1 a day.. 50 plays.. 100 days.. open to all

[Louisvillekid1]

lets crush today

[JBEX]

R7 #7 ten penny princess

finally a good post and top jockey hops aboard.. last running line very similar to 9/1 which he followed with a win.. time in between similar also 24-28 days


R8 #3 weekend hideaway (2-1.. 25 mtp)

won 2nd off short layoff here last year off a very similar running line and a drop.. solid works surrounding last race


R9 #6 bernadiva (20-1) play 52

R10 #10 banker's Island (20-1)

[JBEX]

added R8

[JBEX]

added R9 R10

[JBEX]

R1 #3 jody's song (6-1)

250k yearling scat daddy out of a winning speightstown mare.. 2 starters and 1 winner from the dam but dpi low couldn't have been anything special.. love pedigree for turf and win early and even at 100k stud fee consider expensive for the pedigree

R2 #7 samadi sky (12-1)

excuses last two and was a real hard knocker as a 3yo.. johnny v jumps aboard off a 4 month freshening and only mount he had for Barbara was a 16.80 winner..if he's higher than ml don't touch

R3 #3 sunset ridge (1-5)

no show wagering and sure they'll be a minus place pool... this will be like a workout for this horse

R4 #4 chaseindamoney (9-2)

even at 72k (yearling purchase) I consider this ex/ped..freud (10k stud) and first foal to of an unraced midas eyes dam (cheap dam sire).. speed pedigree and ortiz/rice.. workouts mostly slow so a little bit camouflaged

R5 pass

R6 #6 grandpa's arianna (6-1)

perfect race ( run line) to stretch out off, switch to jv, first lasix, and solid works.. 15k yearling up for mdn clm 40k.. good fit

R7 #4 feeling bossy (8-1)

like the way after he got through his state bred alw conditions he was able to get through open n1x and n2xot
conditions in consecutive races..respectable effort last out at 1 1/2 miles in listed stakes..runs well fresh

R8 #1 one last cast (15-1)

what !! 15-1 pletcher..bred and owned by him and pops..has solid pedigree on bottom as dpi very high..stuck behind slow pace last out at belmont and ships her up from mth to try this 2yo state bred stakes ..interesting at a price

[JBEX]

added R6

[JBEX]

added R7 R8

[JBEX]

R1 #3 jody's song (6-1)

250k yearling scat daddy out of a winning speightstown mare.. 2 starters and 1 winner from the dam but dpi low couldn't have been anything special.. love pedigree for turf and win early and even at 100k stud fee consider expensive for the pedigree

R2 #7 samadi sky (12-1)

excuses last two and was a real hard knocker as a 3yo.. johnny v jumps aboard off a 4 month freshening and only mount he had for Barbara was a 16.80 winner..if he's higher than ml don't touch

R3 #3 sunset ridge (1-5)

no show wagering and sure they'll be a minus place pool... this will be like a workout for this horse

R4 #4 chaseindamoney (9-2)

even at 72k (yearling purchase) I consider this ex/ped..freud (10k stud) and first foal to of an unraced midas eyes dam (cheap dam sire).. speed pedigree and ortiz/rice.. workouts mostly slow so a little bit camouflaged

R5 pass

R6 #6 grandpa's arianna (6-1)

perfect race ( run line) to stretch out off, switch to jv, first lasix, and solid works.. 15k yearling up for mdn clm 40k.. good fit

R7 #4 feeling bossy (8-1)

like the way after he got through his state bred alw conditions he was able to get through open n1x and n2xot
conditions in consecutive races..respectable effort last out at 1 1/2 miles in listed stakes..runs well fresh

R8 #1 one last cast (15-1)

what !! 15-1 pletcher..bred and owned by him and pops..has solid pedigree on bottom as dpi very high..stuck behind slow pace last out at belmont and ships her up from mth to try this 2yo state bred stakes ..interesting at a price

#2 sorry

[JBEX]

R10 #3

[JBEX]

R11 #12 louisiana lady (12-1) play 53

[JBEX]

play 52.. 3rd @ 44-1
play 53 out

715
13.5
161.40

11/4

[JBEX]

R2 #7 richmond street (6-1)
R3 #6 fortune cookie (8-1)
R5 #1 profiteer (15-1)

[Louisvillekid1]

get 'em today!

