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  • hawley
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-10-10
    • 14270

    #561
    Originally posted by davopnz
    if adongo and kerr are playing for counties on saturday 1.75 is absolute gold for them to beat northland.

    adongo is their achilles heal, their mvp without a doubt in my mind, they get absolutely smashed at the breakdown without him(view manawatu game 1st half and then 2nd half when they brought him on) and against tasman the other night.

    Will definitely be waiting to see if Kerr plays.
    Comment
    • easysaid
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-18-12
      • 690

      #562
      Anyone else on the over for the Auckland/Otago game?
      Comment
      • benandjerry
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-01-11
        • 697

        #563
        Originally posted by easysaid
        Anyone else on the over for the Auckland/Otago game?
        I tailed it, good start but really slowed down now... a try before half would be nice. You were spot on so far with otago + the points as well.
        Comment
        • easysaid
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-18-12
          • 690

          #564
          Mate, we may well have just gotten burried by that disallowed try.
          Comment
          • benandjerry
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-01-11
            • 697

            #565
            Originally posted by easysaid
            Mate, we may well have just gotten burried by that disallowed try.
            yeah, was a bit late back after half but saw the replay, what was the call on the field, try?

            and now some sloppiness by auckland... got penalty at least, but need tries not kicks...
            Comment
            • easysaid
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-18-12
              • 690

              #566
              Nah mate burried by the typical "grind-it-out" fashion that happens in rugby when games are this close.
              Comment
              • hawley
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-10-10
                • 14270

                #567
                Auckland have butchered a fair few.

                Man Parkes is one of the worst players I have watched throughout this ITM cup. He has had a deadset shocker tonight. And to think that new super 15 franchise actually signed him.
                Comment
                • davopnz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-12-12
                  • 1736

                  #568
                  that backdoor cover....fark.
                  Comment
                  • SpartacusNZ
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 10-02-12
                    • 16

                    #569
                    Yeah i agree about Adongo and Kerr. Counties lynchpins are Simon Lemalu, Adongo, Cathcart and Fritz Lee in the pack. The problem is, the latter two are out injured, with Lee out for good.

                    I'm thinking Wellington -8.5 at this point, they score points, and if the weather's good at home they'll really light up a Taranaki team who are probably getting pretty tired at this point. Depth is key at this stage of the season.

                    Damn went -9.5 on Auckland last night. Absolutely robbed by the TMO's decision not to give that try in the corner, absolutely bizzare. Great game by Otago tho, some awesome rugby.

                    Not really sure about Manawatu Southland. Maybe Manawatu +5.5, but that's still quite a low percentage play. Can't find teamsheets and the sportal.co.nz preview isn't up yet.
                    Comment
                    • TBsp75
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-01-09
                      • 267

                      #570
                      Originally posted by SpartacusNZ
                      Not really sure about Manawatu Southland. Maybe Manawatu +5.5, but that's still quite a low percentage play. Can't find teamsheets and the sportal.co.nz preview isn't up yet.
                      invercargill raining whole day today, might be a really big advantage to southland and they do play really well at home but they are without mackintosh.
                      Comment
                      • SpartacusNZ
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 10-02-12
                        • 16

                        #571
                        I've got a small bit on manawatu +5.5 at 195. A little bit conflicted as I think Manawatu might have the edge in the backs, but if the weather is terrible (and i reckon it will be) then that will help southland keep it tight and nudge the win.
                        Comment
                        • TBsp75
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-01-09
                          • 267

                          #572
                          Originally posted by davopnz
                          if adongo and kerr are playing for counties on saturday 1.75 is absolute gold for them to beat northland.
                          Counties Manukau - 1. Simon Lemalu, 2. Mahonri Schwalger(C), 3. Matt Talaese, 4. Sikeli Nabou , 5. Daniel Adongo, 6. Ronald Raaymakers, 7. Maama Vaipulu, 8. Jimmy Tupou, 9. August Pulu, 10. Kane Hancy, 11. Sherwin Stowers 50th, 12. Bundee Aki, 13. Tyrone Lefau, 14. Tony Pulu, 15. Tim Nanai-Williams
                          16. Suliasi Taufalele, 17. Maka Tatafu, 18. Bruce Kaino, 19. Sean Reidy, 20. David Bason, 21. Ray Laulala, 22. Josh Rowland

                          Northland -
                          1 Ross Wright, 2 Tone Kopelani, 3 Pene Kaufusi, 4 Hale T-Pole, 5 Bryce Willams, 6 Dan Pryor, 7 Jack Ram, 8 Will Whetton, 9 Samisoni Fisilau, 10 Ash Moeke, 11 Mateo Malupo, 12 Derek Carpenter, 13 Rene Ranger, 14 Dan Caprice, 15 Faatoina Autagavaia
                          16 David Hall, 17 Justin Davies, 18 Jack Whetton, 19 Dan Faleafa, 20 Tane Takalua, 21 Orene Ai'i, 22 Matt Wright
                          Comment
                          • TBsp75
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 267

                            #573
                            most of the itm matches this week will be playing in rain or at least a wet ground.
                            Comment
                            • Ghenghis Kahn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 19734

                              #574
                              easy do you still like southland -5.5 for tonight?
                              Comment
                              • RLF
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-23-10
                                • 760

                                #575
                                Just remember Counties have top spot already, no need for them to win (although they will still be going for it obviously).

