nba chase 12/13

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  • Stifler
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-09
    • 3511

    #36
    exactly...the system play is to fade Utah S1 (for the next 4 games). So the bet is on Lakers today. The bold game is always todays play. The blue marked is the system play.
    Comment
    • Maleku
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-18-11
      • 610

      #37
      GL tonight fellas!
      Comment
      • KrasH
        SBR Hustler
        • 09-03-12
        • 81

        #38
        Thanks stiffler appreciate your hard work.
        Comment
        • amarius87
          SBR MVP
          • 11-07-12
          • 1117

          #39
          thanks!! much appreciated!!! so many difffernt strategies.. trying to grasp them all
          Comment
          • TheJettylife
            SBR High Roller
            • 05-02-12
            • 171

            #40
            Sifler tailed your MLB system made lots of dough with ya your are the man. Appreciate all the work lets piss my bookie off again for NBA season!
            Comment
            • jimmy007oc
              SBR MVP
              • 08-25-10
              • 1699

              #41
              nice to see you here bro
              Comment
              • Stifler
                SBR MVP
                • 11-11-09
                • 3511

                #42
                Originally posted by Stifler
                07.11.2012

                S1

                (A Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u

                S4

                (A Bet) Sac fade: Detroit +5,5 1,10u
                records:
                S1: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
                S2: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
                S3: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
                S4: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)

                pending:
                - S1 Utah fade, B bet on 09.11.2012
                Comment
                • Stifler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-09
                  • 3511

                  #43
                  08.11.2012

                  no plays today
                  Comment
                  • Stifler
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-09
                    • 3511

                    #44
                    09.11.2012

                    S1

                    (B Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u | Denver -4,5 2,31u
                    (A Bet) Den: Denver -4,5 1,10u
                    (A Bet) NYK: Knicks -6 1,10u

                    S2

                    (A Bet) Utah fade: Denver -4,5 1,10u

                    S4

                    (A Bet) Wash fade: Milwaukee -3 1,10u



                    Comment
                    • rcyoder
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 03-25-12
                      • 11

                      #45
                      hello just to be clear did your b. bet is that 31 units and is A. bet 10 Units?
                      Comment
                      • Hax
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-22-12
                        • 106

                        #46
                        It's 2,31 and 1,10 units.
                        Comment
                        • kosti
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-22-12
                          • 206

                          #47
                          Lets go Denver!!! Lol
                          Comment
                          • Stifler
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 3511

                            #48
                            Originally posted by rcyoder
                            hello just to be clear did your b. bet is that 31 units and is A. bet 10 Units?
                            its 2,31 units to win 2,10 units. Im always posting the risk amount. Still its not 100% sure u have to put the same amount on ur B Bet. Only if ur getting -110 odds on all nba spreads u can use the same risk amount. just make sure u always have to win 1 unit on a series. A Bet was a loser, so u have to play to win the lost amount on ur A Bet (normally 1,10 units on -110 odds) + 1 unit to make sure u get out of the series winning 1 unit.

                            Personally im getting better odds most of the times (e.g. -105 today on milwaukee and knicks). I just dont wanna put in my lines cause this is going to confuse even more, thats why im posting here with standard -110 lines.

                            Still dont know how ur coming up with 31 units. I clearly posted 2,31 units, not 31 units. there are guys out there, who raise up there standard unit just to fake there winning unit amount. in the end it doesnt matter if ur saying standard is 1u or 10u. U have to choose ur standard unit amount (could be 100$ = 1u , depends on ur starting bankroll). Dont forget this is a 4 game chase, we are raising the risk amount during each of the 4 steps. A lost series will cost u 18,45 units overall. Divide ur bankroll carefully, just in case there is a lost series in the beginning.

                            2,31 units = 2.31 units
                            1,10 units = 1.10 units

                            maybe this is the answer. Im always posting the units with a comma instead of the decimal point.
                            Last edited by Stifler; 11-09-12, 08:06 AM.
                            Comment
                            • kosti
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-22-12
                              • 206

                              #49
                              Man that line moves. Had -4.5 when I woke up. Had breakfast and now it's at -5.

                              Stifler, are any of your exceptions on size of line or will you chase/fade a team no matter the spread as long as they fit the system?
                              Comment
                              • kosti
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-22-12
                                • 206

                                #50
                                Can you explain how Denver is an S2 play?

                                S2: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.Divide in home/road games.

                                I thought this meant a home or road streak of 3 and then start the chase on their next home/road game accordingly.
                                Comment
                                • Fed_42420
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-12-09
                                  • 976

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by kosti
                                  Can you explain how Denver is an S2 play?

                                  S2: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.Divide in home/road games.

                                  I thought this meant a home or road streak of 3 and then start the chase on their next home/road game accordingly.
                                  Looks like the S2 play is a Utah Fade, has nothing to do with denver
                                  Comment
                                  • kosti
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-22-12
                                    • 206

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Fed_42420
                                    Looks like the S2 play is a Utah Fade, has nothing to do with denver
                                    Oh boy, my bad. Thanks!
                                    Comment
                                    • daneault23
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-08-09
                                      • 3863

                                      #53
                                      So basically what we have is risking 4.51 on denver and 1.1 on the knicks and bucks?
                                      Comment
                                      • Stifler
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-11-09
                                        • 3511

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by daneault23
                                        So basically what we have is risking 4.51 on denver and 1.1 on the knicks and bucks?
                                        altogether yes.
                                        Comment
                                        • Sandwich
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-21-12
                                          • 117

                                          #55
                                          Hey Stifler, terrific systems. I have been considering skipping the A bet, if it loses, then continuing on for a 3 game chase on the B, C and D games. Would you advise against this? I'm assuming the A win % has to be fairly high. It's just a thought so far, only because I feel more comfortable with 3 game chases. Appreciate all the hard work you put into this.
                                          Comment
                                          • Want2Win
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-30-09
                                            • 440

                                            #56
                                            Stifler, thanks for all the work. Came here because of a post on the Morrison thread. Just a great job!
                                            Comment
                                            • thelimit0310
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-24-11
                                              • 1233

                                              #57
                                              Great Job here Stifler keep it up
                                              Comment
                                              • Maleku
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-18-11
                                                • 610

                                                #58
                                                Beast of a night! Thanks Stifler!!
                                                Comment
                                                • Asset
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 326

                                                  #59
                                                  @Stifler...

