I Got A New System for O/u betting

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 11:11 AM

any plays for today yett??

jtnguyen79 · 02-03-09, 11:13 AM

joana are you posting your plays anywhere too

joanapoker · 02-03-09, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by bkane

joana wheres the best place to find early lines. so your checking lines in the morning then comparing the movement before you select? b.

bkane,

I do the math before the lines even open or when early lines open, so I get a pretty good idea what is the first impression of the linesmaker.
If there is an early play, I will play right there (just like yesterday with CHA/UTA and as it turned out it was a good call).

Pinnacle sports, sportsinsights or bet365 to early lines

joanapoker · 02-03-09, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by 007Fatty

any plays for today yett??

no system plays for today!

But I'm playing two total bets:

MIN/IND OVER 218 (I'm seeing this game well over 220 mark, average combined score when both teams meet is 243)

CHI/HOU OVER 198 (The bulls are performing well and scoring 105.6 and allowing 99.4 in past 5 games, the Houston are scoring 102.2 and allowing 100.8! In the past two games between this two teams the average score was 210.5)

joanapoker · 02-03-09, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by jtnguyen79

joana are you posting your plays anywhere too

I'm just posting here. As soon as CK comeback to his regular NBA thread and after I arrive from Malaysia (I'm gonna be away from 8 to 18 Feb.) I will be posting there as usual!

bkane · 02-03-09, 12:09 PM

system 3-2

might not be a play tonight-- the system numbers and the game lines are just about the same.
we'll see what happens. bkane

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 02:45 PM

hey bkane and joana. there is a three man contest for bball going on. would either of you guys wanna be on my team?? thankss.

freeVICK · 02-03-09, 03:36 PM

just throwing these ideas out there...

-why only use past 3 game stats?

-maybe use home/away stats for the appropriate teams

has anyone tracked this for college basketball?

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 03:41 PM

no we should try it for college basketball.

bkane · 02-03-09, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by freeVICK

just throwing these ideas out there...

-why only use past 3 game stats?

-maybe use home/away stats for the appropriate teams

has anyone tracked this for college basketball?

this "system" is based on an old system that involved going back 3 games. All we're really doing is picking out a certain game or games on the card and fading the old system. bkane

bkane · 02-03-09, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by bkane

might not be a play tonight-- the system numbers and the game lines are just about the same.
we'll see what happens. bkane

no play tonight like i figured, we'll get 1 tomorrow plenty of games on the card. b.kane

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 04:11 PM

hey bkane try it out on a college game tonite. dont bet but see if it works!

bkane · 02-03-09, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by 007Fatty

hey bkane and joana. there is a three man contest for bball going on. would either of you guys wanna be on my team?? thankss.

how does it work 007....bkane

bkane · 02-03-09, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by 007Fatty

hey bkane try it out on a college game tonite. dont bet but see if it works!

i want to finish the nba test before trying college ball, plus the wife wants "me" time tonight.
sorry man

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 04:18 PM

well i would try it but this thing confuses the heck outta mee haha well we shall try it another day. because if it works for college too than thats a bonus we could have parlays going every night winning big moneeyhaha

alukk · 02-03-09, 04:18 PM

bkane any o/u today?

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 04:29 PM

noppee unless there is one for college.

GOD IM GOOD BB · 02-03-09, 07:20 PM

Hey bkane I haven't been on here in a long time and have just RELOADED as we like to say. I like the system but at what point do you say NO PLAY. For example last night all 3 games with the biggest differential lost, atleast with the final lines the book had. I was just wondering when in the system you don't play.

Ominous · 02-03-09, 08:34 PM

Backtracked the system 7000 games using a diffrence between the projected line and the actual line as the trigger conditon:

condition Play% Wins/Losses
7 p 50% 50,6%
10 p 35% 51,5%
15 p 15% 50,0%

Seems quite random to me. This system will not produce winners

007Fatty · 02-03-09, 08:57 PM

well its been winning soo far hah

GOD IM GOOD BB · 02-03-09, 09:15 PM

I see that lately it's been winning but was just wondering why houston/chi under wasn't a play with a line differential of 9 and being that it was the biggest of them all.

bkane · 02-03-09, 09:26 PM

Originally posted by GOD IM GOOD BB

I see that lately it's been winning but was just wondering why houston/chi under wasn't a play with a line differential of 9 and being that it was the biggest of them all.

