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  • therealdealau
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 3227

    #386
    Knicks +5.5 (1x)
    Comment
    • Puda
      SBR MVP
      • 03-26-10
      • 1798

      #387
      nets out to -4.5 in my book, still worth the play??.. any other leans/plays.
      Comment
      • sando
        SBR MVP
        • 04-30-12
        • 3723

        #388
        Originally posted by therealdealau
        let's cash it, hoping gerald wallace returns here he will be huge...Nets getting settled 3 straight home games...hopefully rondo's out
        Coaches are saying he's 50/50 but yet Crash himself said he's not playing tonight, he would really help against Green and Bass...
        Comment
        • clting08
          SBR MVP
          • 05-27-12
          • 1259

          #389
          Originally posted by therealdealau
          Knicks +5.5 (1x)
          TRD, today I will take Spurs. I think Knicks will have winning streak stop. 1st lost for Knicks. Anyway GL to you or me.
          Comment
          • qwe123
            SBR Rookie
            • 11-07-12
            • 44

            #390
            Originally posted by sando
            Coaches are saying he's 50/50 but yet Crash himself said he's not playing tonight, he would really help against Green and Bass...
            Looks like Rondo and Wallace out tonight, MarShon in.
            Comment
            • therealdealau
              SBR MVP
              • 11-12-10
              • 3227

              #391
              hey guys sorry been real busy with gym/work and other life's necessities but hopefully you guys can catch my thoughts before the games go live.

              Celtics @ Nets

              OK, so I locked this in real early at the -3 because I was quite confident Rondo would be out and I love fading the Celts on b2b's, especially against deep teams with some athletic players - It is also the C's 3rd game in 4 nights. The Celtics are playing great ball but that is at the helm of the genius of Rondo, not only does Rondo pose as an immense threat offensively but his length really bothers point guards. Barbosa is no scrub but I think Williams is just too big and just much better than him, D-Will should be licking his lips for this game and should comfortable make the plays he wants to all night. Brook Lopez has been doing work, his defense might be questionable but his offensive numbers are no joke - he will have a big impact offensively all night for the Nets. The biggest factor that brings a smile to my face when thinking abou the Nets is Joe Johnson, one of my most hated players from his seasons at the Hawks as I just think he is a bad version of Kobe - eg takes the most disgusting pointless terrible shots at the worst moments and never makes them (Kobe hits, most of the time). SO FAR in the Nets JJ has been methodical, picking his spots and even PASSING he has been efficient and is proving to be the player he could always be. If he continues this way the Nets will be deadly and they will get a comfortable win over the Celtics. Brooks back allows for more options offensively, CJ Watson should do work on the Celtics secondary PG, I have no idea who it will be. I think the Celtics should struggle offensively without Rondo, there will be lots of iso plays and hopefully the Nets can be on point defensively.

              Knicks +5.5

              Red hot Knicks, I've stated that I would hit them till they lose ATS but i'm not retarded if I strongly felt they wouldn't cover I wouldn't put a dollar on it however I believe the Knicks with +5.5 is definitely value. The Spurs are one of the few teams where you can look at them and say "This is a bad spot for the Spurs", being so well coached and so deep with many veterans and great chemistry they can come to play anywhere, anytime. I like the Knicks here because of a few matchups that I think will be favourable, I believe Melo will have easy time offensively today - I don't see anyone on the Spurs causing him much grief at all. Obviously Melo generally gets his points but I think Felton will have an effective game today, he is deceptively quick and much bigger than Parker. Down low I don't think Pop can leave Diaw playing the C and defending Chandler, like the Lakers game I believe Duncan will get the job. Knicks need to press this match up and force pick and rolls attacking Duncan in an attempt to get his fouls up or make him work defensively in an effort to tire him, he's been red hot so I would like to see the Knicks go after him early and make him really work on both ends. When you talk depth you think Spurs but the Knicks are right there too, JR Smith is hot and will stay hot - he's too quick and athletic for anyone on the Spurs roster. The Spurs biggest bench player Manu has been struggling he's had issues with his back, he's an amazing player and can turn it on whenever but I just feel like with some good defensive pressure it should be enough to throw him. I'm weary that the 3 point shooting of San An has been average and I expect them to hit some big 3's this game but the Knicks also match them for 3 point shooting. Novak has been quiet, I know the Knicks play with momentum and look more comfortable at MSG but they will be looking for big road wins, they aren't messing around and want to prove they are a contender. This is a big game for them.
              Last edited by therealdealau; 11-15-12, 08:00 PM.
              Comment
              • therealdealau
                SBR MVP
                • 11-12-10
                • 3227

