CK's Leans for Tuesday 2/10/09
Collapse
X
-
GreatDanes52SBR Sharp
- 01-12-09
- 297
#71Comment -
nonsense48SBR MVP
- 12-15-08
- 2927
#72peter, let's get 'emComment -
ANDYW15SBR MVP
- 07-28-08
- 1254
#73Booked plays for me
The association
Cavs -5.5
Spurs -5
Okc +12
Raps -2.5
My puck plays for today -
LA Kings ML -145
Redwings PL +160
CBJ/Avs over 5.5. -110Comment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
-
solobassSBR MVP
- 01-15-09
- 1277
#75right now i cannot lay my cash on the pistons especially with sheed/ai and others looking toward the all star break. joe d needs to trade for amare and move out some of the non effort (sheed) guys.Comment -
DexterBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-24-08
- 25829
#76look at that thunder money coming in - i love it and hate it all at the same time.Comment -
repskiSBR MVP
- 02-01-09
- 1929
#77MARQUETTE is 3-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasonsComment -
DexterBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-24-08
- 25829
#78booked plays-
cavs -6.5 (big)
thunder +12Comment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
#79I see 26% on the Thunder at Sportsinsights, Dexter. You can best believe that the Laker backers will make it more lopsided before gametimeComment -
DexterBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-24-08
- 25829
-
solobassSBR MVP
- 01-15-09
- 1277
#82
damn sheep! what drives me nuts is jokers that automatically throw money down on cleveland, lakers, boston without capping at all. of course it does not drive me too nuts because i am taking their money! when i see a team like orlando that is 33-16-1 you have to know they will see some inflated lines in the 2nd half of the season. the lakers have seen inflated lines all year, and i saw value there once bynum went out with an injury. i mean the thunder are 30-19-2 ATS and 15-8 ATS at home and there has been value there all year let's clean up on those plays as well!Comment -
nonsense48SBR MVP
- 12-15-08
- 2927
#83ck, you don't think the flu moving thru the heat locker room will have any effect on this game? i took den+1 for just that reason and denver isn't a half bad teamComment -
solobassSBR MVP
- 01-15-09
- 1277
#84Comment -
nonsense48SBR MVP
- 12-15-08
- 2927
#85zactly solo lolComment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
#86I think that the intravenious fluids will be applied and the gang will be okay when they hit the floor. The Heaters will avenge the loss to the Nuggets earlier this year. Denver is a good team to b sure, but they are in a difficult situation with Orlando in their next game, and may chalk up the Heat as a win looking forward to that game. Big spot for a letdown. The Heat are hungry and are also a good home team. The blowout loss to the Nets was a telling game for the Nuggets as they overlooked the Nets due to VC's injury. Miami is much the same as the Nets with their makeup. Since this is a home gamefor the Heat, they will get the calls down the stretch, and prevail. I would probably take the Nuggets in the next game against the Magic though, as Chaucney Billups will outshine anything that the Magic will be able to put on the floor to guard him, and the Nuggets length and three point shooting will keep them in the game until the end.Comment -
BelieveTheHypeSBR Wise Guy
- 01-03-09
- 747
#87nobody likes sac +13 vs dallas with terry out and dirk coming off of 34 shots?Comment -
MrMonkeySBR MVP
- 11-09-08
- 2278
#88CK, already bet Denver. Coach will do everything possible to get win tonight with Magic waiting. A total ***t effort against NJ! Heat shot ungodly against Char. and just barely won. Hopefully Wade won't be 100%?
MrMonkeyComment -
CarloTwoGunsSBR MVP
- 01-22-09
- 1024
#89NBA[703] CLEVELAND -4-160 (B+2½)
NBA[706] MIAMI EV
NBA[707] SAN ANTONIO -3-140 (B+1½)
NBA[710] TORONTO v MINNESOTA u194-110
NBA[711] SACRAMENTO +14-170 (B+3)
NBA[715] OKLAHOMA CITY +15-170 (B+3)
NBA[718] GOLDEN STATE -1-170 (B+3)Comment -
Achilles15SBR High Roller
- 01-25-09
- 156
#91i bet oklahoma city at +13, anyone know wher i can get +15???? did you actually make this bet carlo, or are you just posting plays,because no one has +15Comment -
BoomerOK95SBR High Roller
- 08-22-08
- 191
#94BUY three points ? well why not buy six? laying 170 , good liuck with thatComment -
BelieveTheHypeSBR Wise Guy
- 01-03-09
- 747
#95tcu +15
michigan state -2
raptors/wolves u194
spurs -3
thunder +14
kings +14Comment -
DexterBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-24-08
- 25829
#96CK - so there is clear RLM in the laker game with 70% of the public on the lakers, yet the line has dipped from 14 to 11.5. now, what if right before tip-off, the line moves back to 13.
does this negate the RLM angle on the thunder?
does this indicate the smart money is now on the lakers?
or do the true sharps always move the opening line (by looking for "off" lines)?
