Johno's AFL Picks 2012

johno35 · 05-19-12, 11:55 PM

Under was looking shaky early but back on track now, hopefully it goes in to the last quarter with 10 more goals needed, I always feel like 10 is the magic number. Got some more plays on

Adelaide ML $2.75 - Risk 1 unit
Saints ML $3.00 - Risk 1 unit

2 underdogs that I feel have a good chance of winning, Adelaide is in great form and Saints are starting to play good footy and have a good record at Subi, GL

johno35 · 05-25-12, 03:51 AM

Got 2 plays tonight

Geelong -28.5 - 3 units
Geelong/Bulldogs under 185.5 - 5 units

GL

johno35 · 05-25-12, 09:27 PM

Got the under but Geelong couldn't get the cover last night but a got a profit.

Hawthorn -22.5 - 1 unit
Richmond/Hawthorn under 180.5 - 1 unit

More to come later

johno35 · 05-25-12, 10:15 PM

Updated record from end of round 8

ML Underdog Plays - 1-2 (-.25 units)
1 Unit Plays - 15-8 (+6.36 units)
3 Unit Plays - 18-13 (+11.88 units)
5 Unit Plays - 4-7 (-17.80 units)

Total +.19 units

johno35 · 05-25-12, 10:27 PM

GC ML $2.45 - Risk 1 unit

johno35 · 05-26-12, 03:09 AM

GWS/bombers over 182 - 3 units
Adelaide -13.5 - 5 units

johno35 · 05-26-12, 07:48 AM

Rough day! Hopefully bounce back tomorrow like I did last week

johno35 · 05-26-12, 08:49 PM

Gonna claw back some of those units today!

North -26.5 - 3 units
North/Bris under 192.5 - 3 units
Carlton -50.5 - 3 units
Eagles/Freo under 173.5 - 3 units
Eagles -19.5 - 1 unit

A lot of plays today but I'm confident

johno35 · 06-01-12, 02:54 AM

I think tonight's game could go either way but I like the total

Saints/Tigers over 192.5 - 3 units

Expect a high scoring game tonight GL

johno35 · 06-02-12, 03:06 AM

Nice over last night, great game too. Had no plays today but do tonight

Ess/Melb under 184.5 - 3 units
Carlton -17.5 - 5 units
Port/Carlton over 176.5 - 3 units

GL

johno35 · 06-02-12, 08:26 PM

A couple of major upsets last night, good to see! Again Sat night kills me

Eagles -26.5 - 5 units
Lions/Eagles over 158.5 - 3 units

I cant see losing these 2 but I have been a bit cold lately

johno35 · 06-02-12, 11:04 PM

Sydney -19.5 - 3 units
Swans/Dogs under 150.5 - 3 units

johno35 · 06-03-12, 12:59 AM

GC +67.5 - 1 unit
Pies/GC under 183.5 - 1 unit

johno35 · 06-08-12, 04:01 AM

Should be a cracking game tonight, I'm expecting a high scoring match at ES and I also expect Carlton to come out firing, I think they will be too quick for Geelong

Cats/Blues over 192.5 - 3 units
Carlton ML $2.75 - Risking 1 unit

GL

thecattery12 · 06-08-12, 04:11 AM

Thanks, tailing the overs. Don't know about the Carlton ML though, I'm expecting a 5 goal win for us.

johno35 · 06-08-12, 10:22 PM

I'm great fade material at the moment, I thought Carlton and the over was looking good early but was quite a sloppy game in the end.

Rich/Freo under 171.5 - 5 units
Freo +31.5 - 3 units

GL

johno35 · 06-09-12, 01:14 AM

Great to get 8 units back today! Don't have a play for the Saints/GC game, but I'm looking at the game tonight

johno35 · 06-09-12, 03:22 AM

Should be good match tonight, again I'm expecting a high scoring match. Sydney recently have been in poor form in Melbourne but I'm confident they can rectify that tonight and just get over the line.

