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Indiana has 9 offensive rebounds. I might hang myself.Comment -
Can anyone on this fukking team make a free throw?Comment -
That was absolutely disgraceful from Miami on the last possession. 4 or 6 point lead doesn't feel the same too. Fukk them, seriously.Comment -
It's gonna be a close game but Miami runs away with it IMO. If the Pacers make a run I'm taking the heat ml.Comment -
we might be in trouble here budComment -
Heat are playing atrociously bad.
Honestly if I was watching this game not knowing any of the players I could think that fella wearing number 6 for Miami was some kind of fringe role player who averages 5 points a game. His effort is absolutely disgraceful. Is this gonna be another of those instances where he quits on his team then leaves for Cleveland this summer? Is that all in the script?
But I still think they pull this out. Of course one of the players I hate the most in this league is having a monster game for the Pacers.Comment -
Way too early to think gloom and doom. This game has tied with 3 minutes left written all over it.Comment -
Lebron James thinks he can turn it on anytime and win it like he did with the Nets. Let's see. Bosh with the huge 3 to kill Pacers momentum.Comment -
Scola?????????????
Vogel ARE YOU F1CKING CRAZY???????Comment -
Vogel has thrown the game!!!!!!!!!!!!!Comment -
Heat one point win or they lose straight up - bank it.Comment -
crap, we are goneComment -
come on one time you fukkers i need this bad.Comment -
fukking offensive board. game was 90 percent over but for that.Comment -
If Lance had made that halfcourt heave I honestly think I would've thrown my comp out the window.Comment -
we got it bro. on to the next now.Comment -
Good bets guys.
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Today: 1-3, +2.69x
Total: 250-300-9, +26.26x
A play here and there late (like that Bosh 3 that would've made it 10) and I might have cashed -8 but truth be told it wasn't a good bet. Happy to make decent profit on this game.Comment -
Considering hedging my Heat/Spurs finals bet. Still feel very confident about it but may have gone a bit over board with the size of the bet. It's always a bit tricky to hedge on a double parlay where neither of the selections has won yet. However, I can get both selections at 4/1 now, so could stick around 1u on Pacers and 2u on Thunder (far more confident in Heat progressing), and still have a nice sized bet there. Actually considering just hedging on the Spurs/Thunder matchup, however if disaster strikes and it ends up being a Pacers/Spurs final, it would set me back huge.
Any advice on trying to hedge these bet types?Comment -
Well I am absolutely dreadful when it comes to deciding whether to hedge or not... Honestly in the last week I think I've hedged like 3 bets I shouldn't have and didn't hedge another 4 or so that I had a great opportunity to hedge.
Absolute burial of a 5 day stretch for me from Thursday to Monday (well the truly awful day was Thursday and Saturday and Sunday were really bad too, and the other 2 weren't that bad but still losing days... I mean anyway overall I lost a lot these 5 days smh), yesterday was my first good day since albeit it wasn't anything that special.
Anyway enough about me I'll try to give the best advice I can. I'd say from a pure bball standpoint I'd be really surprised if that wasn't the matchup. That said I am not 100% certain either, Heat showed a few worrying signs here and there even in their win yesterday and the Thunder are still a dangerous team with Durant and Westbrook. Now despite the slight concern, I'm still very confident Heat and Spurs pull it out.
From a hedge standpoint it's a really tough call - the only thing you can really do is hedge both I'd say. I don't think either is more of a "lock" than the other.
You can also bet the 3 other matchups (Heat/Pacers, Spurs/Pacers and Thunder/Pacers), which may be better in the cases where only one of your 2 original bets loses, I think hedging on Pacers series and Thunder series will only prove a better option if BOTH win. Now I haven't done any math on that - I can if you want me to lol.Comment -
I'm in the same shoes. I have a fat okc future but as soon as I heard ibaka was out rofl I went crazy and bet 3 times the amount of the okc future on spurs heat match up.
After much consideration, I'm not gonna hedge it even though I got it at 2.12 and now it's 1.56. For the Spurs series, all I can think about is last year's miracle lloss. From a basketball standpoint even before the okc injury I thought okc would win but through a coin flip. Now without ibaka I just can't see my team keep up in scoring. Okc can win if spurs are held to 100 points but I really wouldn't back the Spurs tto not reach this. Okc also has plenty of solid big men, however they just can't score. This series reeks of the port land spurs series where it's not really defence that matters; rather the lack of scoring. From another angle, I just don't see a thunder heat match up without ibaka. They wouldn't get swept but I still believe they'd get rolled. It just makes more sense and I really do see a Spurs Miami match up.
In terms of indy I always told my friends preseason that they would WIN the ring this year. The dismal 2nd half of the regular season made me change my mind. Going into this series, I know seto you were gonna go Miami series if they lost game 2 but I think I was ready to pound indy series. After the loss I think it's pretty evident that bookies know what they are cooking with the series price. One thing we should also consider is that we haven't had a mental collapse from indy yet and I'm overly confident there will be at least one game where they fk themselves over.
