CK's International Week w/Pho3nix32 Leans for 2/18/09

[vassman86]

As for today's SPs, I'm on board for all of them as usual, lol. We all know that they've seen better days. But some trends that stand out in favour of the SPs:

-It makes sense that the SPs cash more often when the favourite is at home. With a stadium full of your hometown fans cheering for you, it must relieve some of the pressure to make baskets.

-WEEKDAYS! I'm not sure what the record was last week, but I was 3-0 for SPs during the weekdays and a gruesome 2-5 on the Weekend. Maybe these college kids are distracted by looking forward to the afterparties and post-game sex?

Tonight we have four SPs on tap. All of them are home teams. It's time to get some of that weekend money back.

[Dexter]

LOL!!!! It's so hard to resist with all of these outstanding cappers here!

I'm trying to thin out this outrageous card I have today:
Temple -14.5 (1H) SP (CK)
UNC -11 (1H) SP (CK)
Kansas -10 (1H) SP (CK)
Memphis -14.5(1H) SP (CK)
Ball St. -1 (Non)
Akron -3.5 (Non)
Bulls -1 (Obama)
Nuggets -1 (Obama)
Heat -9.5 (Pho)
Mavs -7 (Dex)
Mon/Was Over 6 (Htown)
Det/Nas Over 5.5 (Htown)
Columbus -140 (Htown)

HHHHEEEEELLLLLLPPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!!

if your gonna go the route of using multiple member plays, do a consensus.

[TheLemonDropKid]

if your gonna go the route of using multiple member plays, do a consensus.

LOL.....well I think that's kinda what I'm doing (minus Non's college plays).

1. Everybody agrees on the SPs
2. Everybody seems to agree on Bulls, Nuggets, Heat, and Mavs.
3. Everybody agrees to Hockeytown's picks.

What's a brutha to do??

[hockeytown11]

do if bets,if A wins then B has actions use early games as A bets and later games as B C bets

[TheLemonDropKid]

do if bets,if A wins then B has actions use early games as A bets and later games as B C bets

Dude.......you are a frickin' genius.....I think I love you.

[TheLemonDropKid]

do if bets,if A wins then B has actions use early games as A bets and later games as B C bets

LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Except I just looked and they all start at 7pm EST or 8pm EST!!!

[hockeytown11]

but on the sps the 7pms will be over by 8 so that will free up some cahse if you hit any

[OperatorX]

the denver game may be a trap.. I have no idea how to slim that down.

[hockeytown11]

list the plays you want to make with starting times and i would tell you how i would do it

[TheLemonDropKid]

list the plays you want to make with starting times and i would tell you how i would do it

Okay........I appreciate it. I will do that in my next post. But I just need a little encouraging with the SPs first. I started playing them on Monday (Feb. 2) and did quite well them that whole week until BLACK Saturday or Sunday (can't remember which day it was). I held my head up and kept playing them the following week and started making a comeback only to get smacked back down again this past weekend. I really do believe in them and I'm trying not to "over-think" them, but after looking at them closer tonight I found this:

Temple -14.5 (No previous game btwn them this year, so it's okay)
UNC -11 (UNC won by 12 in the 1st H @ NC St., so it's barely okay)
Kansas -10 (KU won by 6 in the 1st H @ ISU, so it's scary)
Memphis - 14.5 (Mem won by 5 in the 1st H @ SMU, so it's scary)

I hate to be such a wusss....but man, when these things get me, they get me good. They put on one of those black leather masks and spank me with that leather whip until my arse starts bleeding. Oh wait.....that's my wife that does that....nevermind.

[cocknocker]

I'm really liking the Warriors tonight. As of late, the Warriors have been playing with a lot of confidence at home. Taking on the Lakers, who are on the tail end of a back-to-back, I'm sure the Warriors will be able to keep this one close. Also, GSW has won four straight at home

Warriors +5

Considering playing the Bobcats -5. They owe the Pacers some revenge after a loss in January. Despite losing Wallace to an injury, the Bobcats have once again started covering spreads (four in a row). Now that Wallace has shaken off his rust and is back in the line-up, I can see the Bobcats getting the win tonight. CK, what's Styles stand on this game?

