Knicks +5.5 (1x)
Aussie Aussie Aussie, OI OI OI $
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therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#386Comment -
PudaSBR MVP
- 03-26-10
- 1798
#387nets out to -4.5 in my book, still worth the play??.. any other leans/plays.Comment -
sandoSBR MVP
- 04-30-12
- 3723
#388Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#391hey guys sorry been real busy with gym/work and other life's necessities but hopefully you guys can catch my thoughts before the games go live.
Celtics @ Nets
OK, so I locked this in real early at the -3 because I was quite confident Rondo would be out and I love fading the Celts on b2b's, especially against deep teams with some athletic players - It is also the C's 3rd game in 4 nights. The Celtics are playing great ball but that is at the helm of the genius of Rondo, not only does Rondo pose as an immense threat offensively but his length really bothers point guards. Barbosa is no scrub but I think Williams is just too big and just much better than him, D-Will should be licking his lips for this game and should comfortable make the plays he wants to all night. Brook Lopez has been doing work, his defense might be questionable but his offensive numbers are no joke - he will have a big impact offensively all night for the Nets. The biggest factor that brings a smile to my face when thinking abou the Nets is Joe Johnson, one of my most hated players from his seasons at the Hawks as I just think he is a bad version of Kobe - eg takes the most disgusting pointless terrible shots at the worst moments and never makes them (Kobe hits, most of the time). SO FAR in the Nets JJ has been methodical, picking his spots and even PASSING he has been efficient and is proving to be the player he could always be. If he continues this way the Nets will be deadly and they will get a comfortable win over the Celtics. Brooks back allows for more options offensively, CJ Watson should do work on the Celtics secondary PG, I have no idea who it will be. I think the Celtics should struggle offensively without Rondo, there will be lots of iso plays and hopefully the Nets can be on point defensively.
Knicks +5.5
Red hot Knicks, I've stated that I would hit them till they lose ATS but i'm not retarded if I strongly felt they wouldn't cover I wouldn't put a dollar on it however I believe the Knicks with +5.5 is definitely value. The Spurs are one of the few teams where you can look at them and say "This is a bad spot for the Spurs", being so well coached and so deep with many veterans and great chemistry they can come to play anywhere, anytime. I like the Knicks here because of a few matchups that I think will be favourable, I believe Melo will have easy time offensively today - I don't see anyone on the Spurs causing him much grief at all. Obviously Melo generally gets his points but I think Felton will have an effective game today, he is deceptively quick and much bigger than Parker. Down low I don't think Pop can leave Diaw playing the C and defending Chandler, like the Lakers game I believe Duncan will get the job. Knicks need to press this match up and force pick and rolls attacking Duncan in an attempt to get his fouls up or make him work defensively in an effort to tire him, he's been red hot so I would like to see the Knicks go after him early and make him really work on both ends. When you talk depth you think Spurs but the Knicks are right there too, JR Smith is hot and will stay hot - he's too quick and athletic for anyone on the Spurs roster. The Spurs biggest bench player Manu has been struggling he's had issues with his back, he's an amazing player and can turn it on whenever but I just feel like with some good defensive pressure it should be enough to throw him. I'm weary that the 3 point shooting of San An has been average and I expect them to hit some big 3's this game but the Knicks also match them for 3 point shooting. Novak has been quiet, I know the Knicks play with momentum and look more comfortable at MSG but they will be looking for big road wins, they aren't messing around and want to prove they are a contender. This is a big game for them.Last edited by therealdealau; 11-15-12, 08:00 PM.Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#392Someone talk me out of hitting miami.Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#396Wade has been junk last two games clearly isnt 100%, his shots have been awful and his defense average. I feel the Heat can turn their road trips around here and secure a win straight up...
Knicks/Nets games falling apart in the third. Nets in particular, CJ Watson is playing a shocker.Comment -
clting08SBR MVP
- 05-27-12
- 1259
#397Lesson no.1 Nevet go against the master.
Lesson no.2 See lesson no.1
Bet lost. Lost 1kComment -
PudaSBR MVP
- 03-26-10
- 1798
#399Nice work. Couldnt take Nets... but cashed Knicks.