                #392
                Someone talk me out of hitting miami.
                Comment
                • OZnBa Fan
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-24-12
                  • 697

                  #393
                  Originally posted by therealdealau
                  Someone talk me out of hitting miami.
                  No wade
                  Comment
                  • therealdealau
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-12-10
                    • 3227

                    #394
                    Originally posted by OZnBa Fan
                    No wade
                    That's one of the main reasons I like the heat
                    Comment
                    • OZnBa Fan
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-24-12
                      • 697

                      #395
                      Originally posted by therealdealau
                      That's one of the main reasons I like the heat
                      Really? Wats ur thoughts?
                      Comment
                      • therealdealau
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-12-10
                        • 3227

                        #396
                        Originally posted by OZnBa Fan
                        Really? Wats ur thoughts?
                        Wade has been junk last two games clearly isnt 100%, his shots have been awful and his defense average. I feel the Heat can turn their road trips around here and secure a win straight up...

                        Knicks/Nets games falling apart in the third. Nets in particular, CJ Watson is playing a shocker.
                        Comment
                        • clting08
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-27-12
                          • 1259

                          #397
                          Lesson no.1 Nevet go against the master.
                          Lesson no.2 See lesson no.1


                          Bet lost. Lost 1k
                          Comment
                          • therealdealau
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-12-10
                            • 3227

                            #398
                            Originally posted by clting08
                            Lesson no.1 Nevet go against the master.
                            Lesson no.2 See lesson no.1


                            Bet lost. Lost 1k
                            Spurs? Sorry pal.
                            Comment
                            • Puda
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-26-10
                              • 1798

                              #399
                              Nice work. Couldnt take Nets... but cashed Knicks.

                              Cmon Miami now.
                              Comment
                              • therealdealau
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-12-10
                                • 3227

                                #400
                                Originally posted by therealdealau
                                Nets -3 (2x)
                                Knicks +5.5 (1x)
                                Shakey 3rd quarter by both Knicks and Nets, but they came through. Predictions were spot on for the Nets game, although Watson played a shocker. Knicks was close, Melo was horrible but he was still getting boards and not walking around sulking too much. My call on Felton was spot on I knew he would explode here. He's so damn quick and strong.

                                As Jay Z says, "Sittin courtside, Knicks and Nets give me high fives"

                                Thanks to everyone who contributes, keep posting - hopefully more people get discussing angles and factors in games to help finalize our picks. 10k views today!

                                2-0 today +3 units

                                NBA RECORD 40-5-20 +34.75 Units



                                Really liked Heat today annoyed I didn't pull trigger I missed the jump because I was sweating the other games. If i can live bet heat at a decent number ill take it.
                                Last edited by therealdealau; 11-15-12, 11:16 PM.
                                Comment
                                • therealdealau
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-12-10
                                  • 3227

                                  #401
                                  Originally posted by Puda
                                  Nice work. Couldnt take Nets... but cashed Knicks.

                                  Cmon Miami now.
                                  Knicks cash cow baby thats 5 wins i've had on the knicks (missed the heat game), I probably will back them again tomorrow.

                                  Glad you got on Miami I feel its the right side did you get +3.5, really looking for some good odds i hope denver go on a run soon
                                  Comment
                                  • clting08
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-27-12
                                    • 1259

                                    #402
                                    Originally posted by therealdealau
                                    Spurs? Sorry pal.
                                    Yes. Spurs was leading until the 4 Q.. Never learn...stupid of me to go against you..
                                    Comment
                                    • OZnBa Fan
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 05-24-12
                                      • 697

                                      #403
                                      Originally posted by therealdealau
                                      Shakey 3rd quarter by both Knicks and Nets, but they came through. Predictions were spot on for the Nets game, although Watson played a shocker. Knicks was close, Melo was horrible but he was still getting boards and not walking around sulking too much. My call on Felton was spot on I knew he would explode here. He's so damn quick and strong.

                                      As Jay Z says, "Sittin courtside, Knicks and Nets give me high fives"

                                      Thanks to everyone who contributes, keep posting - hopefully more people get discussing angles and factors in games to help finalize our picks. 10k views today!