                                                  S1:
                                                  Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.

                                                  So if a team loses or wins 3 straight games, I then would place my bet on "that" particular losing or winning team for the next 4 games?


                                                  S2: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.Divide in home/road games.

                                                  What do you mean divide the home/road games?



                                                  S4: Whenever a team had an OT game start the 4 game chase after this game. Play to lose ATS after that OT game.

                                                  What do you mean by "play to lose ATS"?

                                                  I'm sorry for not understanding on your system. I'm really curious to know/understand how it works. I did had read all of the previous post but still not clear If you can be so kind to explain in more detail how you system works. I would much appreciate it. Thanks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tr4sh
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-06-12
                                                    • 311

                                                    #60
                                                    ATS stands for against the spread. simply put you bet against that team on the spread.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Asset
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                      • 326

                                                      #61
                                                      Thanks tr4sh, but I did know its against the spread. Just to clarify, bet on the opposite team of the losing or winning? Thanks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Stifler
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-11-09
                                                        • 3511

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Stifler
                                                        09.11.2012

                                                        S1

                                                        (B Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u | Denver -4,5 2,31u
                                                        (A Bet) Den: Denver -4,5 1,10u
                                                        (A Bet) NYK: Knicks -6 1,10u

                                                        S2

                                                        (A Bet) Utah fade: Denver -4,5 1,10u

                                                        S4

                                                        (A Bet) Wash fade: Milwaukee -3 1,10u



                                                        records:
                                                        S1: W 3 | L 0 (+3,00 units)
                                                        S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
                                                        S3: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
                                                        S4: W 2 | L 0 (+2,00 units)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stifler
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-11-09
                                                          • 3511

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Asset
                                                          @Stifler...

                                                          S1:
                                                          Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.

                                                          So if a team loses or wins 3 straight games, I then would place my bet on "that" particular losing or winning team for the next 4 games?
                                                          right, follow that streak. Remember all plays will be placed ATS, not on the ml.


                                                          S2: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.Divide in home/road games.

                                                          What do you mean divide the home/road games?
                                                          S1 streaks count for every consecutive games being played (on the road and @ home)

                                                          Checking S2 streaks just go by home games and road games. Utah was a play yesterday cause they lost 3 games in a row on the road, means we are starting the chase on the next road game - @ Denver yesterday. As Utah also is a team for S1 the same streak qualifies for the system play and we started the next game after that streak - @ home vs Lakers on 07.11.2012.



                                                          S4: Whenever a team had an OT game start the 4 game chase after this game. Play to lose ATS after that OT game.

                                                          What do you mean by "play to lose ATS"?
                                                          As already stated, we just play Against the Spread (ATS). Means when a team who fits in S4 had an OT game start the 4 game chase right after this game. We are fading this team for the next 4 games.

                                                          But again not every team is going to be played for those systems. I worked out all numbers for every team over the last 6 years and filtered out which teams had the best numbers for those systems. Some teams on S1 and S2 just qualify for their winning or losing streaks.

                                                          I could list all the teams for every system with all exceptions (just winning or losing streaks) but i think this will end in even more questions.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stifler
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-11-09
                                                            • 3511

                                                            #64
                                                            10.11.2012

                                                            S1

                                                            (A Bet) Chic fade: Minnesota waiting on a better line here
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Asset
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-07-09
                                                              • 326

                                                              #65
                                                              @Stifler...
                                                              So when you say for example (A Bet) Chic fade: Minnesota. I would place my first "A bet" on Minnesota? Chic fade means "don't place bet on Chicago?"
                                                              Lets say I lose the Minnesota bet. The next game that Chicago plays I would bet on that team?

                                                              P.S. Thanks for taking the time to explain a slow person such as me to understand. I luv you man
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Want2Win
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 09-30-09
                                                                • 440

                                                                #66
                                                                Nothing to do with this, but I was trying to give points to Stifler and I get an error that I can't award points. Does anyone know why this might be. I do have points to award
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lordlord2323
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-09-11
                                                                  • 1051

                                                                  #67
                                                                  thank you stifler you have a great systeme I will fallow you
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lordlord2323
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-09-11
                                                                    • 1051

                                                                    #68
                                                                    yeah
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stifler
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-11-09
                                                                      • 3511

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Asset
                                                                      @Stifler...
                                                                      So when you say for example (A Bet) Chic fade: Minnesota. I would place my first "A bet" on Minnesota? Chic fade means "don't place bet on Chicago?"
                                                                      Lets say I lose the Minnesota bet. The next game that Chicago plays I would bet on that team?

                                                                      P.S. Thanks for taking the time to explain a slow person such as me to understand. I luv you man
                                                                      fade means play the opposite. In this case play Minnesota today, if Chicago covers then play against Chicago on their next play and so on.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • njb5572
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 01-29-12
                                                                        • 126

                                                                        #70
                                                                        want2win you can only give 2pts per day
                                                                        Comment
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