nba chase 12/13

[John Deere]

An other hard night. A lot of play tomorrow, hopping for a big turnover !

[noveggies]

I gotta buy another red pen!

Between Wallco and Stiffler I've won 8 out of the last 32 games! hmmmm What kind of wagering system can make a winner out of 25% LOL

You know you are slumping when today's 1-8 day felt like winning big. It's made worse by he fact that it seems like every play at 5d is a loser and it's about to go busto.

[John Deere]

Worst team tomorrow is only +4 against celtics? Ouch !

[knugen]

Mm this +4 on bobcats feels really strange.!

[gamewinninglv]

Triple overtime today for Celtics, they will be TIRED against Bobcats.

[J.M. Disciple]

Thanks stiff for the teams of 4th quarter. I believe min and phx were plays today.

On the backtested lines, those were just 4th quarter lines right? Not live lines?

[noveggies]

atleast with stiflers system its not 30 units to win one.
and at +1.5 odds of -200 .. isnt that supposed to mean you win half of the time atleast... hockey is more messed than basketball.

Yeah, that's rough -- I feel like -200 to -280 games should have a winning record (but losing units overall if flat bet), but not a losing record!

[igorp3]

Do you think that terry hitting the last basket with dying seconds has something to do with Boston covering the line?

[jimmy007oc]

Thanks stiff for the teams of 4th quarter. I believe min and phx were plays today.

On the backtested lines, those were just 4th quarter lines right? Not live lines?

you can apply a Quarter line to test this system. but Its more accurate if you use a live line.

[Stifler]

10.02.2013

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston -6 4,85u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston -2 1,10u

S4

(B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston -6 2,31u
(A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 53 | L 2 (+16,10 units)
S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade

pending:
- S1 Sac fade, D Bet on 12.02.2013
- S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S1 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S3 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Cle, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S4 Sac fade, C Bet on 12.02.2013
- S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 12.02.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

11.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Ind: Indiana -7 2,20u | Indiana -8 3,52u
S2

(B Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u | Cleveland - waiting on line movement
(B Bet) Bos fade: Toronto -3 1,10u | Charlotte - waiting on line movement
(B Bet) Atl: Atlanta +6 1,10u | Atlanta - waiting on line movement

S3

(B Bet) Ind: Indiana -7 2,20u | Indiana -8 3,52u


- I cut both Indiana series down to 1unit.


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Bdeng]

nvm my mistake

[Grinder12000]

Anyone has the standing of each play

today's plays are bold.

S1B Follow 11-8
S1B Fade 1-4

S2B Follow 4-1
S2B Fade 1-4

S3B Follow 2-0
S3B Fade 4-2

[John Deere]

You forgot in the pending list :

Tor (fade) B play

[HowardRoark]

for 4th Quarter plays yesterday i took

MIN at +19.5 - WIN
PHX at +25 - LOSS

[HowardRoark]

Maybe we should have the 4Q discussion on another thread?

i'd be glad to share my plays and keep track of my stats. However, i sometimes will miss a play if the game is too late or I'm not able to check the scores. In fact, i had abandoned those plays altogether because i had a bad string of days where i missed a few plays that all won, and the ones i did get to play all lost. Talk about bad luck!

[noveggies]

Mm this +4 on bobcats feels really strange.!

All the lines moving against us (yell the 76ers over on 183.5 moved against me to 185 in about the 10 seconds it took to click through). and this is now +3.5. The bobcats are going to get so crushed tonight.

[Stifler]

- Charlotte & Cleveland line added.

11.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Ind: Indiana -7 2,20u | Indiana -8 3,52u

S2

(B Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u | Cleveland -6,5 2,31u
(B Bet) Bos fade: Toronto -3 1,10u | Charlotte +4 2,31u
(B Bet) Atl: Atlanta +6 1,10u | Atlanta - waiting on line movement

S3

(B Bet) Ind: Indiana -7 2,20u | Indiana -8 3,52u


- I cut both Indiana series down to 1unit.