-my take is that the sharps always move the opening line by finding "off" lines. the way i see it, the professional gambler is making plays early in the day - while joe public is placing bets before tip-off to simply have action on the game.
anyone can chime in, but i would like cocknockers take on this.Comment -
SamsNCharge99SBR Aristocracy
- 10-22-08
- 41242
#97CK - so there is clear RLM in the laker game with 70% of the public on the lakers, yet the line has dipped from 14 to 11.5. now, what if right before tip-off, the line moves back to 13.
does this negate the RLM angle on the thunder?
does this indicate the smart money is now on the lakers?
or do the true sharps always move the opening line (by looking for "off" lines)?
-my take is that the sharps always move the opening line by finding "off" lines. the way i see it, the professional gambler is making plays early in the day - while joe public is placing bets before tip-off to simply have action on the game.
anyone can chime in, but i would like cocknockers take on this.
Hey DEX, I hope you noticed the things I did for you.Comment -
DexterBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-24-08
- 25829
#98yes sir - great job!Comment -
nonsense48SBR MVP
- 12-15-08
- 2927
#99well gang, okc is a lock as i just got them+14 from the dishwasher at the local diner here and this guy hasn't cashed a ticket in forever.Comment -
MVFC182SBR High Roller
- 12-08-08
- 112
#100Ill be on Cleveland today but I fancy it to be closer than first thought. Indiana's lack of a big man wasn't a worry at all as they dispatched Dwight Howard and the Magic a few days ago, but I expect Cavs outside shooting to be the difference as I think Dunleavy is injured and may missComment -
repskiSBR MVP
- 02-01-09
- 1929
#101My Booked Plays SO FAR:
Detroit/Nash over 5.5
CLEV -6
OKC +12.5
NYN/GS over 231
MARQUETTE +5Comment -
cocknockerRestricted User
- 11-06-08
- 8001
#102Yeah Dex,
The smart money will move the line when a time frame has been set up for them to get their plays off. it usually comes early, like in the wee hours of the morning once the incorrect line has been laid out. A late break for the favorite can't negate what is abundantly clear in the middle of the day, however. Even if the line goes back up to 14, the late break will still be negated byt what has transpired during the day, with respect to the doubt that has already been felt by the linemaker himself about the Lakers winning by 20. Because that basically is what this is all about. A late break for a home dog to become a lesser underdog with a smaller percentage of bettors on their side is the one exception. A prohibitive favorite should have a steady upward line increase to correspond with the amount of bettors on their side. The sharps don't wait for line movement. They make the line move. The sharps play early when they see an off line, but they are running on contact when the sportsbooks give the Wise Guys their moment of grace.
But i am also not really all the way buying the reporting of some of these line tracking services. They are not being completely honest. This marks one more time that I have caught Sportsinsights with an altered opening line, and thereby not showing the true movement of a particular line.
I'll take the Cleveland/Indiana game for instance...
In Vegas the line actually opened at 6 then it dipped to 5.5 for around almost 30 minutes (Wise Guy play time), and now it is at 6.5 with feelers for 7 at some books already. Apparently there was a wiseguy play made on Cleveland as the line dipped a bit at various casinos for them to make ther plays on Cleveland below the key number for a period between 11:19am and 11:46, with the exception of the Atlantis and Ceasar's books which came back with a 6 and 6.5 line respectively a little after 12 noon. Most books came back after 11:44 with lines of 6.5 (Nugget, Hilton, Stations) and the rest came back with 6 at 11:45.
There is definitely smart money on Cleveland and the line will go up to 7 soon on a few books, as there were feelers for 7 already on the Ceasar, LVSC and Venetian Line.
But getting back to the point, the Sportsinsights is not being all the way honest about where the line started to where it has ended up. The line jumped over a key number to meaning te Cavs mst win by 8 now. Any move over or under a key number is substantial becuase it either subtracts or adds two points onto the spread basically.Comment -
repskiSBR MVP
- 02-01-09
- 1929
#103Hofstra
little play on Hofstra..
6-1 ATS as dog of less than 6 points
ODU hammered the Hofstra last season by a 75-54 count
The avenging team in this series is 11-2 ATS.Comment -
schaapattackRestricted User
- 12-23-08
- 1007
#104THANKS ALOT CK..i FOLLOWED THE LINES YESTERDAY AND THE VERY EARLY MONEY ON THE GREEK WAS ON OKCITY AND TORONTO..THE LINES DROPED AT 2 POINTS IN 30 MINUTES IN BOTH GAMESComment -
anthonydiamondLCSBR MVP
- 11-02-08
- 2296
#105Toronto is the play tonight! No Al Jeffereson for the rest of the year kills the twolves.Comment
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code