2013/14 NBA Thread

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  • Seto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-16-11
    • 12906

    #281
    Talk about small margins. My heart nearly sank when that K-Mart J looked in.
    Comment
    • fitguy67
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-13-11
      • 5082

      #282
      meh...just lyk the other one with the capital G...never gives you everything you ask for...

      hey, Seto, you might be interested in the way i put on my ML/HC bets so that they've got a built in "escape clause" or push if your dog covers but doesn't win (or your fave wins but doesn't cover)...works exactly like the -1 hc in soccer (you win if a major win...but consolation push on a minor win)

      ml at +175 (b365): -36.37 / + 63.64

      +3.5 hc at -108 (pin): -39.28 / + 36.37
      _____________

      total bet (what i call a "hard/easy hybrid" or heh) at +132.20: -75.65 / + 100.01

      with the 51-53 result the easy one (the +hc on the dog) hits, winning just enough to finance the hard part (the ml on the dog)

      so as long as the easy half of the bet hits, it doesn't cost me anything...kinda' like the -1 hc in soccer
      Last edited by fitguy67; 12-21-13, 12:03 AM.
      Comment
      • Seto
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-16-11
        • 12906

        #283
        Originally posted by fitguy67
        meh...just lyk the other one with the capital G...never gives you everything you ask for...

        hey, Seto, you might be interested in the way i put on my ML/HC bets so that they've got a built in "escape clause" or push if your dog covers but doesn't win (or your fave wins but doesn't cover)...works exactly like the -1run-line in baseball...

        ml at +175 (b365): -36.37 / + 63.64

        +3.5 hc at -108 (pin): -39.28 / + 36.37
        _____________

        total bet (what i call a "hard/easy hybrid" or heh) at +132.20: -75.65 / + 100.01

        with the 51-53 result the easy one (the +hc on the dog) hits, winning just enough to finance the hard part (the ml on the dog)

        so as long as the easy half of the bet hits, it doesn't cost me anything...kinda' like the -1 hc in soccer
        i get where you're coming from and definitely not a bad strategy if it works for you.

        i actually don't have any particular rhyme or reason to how i spread out my bets on spread and ml, but usually it'll be for example for 5 units if it's a huge dog 4 spread/1 ml, a medium dog 3.5/1.5 and a small dog 3/2... pretty standard stuff.

        it can actually depend on my mood too. when i'm pissy i really don't feel like losing a 2-pt dog because they lost by 1 and i took the ml.. So I will sometimes just take the points to ensure my mental health after the game. After all, it can also save me money since it decreases the chances of my going on real tilt (although i haven't done that in a while, since game 6 clips/griz last year to be exact when i did a whole lot of live chasing and lost a lot on top of my pre-game losers, hopefully i've actually turned a corner this time..)
        Comment
        • Tommy Karate
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-12-13
          • 13445

          #284
          Originally posted by fitguy67
          i need both lakers bets to hit too...let's channel the positive vibes for this game to continue along the same road started in the 1st quarter...

          dear God...7 more minutes of good laker play, please...with extra padding to carry over for the second half...oh yeah, and "hold the amazing"...dump it all in on the games we ain't playin' ok?
          x3.....lets hope the lakeshow can hold on for the 3 of us..
          Comment
          • fitguy67
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-13-11
            • 5082

            #285
            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
            x3.....lets hope the lakeshow can hold on for the 3 of us..
            yeah...i logged into my god.com account and extended the prayer to cover the second half with special attention to keep the "amazing" shit out of the final few minutes...
            Comment
            • Seto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-16-11
              • 12906

              #286
              Why is Kaman still in the NBA? Fool can't even make layups.

              edit/looks like he has 6 and 3 on 3-5 shooting so acceptable. just had to only watch the worst play he made all game.
              Comment
              • fitguy67
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-13-11
                • 5082

                #287
                Originally posted by Seto
                it can actually depend on my mood too. when i'm pissy i really don't feel like losing a 2-pt dog because they lost by 1 and i took the ml.. So I will sometimes just take the points to ensure my mental health after the game. After all, it can also save me money since it decreases the chances of my going on real tilt (although i haven't done that in a while, since game 6 clips/griz last year to be exact when i did a whole lot of live chasing and lost a lot on top of my pre-game losers, hopefully i've actually turned a corner this time..)
                i understand you perfectly...in fact i wrote this a few days ago on D2D's thread after the POR (+4.5) 119-116 CLE horseshit ending.

