1 a day.. 50 plays.. 100 days.. open to all

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #246
    lets crush today
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23424

      #247
      R7 #7 ten penny princess

      finally a good post and top jockey hops aboard.. last running line very similar to 9/1 which he followed with a win.. time in between similar also 24-28 days


      R8 #3 weekend hideaway (2-1.. 25 mtp)

      won 2nd off short layoff here last year off a very similar running line and a drop.. solid works surrounding last race


      R9 #6 bernadiva (20-1) play 52

      R10 #10 banker's Island (20-1)
      Last edited by JBEX; 08-24-17, 04:19 PM.
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23424

        #248
        added R8
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23424

          #249
          added R9 R10
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23424

            #250
            R1 #3 jody's song (6-1)

            250k yearling scat daddy out of a winning speightstown mare.. 2 starters and 1 winner from the dam but dpi low couldn't have been anything special.. love pedigree for turf and win early and even at 100k stud fee consider expensive for the pedigree

            R2 #7 samadi sky (12-1)

            excuses last two and was a real hard knocker as a 3yo.. johnny v jumps aboard off a 4 month freshening and only mount he had for Barbara was a 16.80 winner..if he's higher than ml don't touch

            R3 #3 sunset ridge (1-5)

            no show wagering and sure they'll be a minus place pool... this will be like a workout for this horse

            R4 #4 chaseindamoney (9-2)

            even at 72k (yearling purchase) I consider this ex/ped..freud (10k stud) and first foal to of an unraced midas eyes dam (cheap dam sire).. speed pedigree and ortiz/rice.. workouts mostly slow so a little bit camouflaged

            R5 pass

            R6 #6 grandpa's arianna (6-1)

            perfect race ( run line) to stretch out off, switch to jv, first lasix, and solid works.. 15k yearling up for mdn clm 40k.. good fit

            R7 #4 feeling bossy (8-1)

            like the way after he got through his state bred alw conditions he was able to get through open n1x and n2xot
            conditions in consecutive races..respectable effort last out at 1 1/2 miles in listed stakes..runs well fresh

            R8 #1 one last cast (15-1)

            what !! 15-1 pletcher..bred and owned by him and pops..has solid pedigree on bottom as dpi very high..stuck behind slow pace last out at belmont and ships her up from mth to try this 2yo state bred stakes ..interesting at a price
            Last edited by JBEX; 08-25-17, 11:24 AM.
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23424

              #251
              added R6
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23424

                #252
                added R7 R8
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23424

                  #253
                  Originally posted by JBEX
                  R1 #3 jody's song (6-1)

                  250k yearling scat daddy out of a winning speightstown mare.. 2 starters and 1 winner from the dam but dpi low couldn't have been anything special.. love pedigree for turf and win early and even at 100k stud fee consider expensive for the pedigree

                  R2 #7 samadi sky (12-1)

                  excuses last two and was a real hard knocker as a 3yo.. johnny v jumps aboard off a 4 month freshening and only mount he had for Barbara was a 16.80 winner..if he's higher than ml don't touch

                  R3 #3 sunset ridge (1-5)

                  no show wagering and sure they'll be a minus place pool... this will be like a workout for this horse

                  R4 #4 chaseindamoney (9-2)

                  even at 72k (yearling purchase) I consider this ex/ped..freud (10k stud) and first foal to of an unraced midas eyes dam (cheap dam sire).. speed pedigree and ortiz/rice.. workouts mostly slow so a little bit camouflaged

                  R5 pass

                  R6 #6 grandpa's arianna (6-1)

                  perfect race ( run line) to stretch out off, switch to jv, first lasix, and solid works.. 15k yearling up for mdn clm 40k.. good fit

                  R7 #4 feeling bossy (8-1)

                  like the way after he got through his state bred alw conditions he was able to get through open n1x and n2xot
                  conditions in consecutive races..respectable effort last out at 1 1/2 miles in listed stakes..runs well fresh