                                Actually I'm wrong there, if Tasman get a bp win since they beat Counties they would go top. So Counties just need 1 point from the game.
                                Comment
                                • hawley
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-10-10
                                  • 14270

                                  #576
                                  I wouldn't touch that game tonight if I was betting with someone else's money.
                                  Comment
                                  • easysaid
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-18-12
                                    • 690

                                    #577
                                    Southland -5.5 is the play boys, southland love this kind of rugby not to mention they are a different team at home.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ghenghis Kahn
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 19734

                                      #578
                                      how bout the total? it went down to 43.
                                      Comment
                                      • Ghenghis Kahn
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 19734

                                        #579
                                        Originally posted by hawley
                                        I wouldn't touch that game tonight if I was betting with someone else's money.
                                        any reason why?
                                        Comment
                                        • hawley
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-10-10
                                          • 14270

                                          #580
                                          Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                          any reason why?
                                          To me it is just two garbage teams going at it.

                                          For Southland to cover they need to somehow score.

                                          Manawatu somewhat impressed me against Hawke's Bay last week.

                                          If the weather is nasty then it obviously plays into the hands of Southland but Manawatu showed an ability to grind out a win in tough conditions over Hawke's Bay.
                                          Comment
                                          • hawley
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-10-10
                                            • 14270

                                            #581
                                            Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                            how bout the total? it went down to 43.

                                            Southland struggle to score tries in ideal conditions.

                                            If the weather is bad this game might not break 25 points.

                                            Again I would struggle to put funds on either side or the total.

                                            But look at Easy's record...it speaks for itself. He knows a lot more about rugby than I do.
                                            Comment
                                            • benandjerry
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-01-11
                                              • 697

                                              #582
                                              easysaid, you still like the under in tasman - north harbour as low as 39.5?
                                              Comment
                                              • RLF
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-23-10
                                                • 760

                                                #583
                                                That's an odd total, I'd be looking at over 50..

                                                Harbour will throw it around and so will Tasman who will look for the 4 tries.
                                                Comment
                                                • easysaid
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 05-18-12
                                                  • 690

                                                  #584
                                                  Originally posted by benandjerry
                                                  easysaid, you still like the under in tasman - north harbour as low as 39.5?
                                                  WOW, that is quite low.. ill downgrade it to 2 Units.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nosaij
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-16-12
                                                    • 986

                                                    #585
                                                    17-11. last minute conversion. NICEEEE
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rzr
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 08-11-10
                                                      • 57

                                                      #586
                                                      Haha holy crap at that Southland cover. Well done easy!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • steve19
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 09-07-12
                                                        • 44

                                                        #587
                                                        epic end got the undas with the line sikkk
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rumple
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-19-07
                                                          • 2499

                                                          #588
                                                          What a bullshit lucky win.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rumple
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-19-07
                                                            • 2499

                                                            #589
                                                            That obstruction penalty was shit.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • easysaid
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-18-12
                                                              • 690

                                                              #590
                                                              I got screwed on a play last week from a 80th minute try, guess this really is variance at its MAX.

                                                              Cash it boys!!

                                                              Comment
                                                              • RLF
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-23-10
                                                                • 760

                                                                #591
                                                                Haha, nice win mate!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • easysaid
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-18-12
                                                                  • 690

                                                                  #592
                                                                  dude, this is not a bullshit win, its a southland win.. they do this almost everytime they are behind by 1-6 points in the last 10 minutes.

                                                                  Adding - Waikato/Hawkes Bay u50.5 - 6 Units

                                                                  Line came out this morning and was a little stunned, what we have here is "Ranfurly Sheild Challenge" (which are very rarely high scoring) plus Hawkes Bay gives up if they are down 10+ points at half time & if the game gets tight both teams D will be pick up with very few line breaks (not to mention possible rain). If you have followed me over the course of the thread you'll notice i rarely do big unit plays and this will most likely be my last one for the season.

                                                                  Lets get this!

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TBsp75
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                                    • 267

                                                                    #593
                                                                    great call on southland

                                                                    a win is a win. luck has nothing to do with it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nosaij
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-16-12
                                                                      • 986

                                                                      #594
                                                                      Originally posted by easysaid
                                                                      dude, this is not a bullshit win, its a southland win.. they do this almost everytime they are behind by 1-6 points in the last 10 minutes.

                                                                      Adding - Waikato/Hawkes Bay u50.5 - 6 Units

                                                                      Line came out this morning and was a little stunned, what we have here is "Ranfurly Sheild Challenge" (which are very rarely high scoring) plus Hawkes Bay gives up if they are down 10+ points at half time & if the game gets tight both teams D will be pick up with very few line breaks (not to mention possible rain). If you have followed me over the course of the thread you'll notice i rarely do big unit plays and this will most likely be my last one for the season.

                                                                      Lets get this!

                                                                      can only get u48.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • easysaid
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 05-18-12
                                                                        • 690

                                                                        #595
                                                                        take it for 4 units dude, should still cash.
                                                                        Comment
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