Good luck everyone tonight, we need a good night here
nba chase 12/13
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DustyDiamondSBR Wise Guy
- 12-19-09
- 772
#4096Comment -
AlwarreteSBR Hustler
- 01-21-13
- 58
#4097Bad luck we didnt follow today the Toront fade. It looks we could coverComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#4098ORL will be 4th quarter bet, 3rd quarter is almost over.... CHA Is also possible if they are down 10+
I did not create or post the rules to 4th quarter system. Again it was stifler who brought it into this thread. Seems pretty simple, if a team loses first 3 quarters and are down by more than 10, bet them in the 4th quarter to cover the live spread.
Got ORL at +30.
stifler said 10+ points, so i got CHA at +11. They are down exactly 10pts.Last edited by J.M. Disciple; 02-13-13, 08:57 PM.Comment -
AlwarreteSBR Hustler
- 01-21-13
- 58
#4099Indiana
CavaliersComment -
John DeereSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-11
- 581
#4100
MAVS NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#4101i almost hedged the indy bet at half time.. glad i didnt let my vagina get in the way
nice winComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#4102TheLimit - erase some of your messages - you are full.Comment -
samrock67SBR Wise Guy
- 05-05-12
- 647
#4106tonight feels super goodComment -
John DeereSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-11
- 581
#4109BOOOOOOOOOOMComment -
RiceboiSBR Wise Guy
- 10-03-11
- 857
#4110Comment -
John DeereSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-11
- 581
#4111BEER Timeeeee !Comment -
ColdBeerHereSBR MVP
- 03-25-11
- 3626
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Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#4113I believe that was the BEST NIGHT OF THE YEAR!Comment -
njb5572SBR High Roller
- 01-29-12
- 126
#4114Felt like we were due so I parlayed all the games but Minny.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#4115Felt like we were due so I parlayed all the games but Minny.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#4116Only the 4th quarter system goes like 0-3 todayWaiting on LAC 3rd quarter to end...
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knugenSBR MVP
- 12-09-09
- 2612
#4117Lovely nightComment -
AskiiSBR Rookie
- 01-25-13
- 45
#4118Atlast.
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noveggiesSBR High Roller
- 01-24-13
- 110
#4119Heh, what a night. This thread cleared everything except the new Utah one, Wallco's managed to clear even though STL is a goddawful hockey team, and my little side-chase I've been working on managed to go 3-0 tonight despite being on the Houston U at 207 and that game having a 74-point first quarter. Thanks stiffler for assuring me that it would be impossible for the sac fade to fail tonightComment -
miczz14SBR High Roller
- 01-22-13
- 146
#4120stifler
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StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#412113.02.2013
S1
(C Bet) Ind: Indiana -7 2,20u | Indiana -8 3,52u | Indiana -10,5 7,39u
S2
(C Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u | Cleveland -6,5 2,31u | Cleveland +7 4,85u
(A Bet) Utah fade: Minnesota -2,5 1,10u
S3
(C Bet) Ind: Indiana -7 2,20u | Indiana -8 3,52u | Indiana -10,5 7,39u
S4
(D Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Hou -6 2,31u | Mem -8,5 4,85u| Dallas -10 10,19u
S1: W 54 | L 3 (- 1,35 units)
S2: W 28 | L 2 (- 8,90 units)
S3: W 17 | L 0 (+17,00 units)
S4: W 41 | L 1 (+24,55 units)
additional:
-1,10 units Den fade
-3,41 units S4 Tor fade > closing line covers
pending:
- S2 Utah fade, B Bet on 23.02.2013
________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
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StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#412214.02.2013
no plays todayComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#4125FUN WITH NUMBERS for the All Star Break.
I went back and added the final official Covers.com pointsspreads of every Chase game and there were only 2 differences. One was rather major which accounted for a 19.47 unit difference and one was a victory that should have been a push but they lost their next game so no harm done.
Also I was looking at the huge system losing streak which started January 30th and lasted 46 games.
Note - I was wrong we did lose 3 "D" games in a row which means 12 losses in a row which is a 1 in 6,693 chance using this systems averages.
In those 46 games we were
"A" games were 8-13
"B" games were 10-7
"C" games were 2-3
"D" games were 0-3
One oddity. The average pointspread loss in the 1st 218 games was -9.3 points, The average WIN was also by 9.3 points.
In the final 46 games the average loss was by . . . -9.3 points. Average win was by 9.0. weird
half point wins? we are 4-3. Buying a half point helps 1.1% of the time.
However - if you would have purchased 1/2 point on EVERY "A" game (as I tried to explain to you) you would have 13.18 more units in your bankroll. It would have cost you 6+ units but you would not have lost that extra "D" game. But I digress and will not speak of it again. ;-)
Correction - since we have only lost 7 "D" games you only lose that extra juice 7 times and would be +18.77 units buying a half point every "A" pick.
This is the official system chart with all extra games won or lost deleted and using covers.com closing lines.
+12.3 units
Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-14-13, 09:37 AM.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#4126Anyone interested in discussing some props since there are no plays?
Lebron U45 (points+rebounds+assist)
Nash U13.5 (points)
E.Clark (under 20.5 points + rebounds)
I like a lot of the unders for the props. I have some more,but avoided most of them with higher juice.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
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jimmy007ocSBR MVP
- 08-25-10
- 1699
#4128how??? 4Q bet is on the way... But wait till 8:30 in 4Q then bet on OKC. it's safer than bet from beginning of QComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#4129TWITTER #StiflersChase sorry guys - I was not a big Twitter for a while! Back active again but still learning this . . . NEW TECHNOLOGY LOLComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#4130Well, it was nice having ya around grinder... Gonna get yourself banned quick posting stuff like that unfortunatelyComment
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