NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

**JMon** · 12-26-14, 09:03 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 94-79-3 - 54.3% (+9.81) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 0-2 (-2.15)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 16-16-1 (-.60)

2. pip2 - 19-13 (+5.23)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-16 (-6.96)

5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-14 (-.40)

7. Heart - 7-1 (+5.92)

8. Consigliere - 11-6-1 (+4.65)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

**pip2** · 12-26-14, 11:27 AM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/26/14 8:20am NBA Basketball 812 New Orleans Pelicans 1st Quarter -1 -110* vs San Antonio Spurs

SDQL:

p:M3 > 0 and (A or D) and p:L and rest = 0 and season > 2010 and [M1<=-1] and 1 < line < 6

SDQL: English

Since 2010 fade the away or dog team in the 1st quarter if they lost last night after holding a lead going into the 4th quarter.

**dmitean** · 12-26-14, 12:32 PM

Not crazy about tonight's queries. Here is what I like more or less:
182 68 Kings +1.5
144 Pacers -1.5? - not too crazy about it
109 80 Over 196 in Orlando? also mediocre
79 13 Cleveland
62 Over 193.5 in Detroit
30 Lakers +13.5
21 NO Pelicans -3.5
15 Over 214.5 in Sacramento

**JMon** · 12-26-14, 01:57 PM

NBA SDQL Best Bet.

12-26-14 12:55p CT

Play LAL OV 213.5 -110

SDQL
total > 200 and rest = 0 and o:rest!=1 and P:margin<=-30

Play over a total over 200, a team on back-to-back revenging a 30+ blowout against an opt not 1 days rest.

**Heart** · 12-26-14, 04:09 PM

good luck guys.. passing again today. Probably tomorrow as well. I'm going to give the players time to get back to their routines.

**Ronald S.** · 12-26-14, 05:44 PM

No best bet for me tonight

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 10:12 AM

damn pip we need some help in here...between the two of us we are going to bury the group at this rate...lol.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 10:14 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 94-81-3 - 53.7% (+7.61) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 0-2 (-2.20)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 16-17-1 (-1.70)

2. pip2 - 19-14 (+4.13)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-16 (-6.96)

5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-14 (-.40)

7. Heart - 7-1 (+5.92)

8. Consigliere - 11-6-1 (+4.65)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

**pip2** · 12-27-14, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by JMon

damn pip we need some help in here...between the two of us we are going to bury the group at this rate...lol.

Definitely! The group was about to climb fully into the 55% range before my last two picks helped drag everybody down...Probably Heart has the smartest approach, waiting for the teams to settle back into their normal routines. That's really what I think these queries are good at, is predicting what happens when everything else is kind of normal.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by pip2

Definitely! The group was about to climb fully into the 55% range before my last two picks helped drag everybody down...Probably Heart has the smartest approach, waiting for the teams to settle back into their normal routines. That's really what I think these queries are good at, is predicting what happens when everything else is kind of normal.

I don't know, going to keep grinding away. I'm in a mini bad run overall now, need to break out of it. I had Clev as my best bet yesterday before I got cute with the LAL over. Bad thing as I know to also go with my first call...

**nash13** · 12-27-14, 12:45 PM

I usually wait for strong line movements. That indicates the bigger value for me. Taking the Over on 199 and 201 is a huge difference for me.

**dmitean** · 12-27-14, 12:48 PM

241 21 11 1 Indiana +2.5
234 151 Toronto +5
151 55 Sixers
199 142 106 56 12 13 Atlanta -4
152 21 Wizards -9.5
151 Under in LA
151 Under in Utah
94 Over in Utah
145 Under in LA
141 Charlotte -5
137 Utah -9
136 13 Memphis -2.5
75 Over in Chicago

Today's queries that I like more or less (didn't have a lot of time to check - so maybe few aren't as good as I think)

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 01:34 PM

NBA SDQL Best Bet

l12-27-14 - 12:25p CT

Living on the edge with this on...Play LAC UN 214 -110

SDQL: total >212 and p:W and p:margin >= 10 and op

oints + opo

oints >= 215 and opp

oints + oppo

oints >= 215 and rest = 1 and 2005<=season

play under a total over 212, a team on one days rest off a win of 10 or more; against an opt of b2b games where 215 or more total points were put up.

SDQL: total >= 210 and p

u margin <= -24 and 75 >= WP >= 60 and o:WP > 50

play under a total of 210 or more, a solid team who went under their previous game by 24 or more; playing a winning team.

**dmitean** · 12-27-14, 02:24 PM

I really like the Under as well, but few last games by the Raptors... As you said, you have to be a brave man to play the Under.
Still undecided if I'm brave enough...
BOL!