Cmon Miami now.Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#400Shakey 3rd quarter by both Knicks and Nets, but they came through. Predictions were spot on for the Nets game, although Watson played a shocker. Knicks was close, Melo was horrible but he was still getting boards and not walking around sulking too much. My call on Felton was spot on I knew he would explode here. He's so damn quick and strong.
As Jay Z says, "Sittin courtside, Knicks and Nets give me high fives"
Thanks to everyone who contributes, keep posting - hopefully more people get discussing angles and factors in games to help finalize our picks. 10k views today!
2-0 today +3 units
NBA RECORD 40-5-20 +34.75 Units
Really liked Heat today annoyed I didn't pull trigger I missed the jump because I was sweating the other games. If i can live bet heat at a decent number ill take it.Last edited by therealdealau; 11-15-12, 11:16 PM.Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#401Knicks cash cow baby thats 5 wins i've had on the knicks (missed the heat game), I probably will back them again tomorrow.
Glad you got on Miami I feel its the right side did you get +3.5, really looking for some good odds i hope denver go on a run soonComment -
OZnBa FanSBR Wise Guy
- 05-24-12
- 697
#403Shakey 3rd quarter by both Knicks and Nets, but they came through. Predictions were spot on for the Nets game, although Watson played a shocker. Knicks was close, Melo was horrible but he was still getting boards and not walking around sulking too much. My call on Felton was spot on I knew he would explode here. He's so damn quick and strong.
As Jay Z says, "Sittin courtside, Knicks and Nets give me high fives"
Thanks to everyone who contributes, keep posting - hopefully more people get discussing angles and factors in games to help finalize our picks. 10k views today!
2-0 today +3 units
NBA RECORD 40-5-20 +34.75 Units
Really liked Heat today annoyed I didn't pull trigger I missed the jump because I was sweating the other games. If i can live bet heat at a decent number ill take it.Comment -
NewYorkKnicks87SBR Sharp
- 08-31-11
- 410
#404Good stuff bro, ur killing it!! Any thoughts on Breakers and Crocs?Comment -
clting08SBR MVP
- 05-27-12
- 1259
#406Lucky I took Denver +10.5 at 3rd Q Miami Heat -3.5 at 4rd Q. Both Hits..Comment -
clting08SBR MVP
- 05-27-12
- 1259
#407Denver +10.5 1.27K
Miami -3.5 1.5K
Overall 1.27K + 1.5K - 1K (Spurs) = 1.77K nettComment -
clting08SBR MVP
- 05-27-12
- 1259
#4087 2829280365
Basketball
11/16/2012
01:24:19 AMDenver Nuggets@Live 10.50 @0 - 0
Handicap
Denver Nuggets -vs- Miami Heat
NBA @ 11/15/2012-0.90
M1270.00
1143.00Running 8 2829286374
Basketball
11/16/2012
01:59:15 AMMiami Heat@Live -3.50 @0 - 0
Handicap
Denver Nuggets -vs- Miami Heat
NBA @ 11/15/2012-0.90
M1500.00
1350.00Running Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#411these are leans not picks, just throwing out my thoughts...busy night tonight heading to the wildcats opener here in perth should be a ripper
Pacers -2.5
- probably will not put cash on this but this would be my pick if i had to...yes im sick in the head
- Hibbert SHOULD have his break out game of this season after a horrible start, Dallas bigs are defensive trash
- George has been ice cold, he knows this he changes this.
- Hill v Collison should be a nice battle
Utah +1
- LOVE this play, already seen a lot of SBR guys talking about going 'big' on philly, makes me like it even more
- Utah's style for the last few seasons has been feed the bigs, well Utah's bigs are coming into form at the right time
- Millsap/Jeff will DOMINATE the Philly bigs, it will be a masscare down low.
- Mo Williams looks to have recovered and should be feeding the bigs all day long.
- Utah in a spot for a rare road win over a good opponent
- Line is really telling Utah has been +3 or more against decent teams on the road...Public will be biting on philly ML/-1
Pistons -5
- Magic suck, i don't rate them at all i don't know how they are even competitive
- Pistons recorded their first win, they will be looking for another and play hard.
- Stuckey will come back with a vengenance and play hard.