[JBEX]

R10 #7 idaho (2-1)

lightly raced 4yo colt has a world class pedigree..nice steady timeform improvements over course of his career
and has established himself as a 1 1/2 mile specialist..no great reward but like him

travers R11 #6 girvin (10-1)

besides tough trip in ky derby no more consistent horse in here than him. .4 wins and 2 seconds by less than a length. .whatever it requires, speed, stalk ,deep closer he does it all ..gets nice middle post..jockey albarado having an excellent meeting

R13 #11 herecomesyourman (5-1)

48 days between last 2 races and 24 to today's..lost by a nose 2nd off a layoff 2 starts back..drops a notch today
and spotted well here..good luck to your buddy tony dutrow str

[JBEX]

added R13

[JBEX]

R1 #5 thirst for victory (8-5)
R2 #8 rough sea (8-1)
R3 #5 portfolio manager (6-5)
R5 #10 everybody loves me (7-2)

chalk city

R10 #3 cool beans (8-1)

ex/ped and excellent turf/1st turf, start trainer

[JBEX]

added R10

[JBEX]

R2 #8 north eighth street (4-1)

gets the jump on them and half furlong shorter today

R3 #3 futile (4-1)

spotted well and finally gets a fast dirt track (poly last)..
jose ortiz 3/5 for this trainer this meet and 8/23 2016-17 with huge roi's

R5 #8 brown paper (20-1)

ships up north off long string of fair hill 5f works and tries a turf route for her debut.. 4yo filly spotted reasonably vs maiden claimers.. dam's been very productive

R5 #9 rockin jo (12-1)

trainer having horrible saratoga and year.. like the pedigree as new sire paynter was a very quick and solid horse.. remember they had an add on tvg for him recently that said something like he ran the best ragozin figure as a 3yo (forget the rest but was impressive).. out of a stakes placed "in excess" mare which is speed oriented as I wrote in my last question to str. bit of a troubled trip in debut.. let's try again

R6 #7 indian school (20-1)


the turf paradise races not a bad fit here vs 3yo clm 32k..
widest post on inner turf here last out off 4 month layoff and was in the front part of the field before fading to last..
serpe has worked him consecutive miles since a week apart and his last was a 5f breeze

R7 #7 fire key (6-1)

last two 22 days apart and 22 to today's race..through his nyb allowance conditions and tries open company n1xOT


R8 #7 holiday stone (9-2)

R9 #3 madgirl (20-1) play 54

real expensive for pedigree. .win early turf,overall and speed pedigree..trainer having bad meet and not good with firsters but that doesn't mean if gets his hands on a horse that's capable he couldn't get her ready.first out

[JBEX]

finished card

[JBEX]

R9 play 54

[JBEX]

R9 play 54

4th @ 7-1

722
13.3
161.40

11/4

[JBEX]

R1 #9 liam's world (6-1)
R2 #5 roman approval (9-2)
R3 #5 core portfolio (5-1) half unit

have a hunch he's well meant on the big drop but never feel confident about these types . last 2 races at about 3-4 levels above are ugly

R4 #7 furtive glance (9-2)
R5 pass

R6 #8 strombolian (6-1)
R7 #5 seafire (20-1) play 55

R8 #6 mr crow (8-5)

minus pool.. making his 3rd career start and ran a monster beyer last out.. just missed by a neck in debut.. another big effort here wouldn't rule out grade 1 cigar mile at aqueduct

R9 #2 nauti boy (20-1)
R10 #5 berning rose (20-1)

they'll be a play 55 among these

[JBEX]

finished card

[JBEX]

R7 play 55

[JBEX]

R7 play 55

out


744
13.5
161.40



back with picks

11/4

[JBEX]

R1 #5 orchestra leader (6-1) jumps
R2 #8 cookie crisp (8-1)
R3 #4 taioseach (6-1)
R4 #5 silly sister (4-1)
R5 #9 foolish ghost (20-1)

this 2yo colt debuter by mineshaft out of a winning mare
that's produced 2 winners from as many starters and both won as 2yo's..progressive steady works

interesting linda rice has a fts by same sire out of an unraced dam who's also produced 2 winners from as many starters and both won at 2..above is a homebred whereas this guy cost 335k and has a sibling that gave the dam a huge 13+ dpi..probably no value in this one even though 9-2 ml but sure will be lower..#7

[JBEX]

working on latter part of card..7th will be my first

[JBEX]

R7 #11 jj's dreaming (15-1)
R8 #5 nutzforboltz (15-1)
R9 #4 life time citizen (5-1)
R10 #12 undercutter (20-1)play 56... #13 bold illusion (50-1) half unit

[JBEX]

designated play 56

[Louisvillekid1]

Can you explain how to follow your thread

ty

[JBEX]

Can you explain how to follow your thread

ty

not sure if this is what you mean but started this one a day thing to try to isolate a best bet daily..it's evolved (different rules) over time but it's currently just ny and included in that is the play. .once I finish the 75 plays it'll all go back to other thread..85-90% will be ny but will occasionally look at big days at other tracks

[Easy-Rider 66]

out

744
13.5
161.40



back with picks

11/4

Maybe Lkid is referring to these numbers

[JBEX]

Maybe Lkid is referring to these numbers

if that's so


744..odds tally so can do a running avg
13.5..avg odds
161.40..total return on a $2 win place bet

11/4.. date when I have to finish the 75 plays by.. that'll be easy

[Louisvillekid1]

wow great return man

thanks for sharing

[Easy-Rider 66]

wow great return man

thanks for sharing

That return is from 56 plays or $224 risked so JBex needs to hit another bomb or 2 to get the figure in the Black.