                                      2-0 today +3 units

                                      NBA RECORD 40-5-20 +34.75 Units



                                      Really liked Heat today annoyed I didn't pull trigger I missed the jump because I was sweating the other games. If i can live bet heat at a decent number ill take it.
                                      Keep up the good work pal, ur a gem
                                      Comment
                                      • NewYorkKnicks87
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-31-11
                                        • 410

                                        #404
                                        Good stuff bro, ur killing it!! Any thoughts on Breakers and Crocs?
                                        Comment
                                        • therealdealau
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-12-10
                                          • 3227

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by NewYorkKnicks87
                                          Good stuff bro, ur killing it!! Any thoughts on Breakers and Crocs?
                                          Thanks mate, no opinion on that trash league. I'll be taking Wildcats because im goin to the game!
                                          Comment
                                          • clting08
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-27-12
                                            • 1259

                                            #406
                                            Lucky I took Denver +10.5 at 3rd Q Miami Heat -3.5 at 4rd Q. Both Hits..
                                            Comment
                                            • clting08
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-27-12
                                              • 1259

                                              #407
                                              Denver +10.5 1.27K
                                              Miami -3.5 1.5K

                                              Overall 1.27K + 1.5K - 1K (Spurs) = 1.77K nett
                                              Comment
                                              • clting08
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-27-12
                                                • 1259

                                                #408
                                                7 2829280365
                                                Basketball
                                                11/16/2012
                                                01:24:19 AM
                                                Denver Nuggets@Live 10.50 @0 - 0
                                                Handicap
                                                Denver Nuggets -vs- Miami Heat
                                                NBA @ 11/15/2012
                                                -0.90
                                                M
                                                1270.00
                                                1143.00
                                                Running
                                                8 2829286374
                                                Basketball
                                                11/16/2012
                                                01:59:15 AM
                                                Miami Heat@Live -3.50 @0 - 0
                                                Handicap
                                                Denver Nuggets -vs- Miami Heat
                                                NBA @ 11/15/2012
                                                -0.90
                                                M
                                                1500.00
                                                1350.00
                                                Running
                                                Comment
                                                • SiMON2g
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-01-10
                                                  • 1157

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by clting08
                                                  Denver +10.5 1.27K
                                                  Miami -3.5 1.5K

                                                  Overall 1.27K + 1.5K - 1K (Spurs) = 1.77K nett
                                                  lol nice middle bud!

                                                  Good day today realdeal, keeping it hot, liking it!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • clting08
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-27-12
                                                    • 1259

                                                    #410
                                                    Originally posted by SiMON2g
                                                    lol nice middle bud!

                                                    Good day today realdeal, keeping it hot, liking it!
                                                    Learn this kind of betting from many tipster in this forum.. Thanks to everybody thats has help me!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • therealdealau
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-12-10
                                                      • 3227

                                                      #411
                                                      these are leans not picks, just throwing out my thoughts...busy night tonight heading to the wildcats opener here in perth should be a ripper

                                                      Pacers -2.5
                                                      - probably will not put cash on this but this would be my pick if i had to...yes im sick in the head
                                                      - Hibbert SHOULD have his break out game of this season after a horrible start, Dallas bigs are defensive trash
                                                      - George has been ice cold, he knows this he changes this.
                                                      - Hill v Collison should be a nice battle

                                                      Utah +1
                                                      - LOVE this play, already seen a lot of SBR guys talking about going 'big' on philly, makes me like it even more
                                                      - Utah's style for the last few seasons has been feed the bigs, well Utah's bigs are coming into form at the right time
                                                      - Millsap/Jeff will DOMINATE the Philly bigs, it will be a masscare down low.
                                                      - Mo Williams looks to have recovered and should be feeding the bigs all day long.
                                                      - Utah in a spot for a rare road win over a good opponent
                                                      - Line is really telling Utah has been +3 or more against decent teams on the road...Public will be biting on philly ML/-1

                                                      Pistons -5
                                                      - Magic suck, i don't rate them at all i don't know how they are even competitive
                                                      - Pistons recorded their first win, they will be looking for another and play hard.
                                                      - Stuckey will come back with a vengenance and play hard.
                                                      - Monroe/Drummond easy baskets all day against Magic
                                                      - Line is telling, Pistons -5 against anyone? Bookies dont think highly of the magic, neither do i

                                                      OKC -6
                                                      - OKC has been really poor in my eyes this whole season, i think they get a rare blow out win here
                                                      - Westbrook to bounce back after some poor shooting nights
                                                      - Durants appears to be demanding more ball, this is obviously good for OKC
                                                      - Ibaka has been dominant, he will stretch the Hornets defense with his jumper threat
                                                      - Martin to light up the Hornets secondaries

