but some are just meant for 1 turn and want/need the lead
id imagine it’s difficult to decide ( how much does breeding factor in?)
A. Breeding is not the deciding factor except with pure sprinter mentality but it drives the bus in most cases.
Q. if you fail trying to rate a horse, couldn’t it affect the short term future (profit)
A. Absolutely. But any horse can do (and make) much more if they can relax and do more than just burn on the lead. Don't get me wrong though. There are horses that have natural speed that make the lead or don't and there are those that can only run one way. It's all about relax, no matter their position. And it's easier said than done quite often.
Q. It’s a set back if the horse can’t rate , or fails doing so
then ask to go back to sprinting
they will find it again , but costly as
I see this a lot with the horses on derby trail
I see this a lot with the horses on derby trail
Connections so hungry for triple crown
they force it
A. Yes we do see this alot. And it will always happen. The Derby is such a fever for everyone involved with a young horse I have trouble describing what it feels like or even is. It is overwhelming and has led to countless ruination of many a horse over the years. But just look any buyer at a sale in the eye that is paying real money for a prospect and ask them what the are hopeful of getting. It will take a humble and grounded buyer ( not that many, believe me), to say they hope the horse can win the Bay Shore and go on to make a bunch of money being a very useful horse. Maybe some will say that the day after the 1st Saturday in May of the horses 3 year old year, but up until then, nobody is thinking of the Bay Shore in NY, the Lexington in Ky, the Tesio in Md, or any ( with normal thinking), really cool race to win. They want the Derby and I'm not talking Ohio Derby.
Honestly, I have never seen anything like it, and have to admit that it crossed my mind a time or two when I was training. It's actually terrible overall because so many poor decisions are made along the way every year. Earning money, that everybody wants to do, is not a blip on the radar in the months leading up to early May. That post I wrote a few weeks ago about that owner of mine turning down a bunch of money, money that would have set a path to the sales ring for potentially very nice horses for the next decade says all you need to hear. It happens everywhere. Very good business people leaving all their business sense at home and coming to the track and acting as reckless with a horse as they can be. It's not just that guy, its darn near everybody.
Trainers styles really come into play as well. What I mean is, and no disrespect to anyone I use as an example in here,(I'm not judging, I'm just pointing out styles and there is more than one way to skin a cat), but I doubt you will see Wesley Ward running too many horses a mile and a quarter on the grass nor will you see Chad Brown going 4 1/2 F. with a baby. And while those are extreme examples, almost every trainer has some sort of style and almost every trainer has strengths and weaknesses. Just like jocks styles which are also very real, they hate it when you say it, but it's the truth.
So I guess the question is, is it all worth it to try and shoot for the moon? Probably not, but if you have a horse that looks like there is a chance, it takes an almost impossible dose of realism, logic and focus on the long run to try and overcome the temptation to try for the Derby.
I needed a two hundred words to try and explain what it feels like and probably fell short.
You said it in three.
"They force it". And when that happens, things usually get messed up.