Leans for Wednesday 12/10/08

[cocknocker]

CTS5,

Toronto? In a word.........no.

Bookbuster,

I don't like parlays with less than 5 plays and nothing risked for over $25.00. I don't like San Antonio tonight at all, even though they have perfect trends against Atlanta in their last 5 home games against them. Double overtime is tough to overcome on a back to back. I like the under much more. Check Minnesota's record on back end of back to backs. My opinion?

Delete San Antonio and Minnesota.

If you must parlay, then you might as well go all the way. Take the $25.00 and two way it with New Orleans-11 and Phoenix+900 moneyline. More bang for your buck.

[natelli1]

love g state -1 and wud love to put in a reverse .. any thoughts on a 2nd team?

[cocknocker]

Man that linemaker is good. The consensus is now at 60-40% in favor of Golden State. Which means that all kinds of Milwaukee money is coming through the door now. And then I go back to my book a few seconds ago, and all of a sudden the line is now back up to Golden State-1.5. It was down to -1 a half hour ago. And as the evening goes on, I expect to see the consensus even up and get to 50% apeice or so once the final tally comes in. He shifted the line massaging the numbers ever so gently and for all that we know the line may go back to where it was originally.

[innovator]

CTS5,

Toronto? In a word.........no.

Bookbuster,

I don't like parlays with less than 5 plays and nothing risked for over $25.00. I don't like San Antonio tonight at all, even though they have perfect trends against Atlanta in their last 5 home games against them. Double overtime is tough to overcome on a back to back. I like the under much more. Check Minnesota's record on back end of back to backs. My opinion?

Delete San Antonio and Minnesota.

If you must parlay, then you might as well go all the way. Take the $25.00 and two way it with New Orleans-11 and Phoenix+900 moneyline. More bang for your buck.

what!? i thought your picks were meant to be parlayed except the suns.....oh boy I hope things turn out alright

[BigMoneyMan]

OK for the 7.00 games I am taking NY 1st half, Pacers and the Over.
Heres why: NY is playing great ball right now and should have a carryover. Plus NY has won the first half in NJ for as far back as I can see. The second game basically comes down to a team that is gelling and one that is in total disarray. Add the Craptors on a BTB and don;t see how they get this one but they should but up a fight until the fourth and then collapse. I believe they may be up at half but it will be close and the over is set higher than usual with everyone on the under. This will be a shootout. GL

[natelli1]

take the lakers -12 boris diaw n raja bell just got traded to the bobcats for jason richardson and they will obviously not be playing tonigght and shaq might not play becuase he played last night and terry porter does not play him on back-to-back nights

[Alex68]

Hi CK, so what are your final plays for today?

[Sloanie29]

my plays:

76ers (+4) 1st half

spurs/hawks under 189

3 team tease
knicks +15
Hornets -6
GSW +5.5

[peterpan19]

nice card again ck
will play them 500 each
gl

[cocknocker]

Suns are toast tonight. The traded away Sean Singletary, Raja Bell and Boris Diaw for Jason Richardson and Jared Dudley of the Bobcats. I can kiss my $100.00 good bye. That trade leaves the Suns extremely shorthanded on the bench tonight. But it sure looks good for New Orleans tonight as the Bobcats will be without their main scoring threat. Lots of volatility in the NBA today. What in the heck is going on? This isn't EA Sports....

[peterpan19]

f***k
no line is offline

[cocknocker]

My final plays are

Hornets-11
Warriors-1.5
Atlanta/San Antonio under 189.5
Phoenix+1000 moneyline (very small play, a gift to my book with the trade news)

[IrwinFletcher]

WOW.. thanks for the info guys.. fcukin Suns shoulda traded diaw last year along with Amare for KG when Minny wanted to..

[peterpan19]

no back on @ -14 ?
still ok ck ?

lakers -14, what do you think now ?

[BigMoneyMan]

Cleveland 1st quarter and half. Cleveland red hot on a BTB. They have outscored there away opponents by 6 on average and are 7-2 ats with no days rest. Philly is 0-3 on 3 days rest and has not won a first half at home against Cleveland.

[BigMoneyMan]

I want to say lakers here but I need to look at the game a little more.

[Alex68]

Ck, so with the trade, should be play under laker & under sun team total?

[wangichu]

alright... plays are posted

regular size plays:
GS -1.5
NO -11.5 (bought it early, fortunately)

smaller plays:
IND/TOR over 210 (credit Big Money)
LAL/PHO under 216

and a 7 pt parlay:
NO-7
LAL -7
ATL +13.5

good luck mafia and friends

[wangichu]

btw CK... you said to let you know if anyone sees 1Q wagers at +100 or better, well i'm showing

PHI +2 @ +110
DEN -4 @ +105
IND +1 @ even money

any of those look good?

[cocknocker]

Man the spread shot up to Los Angeles-14 and New Orleans -15 just that quick!

[cocknocker]

wang,

Yes. I love +100 wagers. i think that i will play them for $25.00 apiece to get my $100.00 back for the Phoenix moneyline wager!