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[HowardRoark]

i have the ATL chase as an S2 play. Where did i go wrong? hehe

[Grinder12000]

i have the ATL chase as an S2 play. Where did i go wrong? hehe

So did I - It was a cancel game - or something. I "squared" it as I did not bet it. hmmmmm maybe I just missed it like the New Orleans game last night!

S2A (A Bet) Atl: Atlanta +6 1,10u Feb 5th

[Ceebizcut]

So there is no harm in starting at B bets and betting them as A's right?
Since it's supposed to be a W one out of 4 times anyway

[Grinder12000]

Correct Ceebizcut. OR - you can treat it like a "B" and put 2 units on it as it was a loss.

Since it's supposed to be a W one out of 4 times anyway

I just wish that W would not come so late in the chase :-)

[Ceebizcut]

Correct Ceebizcut. OR - you can treat it like a "B" and put 2 units on it as it was a loss.



I just wish that W would not come so late in the chase :-)

I could see D games being kind of stressful, but not knock on wood if you guys just lost a D game or 2 maybe I picked a good time to jump in.
I'll throw some money down on B games tonight. Thanks for the input.

[bigtymer56]

for 4th Quarter plays yesterday i took

MIN at +19.5 - WIN
PHX at +25 - LOSS

What site are you using?

Btw, just curious. Am I the only one not touching that bobcats game?

[J.M. Disciple]

Maybe we should have the 4Q discussion on another thread?

i'd be glad to share my plays and keep track of my stats. However, i sometimes will miss a play if the game is too late or I'm not able to check the scores. In fact, i had abandoned those plays altogether because i had a bad string of days where i missed a few plays that all won, and the ones i did get to play all lost. Talk about bad luck!

The 4th quarter system was brought up by stifler himself I believe, and has been discussed in this thread many times. It is not like it is taking up a bunch of pages to talk about it. The ones that follow share when the plays come up which is much appreciated by others. Stifler post his plays early in the morning, so if you are only worried about his plays, just check in the morning and then do not read the forum until next day.

Based on the other 4th quarter link thread from last season, I think this is a better thread to share the 4th quarter in. If it took a bunch of room I would agree to start new thread, but only stiff's system is in here, so having two systems is not a big deal.

Better luck today guys. I hope law of averages is true....

[Askii]

today's plays are bold.

S1B Follow 11-8
S1B Fade 1-4

S2B Follow 4-1
S2B Fade 1-4

S3B Follow 2-0
S3B Fade 4-2

Thanks Grinder. Just S2B Fade looks bad but fading the Old Celtics on B2B after 3OT and heavy minutes for the celts. Cha looks good.

[Stifler]

i have the ATL chase as an S2 play. Where did i go wrong? hehe

edited, my bad.

[HowardRoark]

What site are you using?

Btw, just curious. Am I the only one not touching that bobcats game?

I use Pinnacle (im not in the US though)

[dlunc3]

dwill out tonight

[illisdre]

odds are miles against us.. a bridge too far..
indiana is now -9... and all the others tooo!

[dogs1972]

To fade or not to fade, that is the question.

[John Deere]

The lines scare me. Damn.

[noveggies]

odds are miles against us.. a bridge too far..
indiana is now -9... and all the others tooo!

I have resisted sitting out for a while now, but this bobcat and pacer line is just too crazy for me. I'm finally going to sit one out -- thus, you guys should pile on as I'm an 100% certain that as soon as I decide to sit a night out, is the night this system crushes (I feel like that is partly the reason this weekend was so rough - I was out of town, but made the effort to get online and follow even though I should have taken a break).

[John Deere]

I have resisted sitting out for a while now, but this bobcat and pacer line is just too crazy for me. I'm finally going to sit one out -- thus, you guys should pile on as I'm an 100% certain that as soon as I decide to sit a night out, is the night this system crushes (I feel like that is partly the reason this weekend was so rough - I was out of town, but made the effort to get online and follow even though I should have taken a break).

I'm also skipping the Pacers one.
Unless it go back to 8.5 (its not looking this way)

[Teamprofit101]

Where's asset? Havent seen his post for a while now....