**labones00** · 12-27-14, 02:27 PM

Raptors coming off a long break, any info on teams with an equal layoff and how they perform ?

**dmitean** · 12-27-14, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by labones00

Raptors coming off a long break, any info on teams with an equal layoff and how they perform ?

Don't do too good in general.

AD and rest>3 and WP>60 and p:L
AD and rest>3 and WP>60 and p:L and conference=Eastern

7-13 (-7.50, 35.0%)
7-13-0 (-2.75, 35.0%)	avg line: 4.8
8-11-1 (-1.10, 42.1%)	avg total: 194.3

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 02:36 PM

^...watch those links demitean..mods don't like them. Just letting you know.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 02:38 PM

Here is one I won with SH under today in NCAAB...just wanted to share in case anyone wanted to view.. cheers.

149>=total >= 140 and tS(L, N=5) = 4 and WP <= 20 and o:WP > 50 and 2007<= season

Play under a terrible team losers of 4 of last 5 playing a winning team.

I know the NCAAB db is in beta testing, but I still like to play around with it.

**dmitean** · 12-27-14, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by JMon

^...watch those links demitean..mods don't like them. Just letting you know.

Thanks for the heads up - edited

**pip2** · 12-27-14, 04:43 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/27/14 13:35pm pst Reduced Basketball 520 Golden State Warriors -17½ -105* vs Minnesota Timberwolves

SDQL:

playoffs=0 and season > 2011 and game number > 7 and tA(FGM + TPM*0.5)/tA(FGA) > .467 and oA(o

oints in the paint) > 47 and rest < 3 and day!=Wednesday and team not in [Nuggets,Jazz,Wizards,Celtics,Magic,Laker s]

SDQL: English

Since 2011 and excluding the playoffs, and after 7 games into the season, and if it isn't Wednesday, if the team has not had more than 2 days rest, and if the team is not in a short list of squirrel teams that have no concept of the meaning of consistency, play the team that has an average effective field goal percentage of more than .467 when it plays against a team that on average allows its opponents to score more than 47 points in the paint.

**Ronald S.** · 12-27-14, 05:05 PM

NBA Best Bet

12/27/14 5:00 PM EST

Golden St/Minnesota Over 216 -102 (5dimes)

HF and p:quarter scores p:P4 <= 16 and line <= -8.5 and season >= 2009
SU: 81-22 (8.72, 78.6%)
ATS: 41-58-4 (-2.11, 41.4%) avg line: -10.8
O/U: 70-32-1 (4.84, 68.6%) avg total: 196.2

Play the Over when the large home favorite scored 16 or fewer points in the 4th quarter of their previous game.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by Ronald S.

NBA Best Bet

12/27/14 5:00 PM EST

Golden St/Minnesota Over 216 -102 (5dimes)

HF and p:quarter scores p:P4 <= 16 and line <= -8.5 and season >= 2009
SU: 81-22 (8.72, 78.6%)
ATS: 41-58-4 (-2.11, 41.4%) avg line: -10.8
O/U: 70-32-1 (4.84, 68.6%) avg total: 196.2

Play the Over when the large home favorite scored 16 or fewer points in the 4th quarter of their previous game.

I'm in the under here...so may want to buy out but getting an error on your query? You may have to put some spaces in.

**pip2** · 12-27-14, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by JMon

NBA SDQL Best Bet

l12-27-14 - 12:25p CT

Living on the edge with this on...Play LAC UN 214 -110

SDQL: total >212 and p:W and p:margin >= 10 and op

oints + opo

oints >= 215 and opp

oints + oppo

oints >= 215 and rest = 1 and 2005<=season

play over a total over 212, a team on one days rest off a win of 10 or more; against an opt of b2b games where 215 or more total points were put up.

SDQL: total >= 210 and p

u margin <= -24 and 75 >= WP >= 60 and o:WP > 50

play over a total of 210 or more, a solid team who went under their previous game by 24 or more; playing a winning team.

Thanks jmon, for getting me off to a good start today and winning me a few bucks!

**Ronald S.** · 12-27-14, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by JMon

I'm in the under here...so may want to buy out but getting an error on your query? You may have to put some spaces in.

That's weird. I just copy pasted from their output but realized they put p:quarter scores which brings up the error. So the query should just be:

HF and p:P4 <= 16 and line <= -8.5 and season >= 2009

But why are you on the under?

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by JMon

NBA SDQL Best Bet

l12-27-14 - 12:25p CT

Living on the edge with this on...Play LAC UN 214 -110

SDQL: total >212 and p:W and p:margin >= 10 and op

oints + opo

oints >= 215 and opp

oints + oppo

oints >= 215 and rest = 1 and 2005<=season

play over a total over 212, a team on one days rest off a win of 10 or more; against an opt of b2b games where 215 or more total points were put up.