Ess/Syd over 189.5 - 1 unit
Sydney ML $2.55 - Risk 1 unit

GL

johno35 · 06-10-12, 01:01 AM

Had a good day yesterday, only one game today so limited opportunities but still have a play

Hawks -26.5 - 3 units

johno35 · 06-10-12, 01:29 AM

Last minute play but I've been looking into the totals and I'm loving the under

Port/Hawks under 192.5 - 5 units

garygroundwork · 06-10-12, 06:21 AM

nice work mate, wish I tailed!

johno35 · 06-10-12, 06:44 PM

Thanks mate, will be good to finish off a good round today

johno35 · 06-10-12, 11:47 PM

Great conditions for footy today which would sway people to go the over but I'm on the under, Melbourne are struggling to score this year and will be in more a defensive mindset. History also shows low scoring games when these two teams go head to head. Also think the Pies will win by 50+

Melbourne/Collingwood under 184.5 - 3 units
Collingwood -48.5 - 1 unit

GL

Pride · 06-11-12, 12:24 AM

pies are one of the easiest plays of the year tonight. good call

Pride · 06-11-12, 12:37 AM

well this one is over. too easy sometimes.

johno35 · 06-11-12, 02:07 AM

looked over early but Demons making a mini comeback, they wont win but I'm worried about the line now. If the Pies hadn't lost Didak in the first minute I would still think they would get it easy but the Pies may run out of legs

johno35 · 06-11-12, 02:32 AM

8 goals in the first 8 minutes of the last quarter has all but ****** my under, only have 1 goal up my sleeve from here. I can only hope Collingwood get the next 4 to cover

Ron29301 · 06-11-12, 02:52 AM

That was b.s. with 14 sec left. Man this shit is set up. Flopping all over the place in the last 14 secs

johno35 · 06-11-12, 05:33 AM

Originally posted by Ron29301

That was b.s. with 14 sec left. Man this shit is set up. Flopping all over the place in the last 14 secs

Yeah mate, that was hard to watch, it was right on the line! But then they went coast to coast and goaled so it didn't hurt as much but

johno35 · 06-14-12, 03:30 AM

How good is it having Thursday night footy! The Eagles and the Blues generally have high scoring games but the weather is not good in Perth at the moment so the total has been set at 168.5. I'm liking the under for this reason and because Carlton have been a bit off lately, scoring only 4 goals against Port a couple of weeks ago. Also the Eagles are favs by 23.5, might be a bit high due to the weather, I'm thinking Carlton keeps this close in a scrappy match

Eagles/Blues under 168.5 - 3 units
Blues +23.5 - 1 unit

GL

johno35 · 06-14-12, 07:19 AM

Great to get another 4 units tonight, game played out just as I thought it would. Be back for tomorrow nights game

johno35 · 06-14-12, 07:35 AM

Updated record

ML Underdog Plays - 2-4 (-.70 units)
1 Unit Plays - 17-13 (+2.96 units)
3 Unit Plays - 27-21 (+12.96 units)
5 Unit Plays - 7-10 (-19 units)

Total -3.78 units

Pride · 06-14-12, 09:24 PM

im never on the right side of saints games it seems but i think they get it done tonight. thoughts?

johno35 · 06-15-12, 04:02 AM

Originally posted by Pride

im never on the right side of saints games it seems but i think they get it done tonight. thoughts?

I'm liking Adelaide tonight mate

johno35 · 06-15-12, 04:12 AM

Saints have won 7 of the last 10 against Adelaide but with Adelaide having a bye last week and the saints having played a string of 6 day break games lately, Adelaide will have the legs to run out the game better. I wish I could say my saints will get up but Adelaide are on fire and I think they will get up by 4 goals. I like the over also

Adelaide -12.5 - 3 units
Adelaide/St.Kilda over 175.5 - 1 unit

GL