nba chase 12/13

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  • knugen
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-09
    • 2612

    #2871
    deleted
    Last edited by knugen; 01-21-13, 11:54 AM.
    Comment
    • Nino7
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-11-09
      • 798

      #2872
      Cha +7
      Comment
      • Stifler
        SBR MVP
        • 11-11-09
        • 3511

        #2873
        - there u go, Charlotte line updated.

        21.01.2013

        S3

        (B Bet) Char: Charlotte +2 1,10u | Charlotte +7 2,31u
        (A Bet) Ind fade: Memphis -6 1,10u

        S4

        (A Bet) Chic fade: Lakers - waiting on line movement
        (A Bet) Mem fade: Indiana +6 1,10u



        ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

        all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
        Last edited by Stifler; 01-21-13, 12:28 PM.
        Comment
        • baldur
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-07-11
          • 261

          #2874
          date is wrong my friend.
          Comment
          • samrock67
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-05-12
            • 647

            #2875
            Just pointing out that the Indiana and Memphis fades go against each other, so before you place your bets, decide whether you want to skip both and place 2.2u on whichever series loses. I placed one of the bets before realizing this.
            Comment
            • Aram325302
              SBR Rookie
              • 02-18-10
              • 43

              #2876
              Originally posted by samrock67
              Just pointing out that the Indiana and Memphis fades go against each other, so before you place your bets, decide whether you want to skip both and place 2.2u on whichever series loses. I placed one of the bets before realizing this.
              I'm no expert here but i would place the bet with both teams then risk 2.2u on the losing team on the b bet.
              Comment
              • DollarBill10
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-06-11
                • 449

                #2877
                Originally posted by Aram325302
                I'm no expert here but i would place the bet with both teams then risk 2.2u on the losing team on the b bet.
                Why would you bet both teams...you lose $$$ that way...that's silly.
                Comment
                • UK_gixxer
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-14-11
                  • 89

                  #2878
                  Guys....with regards to betting both sides...ugh just nevermind. I give up.
                  Comment
                  • Aram325302
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 02-18-10
                    • 43

                    #2879
                    Originally posted by DollarBill10
                    Why would you bet both teams...you lose $$$ that way...that's silly.
                    The goal is to win the series not the bet. When you lose with one team that series continues. Your goal should be to win 1 unit in both the series.
                    Comment
                    • pazim
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-09-10
                      • 316

                      #2880
                      Originally posted by Aram325302
                      The goal is to win the series not the bet. When you lose with one team that series continues. Your goal should be to win 1 unit in both the series.
                      You lose juice that way. I would just bet b but with the same amt. as bet a.
                      Comment
                      • Asset
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-07-09
                        • 326

                        #2881
                        Originally posted by UK_gixxer
                        Guys....with regards to betting both sides...ugh just nevermind. I give up.
                        LMFAO!!!!!!!!

                        My reaction was exactly like you, BUT I didn't post LOL
                        Comment
                        • Grinder12000
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-21-11
                          • 1809

                          #2882
                          Aram325302 - sorry - there are 20 pages to this conversation. It comes up once a week it seems. There are many ways to handle the situation and do as you feel comfortable.

                          Don't play either and bet 2.2 on the loser.
                          Don't play either and play 1.1 on the loser on a new 4 team chase.
                          Play both, lose juice and play the loser for 2.2

                          whatever - as long as you understand the concept do what feels right for you.
                          Comment
                          • gamewinninglv
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-18-12
                            • 207

                            #2883
                            Originally posted by Grinder12000
                            Aram325302 - sorry - there are 20 pages to this conversation. It comes up once a week it seems. There are many ways to handle the situation and do as you feel comfortable.

                            Don't play either and bet 2.2 on the loser.
                            Don't play either and play 1.1 on the loser on a new 4 team chase.
                            Play both, lose juice and play the loser for 2.2

                            whatever - as long as you understand the concept do what feels right for you.

                            Great short and sweet answer.

                            Mathematically, the first option (Don't play either and bet 2.2 on the loser) maximizes your winning/profit because you don't lose Juice (see previous posts for detailed discussion about this answer). But in reality, it's your $$$ and do what you think it's best for you.



                            IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
                            Comment
                            • parlay100
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-23-09
                              • 117

                              #2884
                              Originally posted by UK_gixxer
                              Guys....with regards to betting both sides...ugh just nevermind. I give up.
                              I hear ya!
                              Comment
                              • brewersMKE
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-09-12
                                • 105

                                #2885
                                Lakers it is..Stifler is on the lakers too
                                Comment
                                • Stifler
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-11-09
                                  • 3511

                                  #2886
                                  - Lakers line added.

