nba chase 12/13

[Riceboi]

wish bet365 took US customers =/

[Asset]

wish bet365 took US customers =/

You just ruined my day F*uck me!!

Now back to researching for bookies that allow live games in the "US"

Thank-you for the heads up

[Asset]

I just found one lol Bookmaker offers all live plays...I think/hope. Well I'm clicking through it and it shows all the Q plays...safe to assume they offer?

[jimmy007oc]

* really man. Bookmaker offer live every basketball game???

[Huego]

I just found one lol Bookmaker offers all live plays...I think/hope. Well I'm clicking through it and it shows all the Q plays...safe to assume they offer?

I believe those lines are only available before the game starts.

[Huego]

11.12.2012

S1

(A Bet) Chic: Bulls +3,5 1,10u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786

I would like to remind everyone how important it is to have several books to make sure we get the best line possible. I was also able to get +3.5 like Stifler, now I see +2.5 across the board. Personally, I have six books well funded. I would recommend for everyone to have atleast three.

[laca07]

I'm told that if my local book (abcwagering) detects me playing a system that I'm winning. He might raise my juice to 120.
To disguise this I've considered hiding the system by using different books for different bets.
For example;
A bets with Bookmaker.
B bets with my local book.
C bets with Bookmaker.
D bets with my local book.

Have any of you come across this issue?
Please advise.

I haven't run into any extra juice but I've hit some limits on C & D bets with online books. I don't have/want a local, so I'll be looking into opening one or two more online accounts.

[Asset]

* really man. Bookmaker offer live every basketball game???

Yup they do, but only for televise games So like what Grinder implied earlier only 2 games...so sad us ppl in the US.

I believe those lines are only available before the game starts.

You are correct!! Thank-you

[gamewinninglv]

I would like to remind everyone how important it is to have several books to make sure we get the best line possible. I was also able to get +3.5 like Stifler, now I see +2.5 across the board. Personally, I have six books well funded. I would recommend for everyone to have atleast three.

Damn Huego you got deep pocket !!!!

[KTnamja]

i have 10+ books.

[okbyme123]

i have 10+ books.

I like Bookmaker!
Who else do you recommend?

[Grinder12000]

At one time I had over 25 poker sites I played. Asset this is not an uncommon thing with off shore books. They don't like system winners.

Also. 5dimes has a great sign up bonus.

[Grinder12000]

Guys. Look above. SBR has a review for all books

[okbyme123]

Guys. Look above. SBR has a review for all books

Good to know ... Thanks!

[Asset]

Smart money is on Chicago tonight, but the sharps aren't always winners

If any1 know of any bookie(s) that will offer live games for all games please let me know. Of course for US players Thank-you

[ColdBeerHere]

does this system involve live betting ?

[Asset]

does this system involve live betting ?

nope

[njb5572]

I know I am probably just talking to a wall when I say this but I think all fourth quarter betting discussions should be in a different thread. We already have enough confusion looming with newcomers entering the thread and asking questions about Stiff's current system.

Just a thought

[degengamble]

Hey Stifler,

So I usually post on covers but ran across this thread on SBR. I like your system - so i'm going to play it this year along with other models that I play. I tend to automate any systems I play - so I automated yours. See the attached zip file.

All you have to do is click on the "Today" button to navigate to today's date, and click the "update" button and it will pull in all the data needed from the web (i.e Covers ATS results, etc) to determine the plays of the day. I also added a Bet Tracker tab. If you click on the "Add Bets" button any plays for the day are copied to the Bet Tracker tab and it tells you the when and against what team the future plays will be if A,B, or C bet are lost.

One of the nice features you can click the "-" button and navigate to past dates and see if a chase started on that day.

So use it if you like - hope it makes it easier - if you find any bugs - let me know.

Also - in order to run the macros needed to pull the data from the web you NEED Excel 2007 or newer - sorry NO Open Office - you need MS Excel. So really only PC's - No MACS



Good Luck on the season and Enjoy!

Degengamble

Hey All,

I updated the logic in the spreadsheet so it follows Stiflers system when a team wins 4,5, or 6 in a row. Rather than starting a new A bet on every consecutive W or L in the streak - it now waits for a nother 3 game streak.

Basically - it mirrors Stiflers system rules.

Enjoy!

DegenGamble

[xhaferllari]

Hey Stifler,
This looks like a beautiful system. Thank you for posting it.
I just had a question, why did you pick only those specific teams for each system? Did you back test your systems and decide that those were the best teams or what was the rationale behind picking those specific teams?

Thanks again.

