Who wants my NBA plays?

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  • rochestertitans
    Restricted User
    • 12-14-09
    • 8149

    #1856
    boise way under like by 15 points
    Comment
    • krazey47409
      Restricted User
      • 11-04-09
      • 2431

      #1857
      dam miami looking good im mad as shit i hesitated and didnt bet this
      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #1858
        Originally posted by SimonSayz
        guys...the history of the bulls game tonight with line movements has the line jumping from opening at -1.5 (-111) to closing at -2.5 (-102)...I see the Bulls as the play. But are the Thunder a play because the odds have fallen from -2.5 (-107) to -2.5 (-102) over the past 2 hours?

        also, i see the line dropping in the total from 194.5 to 192...wouldn't this constitute a strong under play?

        someone tell me if i am reading this wrong....b/c from the line movement i see:

        Bulls -2.5
        Under 192

        Thanks
        heres my quick take on line movements. sharps got down on the under at 194.5. following the under now at 192 may or may not make sense. if you're going to follow line movements, you need to have multiple books to try and jump on a soft line from the slow to react books.

        im also a firm believer that the opening movement and the last second movement is the sharpest. of course, you have to pay attention to public bet % as going RLM is the sharpest angle to take with line tracking.

        great site that i use for line tracking and game analysis...

        Comment
        • suicidekings
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-09
          • 9962

          #1859
          Originally posted by SimonSayz
          guys...the history of the bulls game tonight with line movements has the line jumping from opening at -1.5 (-111) to closing at -2.5 (-102)...I see the Bulls as the play. But are the Thunder a play because the odds have fallen from -2.5 (-107) to -2.5 (-102) over the past 2 hours?

          also, i see the line dropping in the total from 194.5 to 192...wouldn't this constitute a strong under play?

          someone tell me if i am reading this wrong....b/c from the line movement i see:

          Bulls -2.5
          Under 192

          Thanks
          The initial shift from -1.5 to -2.5 did not correspond with high volume on the Bulls. At the time, there were more bets on OKC, and as the day progressed, the Bulls started to get more action until there were more bets on the Bulls (the public). IMO, it was a little head-fake from the books to draw action on to Chicago.
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962

            #1860
            Originally posted by Dexter

            heres my quick take on line movements. sharps got down on the under at 194.5. following the under now at 192 may or may not make sense. if you're going to follow line movements, you need to have multiple books to try and jump on a soft line from the slow to react books.

            im also a firm believer that the opening movement and the last second movement is the sharpest. of course, you have to pay attention to public bet % as going RLM is the sharpest angle to take with line tracking.

            great site that i use for line tracking and game analysis...

            http://www.scoresandodds.com/index.html?sort=rot
            Dex: Try watching the lines right when the limits are taken off on the high limit online books (I use Pinnacle, 10am Eastern). It doesn't happen every day, but it's not uncommon for there to be significant swings right after 10am from sharp action on key games.
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #1861
              Thunder was a bad play but I will take it. Cant lay points on bulls after they pounded Orlando
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #1862
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                Thunder was a bad play but I will take it. Cant lay points on bulls after they pounded Orlando
                you overreact so quickly all the time in a sport that has millions of runs each way. unless you're just pulling a paco with the reverse jinx?
                Comment
                • ricankid
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-21-09
                  • 216

                  #1863
                  wow atlanta finally woke up at the end of the 2nd q
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #1864
                    Originally posted by Dexter
                    you overreact so quickly all the time in a sport that has millions of runs each way. unless you're just pulling a paco with the reverse jinx?

                    Comment
                    • ricankid
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-21-09
                      • 216

                      #1865
                      i'm liking the over on the utah game...lb any thoughts
                      Comment
                      • npl77
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 54

                        #1866
                        Jazz over 100x?
                        Comment
                        • krazey47409
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-04-09
                          • 2431

                          #1867
                          you like the jazz lb
                          Comment
                          • ricankid
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-21-09
                            • 216

                            #1868
                            yeah i think its going to be a high scoring game...jazz winning but not covering

                            but i'm more inclined to go on the over rather than pick the hornets
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #1869
                              New Orleans Hornets +8(5x)
                              Comment
                              • krazey47409
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-04-09
                                • 2431

                                #1870
                                ok no jazz for me no more im gonna stay away from this lb prob right about hornets like he usually is but im gonna be real mad if i bet hornets and jazz cover actually **** it im on hornets +8 lb a beast
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #1871
                                  Enjoy this game guys. I lost the thunder game so hopefully i can get this one. Will be back later in the night.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pensinger1
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-23-08
                                    • 505

                                    #1872
                                    gl LB
                                    Comment
                                    • marabdl86
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-06-09
                                      • 1067

                                      #1873
                                      good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • MexicanStallion
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-08-08
                                        • 20429

                                        #1874
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        New Orleans Hornets +8(5x)
                                        Alright pal. Glad we have a game we finally agree on. I am on Hornets +7.5 for 2 units.
                                        Comment
                                        • NBAmagic
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-22-09
                                          • 12

                                          #1875
                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                          Enjoy this game guys. I lost the thunder game so hopefully i can get this one. Will be back later in the night.
                                          nice jinx
                                          Comment
                                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-17-09
                                            • 11939

                                            #1876
                                            Thunder just giving it to the Bulls 2nd Half
                                            Comment
                                            • goldseeker
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-11-05
                                              • 604

                                              #1877
                                              Congratulations,laker! You are always on the winner's side!
                                              Comment
                                              • 905prodigy
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-08-09
                                                • 247

                                                #1878
                                                im feeling clips -4 x2
                                                Comment
                                                • krazey47409
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-04-09
                                                  • 2431

                                                  #1879
                                                  down by 10 we have a chance nah bulls suckj its over
                                                  anyone like utah 2nd half over 95
                                                  Comment
                                                  • vyomguy
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-08-09
                                                    • 5794

                                                    #1880
                                                    The thread is getting lot of attention. Be careful LB....books adapt . Few plays are better.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • southpaw74
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                      • 7104

                                                      #1881
                                                      love the reverse jinx LB Bulls are fading faster than my hairline!! solid bro...GL on hornets...I missed that one. leaning clips for late game but not too sure
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jdhender
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-18-09
                                                        • 866

                                                        #1882
                                                        Thunder
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tnnt
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-03-09
                                                          • 216

                                                          #1883
                                                          Clippers is now -4.5 already. I think it's the right play.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • southpaw74
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-21-09
                                                            • 7104

                                                            #1884
                                                            Leaning more on clips
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Rod_M
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-31-09
                                                              • 1282

                                                              #1885
                                                              Comment
                                                              • krazey47409
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-04-09
                                                                • 2431

                                                                #1886
                                                                heavy on clips under
                                                                it be very rare for lowest total to go over and highest go under
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jdhender
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-18-09
                                                                  • 866

                                                                  #1887
                                                                  I feel like the last game of the night always sails over (either that or the ones that do, stay in mind, probably that .... )
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 905prodigy
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-08-09
                                                                    • 247

                                                                    #1888
                                                                    unreal how many hits this thread gets minutes before tipoff
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SpreadSniper
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-17-09
                                                                      • 6125

                                                                      #1889
                                                                      Originally posted by krazey47409
                                                                      it be very rare for lowest total to go over and highest go under
                                                                      You use this logic when making bets?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • southpaw74
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-21-09
                                                                        • 7104

                                                                        #1890
                                                                        Ha! Good point...suprised it doesn't overload the system
                                                                        Comment
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