                                  21.01.2013

                                  S3

                                  (B Bet) Char: Charlotte +2 1,10u | Charlotte +7 2,31u
                                  (A Bet) Ind fade: Memphis -6 1,10u

                                  S4

                                  (A Bet) Chic fade: Lakers +2 1,10u
                                  (A Bet) Mem fade: Indiana +6 1,10u



                                  ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                  all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                  Comment
                                  • SkivChef
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-19-09
                                    • 730

                                    #2887
                                    Where can i find current records?
                                    Comment
                                    • Grinder12000
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-21-11
                                      • 1809

                                      #2888
                                      Where can i find current records?


                                      Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick unders . . . . . . there are some there. Not up to date but from the last 6 years - things are pretty much working out as they backtested,
                                      Comment
                                      • Wallco99
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-01-11
                                        • 7261

                                        #2889
                                        Originally posted by samrock67
                                        Just pointing out that the Indiana and Memphis fades go against each other, so before you place your bets, decide whether you want to skip both and place 2.2u on whichever series loses. I placed one of the bets before realizing this.
                                        Originally posted by Aram325302

                                        I'm no expert here but i would place the bet with both teams then risk 2.2u on the losing team on the b bet.
                                        Expert here. Betting both sides is almost as foolish as the description of why you wouldn't just play the losing B bet. Have you actually tried doing the math on your little equation there? Probably not, or you would see that samrock's way is the right way. And as far as samrock, why would you bet 2.2 units on the B bet when only 2.0 is needed? There would be no A bet juice to make up for, which is half the point of that bet strategy. The goal is to profit 1 unit for each series, not 1.1. I wouldn't make the bets any higher than they need to be, because if it happens to lose, you lost your "skip A bet discount".
                                        Last edited by Wallco99; 01-21-13, 06:23 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • Wallco99
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-01-11
                                          • 7261

                                          #2890
                                          Originally posted by Asset
                                          LMFAO!!!!!!!!

                                          My reaction was exactly like you, BUT I didn't post LOL
                                          I'm getting there myself. If people want to WASTE their money, why should I let it bother me. To not understand it at first is one thing, but to make arguements as to why betting both sides is better, is ignorant and show's that person's novice in sports betting.
                                          Comment
                                          • Wallco99
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-01-11
                                            • 7261

                                            #2891
                                            Originally posted by SkivChef
                                            Where can i find current records?
                                            Best Buy and itunes have a bunch. What band are you searching for?
                                            Comment
                                            • samrock67
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-05-12
                                              • 647

                                              #2892
                                              Originally posted by Wallco99
                                              Expert here. Betting both sides is almost as foolish as the description of why you wouldn't just play the losing B bet. Have you actually tried doing the math on your little equation there? Probably not, or you would see that samrock's way is the right way. And as far as samrock, why would you bet 2.2 units on the B bet when only 2.0 is needed? There would be no A bet juice to make up for, which is half the point of that bet strategy. The goal is to profit 1 unit for each series, not 1.1. I wouldn't make the bets any higher than they need to be, because if it happens to lose, you lost your "skip A bet discount".
                                              Bear with me here- if your unit size was $10 and you skipped both bets, wouldn't your B bet be $22 to win $20? That's where I got my 2.2 from- I wasn't saying your "To Win" size should be 2.2u, I meant you'd be betting 2.2 units in order to win 2 units. Sorry for the confusion.
                                              Comment
                                              • Aram325302
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-18-10
                                                • 43

                                                #2893
                                                Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                Expert here. Betting both sides is almost as foolish as the description of why you wouldn't just play the losing B bet. Have you actually tried doing the math on your little equation there? Probably not, or you would see that samrock's way is the right way. And as far as samrock, why would you bet 2.2 units on the B bet when only 2.0 is needed? There would be no A bet juice to make up for, which is half the point of that bet strategy. The goal is to profit 1 unit for each series, not 1.1. I wouldn't make the bets any higher than they need to be, because if it happens to lose, you lost your "skip A bet discount".