                  R8 #1 one last cast (15-1)

                  what !! 15-1 pletcher..bred and owned by him and pops..has solid pedigree on bottom as dpi very high..stuck behind slow pace last out at belmont and ships her up from mth to try this 2yo state bred stakes ..interesting at a price
                  #2 sorry
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23424

                    #254
                    R10 #3

                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23424

                      #255
                      R11 #12 louisiana lady (12-1) play 53
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23424

                        #256
                        play 52.. 3rd @ 44-1
                        play 53 out

                        715
                        13.5
                        161.40

                        11/4
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23424

                          #257
                          R2 #7 richmond street (6-1)
                          R3 #6 fortune cookie (8-1)
                          R5 #1 profiteer (15-1)
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #258
                            get 'em today!
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23424

                              #259
                              R10 #7 idaho (2-1)

                              lightly raced 4yo colt has a world class pedigree..nice steady timeform improvements over course of his career
                              and has established himself as a 1 1/2 mile specialist..no great reward but like him

                              travers R11 #6 girvin (10-1)

                              besides tough trip in ky derby no more consistent horse in here than him. .4 wins and 2 seconds by less than a length. .whatever it requires, speed, stalk ,deep closer he does it all ..gets nice middle post..jockey albarado having an excellent meeting

                              R13 #11 herecomesyourman (5-1)

                              48 days between last 2 races and 24 to today's..lost by a nose 2nd off a layoff 2 starts back..drops a notch today
                              and spotted well here..good luck to your buddy tony dutrow str
                              Last edited by JBEX; 08-26-17, 03:55 PM.
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23424

                                #260
                                added R13
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23424

                                  #261
                                  R1 #5 thirst for victory (8-5)
                                  R2 #8 rough sea (8-1)
                                  R3 #5 portfolio manager (6-5)
                                  R5 #10 everybody loves me (7-2)

                                  chalk city

                                  R10 #3 cool beans (8-1)

                                  ex/ped and excellent turf/1st turf, start trainer
                                  Last edited by JBEX; 08-27-17, 10:35 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23424

                                    #262
                                    added R10
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23424

                                      #263
                                      R2 #8 north eighth street (4-1)

                                      gets the jump on them and half furlong shorter today

                                      R3 #3 futile (4-1)

                                      spotted well and finally gets a fast dirt track (poly last)..
                                      jose ortiz 3/5 for this trainer this meet and 8/23 2016-17 with huge roi's

                                      R5 #8 brown paper (20-1)

                                      ships up north off long string of fair hill 5f works and tries a turf route for her debut.. 4yo filly spotted reasonably vs maiden claimers.. dam's been very productive

                                      R5 #9 rockin jo (12-1)

                                      trainer having horrible saratoga and year.. like the pedigree as new sire paynter was a very quick and solid horse.. remember they had an add on tvg for him recently that said something like he ran the best ragozin figure as a 3yo (forget the rest but was impressive).. out of a stakes placed "in excess" mare which is speed oriented as I wrote in my last question to str. bit of a troubled trip in debut.. let's try again

                                      R6 #7 indian school (20-1)


                                      the turf paradise races not a bad fit here vs 3yo clm 32k..
                                      widest post on inner turf here last out off 4 month layoff and was in the front part of the field before fading to last..
                                      serpe has worked him consecutive miles since a week apart and his last was a 5f breeze

                                      R7 #7 fire key (6-1)

                                      last two 22 days apart and 22 to today's race..through his nyb allowance conditions and tries open company n1xOT


                                      R8 #7 holiday stone (9-2)

                                      R9 #3 madgirl (20-1) play 54

                                      real expensive for pedigree. .win early turf,overall and speed pedigree..trainer having bad meet and not good with firsters but that doesn't mean if gets his hands on a horse that's capable he couldn't get her ready.first out
                                      Last edited by JBEX; 08-28-17, 01:47 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23424

                                        #264
                                        finished card
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23424