Ride it brother. Oh yeah I did throw 500 on spurs to also win the ring. Spurs got deeper than last year with mills and big bear diaw improving with additions of belli. Heat in the meantime have downgraded imo with the loss of Miller and batter playing like he's 40. Hence James calling out Jones for more time does make sense; he really wants that kick out 3 to be on his side. None the less I do believe spurs had the greater roster last year, and even more so thus yearComment -
Yeah, reason I want to hedge is due to the great run I've been on, between football (soccer), tailing Sando on NRL and AFL picks, and NBA. Over my 5 or 6 years of betting, I have always gone on a superb run, and then, almost immediately after, a bad run (but not bad enough to wipe my previous winnings).
A good beat story for a change here. After a bad run, I decided to chase (smart, I know) on 2 bullshit parlays at around evens to win about 4u each. Both included Arsenal to win the FA Cup. This was lucky enough in itself. It took Arsenal coming back from a 2-0 deficit, winning it eventually in Extra Time, 3-2. The second leg of both parlays included Both teams to score in a couple of La Liga (Spanish league matches - Sevilla vs Elche, Real Madrid vs Espanyol). Both home teams in each game were running away with the games, keeping a clean sheet until a bullshit, meaningless, 90th minute goal from Espanyol, and a 92nd minute goal from Elche won both my bets. Now that's enough good luck to have a real, real bad stretch to be waiting for me around the corner.
Sorry for the long winded story, but this is my reasoning for wanting to hedge here. Because, for a change, after hitting a couple of big bets consecutively, I'm going to cool off for a while, and then go again, as I tend to bet on silly things with silly amounts, whether I'm on a good stretch or a bad one.
Good advice, thanks. Never thought of hedging using double parlays on the other possible outcomes. I'll give the math a go now. Actually kinda enjoy it lol.Comment -
Indy to win it all? Really? I mean I can understand picking them to win the East but there was no way even when they were at their best they were going to beat an elite WC team. That said kind of a pointless debate as we'll never know I guess even if they somehow make the finals because the perception on them has changed so drastically.
Agreed on the Spurs.Comment -
I understand how you feel but at the end of the day you know all the "due" stuff is BS right?
I thought about taking Arsenal live not to be too disappointed if Hull choked that lead, didn't, and of course they lost lol. Still a decent day as Barcelona lost the league can't have em all. Glad someone profited from it at any rate.Comment -
I'm torn on tonight's game. I'm pretty sure Spurs win but it might be close near the end.
What do you think, seto?Comment -
I'm actually not sold the Spurs will do well if/when a game gets close in this series. They obviously can't stop KD and Russ very well and I'm not sure they can get enough stops late, not to say OKC will get too many either but that's the way I see it.
I currently really have no feel for the game tbh. Not sure I will bet it. The over seems like a logical play again, maybe I should start with the totals again as I would've won easily the last 2 days but the thing is I have no idea what's going on in Scott Brooks' head, and a lot of whether the game goes over or not rests on what lineups he uses.Comment -
By the way, Spurs series is -435... If it dips to -400 I might grab some of that.Comment -
You gonna eat the juice?
I'm plotting a Spurs win the title future, just trying to figure out if now is the best time to bet it or not. Could OKC get the split tonight and then we get Spurs -170 tomorrow (and conversely much better title odds)? (seems like a fair prediction as it would have to be a nice little chunk less juice than the original -230 as OKC is clearly at a better position at 1-1 than 0-0)Comment -
That's what I'm actually wondering. If OKC can steal one on the road we can grab the Spurs at the original -200. Don't think it will be anything under that.
I already have futures on spurs-heat finals and spurs champs. I just think if it actually dips to -400 it's good value as long as I'm sure they will win the game. I hate laying that much juice but I just might have to.Comment -
Should be under that OKC is way way better off at 1-1 than 0-0. And if they win the perception on them goes way way up.
See where you're coming from I hate it too. The only time I did it was OKC and Clippers to win their respective divisions each at -500 at the all star break. Both already had 5 game leads -500 was absolutely ridiculous odds, honestly each bet had a 95+ percent chance of hitting.Comment -
OKC is steaming right now. line will go to 5.5 soon.Comment -
I think I'm laying off the game, I truly have no clue what will happen.
Looking at some props, won't force any though I can't do dumb shit like yesterday again. It may be a better idea to lay off there too except a KD or Russ prop as they're the only ones pretty much guaranteed big minutes in the game.
Hard to know what lineup adjustments will be made before and during the game given how many unpredictable and weird lineups Scotty Brooks can throw out there. Maybe Goat can enlighten us if he checks in?Comment