SDQL: total >= 210 and p

u margin <= -24 and 75 >= WP >= 60 and o:WP > 50

play over a total of 210 or more, a solid team who went under their previous game by 24 or more; playing a winning team.

damn..I just realized my english translation on the over.. but my play the under, hope I didn't penetrate any one up.. sorry.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by pip2

Thanks jmon, for getting me off to a good start today and winning me a few bucks!

oh...thank you bud..damn I can't believe my translation error...wished someone would have told me.

**FortySix** · 12-27-14, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by JMon

NBA SDQL Best Bet.

12-26-14 12:55p CT

Play LAL OV 213.5 -110

SDQL
total > 200 and rest = 0 and o:rest!=1 and P:margin<=-30

Play over a total over 200, a team on back-to-back revenging a 30+ blowout against an opt not 1 days rest.

Hey all, JMon I believe this one is "alive" today as well in the Hawks @ Bucks game. Sorry I have been non-existent, work and holiday season has been crazy lately. All the best fellas.

**Ronald S.** · 12-27-14, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by JMon

oh...thank you bud..damn I can't believe my translation error...wished someone would have told me.

Did not even notice it... Saw the play on the under, ran the query and saw 11-48

I think if anyone saw the discrepancy, they would have mentioned it. Probably highly unlikely someone just saw the English part and played the over.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by Ronald S.

That's weird. I just copy pasted from their output but realized they put p:quarter scores which brings up the error. So the query should just be:

HF and p:P4 <= 16 and line <= -8.5 and season >= 2009

But why are you on the under?

F and p:AL and p:margin<=-8 and WP>=o:WP and line<=-10.5 and 185<=total<=216 and C and division!=o:division and season>=2006

Going to let it ride...being my first judgement as a play. Like the line parameter and personalized conference, non divisional parameters as well. Bol friend.

**pip2** · 12-27-14, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by JMon

oh...thank you bud..damn I can't believe my translation error...wished someone would have told me.

Ooops, guess I am busted -- I never read the translation, just ran the query and liked it...

ps actually on second thought, in a couple of discussion posts you emphasized the point that you were nervous about taking the under in a game with two high-scoring teams like these..

**Ronald S.** · 12-27-14, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by JMon

F and p:AL and p:margin<=-8 and WP>=o:WP and line<=-10.5 and 185<=total<=216 and C and division!=o:division and season>=2006

Going to let it ride...being my first judgement as a play. Like the line parameter and personalized conference, non divisional parameters as well. Bol friend.

Ouch that definitely doesn't bode well for the over! I think I too will let it ride. I am actually more invested in the 1Q TT Over as it looked like the team usually comes out and pushes the pace early

date,team,o:team,quarter scores,o:quarter scores,total,points,o

oints@HF and p:P4<=16 and line<=-8.5 and season>=2009

But based on my recent run, under should hit easily

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 07:12 PM

Originally posted by pip2

Ooops, guess I am busted -- I never read the translation, just ran the query and liked it...

ps actually on second thought, in a couple of discussion posts you emphasized the point that you were nervous about taking the under in a game with two high-scoring teams like these..

I was nervous..but I am a 70%+ contrarian player. 60%+ of the public was on the over in this game.. I bet they can believe it!

Sad though, I expect detail, thrive on detail and just shocked I would fukk up the translation. Just shakes me up a bit for those the may bet on a translation.

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by FortySix

Hey all, JMon I believe this one is "alive" today as well in the Hawks @ Bucks game. Sorry I have been non-existent, work and holiday season has been crazy lately. All the best fellas.

yes...but personally not playing it! BOL if you do!

**JMon** · 12-27-14, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by Ronald S.

Ouch that definitely doesn't bode well for the over! I think I too will let it ride. I am actually more invested in the 1Q TT Over as it looked like the team usually comes out and pushes the pace early

date,team,o:team,quarter scores,o:quarter scores,total,points,o

oints@HF and p:P4<=16 and line<=-8.5 and season>=2009

But based on my recent run, under should hit easily

One of us is going to win...the bright side, if any! May have to do a in game! Anyway..ronald you are sharp, like your style...wish you the best!

**JMon** · 12-28-14, 10:40 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 95-83-3 - 53.3% (+6.54) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-2 (-1.07)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 17-17-1 (-.70)

2. pip2 - 19-15 (+3.08)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-14 (-.40)

7. Heart - 7-1 (+5.92)

8. Consigliere - 11-6-1 (+4.65)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!