                                          #265
                                          R9 play 54
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23424

                                            #266
                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                            R9 play 54
                                            4th @ 7-1

                                            722
                                            13.3
                                            161.40

                                            11/4



                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23424

                                              #267
                                              R1 #9 liam's world (6-1)
                                              R2 #5 roman approval (9-2)
                                              R3 #5 core portfolio (5-1) half unit

                                              have a hunch he's well meant on the big drop but never feel confident about these types . last 2 races at about 3-4 levels above are ugly

                                              R4 #7 furtive glance (9-2)
                                              R5 pass

                                              R6 #8 strombolian (6-1)
                                              R7 #5 seafire (20-1) play 55

                                              R8 #6 mr crow (8-5)

                                              minus pool.. making his 3rd career start and ran a monster beyer last out.. just missed by a neck in debut.. another big effort here wouldn't rule out grade 1 cigar mile at aqueduct

                                              R9 #2 nauti boy (20-1)
                                              R10 #5 berning rose (20-1)

                                              they'll be a play 55 among these
                                              Last edited by JBEX; 08-30-17, 12:53 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23424

                                                #268
                                                finished card
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23424

                                                  #269
                                                  R7 play 55
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23424

                                                    #270
                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                    R7 play 55
                                                    out


                                                    744
                                                    13.5
                                                    161.40



                                                    back with picks

                                                    11/4
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23424

                                                      #271
                                                      R1 #5 orchestra leader (6-1) jumps
                                                      R2 #8 cookie crisp (8-1)
                                                      R3 #4 taioseach (6-1)
                                                      R4 #5 silly sister (4-1)
                                                      R5 #9 foolish ghost (20-1)

                                                      this 2yo colt debuter by mineshaft out of a winning mare
                                                      that's produced 2 winners from as many starters and both won as 2yo's..progressive steady works

                                                      interesting linda rice has a fts by same sire out of an unraced dam who's also produced 2 winners from as many starters and both won at 2..above is a homebred whereas this guy cost 335k and has a sibling that gave the dam a huge 13+ dpi..probably no value in this one even though 9-2 ml but sure will be lower..#7
                                                      Last edited by JBEX; 08-31-17, 10:26 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23424

                                                        #272
                                                        working on latter part of card..7th will be my first
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23424

                                                          #273
                                                          R7 #11 jj's dreaming (15-1)
                                                          R8 #5 nutzforboltz (15-1)
                                                          R9 #4 life time citizen (5-1)
                                                          R10 #12 undercutter (20-1)play 56... #13 bold illusion (50-1) half unit
                                                          Last edited by JBEX; 08-31-17, 02:34 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23424

                                                            #274
                                                            designated play 56
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #275
                                                              Can you explain how to follow your thread

                                                              ty
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23424

                                                                #276
                                                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                Can you explain how to follow your thread

                                                                ty
                                                                not sure if this is what you mean but started this one a day thing to try to isolate a best bet daily..it's evolved (different rules) over time but it's currently just ny and included in that is the play. .once I finish the 75 plays it'll all go back to other thread..85-90% will be ny but will occasionally look at big days at other tracks
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-14-12
                                                                  • 36100

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                  out

                                                                  744
                                                                  13.5
                                                                  161.40



                                                                  back with picks

                                                                  11/4
                                                                  Maybe Lkid is referring to these numbers
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23424

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                                    Maybe Lkid is referring to these numbers

                                                                    if that's so


                                                                    744..odds tally so can do a running avg
                                                                    13.5..avg odds
                                                                    161.40..total return on a $2 win place bet

                                                                    11/4.. date when I have to finish the 75 plays by.. that'll be easy
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #279
                                                                      wow great return man

                                                                      thanks for sharing
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                                        • 36100

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                        wow great return man

                                                                        thanks for sharing
                                                                        That return is from 56 plays or $224 risked so JBex needs to hit another bomb or 2 to get the figure in the Black.
                                                                        Comment
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