2013/14 NBA Thread

[Seto]

good job seto. should we flip a coin to see what we do about the wiz-pacers game?

Gotta think Wiz finally have this and can't go 0-3 at home but

I still have all that cash in play and I can't say I feel super comfy about it... If they win game 6 obviously I'll be fine, +1.5 games will be a winner and +1 games at worst a push. I think they should at least have that but I'm undecided whether I hedge a bit of the bets anyway...

That said I do really think Wiz win pretty easy tomorrow by 15 or so... Then it goes 7 and probably a close-ish game.

[Seto]

STUPID mother rooster_eater referee, my team had 3 penaltys, and he didnt blow the whistle....
and now they lost in penaltys lottery bahhhhhhh

Damn. How do you take all the final heartbreaks year after year?

So hard being a fan.

[Seto]

Clippers-4.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
Clippers-10.5 +220 (paddy power) (risking 0.5x to win 1.1x)

Clippers series +350 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 3.5x)

Wizards-10.5 +230 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 2.3x)

As of now I'm leaning towards not hedging anything which is probably a colossal mistake but I'll see tomorrow.

[Pauulzcappin]

I think clippers are the play tomorrow as well.

gonna rewatch last wizards game though.

[Seto]

Clippers-4.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
Clippers-10.5 +220 (paddy power) (risking 0.5x to win 1.1x)

Clippers series +350 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 3.5x)

Wizards-10.5 +230 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 2.3x)

As of now I'm leaning towards not hedging anything which is probably a colossal mistake but I'll see tomorrow.

I even knew it but didn't listen to myself.

As I posted in another thread:

This is really gonna be one of the "hardest to take" things I've ever experienced in gambling. Just really really hard to accept the way this game and this whole series have gone.

Between my bad bet to begin with on this stupid shitty team, their choke in game 4, my dumb decision not to hedge in game 4, my decision to hedge in game 5 which was useless but then not following it up with a logical hedge in game 6 WHICH WAS THE PLAN ALL ALONG.

Worst hedger ever. Ever.

This is really really really really gonna sting.

Just so hard to accept. So so hard. That hedge in game 5 then not following it up with one in game 6 is just an absolute retard move and a killer. It really just fukking kills me. I'm on MAJOR tilt right now like I actually haven't been in a long long time so I'd probably be best served to stay the fukk away from watching the Clips/Thunder game because before I know it I'll have a 3k live wager in play.

[KRIT]

Clippers-4.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
Clippers-10.5 +220 (paddy power) (risking 0.5x to win 1.1x)

Clippers series +350 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 3.5x)

Wizards-10.5 +230 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 2.3x)

As of now I'm leaning towards not hedging anything which is probably a colossal mistake but I'll see tomorrow.

Clipps

[KRIT]

Damn, late money pouring in on OKC. Of course I can't get a good line for shit.

[Seto]

Clipps

Bro I don't even care anymore (I will care if I lose it and bet huge live on them which I'm hoping won't happen just out of principle). I'm just broken right now. Between by own stupidity and that of this stupid Wizards team I don't know what's worse.

[Seto]

I took Clippers-8 1H at one point then put some on OKC+9.5 as well.

If that fukking bag of dogshit Matt Barnes could've made his second FT I woulda caught my middle smh. At least I "half" caught it, that said I had more on Clippers-8.

[Seto]

Today: 0-7, -21.68x
Total: 248-295-9, +26.87x

And that doesn't even tell the whole story. I didn't even really chase just thought Clips will pull off that 4th and went huge.

90% of my recent winning run since game 3 clips/warriors down the drain. (not even exaggerating, 89.7% to be precise)

I have one of those horrible days every year where I lose huge, last year I followed it up by something like 14 consecutive winning days. Just gonna have to do that again. The couple days off never tend to be a good thing for me when I'm winning before the break, but maybe this time coming off a big loss it will help me. Just another bump in the road.

[NBA Maniac]

Damn. How do you take all the final heartbreaks year after year?

So hard being a fan.

i am getting pissed, is the 8th consecutive european final they Loose, BAHHHHHHHH

[unitedlad]

Starting of the conference finals with a big 7.5u bet for a repeat of last years Championsip matchup.

2.23 at bet365.

[Seto]

Starting of the conference finals with a big 7.5u bet for a repeat of last years Championsip matchup.

2.23 at bet365.

gl...

I'm not sure yet about that...

I do know I would probably take Spurs series over Miami though. I am not sure they beat the Thunder however. Difficult matchup for them.

Miami will take one in Indiana just not sure which. Maybe I should go with a chase as has been suggested to me even though I've never used that strategy before. I actually kinda feel like they win game 2 more than game 1, for no reason in particular really.

I have to have a good conference finals like last year, bloody need it bad. I can't finish the playoffs down, that would be disheartening... Always prided myself on doing well in the NBA playoffs.

[Seto]

Heat to win series 4-0 +450 (bet365) (risking 3x to win 13.5x)

I'm not certain this will happen at all but no way I can pass up +450. If the Heat care to sweep them there's a very good chance they will but they usually fukk around in these types of series so if I'm feeling it I will go the other way in a game or two.

