3-3-1 yesterday (units 3-4-1)
-1.2 units
YTD 21-16-3 (Units 22-19-4)
+2.05 units
-1.2 units
YTD 21-16-3 (Units 22-19-4)
+2.05 units
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Comment -
Portland 1xComment -
1-2 -1.05 units
YTD 22-18-3 (23-21-4)
+1 unitComment -
Back to work... Big Friday here.
Denver/Utah over 199 5x
Dallas/New York over 199 1x
SA -6 1x
Cleveland +4.5 1x
I haven't had a multi unit bet yet much less a 5 unit-er. I just don't see how this game goes under 200. This line opened at 200 and immediately got bet down to 198 and shot back up. I think anything below 200 is the number here. I have this game set at around 205 but I fully expect with a days rest for each team that they come out on fire and shooting lights out under the espn spotlight. I think offensive rebounds will be KEY in this game as well.
I will follow line movement tomorrow and see if I like anything else but as of right now, I fully expect that every line will move in favor of me except for the SA line which will likely stay put until the game give or take .5 points which I don't mind. That play is essentially a fade for Sacramento. Watched a few of their games and they are complete and utter crap.
I wanted to lock in the Cleveland line because I do believe if Waiters plays, the line will move down to 3ish. If he doesnt play, I don't see it moving up that much so I have a chance to hedge. Either way, I think Phoenix is heavily overvalued after that blowout win they had the other night.
I expect the Dallas/NY line to move to 201 but am not comfortable enough to bet multiple units yet for these two teams. Their rosters are pretty new so I've gotta get a better feel on their playing style especially with Dallas on the road.
Good luck everyone!Comment -
Lakers Hornets ML Parlay 1.33 to win 1xComment -
Wow. Wow. Wow. I can't believe I just lost that play. Unbelievable.Comment -
Lakers -7.5 1xComment -
4-2 (4-6 in units)
-2.3 units
YTD 26-20-3 (Units 27-27-4)
-1.3 unitsComment -
Saturday 11/10/12
Dallas -6 2x
Chicago -7 1x
Boston +1.5 1x
San Antonio/Portland over 198.5 2x (A4)Comment -
This Dallas team is like my kryptonite this year...Comment -
3-2-1 +0.9 units
29-22-4 (Units 30-29-5)
-0.4 unitsComment -
Sunday 11/11/12
LAC/Atlanta under 198.5 1x
Orlando/Brooklyn under 191.5 1x
Cleveland/OKC over 203 1x
Orlando +7.5 1xComment -
Lakers over 192.5 1xComment -
Lakers -11 1xComment -
didnt realize you had a thread....good luck wguanComment -
Thanks Dex. Yeah I decided to keep a thread after being so undisciplined last year. Trying to apply some of the concepts betting totals that LTA used to preach about. Anyway, good luck to you this year in all of the sports. You'll hit variance soon and luck will definitely start going your way.Comment -
4-2 today. Great way to end the week. Got lucky on a last second cover with the Lakers over but definitely deserved that seeing as they scored 106 in the first half but kept going 40ish per quarter in the second half. Needed it because didn't have a good week at all.
YTD 33-24-4 (Units 34-31-5)
+1.5 units
Sunday unders are so money right now. Anything at or before 6pm eastern, they're 5-0 so far.Comment -
Chicago Boston Under 184 1x
Phoenix Denver Over 201 1xComment -
Miami Houston over 195 2x (A4)
Waiting to see if I can get Detroit +7 for my A3 playComment -
Gonna take Boston +3 if it moves back to that number. Too many points on a coin flip game. I trust rajon rondo more than I trust boozer+deng+noah combined.Comment -
Detroit +7 2x (A3)
EDIT: Couldn't get Boston +3 so still waiting. My local book literally made a 2 second jump. Blah. Hopefully I'll get it but if not oh well.Comment -
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A3 i have it where the team must be on 1 days rest...not sure if you realize thatComment -
Great way to end the betting week. 3-1 on the night. Both system plays won tonight!
+3.95 units
YTD 36-25-4 (Units 39-32-5)
+5.45 units
A1: 1-0
A2: 1-1 (I missed the winning play of this A2 bleh. It was a few nights ago with the Hornets -7 vs Charlotte)
A3: 1-1
A4: 1-0Comment -
Indiana -9 1x
The spot play here is perfect as described by many people on the board. Team off 3 days rest at home taking on a team off triple OT and then having to travel 500 miles for a road game. Trying not to think about this one too much because the way both teams have played, Toronto could probably cover here but not going with my gut tonight and going with the spot play. Good luck.Comment -
Lakers +1 1x
(Posted on Dex's thread)
If the Spurs really were the team they were last year, they'd be at -3 or more here but I just don't think they're the same team. They've committed a lot of turnovers and are not draining threes like last year and on top of that, I think they'll really struggle with Dwight and Pau on the inside. The biggest advantage they have is bench scoring vs Lakers bench but I think with home court, it'll be ok.
I'm actually not very sure how the line will move on this because the public loves the Spurs since last year but they also love the Lakers because they're the Lakers so I'm perplexed as to which way it'll go. However, I think if this line moves to +2, I'll take it for another unit but I think this will float between +1 and -1 between the both teams. Good luck everyone.Comment -
Lakers Spurs over 196 1xComment -
Awesome. 0-3 -3.15 units
YTD 36-28-4 (Units 39-35-5)
+2.3 unitsComment -
Miami +1.5 2x
Hornets +6.5 2xComment -
Memphis +5.5 1x
Philly Minnesota Dallas ML parlay +104 1xComment -
2-2 tonight -0.07 units
YTD 38-30-4 (Units 42-38-5)
+2.23 unitsComment