Pattycakes Playoff Picks (and game 82 of the regular season)

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-23-14, 08:55 PM

Live bet.....

Portland +5.5 (0.50 Units) - BOL

**akay47** · 04-23-14, 09:49 PM

Any 2H bets patty?

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 06:02 AM

Update for yesterday: 7-3-0 for a +3.9 Units day....This brings the overall thread to 22-17-2 for +2.7 Units overall....Again, my goal will be to show a positive 15 units by the end of the playoffs minimally, the high-end (pushing unrealistic) is 20 units, just based on limited # of playoff games overall will make that one difficult....I will have a play up here shortly, and then will have the bulk of my plays throughout the day later....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 06:11 AM

1st Play for April 24th, 2014.....

3 Team, 8 Point Teaser -Hawks +10.5, Grizzles +10, Warriors +10 (0.9 Units) - After a Hawks blowout in Indiana, I see them keeping this game close, and possibly pulling it out late, easily covering the 10.5....And for the Warriors, same applies....they will want to come out strong and I just do not see a 10 point loss here at home....And the Grizz at home are dominant, I look for them to possibly win this outright, and at worst keep this in the single digits....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 10:48 AM

Memphis/OKC Under 189.5 - (0.8 Units) - Over the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Memphis, three of the totals did not even eclipse 180.....I see the final score settling around 180-182....I look for Memphis to come out strong defensively tonight, and keep OKC within their sites the whole game...I look for a back and forth contest coming down to the end....I most likely plan to take Grizzles ML and spread later, and will have my explanation, but think we will get a better price if we wait...BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 11:08 AM

Atlanta Hawks +1 1st Half (1.0 Units) - The last 7 meetings between these teams in the ATL (last 3 seasons), the hawks have covered a 1 point spread in the first half, going 6-1 over this mark....Even in all 6 matchup's between these teams in 2013/2014, either arena, the Hawks are 4-1-1 in the 1st half covering a 1 pt spread....Lets roll with it....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 11:27 AM

GSW/LAC Under 214 (0.9 Units) - The last six meetings between these two teams in Golden State, the total has yet to go over 209, with the average score finishing at 202.8.....Go under, and BOL

**JR007** · 04-24-14, 11:58 AM

thanks........maybe a "momentum shift though" and it is the playoffs

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 12:46 PM

OKC -0.5 1st half (0.9 Units) - In my research, it shows that in the last 11 meetings between these teams, the Thunder have covered a spread of -0.5 in the first half great, going 9-2-0....In that same sample size, 4 games have been played in Memphis, and OKC is 4-0 against the spread in that time frame....I am taking that.

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 12:50 PM

Grizzles +3 (bought hook) (0.9 Units) - I like the Grizzles to win here, but getting three points is never a bad thing, as they are playing Durant, who after that 4-point play, I feel is capable of anything and wants this bad for his Thunder....I expect this game to be close down the stretch, and getting the points I feel is right. I may sprinkle the ML later if the price continues to get better. Over the last 2 seasons, the Grizzles are 5-1 covering a +3 point spread at home against OKC....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 01:46 PM

Atlanta/Indy Under 46.5 1st Qtr (0.8 Units) - Over the last 2 seasons and 5 games played in ATL between these two teams, the first quarter has not cleared 43....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 02:03 PM

Thunder/Grizzles Under 47.5 1st Qtr (0.8 Units) - Over the last 2 seasons, the 1st quarter is 5-0 covering an under of 47.5 in Memphis between these two teams, and 11-3 at both stadiums over the last 2 seasons....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 02:59 PM

Atlanta +3 (0.75 Units) - Hawks are 6-2 at home over the last 8 games when the Pacers come to town, winning outright....The Pacers only played a good 3rd quarter last game, otherwise they were even with the Hawks in Indiana, in that game...I do not trust the Pacers right now, and I feel good knowing the public is on them tonight....I will fade them and take the free 3 points....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 03:35 PM

Warriors +3 (0.9 Units) - This is where I originally came to an ultimatum.....Based solely on having watched the playoffs for as long back as I can remember, this situation feels like the Clippers would gain home court advantage back after crushing GSW last time out...But I don't think I am going that way tonight....The numbers show otherwise.....The last 5 meetings between these two in Oracle have been dominant by the Warriors, going 5-0....I am backing them tonight, opposite the public....BOL

Warriors ML +130 (0.5 Units) - Above Explanation.....