                Originally posted by fitguy67
                had to pop in for yet another "where amazing happens" gnashing-of-teeth session...a number of days back i declared that i'd had it for any negative spreads in the NBA...because of shit like this...(POR -4.5)...they're up comfortably by 7 points with 34 seconds left...then manage to get tied AND then win by 3 points..(first of all, how is it even possible to blow a 7-point lead in 34 seconds in a game with a 29-second shot clock and guys who presumably are no strangers to shooting fouls?)...the size of the spread is not a secret to anyone on the floor...game smells like bad fish on an increasingly-regular basis

                having the anti-amazing shield in place (ie. the ML) is an expensive way to go...but it's protected me from putting a brick thru my monitor more than once since i made this vow

                I notice you're moving in this direction too as i've noticed NBA ML's popping up more and more on your cards...

                to make such a practice easier to swallow, i risk exactly one unit on such a play and treat it as if it were simply the first leg of a one-unit multi-leg BB-fave ml open-spot parlay...

                FAR BETTER to get to keep your 100 and make 50 bucks with a smile on your face...than feel like you've had 110 stolen AND been gang-raped at the same time
                Comment
                • Seto
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-16-11
                  • 12906

                  #288
                  hah - anti amazing shield. not bad.

                  i see the association with soccer too, -1 is always a good thing to have to avoid paying chalky -185 mls (-105 or so instead) or so and still not lose as long as the team wins the game.
                  Comment
                  • fitguy67
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-13-11
                    • 5082

                    #289
                    come'on lake-whores...cover (and if it's not TOO much to ask...maybe even WIN) for Fit, Seto & Tommy at least...three of the least objectionable SBR-degens you could think of...a glance at the scoreboard reveals a 4-point lead and 7.5 minutes on the clock...where's a good "fingers crossed" emoticon when you need it?
                    Comment
                    • Seto
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-16-11
                      • 12906

                      #290
                      this pekovic guy is such a fukking nuisance on the boards.. game would be over if he hadn't cleaned up for minn last 3 possessions.
                      Comment
                      • Seto
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-16-11
                        • 12906

                        #291
                        wow pau unreal.

                        Comment
                        • Vinnie Paz
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-27-12
                          • 12177

                          #292
                          Pau gasol!! Wow!!!
                          Comment
                          • fitguy67
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-13-11
                            • 5082

                            #293
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #294
                              Toay: 6-5, +0.77x
                              Total: 101-88, +68.21x
                              Last edited by Seto; 12-21-13, 01:10 AM. Reason: took wrong record as basis
                              Comment
                              • Seto
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-16-11
                                • 12906

                                #295
                                Nice job Tommy and fitguy

                                Comment
                                • Seto
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-16-11
                                  • 12906

                                  #296
                                  Originally posted by Seto
                                  Saturday

                                  Cavs+7 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
                                  Bulls-3 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 0.83x to win 0.79x)
                                  Comment
                                  • freeeze
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-12-11
                                    • 363

                                    #297
                                    You got a lean on the OKC - Spurs game ? Spurs haven't shown up in all games against the really good teams and I'm not sure they care that much. Only reason I'm reluctant to bet OKC is their away form, the drop-off in their performance on the road worries me a bit.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seto
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-16-11
                                      • 12906

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by freeeze
                                      You got a lean on the OKC - Spurs game ? Spurs haven't shown up in all games against the really good teams and I'm not sure they care that much. Only reason I'm reluctant to bet OKC is their away form, the drop-off in their performance on the road worries me a bit.
                                      sorry didn't see this til now.. my only lean of the day really was gs and i still don't know if i'm playing it 5 mins from tip
                                      Comment
                                      • Seto
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-16-11
                                        • 12906