Certainly if Miami loses game 1 I will have a monster play on them in game 2, if not I'll either ride this sweep out or place something on Indiana depending on how I feel it.

Gotta make sure I pay attention to props in this series cause they were very good to me in last year's matchup between these two.

[Seto]

Concerning the West matchup I'm not sure what to think yet. I'm probably going to watch game 1 with little to no action on it and go from what I see there.

[unitedlad]

I quite like pacers tonight. Think the value lies in the half time bet. How do the pacers not come out strong tonight? This is what they have fought for all regular season. It's here. It's now. If they don't come out and give 100 (couldn't find the percent sign on my phone keypad lol) then what the hell was the point.

I just get the feeling after a successful series whooping the wizards, they go into this one full of confidence, and at least tonight, rekindle the forum of the regular season.

Thought seto? You doing that miami chase? I believe this goes to miami 1-1.

[Seto]

I quite like pacers tonight. Think the value lies in the half time bet. How do the pacers not come out strong tonight? This is what they have fought for all regular season. It's here. It's now. If they don't come out and give 100 (couldn't find the percent sign on my phone keypad lol) then what the hell was the point.

I just get the feeling after a successful series whooping the wizards, they go into this one full of confidence, and at least tonight, rekindle the forum of the regular season.

Thought seto? You doing that miami chase? I believe this goes to miami 1-1.

They didn't really whoop the Wizards, more about the Wizards committing suicide, which I obviously should have seen coming.

It probably goes back to Miami 1-1 but I wouldn't discount Miami winning both assuming they actually care to, which isn't a given.

If the Pacers lose tonight but at least look halfway decent I may play them in game 2, we'll see.

[Seto]

Dwyane Wade over 18,5 points +105 (pinnacle) (risking 2x to win 2.1x)

[unitedlad]

How often does this happen in a player prop bet? It starts off excellent and then this? 1 point from a star player in 12 minutes. Happens every fking time.

[Seto]

How often does this happen in a player prop bet? It starts off excellent and then this? 1 point from a star player in 12 minutes. Happens every fking time.

He's been sitting for 3 mins now though. Should play the whole 4th unless the game gets out of hand and they pull the plug.

[NBA Maniac]

He's been sitting for 3 mins now though. Should play the whole 4th unless the game gets out of hand and they pull the plug.

he have 18

[Seto]

yeah need one more if only he hadn't bricked that ft, didn't expect any less though lol.

[unitedlad]

Yeah as soon as he missed that 2nd ft I just knew that what would cost us

Edit: Bang

I've got Indiana ht, ml and +2.5. Let's go

[unitedlad]

lol 27 points

[Seto]

lol 27 points

Lance Stephenson should've kept his mouth shut lol. This was an easy play. I'm just always reluctant to go big on props for whatever reason.

[Seto]

Today: 1-1, -0.9x
Total: 249-296-9, +25.97x

[Seto]

Heat-2 -108 (pinnacle) (risking 5.4x to win 5x)

Note my units are back to the typical 100 until further notice ie most likely the rest of the way.

[KRIT]

Really surprised to see Heat open at only -2. Heat have to be the play, but I think there may be a chance they go down 0-2. If they go down 0-2, I'll have no problem going huge on Heat ML and spread.

[unitedlad]

Skybet got heat ml at -125. Got to bite the juice on this one.

[Seto]

Really surprised to see Heat open at only -2. Heat have to be the play, but I think there may be a chance they go down 0-2. If they go down 0-2, I'll have no problem going huge on Heat ML and spread.

I'm not surprised at the opener tbh, they opened -1 in game 1, seems like a fair enough adaptation to the fact Miami will be desperate that obviously wasn't gonna be too big because of the Pacers looking good today.

Every time this team has not had HCA they've actually lost big in game 1 (Bulls 2011, Thunder 2012). They always bounce back in game 2, and actually didn't lose another game the rest of these series.

The under is probably a play too but I'm not a huge totals guy.

[Seto]

Skybet got heat ml at -125. Got to bite the juice on this one.

pretty good considering pinny is at -133 yeah.

[Pauulzcappin]

I think Heat is a good play on game 2 really seto. I don't feel that they will come back if they go down 0-2 so they will play with a lot of urgency. bosh will perform his usual and they take this one home.

[Seto]

I think Heat is a good play on game 2 really seto. I don't feel that they will come back if they go down 0-2 so they will play with a lot of urgency. bosh will perform his usual and they take this one home.

agreed. i'm already on them, probably will add some bets later on, thinking about taking them 1h and alt spread. also if wade's line is under 20 again i will probably hit it too.

[t-wizzle]

What do you think about tonight bro? Spurs roll?

[Seto]

What do you think about tonight bro? Spurs roll?

I'm not sure what to think of the game or the series to be honest as of now.

How important do you make out the Ibaka injury to be? I mean he's a nice player but everyone has gone from this being a 50/50 series to pencilling in the Spurs to the finals, not sure he's THAT big of a difference.

I think the Thunder at +200 or whatever for the series is decent value but seeing as I already have a unit on them to win the West at +350, I'm very happy with that and not gonna add to it.

Spurs will win a couple of games at least just based on their flawless execution for sure though.