- Monroe/Drummond easy baskets all day against Magic
- Line is telling, Pistons -5 against anyone? Bookies dont think highly of the magic, neither do i
OKC -6
- OKC has been really poor in my eyes this whole season, i think they get a rare blow out win here
- Westbrook to bounce back after some poor shooting nights
- Durants appears to be demanding more ball, this is obviously good for OKC
- Ibaka has been dominant, he will stretch the Hornets defense with his jumper threat
- Martin to light up the Hornets secondaries
Knicks +6
- this is a tough one I spoke to a mate of mine and said Knicks would lose 1 game ats here out of Spurs/Grizz, they've obviously beaten the Spurs so I'd assume the Grizz would finish their ATS and hot run here but I think i'm going to roll with the Knicks
- Grizz are the real deal though (no pun intended), their perimeter defense has been stellar so far, Knicks will have trouble getting those nice looks from 3 against them, JR smith will also have his hardest time here I predict he cools off.
-I like that Melo sucked today, he goes big...
- Felton will struggle vs Conley
- 6 points decent value although not sold on it ...Comment -
PudaSBR MVP
- 03-26-10
- 1798
#412Thanks again for the plays..
like knicks and utah. look forward to your picks again.Comment -
vasilli07SBR MVP
- 05-08-11
- 3955
#413Liking Jazz and OKC. Pacers have been horrible these days, wouldn't put my money on them.Comment -
SiMON2gSBR MVP
- 10-01-10
- 1157
#414I like Orlando tomorrow mate, and possibly Portland.Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#415Cheers guys.
@Puda cheers for the points, glad your cashing.
@vas i agree but i think with that line and the situation they are a play, won't put money on it though
@simon yeah i hate orlando's team but +5 is a lot of points against the pistons who are quite trash, portland are iffy but i stand by my season long prediction of houston being a fail team.Comment -
bovholtySBR Rookie
- 02-28-12
- 20
#416another good day, noiceComment -
gopolksSBR Wise Guy
- 11-16-12
- 791
#417Just joined up to this group, is it fair to say, most americans just bet on point spread, and not half/full time doubles or anything else, or how many points will be scored in a match?Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#418It depends on who your following really, if i'm honest the only bets you can do that you can deduce and get an angle for is totals and spreads. Halftime spreads too. In my honest opinion and experience bets like "half time fulltime double" are what amateurs use to chase value, I also don't really rate 1st Quarter bets or things like that. The only other profitable bet is a "prop" bet on a player. Good luck mate.Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#419Hey guys, just checking in to update you on tomorrow. Had a massive night and just got back from the basketball here in Perth, to keep it short and sweet NBL is absolutely horrible. I was appalled at the skill and although i'm only a club/league skilled player I honestly felt I could hit some of these wide open shots these guys butcher. Even the FT's there were awful, I'm expecting 75% from guards at an NBL level and they aren't even close. I shoot 75% FT, sure i'm not playing on a sold out crowd floor but it should be no excuse. Anyone enough ranting.
I haven't put much time into research tonight and i've only heavily studied game and matchups of one play. If I wake up early enough I may make some plays, I've shared my leans above and they still remain the same...just to help people out here is what i would bet if i had to take everything tomorrow
Utah +1
Pacers -2.5
Pistons -5
Knicks +5.5
Blazers -2
Lakers -9Comment -
therealdealauSBR MVP
- 11-12-10
- 3227
#420Jazz +1 (1.5x)
Utah are coming in with a shocking 1-5 away record, all games they have lost are on the road and their only road win was incredibly lucky (toronto 3x ot). They know that if they wish to be a playoffs team they need to win on the road, this is a perfect match up for them to get a comfortable win. The Sixers offence is all over the place, without Holiday directly influencing the play they are stagnant and don't have much. Utah however have many weapons and the addition of Mo Williams really helps them to stretch the floor and do damage in other areas. However Utah's always been about their bigs and its unfortunate for Philly that the bigs from Utah are finding form and rhythm. Millsap/Jefferson will own the Sixers tomorrow, i've watched the Sixers play and apart from Hawes they have nothing, Hawes is an offensively player only. Defensively they will struggle to contain the Utah bigs. I expect thats what it comes down to in this game however I woulldn't mind a few nasty 3's from Mo. Good luck as always fellas.
Thunder -6 (1x)
No real write up, I think OKC find some rhythm and take some frustration out of their average performance on this Hornets side.Comment
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