She is playing Indiana because the Bobcats played in overtime yesterday against the Magic

[jgbgsox]

if bets suck seems like if u pick three teams the first one will lose and the last two will win but you still lose

[TheLemonDropKid]

list the plays you want to make with starting times and i would tell you how i would do it

Here they go Htown:

7pm EST---Temple -14.5 (1H)
7pm EST---Nuggets -1
7pm EST---Columbus -140
7pm EST---Ball St -1
7pm EST---Akron -3.5
7:30 EST---Heat -9.5
7:30 EST---Mon/Was Over 6
7:30 EST---Det/Nas Over 5.5
8pm EST---UNC -11 (1H)
8pm EST---Kansas -10 (1H)
8pm EST---Memphis -14.5 (1H)
8pm EST---Bulls -1
8:30 EST---Mavs -7

[chipper13101]

No secret plays for me guys. Two brutal Saturdays cured me of that. Hockeycentral has the hot hand, so I'll be tailing.

[Bezerk15]

Lemon - 1st of all, you crack me the F up - keep that attitude at all times - it's hysterical...

If you aren't feeling the card tonight and nothing is jumping out at you - just decrease the amount you bet for one night, just dabble a bit - make the SP's a small play, grab the consensus games on the NBA card and make a moderate play - but keep EVERYTHING to less than half of what you normally bet...play hockeytowns picks moderate or small (whatever you feel), but also parlay all three - I know parlays are BIG NO NO - but, hockeytown hits at least one 3-0 night a week...

Just spread it out...make it a slow night tonight

[TheLemonDropKid]

Lemon - 1st of all, you crack me the F up - keep that attitude at all times - it's hysterical...

If you aren't feeling the card tonight and nothing is jumping out at you - just decrease the amount you bet for one night, just dabble a bit - make the SP's a small play, grab the consensus games on the NBA card and make a moderate play - but keep EVERYTHING to less than half of what you normally bet...play hockeytowns picks moderate or small (whatever you feel), but also parlay all three - I know parlays are BIG NO NO - but, hockeytown hits at least one 3-0 night a week...

Just spread it out...make it a slow night tonight

lol............thanks Bezerk.......I think I might try that, depending on this "if" bet that Htown's talking about.....I've never done one of those and I don't know how it works.....but if it sounds decent, I might try it. I appreciate all of the feedback as always.

[masr]

im confused,i had florida last night,not nj

Thanks HT for the Fla pick...liked the 7-0, now 8-0 on tuesdays!!

[masr]

just booked Orlando +110 ML, almost seems too good to be true.

Solo,
why would you book Orlando ML, are they favored...?
I have them @+1.5 at my book.

[Ditaln1]

I usually do a CBB pick a night. I'm currently 2-1 on them, not a great record, but have to start somewhere!

Tonight I'm liking James Madison plus the points. Some Stats :

James Madison is 8-1 ATS in Road Games
Hofstra is 5-4 ATS at Home.

James Madison : 70.9 PPG on the road
James Madison : 69 PPG Allowed on the Road

Hofstra : 62.4 PPG at Home
Hofstra : 58.5 PPG allowed at home.

Hofstra is a tough defensive player at home, JM has played them tough all year, losing both games by 1 point. Line is currently 3.5, I'm liking the hook BOL if you play. Let's hope for 3-1.

[Bezerk15]

Lemon - no matter what - BOL tonight!

FYI - My plays tonight...
Dallas -7.5 (Big), Chicago -1.5 (moderate), Cavs 1Q -2 (moderate) - if win 3, play Warriors +5 and over
Ball St. pk
everything hockeytown and ML NYR, DET, and possibly LA later - all TA's picks
Puck parlay - NYR, MON/WAS over 6, and DET/NASH over 5.5

[TheLemonDropKid]

Lemon - no matter what - BOL tonight!