[Asset]

Hey Stifler,
This looks like a beautiful system. Thank you for posting it.
I just had a question, why did you pick only those specific teams for each system? Did you back test your systems and decide that those were the best teams or what was the rationale behind picking those specific teams?

Thanks again.

I would give you an answer but "you" specifically ask for Stif.

I'm surprise Wallco or Grinder didn't answer you yet. Btw, you DO NOT want them to answer your questions, especially "Wallco" LMAO

@Wallco:

@Grinder:

[njb5572]

Hey Stifler,
This looks like a beautiful system. Thank you for posting it.
I just had a question, why did you pick only those specific teams for each system? Did you back test your systems and decide that those were the best teams or what was the rationale behind picking those specific teams?

Thanks again.

I can answer this one for Stiff. He back-tested 6+ years of data and found those teams to be the most profitable.

On that note, last week there was some discussion on how teams should be chosen for each system and how far back the back-tested data should actually be used to determine which teams are played in each system.
What if we used a weighting system for the back-tested results? We would weigh the more recent season’s results heavier than seasons past.

For Example, we would multiply each team’s results seasonally by the following proportions:

Multiply the 2011-2012 season results by .30
Multiply the 2010-2011 season results by .25
Multiply the 2009-2010 season results by .20
Multiply the 2008-2009 season results by .15
Multiply the 2007-2008 season results by .10

Obviously these proportions could be changed to whatever we see fit, but the whole idea of this is to eliminate the use of outdated statistics, and capture the more relevant data.

When I get time I am going to test this theory, but in the meantime I just wanted to share the #thingsiponderatnight

[Wallco99]

I would give you an answer but "you" specifically ask for Stif.

I'm surprise Wallco or Grinder didn't answer you yet. Btw, you DO NOT want them to answer your questions, especially "Wallco" LMAO

@Wallco:

@Grinder:

BE NICE!!! Or I will take my "poopie man" back.

[Asset]

BE NICE!!! Or I will take my "poopie man" back.

I love you too!!

[J.M. Disciple]

I can answer this one for Stiff. He back-tested 6+ years of data and found those teams to be the most profitable.


I believe this statement is incorrect if you read through the forum, there are several other profitable teams that maybe more profitable than the ones he chose, however, those more profitable teams also are inconsistent!

[Grinder12000]

I haven't run into any extra juice but I've hit some limits

According to some "experts" here you will never pay juice so you could pay -200 and not worry.

Multiply the 2011-2012 season results by .30
Multiply the 2010-2011 season results by .25
Multiply the 2009-2010 season results by .20
Multiply the 2008-2009 season results by .15
Multiply the 2007-2008 season results by .10

There are SO many things you can do. One of my system friends is running a labby with this system I play a few different teams different teams then Stifler. Adding a few and deleting a few.

The above is a good idea but we're not talking many hits per team in a season (which is why I went back 10 years, the Lakers are like 72-1 on losing streaks).

[thelegend67]

well put

I know I am probably just talking to a wall when I say this but I think all fourth quarter betting discussions should be in a different thread. We already have enough confusion looming with newcomers entering the thread and asking questions about Stiff's current system.

Just a thought

well put.

[Grinder12000]

In case you are wondering about buying a half point on the bulls - they have lost by 1/2 point 5 times in the last 798 games and pushed 11 times! is it worth it?

[CrazyCarl]

In case you are wondering about buying a half point on the bulls - they have lost by 1/2 point 5 times in the last 798 games and pushed 11 times! is it worth it?

People really buy points in basketball? Huh.

[Grinder12000]

Well - lots of conversations about the need to do it here to "be in the system".

[Grinder12000]

What is nice about BOVADA is they are so big on screwing the square that their dog lines are pretty good. The Bulls STILL at +3.5.

Live betting - have to stay up tonight LOL

[Asset]

What is nice about BOVADA is they are so big on screwing the square that their dog lines are pretty good. The Bulls STILL at +3.5.

Live betting - have to stay up tonight LOL

Does Bovada have any specials for reload? I'm sorry, too lazy to read lol

[Grinder12000]

100% Freeplay up to $100

• Freeplay expires 30 days from deposit.

I only have them because it's one of the few places to play poker for Americans.

[CrazyCarl]

Well - lots of conversations about the need to do it here to "be in the system".

The system, officially, goes by closing line. So to "be in the system", you're best off just betting 5 minutes before gametime.

[thelimit0310]

Such a shame people interested in Stiflers system have to wade through pages of pointless posts. Everything in here other than Stiflers posts and Degen's spreadsheets are completely unnecessary. A month and a half in and over 1300 posts!! So much clutter in here it's ridiculous.