**vancityswag** · 04-24-14, 04:13 PM

I think books agree with you on gs money line baiting everyone with a low - line on lac after that blowout. Curry shoots lights out at home tonight pushing the total over 210...which again I feel is why the books have set such a high line given previous results

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 04:22 PM

Pacers Under 46.5 1st Half (0.75 Units) - Pacers are ranked 2nd last in the league for scoring in the 1st half, and the last 5 times the Pacers came to ATL, in the first half, they scored, 42, 32, 29, 40, and 30.....I am playing the trend and going Under....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 05:14 PM

Last bet until the games start, and then I may be posting some live bets throughout if something seems advantageous.....

2 Team, 5 Point Teaser - Hawks +8 and Grizzles +8 (0.75 Units)- You can see my explanations above in previous bets why I like them, not going to retype it all....

I will post all my picks into one piece about 10 minutes before tip-off of the first game, for organization.....BOL to all

**leetreaper** · 04-24-14, 05:21 PM

I have ALL your bets, let's sweep tonight

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 05:49 PM

Leet, BOL to you as well, let's see if we can make it back to back positive nights

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 05:52 PM

So here we go, 10 minutes until tip....To date for the NBA playoffs, the overall record is 22-17-2 for a +2.7 Units....Tonight's picks are below....BOL

Pacers @ Hawks

1. Hawks +1 1^st half (1.0 Unit)
2. 1^st Qtr. Total Under 46.5 (0.8 Units)
3. Pacers Under 46.5 1^st half (0.75 Units)
4. Hawks +3 (0.75 Units)

Thunder @ Grizzles

1. 1^st Qtr. Total Under 47.5 (0.8 Units)
2. Thunder -0.5 1^st Half (0.9 Units)
3. Grizzles +3 (0.9 Units)
4. Under 189.5 (0.8 Units)

Clippers @ Warriors

1. Under 214 (0.9 Units)
2. GSW +3 (0.9 Units)
3. GSW ML +130 (0.5 Units)

Teasers

1. 3 Team, 8 Point : Hawks +10.5, Grizzles +10, Warriors +10 (0.9 Units)
2. 2 Team, 5 Point : Hawks +8 and Grizzles +8 (0.75 Units)

Risking 10.65 Units to win 10.05 Units.....BOL to all tonight

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 05:57 PM

Adding one....

Atlanta 1st Qtr. +0.5 (0.5 Units) - ATL has won the last three first quarters against the pacers, and I expect them to come out motivated...smaller wager than the others, but rolling with it...BOL

Brings total Units bet to 11.15 to win 10.50

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 06:43 PM

So far 2-0 tonight....Close one's on those 1st quarters, but we had 4, 1-point-or-less losses over the past few days, so we were due to have a close one go our way....BOL moving forward to all

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 06:45 PM

NVM, I guess they counted that last Pacers basket that was basket-interference to make it 24-24, not 24-22....So we were 1-1, not 2-0

**SpreadSniper** · 04-24-14, 06:45 PM

you got jobbed on that Pacers/Hawks 1H

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 07:13 PM

3-1 so far tonight, could be 4-0 if the refs went back and saw the basket interference to end the 1st....oh well, lets keep this rolling!

**JR007** · 04-24-14, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by JR007

thanks........maybe a "momentum shift though" and it is the playoffs

you got me off that 1st half line, much appreciated

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by JR007

you got me off that 1st half line, much appreciated

Glad to hear man, BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 07:43 PM

Thunder -1.5 2nd Qtr. (0.5 Units)

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 08:15 PM

Pacers Live ML (+200) (0.25 Units) -

**akay47** · 04-24-14, 08:15 PM

Any 2H bets Thunder-Grizz?

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 08:21 PM

No new bets for that one Akay, I am just sticking with the lines I posted earlier on this game....BOL

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 08:40 PM

So far tonight, 5-4-0, +0.95 Units....Under 189.5 is looking great in Grizz/Thunder, as does the Grizz +3......Hopefully GSW will respond in the late game too....

Side note - I think I need to re-evaluate live betting NBA, or just stop it....would be a few units higher in this thread with-out it....to me, means I should just be sticking with my research and eye-test before the game starts, and stop trying to predict in-game trends....clearly not so good at that so far

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 09:03 PM

Small hedge, even though I have Memphis +3 only because line is so favorable....

Thunder ML +502 (0.25 Units)

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 09:19 PM

Possible hedge, possible winner.....

Live Grizz/OKC over 179 (0.5 units)

**Pattycakes0909** · 04-24-14, 09:46 PM

Final Score Prediction : 93-92, not sure who pulls it out though....Thunder would be great for more $$$ ha