Alex68,

Tease New Orleans wit the Lakers if anything. Kill off some of those points. And yes I do still like the under in the Phoenix/Lakers game.

[peterpan19]

looks like lakers spread might go down to -13.5
a lot of money on phx right now
probably play lakers -13.5

wont do no now

[wangichu]

decided to roll with you on those... a little late for indy, but got
ATL +2 even
PHI +2 +105
DEN -4 +105

just small wagers

[BigMoneyMan]

Deven Harris is killing my 1st half Nicks bet he is 6-6 and 2-2 behind the arc. YES 100%

[BrandonLaz]

Ouch that trade hurt me I went with you on all your plays except the NO play. I had the Bobcats +13 and +18 in a teaser. That is a huge trade for both those teams though it should help the Bobcats get some much needed defense. While it will give Phoenix another scoring option especially from the outside which they have really been lacking this year in my opinion.

[cocknocker]

Oh my God, I am going to take the Grizzlies in the 2nd half! The Thunder is shooting 62% and Memphis is shooting only 30%. That's not gonna continue. OKC does not have the talent to sustain that kind of lead

[tbond10]

Gotta tell you guys, I've posted in your thread before and... I don't tail all your plays but I do enjoy reading your thread each week and after doing my own (slight) due diligence I usually tail a couple and have done pretty well. NBA is not my sport and since I've been following your threads and picking a few here and there I have done quite well. I just checked into my hotel tonight (business trip) and right before hitting the concierge lounge for a couple of drinks I popped in the hawks under 189 and gs -1.5. Now, a couple of drinks deep and a couple more in front of me, it's time to sit back and enjoy the games. Good Luck fellas, and thanks for the read each week. By the way, in case anyone cares I also jumped on the zags -4 (think it popped to -6) but I still think it's a decent play.

[cocknocker]

Gosh darnnit! The Thunder couldn't even get that right. I was hoping to catch them up by 16 or more, and they let my money get away by allowing the Grizzlies to get back into it before the half. So i am leaving it alone. i was looking for an opportunity to put a couple of grand on the Grizzlies to do what they alreadt did. Trim that lead down to single digits. Oh well...

[tbond10]

Oh my God, I am going to take the Grizzlies in the 2nd half! The Thunder is shooting 62% and Memphis is shooting only 30%. That's not gonna continue. OKC does not have the talent to sustain that kind of lead

Grizzlies -3.5 103.5 o/u ... what are your thoughts now? They already cut the lead down big time (was hoping it would still be quite a big gap)...

Edit: You beat me to it... Guess I'll leave it alone

[cocknocker]

Okay, Mafia

I am sorry that I couldn't see the Toronto play, but oh well. I just didn't research that game when I saw that they were involved. I still can't put any money on the Raptors until they get a sustained identity. But there will be other days. I gave good information on Philly 1st half though for those that were interested in that game...I knew that the numbers didn't lie. But Cleveland is a beast, aren't they? But because of this blowout and the likelihood that they will have a gargantuan spread on Friday against these same Sixers, i will take the Sixers to cover the large number then. They will have plenty of time to review the game film and at the least stay within the number. it will be my first time this year betting against the Cavs, so Mo Cheeks better have his stuff together on Thursday in practice...

[showtime2000]

Hey Ck, with the SA/Atla 2nd half line set at -1.5 and 95 O/U, would the over not be strong play? San Antonio is on pace to hit the average at home of 94 which gives us 51 points on their behalf and Atla needing to play catch up in the 2nd half and SA legs should be feeling weak? Thoughts?

[killersweet]

Okay, Mafia

I am sorry that I couldn't see the Toronto play, but oh well. I just didn't research that game when I saw that they were involved. I still can't put any money on the Raptors until they get a sustained identity. ..

U did the right thing CK. U can't trust the raptors at this point. I put money on them cuz i went to the game. But other than that, I'll just wait for them to gain some sort of pattern. right now they are still a mess!

PS: I hope GST comes thru tonite!

[Sloanie29]

what is everyones play on the lakers/suns now?

[billcat]

Gosh darnnit! The Thunder couldn't even get that right. I was hoping to catch them up by 16 or more, and they let my money get away by allowing the Grizzlies to get back into it before the half. So i am leaving it alone. i was looking for an opportunity to put a couple of grand on the Grizzlies to do what they alreadt did. Trim that lead down to single digits. Oh well...

Wolves (wolves bucks... oops) / Nuggs may have a 2nd half play as well they are getting some lucky buckets I tell u.

Thanks for all the capping in BB, much appreciated.

[cocknocker]

You know, gentlemen...I am starting to like the Suns in the 1st half. They still have their core of skilled players that are starters, Leandro Barbosa, Steve Nash, Amare Stoudamire, Matt Barnes, Grant Hill. I think that they can keep it close for one half. i am taking the Suns+7.5 1st half for a small wager, before Amare Stoudamire gets into foul trouble.