston +4, that was definitely the right side. I still don't think my bet on Miami ML was far off. It's funny how one or two shots in the last 20 seconds can decide the outcome for thousands of bettors.
I like the looks of Milwaukee and Portland tomorrow, but it will take some serious guts to pull the trigger on those two considering the last 4 games of those series. Looking forward to reading your thoughts.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#824/24 Magic-Bobcats
This game is made for live betting. I feel like both teams will have leads at some point, and we'll definitely be able to pick up better lines live on both sides than what's available to start. But regardless of who ultimately wins, I feel like it will be very close at the end so my goal for the game is to find live lines with both teams getting points and ML at +money. I'm hoping to get at least one of these in the first quarter.
The Bobcats have a lot of pressure on them to play with the intensity at home that they lacked in Orlando, so I'm expecting a fast start to this game. A typical Bobcats home game final score is typically front-loaded in the 1H, but I think this is going to be a very intense game with tons of fouls all the way through, pushing it over easily.
Booked Plays
1Q Over 47 (+100) x2
1H Over 93 (-105) x2
GM Over 182 (-110) x4
IMO, this game ends with a final score within ~5 points, so I feel it will be possible to get +9.5 or better for the Cats and +5.5 for the Magic if I'm patient, with the associated moneylines through live betting.Comment -
williams22Restricted User
- 09-19-08
- 6134
#83SK what books are you using for your live bets?Comment -
sweetjones55SBR Hall of Famer
- 04-07-09
- 5257
#84Good luck today on your plays.Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFSComment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#87Bobcats 2H (+135) x1
Bobcats 3Q (+115) x1
4Q U45 (-110) x1Comment -
SimonSayzSBR Wise Guy
- 10-17-09
- 859
#8831 points in the 2nd quarter? Wtf.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#89Bobcats ML (+145) x5Comment -
SimonSayzSBR Wise Guy
- 10-17-09
- 859
#90Any thoughts on Phoenix 1q or 1h?Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#91Blazers ML (+122) x5
Brandon Roy is playing... Line plummeting.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#93BOBCATS: -10.5u....
Original plan was to bet on a tight game and try to middle it... Obviously i didn't follow the plan.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
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williams22Restricted User
- 09-19-08
- 6134
#97Exactly. I'm thinking of developing an Excel model to chart my bets throughout the game and instantly determine which bet to make to raise my EV of the game throughout. Haven't quite figured it out in my head yet though.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#98For MLs it's pretty easy to build an arb calculator. It's those +point spreads that I want to start attacking though and shoot for the middles.Comment -
HoulihansTXBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 02-12-09
- 30566
#99Great call on the Celtics. Heat are not for real.Comment -
williams22Restricted User
- 09-19-08
- 6134
#100Oh yeah ML is easy for sure, but I'm thinking about the spreads. Becomes a lot more difficult to model. If you ever feel like working on it I'm all ears and can handle the Excel end.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#101Added at end of 1Q, 36-19 Bucks
Hawks +10.5 (-104) x2
Hawks ML (+467) x0.5
Bucks in an epic blowout? I don't think so. The Hawks will at least make it respectable.Comment -
dsklein85SBR Hustler
- 04-15-10
- 51
#104any leans on LAL/OKC?Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#105LAL 1Q (first 6 min) O12 (-115) x1
LAL 1Q O25 (+100) x1Comment
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