                                        #299
                                        Today: 1-1, -1.22x
                                        Total: 102-89, +66.99x

                                        Can already 99% guarantee no plays for tomorrow, only 3 games and awful ones to bet on imo. Onto monday and xmas day cards.
                                        Comment
                                        • Seto
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-16-11
                                          • 12906

                                          #300
                                          Pelicans+1 -103 (marathonbet) (risking 3.09x to win 3x)
                                          Comment
                                          • Seto
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-16-11
                                            • 12906

                                            #301
                                            Like Nets and Magic a bit too but waiting for now. Probably a unit or so on each.
                                            Comment
                                            • YINSANITY
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 12-21-13
                                              • 94

                                              #302
                                              Originally posted by Seto
                                              Like Nets and Magic a bit too but waiting for now. Probably a unit or so on each.
                                              like the magic pick.
                                              dunno about nets though.
                                              Comment
                                              • Seto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-16-11
                                                • 12906

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by YINSANITY
                                                like the magic pick.
                                                dunno about nets though.
                                                they should play hard in the first game without lopez and they are not that awful when they set their mind to it. like getting those pts with the home side.

                                                fading indiana is hard though.
                                                Comment
                                                • Seto
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                  • 12906

                                                  #304
                                                  Magic ml +108 (marathonbet) (risking 1x to win 1.08x)
                                                  Nets+6.5 +104 (marathonbet) (risking 0.8x to win 0.83x)
                                                  Nets ml +265 (marathonbet) (risking 0.2x to win 0.53x)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nelsonrc24
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-02-13
                                                    • 1578

                                                    #305
                                                    Love Magic tonight. Knicks are slow and cant score in the paint.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seto
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 12906

                                                      #306
                                                      Pelicans-9 +300 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.5x)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seto
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                        • 12906

                                                        #307
                                                        Soon gonna have to add the Pacers to the "never-fade-against-bad-teams" list along with the Spurs.

                                                        Need Pelicans bad.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JustSomeCash
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-26-13
                                                          • 561

                                                          #308
                                                          Originally posted by Seto
                                                          Pelicans-9 +300 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.5x)



                                                          Awesome job man, really one of the sharpest cappers that SBR can offer.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Heisenberg
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 07-09-12
                                                            • 80

                                                            #309
                                                            Good hit on the Pelicans tonight!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Seto
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-16-11
                                                              • 12906

                                                              #310
                                                              Yesterday: 2-3, +2.5x
                                                              Total: 104-92, +69.49x
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seto
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-16-11
                                                                • 12906

                                                                #311
                                                                Originally posted by JustSomeCash




                                                                Awesome job man, really one of the sharpest cappers that SBR can offer.
                                                                Originally posted by Heisenberg
                                                                Good hit on the Pelicans tonight!


                                                                Comment
                                                                • europe_baller
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-01-12
                                                                  • 859

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Originally posted by Seto
                                                                  Soon gonna have to add the Pacers to the "never-fade-against-bad-teams" list along with the Spurs.

                                                                  Need Pelicans bad.
                                                                  absolutely right.. spurs and now pacers are most of the time either bet them or walk away... they are just too good too deep and play good fundamental ball and they just destroy you over 48 minutes..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seto
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                                    • 12906

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Nets-3 -108 (pinnacle) (risking 2.16x to win 2x)

                                                                    Don't know how much I can be around today. As of now no other leans
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Seto
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                                      • 12906

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Clippers+4.5 -103 (marathonbet) (risking 1.6x to win 1.5x)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Seto
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                                        • 12906

                                                                        #315
                                                                        xmas day: 0-1, -2.16x
                                                                        yesterday: 1-0, +1.5x
                                                                        Total: 105-93, +68.83x

                                                                        Blazers have to be the flukiest team on NBA history.. I swear their last 4 or 5 wins have all been miraculous. This team is in for BIG TIME regression. So I will keep fading. The funny thing is that as long as they win these types of games dog spreads against them will cash so even if this bullshit keeps up I will still win.
                                                                        Comment
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