FYI - My plays tonight...
Dallas -7.5 (Big), Chicago -1.5 (moderate), Cavs 1Q -2 (moderate) - if win 3, play Warriors +5 and over
Ball St. pk
everything hockeytown and ML NYR, DET, and possibly LA later - all TA's picks
Puck parlay - NYR, MON/WAS over 6, and DET/NASH over 5.5

Thanks bro.....bol to you too......btw, I really like your card....I need to play around on my site and figure out this "if win" thing.

[Bezerk15]

Lemon - I forgot one - all over CK SP Temple 1h - got it at -14.5 - LOVE IT!!!

[moneygrip]

missed the game, but read the suns scored 90 in the paint??? goood lord!!!

can LAC w/out camby-kaman-and just confirmed Z-bo expect to change that fate? Suns frontcourt will have another layup drill. seriously considering making this one my ONLY play tonight.
Portland still intrigues me, as Memphis sucks on the road and they proved it last night. Portland, much like Utah is an elite team when in their building. this should be a route - no Oden is bothering me a bit though-

PHO -7.5 No more Porter freedom fest continues, suns shine - This one's on the docket!

BLAZERS -11 memphis, memphis, memphis... strongly considering

[KillaBeesSwarmin]

been lurking on this thread for a while and have been good with the SPs and loving Hockeytowns picks recently.

Tonight i'm parlaying

2 team parlay (SPs)
Kansas -10 1H
Temple -14.5 1H

2 Team Parlay (Hockeytown's Overs)
Nash/Det Over 5.5
Mont/Wash Over 6

And I am liking the suns back in the run and gun style. Clips will be without Randolph, Camby is questionable and I saw somewhere that Kaman might need another 2 weeks. The suns shot such a high percentage last night because they dominated the paint with dunks and easy layups. They should get out like they did last night, so I am rollling with

Suns -4.5 1H.

[KillaBeesSwarmin]

ha. same thought process moneygrip.

[BigDownUnder]

Hi all,

Have been looking at this website for about a year now, and been following CK´s plays a lot of the last two months, thought it was about time to join and throw in my two cents worth.

One pick from me in NBA tonight:
Chicago -1.5 to beat Bucks WIN
odds are 1.91 (sorry American odds confuse me!)

Why? Every talented capper on here in on the Bulls, Bucks are on a b2b, and Bulls were starting to play great before all-star break and should continue tonight :-)

[nonsense48]

finally, this thread has gotten back to the way it was when ck started it. the way it was meant to be. so nice to see everyone doing some work and contributing good info.

[hockeytown11]

lemon,
dang if bets are better when times are more spread out and u dont want to play 2,313 games in 1 night,lol

[TodaysAction]

ha. same thought process moneygrip.

Nice to see Jumpin Jim Brunsell and B. Brian Blair haven't changed a bit in 20+ years. :evillue:

[hockeytown11]

whats funny is our cards are nearly identical,lololol

I have booked the 4 SP,My 3 NHL games, and Heat and Bulls per the consensus here,so I have 9 games out there,lol

[hockeytown11]

TA,
If I didnt already have 10 house payments bet tonight I was intrigued by Montreal,I played over but the Habs might be a good play,Schneider will help their PP a TON.

[TheLemonDropKid]

whats funny is our cards are nearly identical,lololol

I have booked the 4 SP,My 3 NHL games, and Heat and Bulls per the consensus here,so I have 9 games out there,lol

LOL!!! See!! Told ya it was a hard card to trim down!

[ManBearPig]

Just saw Kings traded Miller and Salmons to Chicago not sure if they are playing tonight or not thought...ATL looking better if so.

[comeonletswork]

does this kings/bulls trade change the bulls pick tonight at all?

[hockeytown11]

NON,
I highjacked Kent st from you yesterday,us northerers know a little something something about MAC HOOPS