the number for chi/hou i got with the system was 199, and my book had it at 198 for a differential of only 1.
i like to take the game with the biggest differential, has to atleast be around 5 or 6 points- then bet the opposite way the system says

bkane · 02-03-09, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by Ominous

Backtracked the system 7000 games using a diffrence between the projected line and the actual line as the trigger conditon:

condition Play% Wins/Losses
7 p 50% 50,6%
10 p 35% 51,5%
15 p 15% 50,0%

Seems quite random to me. This system will not produce winners

i'm sorry i don't understand those numbers- we're adding scores for both teams going back 3 games, dividing ,then adding them together.remember we're taking the one furthest from the line and doing opposite of what the system calls for. are you sure you tested it right? how do you go back and find this stuff out? b

GOD IM GOOD BB · 02-03-09, 09:35 PM

OK accidentally added the wrong game but you answered my question with the differential. CHI/HOU under looks good though....

007Fatty · 02-04-09, 12:09 AM

wow you guys big play tomorrow if im correct.

Phoenix/grand state over 229.
Atlanta/Minni. Under 202.5

bol=)

joanapoker · 02-04-09, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by joanapoker

no system plays for today!

But I'm playing two total bets:

MIN/IND OVER 218 Win (I'm seeing this game well over 220 mark, average combined score when both teams meet is 243)

CHI/HOU OVER 198 Win (The bulls are performing well and scoring 105.6 and allowing 99.4 in past 5 games, the Houston are scoring 102.2 and allowing 100.8! In the past two games between this two teams the average score was 210.5)

There weren't any system plays for today, but the system helps me to find some other good plays! Like today!

So Joanapoker total bets Record (with bkane system plays): 9-2-0 since posting

007Fatty · 02-04-09, 12:50 AM

wow you are so lucky lol.
i hope i can start hitting those. the funny thing is im at 11-5 going against sam. and i havent actually made a single bet on one of the ones i chose.. i think i may start:P

joanapoker · 02-04-09, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by Ominous

Backtracked the system 7000 games using a diffrence between the projected line and the actual line as the trigger conditon:

condition Play% Wins/Losses
7 p 50% 50,6%
10 p 35% 51,5%
15 p 15% 50,0%

Seems quite random to me. This system will not produce winners

U can't do like that! I've explained before in a past post!

The bkane system only helps u to get the number (that should be near the opening line of the bookies) if not u have to add some filters and see if the line is a trap or not!

joanapoker · 02-04-09, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by 007Fatty

wow you are so lucky lol.

maybe I'm lucky....time will tell.....

Originally posted by 007Fatty

i hope i can start hitting those. the funny thing is im at 11-5 going against sam. and i havent actually made a single bet on one of the ones i chose.. i think i may start:P

who is sam??

007Fatty · 02-04-09, 01:01 AM

haha noo i dont mean you are just getting lucky your good.
but i mean i wish i was hitting tthem like you are hah.
and sam is the dude putting on the tourneys.

joanapoker · 02-04-09, 01:14 AM

Nothing to do with totals but I'm already locking ORL -13

I think the line will go up in the morning!

Also locked NJ +1 (revenge play vs the 20 point loss at home in December and the 16-8 ATS road record for the nets just makes me wanting even more the nets plus the point....)

joanapoker · 02-04-09, 01:44 AM

SYSTEM PLAYs

MIA/DET UNDER 181
already locked this one too!!

ATL/MIN UNDER 202
PHX/GSW OVER 229

I'm also thinking playing this two:

DEN/OKC OVER 214
POR/DAL UNDER 199

VVET · 02-04-09, 05:50 AM

I hate unders - just my own hang-up. But I have been watching ya Joan and I think you are on to something here. I like your system so far. With you on the locks, including the unders. A bit leary on the Orlando spread because of the Nelson injury - but the books plus you and now me still dont let the injury shake us. BOL to all of us!

VVET · 02-04-09, 05:56 AM

This sums it up re: The Magic:

“We don’t change expectations at all,” Lee said. “We can’t say that we’re losing because Jameer is out. We all have to step it up so that there’s no drop off.”

Go Magic!

VVET · 02-04-09, 06:06 AM

Joana, if you have never been in Malaysia, and if you are going to KL, pm me and I will recommend some places for ya.