nba chase 12/13

[GIVEMETHEMONEY]

Boston has won 5 in a row

Boston is playing well.

They have won 5 in a row.

[Stifler]

07.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Chic: Chicago +5 1,10u | Chicago +6 2,31u


- S1 Denver could also be played, but i will not play this series.


________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

So stifler how is it working for you the sweetjones55 picks?

I've read in the system plays forum that is cold as ice......

yes he is on a cold streak, but still up for the season.

[Grinder12000]

Anybody else noticing that the lines are now ALWAYS going against us?

[vigster]

Anybody else noticing that the lines are now ALWAYS going against us?

Always!!!

[Alwarrete]

06.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Chic: Chicago +5 1,10u | Chicago +6 2,31u


- S1 Denver could also be played, but i will not play this series.

Wrong date xD

[Alwarrete]

BTW, can anybody tell me if the Spread sheet i linked yesterday is wrong or something?? I think it doesnt work correctly or maybe i dont know how to....

[John Deere]

Anybody else noticing that the lines are now ALWAYS going against us?

Books are vs the system.

[CheeseHead]

Lol you guys crack me up thinking that we are moving the line from this thread. Are you betting 10k units or what?

[John Deere]

Lol you guys crack me up thinking that we are moving the line from this thread. Are you betting 10k units or what?

Yeah !

[Grinder12000]

Lol you guys crack me up thinking that we are moving the line from this thread. Are you betting 10k units or what?

Well - lets say there are 1000 people using this system which is be conservative and the average wager is $50, that is $50,000 on the "A" bets on one side all hitting at once. $100,000 on "B" bets and $500,000 on "D" bets all hitting within a couple hours all on one side.

yea - could happen. It takes less then you think to move a line.

Especially when a $1000 wager is not out of the realm of possibility at all.

[Ceebizcut]

I'm just going to go ahead and make sure I have this all right
I'm new here but have been lurking for a while.

So if I would ideally want to start on an A bet
And by 1.10 units. Lets say i'm starting small ($25 is my unit) I would want to bet 27.50 on the game?

I went through and read most of the thread. And that one requested post. I'm just double checking

[kilrathi]

I'm just going to go ahead and make sure I have this all right
I'm new here but have been lurking for a while.

So if I would ideally want to start on an A bet
And by 1.10 units. Lets say i'm starting small ($25 is my unit) I would want to bet 27.50 on the game?

I went through and read most of the thread. And that one requested post. I'm just double checking

yeah 27.5$ for 1 A bet!

just be sure ur bankroll is big enough for the chase... should be at least around 50 units if I am right

[thelimit0310]

Thread has gotten 315,504 views over 96 days which means over 3000 views a day on average, if half those people play the picks that's 1500 people wagering on Stif's picks. If the average bet is $100 that's $150,000. Possible that the lines are influenced by us but obviously this is all estimation and the money would be split between multiple bookies. Just as well, the Covers consensus shows the majority of people's money isn't even on Chicago, but Denver. So we probably aren't influencing lines.

[J.M. Disciple]

I'm just going to go ahead and make sure I have this all right
I'm new here but have been lurking for a while.

So if I would ideally want to start on an A bet
And by 1.10 units. Lets say i'm starting small ($25 is my unit) I would want to bet 27.50 on the game?

I went through and read most of the thread. And that one requested post. I'm just double checking

If you read through the thread, stiff recommends a minimum of 50 units for this system. If you look on page 46 post # 1586, you will see the A-B-C-D guideline for how much to bet for each tier. A for example is 1.1 to win 1. Your $27.50 to win $25. Your bankroll should be at least $1,250 for this system. Note this past month the system has dropped around 30 units, so having above 50 units would be better. $25 unit size aint too small bro, be proud of it, I only have $20 unit size, but keep a $2k bankroll.

[J.M. Disciple]

Its more likely Boozer and Noah are influencing the lines, more so then the public right now. Both are expected to play, which is making the line drop. If one of them is ruled out, then the line should go back up in our favor.

[Grinder12000]

I'm looking for that wonderful post about canceling wagers - anybody know where that is? JMD was that one of yours?

[J.M. Disciple]

I'm looking for that wonderful post about canceling wagers - anybody know where that is? JMD was that one of yours?

I mentioned it on wallco's hockey thread, but I do not think that is the post you are looking for. I was just saying if you placed wrong bet, bet the other side and you lose the juice, then remake your bet for the correct wager + juice from the loss of canceling your wager.

[CrazyCarl]

Thread has gotten 315,504 views over 96 days which means over 3000 views a day on average, if half those people play the picks that's 1500 people wagering on Stif's picks. If the average bet is $100 that's $150,000. Possible that the lines are influenced by us but obviously this is all estimation and the money would be split between multiple bookies. Just as well, the Covers consensus shows the majority of people's money isn't even on Chicago, but Denver. So we probably aren't influencing lines.