                                                      Knicks +6
                                                      - this is a tough one I spoke to a mate of mine and said Knicks would lose 1 game ats here out of Spurs/Grizz, they've obviously beaten the Spurs so I'd assume the Grizz would finish their ATS and hot run here but I think i'm going to roll with the Knicks
                                                      - Grizz are the real deal though (no pun intended), their perimeter defense has been stellar so far, Knicks will have trouble getting those nice looks from 3 against them, JR smith will also have his hardest time here I predict he cools off.
                                                      -I like that Melo sucked today, he goes big...
                                                      - Felton will struggle vs Conley
                                                      - 6 points decent value although not sold on it ...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Puda
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-26-10
                                                        • 1798

                                                        #412
                                                        Thanks again for the plays..

                                                        like knicks and utah. look forward to your picks again.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vasilli07
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-08-11
                                                          • 3955

                                                          #413
                                                          Liking Jazz and OKC. Pacers have been horrible these days, wouldn't put my money on them.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SiMON2g
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-01-10
                                                            • 1157

                                                            #414
                                                            I like Orlando tomorrow mate, and possibly Portland.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • therealdealau
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-12-10
                                                              • 3227

                                                              #415
                                                              Cheers guys.

                                                              @Puda cheers for the points, glad your cashing.

                                                              @vas i agree but i think with that line and the situation they are a play, won't put money on it though

                                                              @simon yeah i hate orlando's team but +5 is a lot of points against the pistons who are quite trash, portland are iffy but i stand by my season long prediction of houston being a fail team.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bovholty
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 02-28-12
                                                                • 20

                                                                #416
                                                                another good day, noice
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gopolks
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-16-12
                                                                  • 791

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Just joined up to this group, is it fair to say, most americans just bet on point spread, and not half/full time doubles or anything else, or how many points will be scored in a match?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • therealdealau
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-12-10
                                                                    • 3227

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by gopolks
                                                                    Just joined up to this group, is it fair to say, most americans just bet on point spread, and not half/full time doubles or anything else, or how many points will be scored in a match?
                                                                    It depends on who your following really, if i'm honest the only bets you can do that you can deduce and get an angle for is totals and spreads. Halftime spreads too. In my honest opinion and experience bets like "half time fulltime double" are what amateurs use to chase value, I also don't really rate 1st Quarter bets or things like that. The only other profitable bet is a "prop" bet on a player. Good luck mate.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • therealdealau
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-12-10
                                                                      • 3227

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Hey guys, just checking in to update you on tomorrow. Had a massive night and just got back from the basketball here in Perth, to keep it short and sweet NBL is absolutely horrible. I was appalled at the skill and although i'm only a club/league skilled player I honestly felt I could hit some of these wide open shots these guys butcher. Even the FT's there were awful, I'm expecting 75% from guards at an NBL level and they aren't even close. I shoot 75% FT, sure i'm not playing on a sold out crowd floor but it should be no excuse. Anyone enough ranting.

                                                                      I haven't put much time into research tonight and i've only heavily studied game and matchups of one play. If I wake up early enough I may make some plays, I've shared my leans above and they still remain the same...just to help people out here is what i would bet if i had to take everything tomorrow

                                                                      Utah +1
                                                                      Pacers -2.5
                                                                      Pistons -5
                                                                      Knicks +5.5
                                                                      Blazers -2
                                                                      Lakers -9
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • therealdealau
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-12-10
                                                                        • 3227

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Jazz +1 (1.5x)

                                                                        Utah are coming in with a shocking 1-5 away record, all games they have lost are on the road and their only road win was incredibly lucky (toronto 3x ot). They know that if they wish to be a playoffs team they need to win on the road, this is a perfect match up for them to get a comfortable win. The Sixers offence is all over the place, without Holiday directly influencing the play they are stagnant and don't have much. Utah however have many weapons and the addition of Mo Williams really helps them to stretch the floor and do damage in other areas. However Utah's always been about their bigs and its unfortunate for Philly that the bigs from Utah are finding form and rhythm. Millsap/Jefferson will own the Sixers tomorrow, i've watched the Sixers play and apart from Hawes they have nothing, Hawes is an offensively player only. Defensively they will struggle to contain the Utah bigs. I expect thats what it comes down to in this game however I woulldn't mind a few nasty 3's from Mo. Good luck as always fellas.

                                                                        Thunder -6 (1x)

                                                                        No real write up, I think OKC find some rhythm and take some frustration out of their average performance on this Hornets side.
                                                                        Comment
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