                                                Thanking you for this
                                                Comment
                                                • Wallco99
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-01-11
                                                  • 7261

                                                  #2894
                                                  Originally posted by samrock67
                                                  Bear with me here- if your unit size was $10 and you skipped both bets, wouldn't your B bet be $22 to win $20? That's where I got my 2.2 from- I wasn't saying your "To Win" size should be 2.2u, I meant you'd be betting 2.2 units in order to win 2 units. Sorry for the confusion.
                                                  Gotcha. That would be correct.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Wallco99
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-01-11
                                                    • 7261

                                                    #2895
                                                    Originally posted by Aram325302
                                                    Thanking you for this
                                                    No problem, glad I could help.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tbird509
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-05-09
                                                      • 761

                                                      #2896
                                                      why not just pick who you like more for example...ind vs mem-7, you just use your judgement on who you think will cover,you pick ind tonight and win,and the loser(mem)as b bet next,that way u wouldnt miss out and can hit both,and if you lose,then you follow system as you normally would
                                                      Comment
                                                      • gamewinninglv
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-18-12
                                                        • 207

                                                        #2897
                                                        Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                        Best Buy and itunes have a bunch. What band are you searching for?


                                                        LOL



                                                        IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gamewinninglv
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-18-12
                                                          • 207

                                                          #2898
                                                          Originally posted by tbird509
                                                          why not just pick who you like more for example...ind vs mem-7, you just use your judgement on who you think will cover,you pick ind tonight and win,and the loser(mem)as b bet next,that way u wouldnt miss out and can hit both,and if you lose,then you follow system as you normally would

                                                          If you only pick one and lose, then you missed out on the 1 unit win from the other bet ..... i think ...... isn't that right ?



                                                          IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tbird509
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-05-09
                                                            • 761

                                                            #2899
                                                            only if you pass you lose out in my opinion,cause your still going to win the series even if you pick the wrong choice of the two A bets,because the loser turns into a B bet either way ......................................
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wallco99
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-01-11
                                                              • 7261

                                                              #2900
                                                              Originally posted by gamewinninglv
                                                              If you only pick one and lose, then you missed out on the 1 unit win from the other bet ..... i think ...... isn't that right ?



                                                              IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
                                                              Oh baby that is sooooooooooooooooo right. Unless his everyday handicapping skills are so polished that he picks winners 100% of the time, in that case, and only that case, he would be correct. His bookie must hate him.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wallco99
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-01-11
                                                                • 7261

                                                                #2901
                                                                Originally posted by tbird509
                                                                only if you pass you lose out in my opinion,cause your still going to win the series even if you pick the wrong choice of the two A bets,because the loser turns into a B bet either way ......................................
                                                                Your way you win 1 unit sometimes and two units sometimes for the two teams. Our way you win two units ALL the time. That makes your way ineffective. Obviously if a series loses then units are not won by either method.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Nino7
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-11-09
                                                                  • 798

                                                                  #2902
                                                                  Originally posted by Grinder12000

                                                                  Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick unders . . . . . . there are some there. Not up to date but from the last 6 years - things are pretty much working out as they backtested,
                                                                  We are at + 25 units or something at half season...this is slower than backtested.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tbird509
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-05-09
                                                                    • 761

                                                                    #2903
                                                                    Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                    Your way you win 1 unit sometimes and two units sometimes for the two teams. Our way you win two units ALL the time. That makes your way ineffective. Obviously if a series loses then units are not won by either method.
                                                                    if you win the a bet,you could still wager 2 units for your b bet...for a chance of 3..so i wouldnt call it ineffective at all,just more aggresive
                                                                    Last edited by tbird509; 01-22-13, 12:03 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Grinder12000
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-21-11
                                                                      • 1809

                                                                      #2904
                                                                      We are at + 25 units or something
                                                                      I got us at 54.1 units.

                                                                      On the 19th Stifler had us at 45 units I was a couple above Stifler with 47 I think after the "D" game)- We have had a good run since the "D" loss - up about 6 units.
                                                                      Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-21-13, 11:35 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • thelimit0310
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-24-11
                                                                        • 1233

                                                                        #2905
                                                                        Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                        I got us at 54.1 units.

                                                                        On the 19th Stifler had us at 45 units I was a couple above Stifler with 47 I think after the "D" game)- We have had a good run since the "D" loss - up about 6 units.
                                                                        Pretty sure your number is wrong. Stiflers unit count would not match a backtest. What I have falls more in line with what Nino stated. Take out the extra unit from both the 2 unit A bets and including the extra loss on Orlando (this would show up on a Covers backtest) and theres no way we could be up more than 30ish units. I had almost 30 before tonight. Underperforming based on the backtests, but a few systems are underperforming this year.
                                                                        Last edited by thelimit0310; 01-22-13, 12:18 AM.
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