Those estimations are way too much. I check this thread probably 10 times a day, and Grinder probably checks it 200 or 300.

[cambertos]

Those estimations are way too much. I check this thread probably 10 times a day, and Grinder probably checks it 200 or 300.

Haha that is true, But i Love the way Grinder crunches the numbers. I do the same, graphs etc..

[Grinder12000]

352 today but I have it broken down by the hour if you want.

[J.M. Disciple]

edit. nvm book only down for a sec.

Line is back to +6 for CHI and back down to 1.5 for LAL. I think howard is going to play now. Going to keep waiting see if i can get 6.5 since most of public is on DEN.

[jimmy007oc]

LAkers 4Q guys.

[Grinder12000]

FOR NEW PLAYERS OF THE CHASE

What happens when two teams go against each other?

If you play both games

S4 A 1 unit to win 0.91
S1 B 2.1 units to win 1.91 units minus the "A" bet so 0.91
-----
S4 Win

S4 Bet 1 unit wins +0.91
S1 Bet 2.1 loses -2.1 units + previous 1 unit = -3.1 units
Total (+0.91 + -3.1 = -2.19 units)
Play S1"C" like normal the next game

S1 Win

S4 Bet 1 loses -1 unit -
S1 Bet 2.1 wins 2.1 units = 1.91 - previous 1.00 = +0.91
Total (-1.00 + 0.91 = 0.09 units)
play S4 "B" for 2.1 the next game just like normal

If you just play one game and take the 1 unit you would put S4 "A" and subtract it from S4"B" so it's like this

S4 A bet 0 units
S1 B bet 1.1 units

S4 win

S4 A bet -0 units wins +0 units
S1 B bet 1.1 units loses -1.1 + previous -1.00 = -2.1
Total ( 0 + -2.1 = -2.10 units)
Play the normal S1 "C" bet next game


S1 Wins
S4 A bet 0 units loses +0 units
S1 B 1.1 units wins 0.91 - previous 1.00 = .09
Total (0 + 0.09 units)
Play S4 "B" like normal the next game

[John Deere]

In fact, when your two teams are playing against, your always playing to win 2 units instead of 1?

[Grinder12000]

Just found this on page 6

Losing 2 D bets in a row happens every ~3349 times.

WE DID IT!!! lost two "D" games in a row - congrats to all!!

[knugen]

From 6 points down to 26 in one quarter. Lovely

[Teamprofit101]

I got back some of my losses from walco nhl and this chicago game by taking nuggets team score over 116....but damn i feel for everyone. Hopefully the systems will pick it back up soon, good luck guys.

[gamewinninglv]

Just found this on page 6



WE DID IT!!! lost two "D" games in a row - congrats to all!!

Not sure if we should be celebrating this Mr. Grinder

[J.M. Disciple]

I got back some of my losses from walco nhl and this chicago game by taking nuggets team score over 116....but damn i feel for everyone. Hopefully the systems will pick it back up soon, good luck guys.

Not trying to call you out Teamprofit101, but how did you get back some of your losses today from wallco's NHL? You mean you faded him and went 3-0? Pretty sure his system lost like 15 units today with that -300 juice. So proud of his win rates though... what is it like 60%? 60% at -300 hmmm. Seems super profitable...... System is 0-5 past 3 days for like -20 units. Combine that with his chase110 and you get LOL!!! but dont you worry wallco, people losing 60% of their rolls comes with the territory as you say.

[igorp3]

Hope that stif posts play earlier today, my bookie closes bets in 2 hours.

[Grinder12000]

JMD. If you want to spread you hate'n for Wallco go to his thread. If you can show stats that prove -300 plays are long run -EV let's see the numbers.

[oldscho0led]

Hope that stif posts play earlier today, my bookie closes bets in 2 hours.

Dump your bookie. Find another one.

[rustie]

Hope that stif posts play earlier today, my bookie closes bets in 2 hours.

Then I might suggest that you learn the system and find the plays yourself ,or
find a different system and quit whining about when Stiffler posts his plays,
which is all you have done on this board.

Respectfully yours

[Stifler]

07.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Chic: Chicago +5 1,10u | Chicago +6 2,31u

records:
S1: W 49 | L 2 (+12,10 units)
S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade

pending:
- S1 Sac fade, B Bet on 09.02.2013
- S1 Chic, C Bet on 08.02.2013
- S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S1 Atl fade, B Bet on 08.02.2013
- S1 Brook fade, B Bet on 08.02.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586