ElCapitan's 2011-2012 NHL Thread

[ElCapitan]

is all good captain, we appreciate everything you've done thus far!

Thanks man. I try.

I'll get the official post up for today in a bit and then I'll post the games through the rest of the year some time tonight.

[Win89]

If you had the balls to play the Islanders congrats, instead I'm going with the only V2 play today in Pittsburgh. After what happened earlier with the Islanders I think it'd be a good investment to fade their next two games on the ML.
I see you Kev

[Pakaa]

Damn, Florida is already down by 0-4...

[thelimit0310]

Missed the Islanders game, got doused on the other 2, none of our teams even scored a goal. Busy week coming up especially with these new B bets, should be interesting.

I feel like the A bets are under performing this year compared to past results. Sure were early in the season but win/loss ratio of A bets looks nowhere near where it should!

[oklahoma]

passed on the isles and panthers get blown outta the water. nice job whoever played NY.

[UK_gixxer]

If you had the balls to play the Islanders congrats, instead I'm going with the only V2 play today in Pittsburgh. After what happened earlier with the Islanders I think it'd be a good investment to fade their next two games on the ML.
I see you Kev

I know this is completely against the system, but I missed the islanders bet as well, overslept...and I actually think fading the islanders ML is a very viable option. The islanders play the sabres next on 11/29...I'm gonna fade the islanders ML and if for some reason the islanders do win, I'll chase it fading the islanders ML again on 12/2 against the blackhawks and again on 12/3 against the stars...let's face it, no way the islanders go on a 4 game road sweep. Of course I'll stop chasing the ML fade when I hit, but I think it's a decent plan for anyone with the extra coin who wants that missed unit.

[ElCapitan]

STL V1 (A) play tomorrow.

No time to post. I'll update when I get a chance.

[ElCapitan]

11/26 Plays/Results

V1 Florida Panthers (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Florida Panthers (A) PL -245 (2.45 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V1 New York Islanders (A) ML +150 (1 to win 1.5) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 New York Islanders(A) PL -195 (1.95 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V1 Philadelphia Flyers (A) ML +120 (1 to win 1.2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Philadelphia Flyers(A) PL -245 (2.45 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Nashville Predators (B) ML +118 (1.69 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 Pittsburgh Penguins (A) ML -130 (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V2 Pittsburgh Penguins (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 17(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-3.47) SERIES: 13-2 (2 pending)
V1 PL: 17(A)-5(B)-1(C) (-4.06) SERIES: 14-1 (2 pending)

V2 ML: 23(A)-10(B)-3(C) (+15.72) SERIES: 21-1 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 23(A)-5(B)-3(C) (+5.08) SERIES: 22-1

[ElCapitan]

11/27 Plays

V1 St. Louis Blues (A) ML -118 (1.18 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 St. Louis Blues (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.18 to win 1) (5Dimes)

[TomJSports]

Like Hitch and Russell against their old team. Though Columbus and Sanford are on quite a roll.

[UK_gixxer]

Cash the blues baby! V1 ML is currently -2.57 and V1 PL is -3.06 with 2 plays pending on both- but please wait for the OFFICIAL update from captain as I am not the official point person on these stats. Let's keep this money train rolling and we will be back up in + units on V1 in no time!

[ElCapitan]

11/27 Results

V1 St. Louis Blues (A) ML -118 (1.18 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 St. Louis Blues (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.18 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 18(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-2.47) SERIES: 14-2 (2 pending)
V1 PL: 18(A)-5(B)-1(C) (-3.06) SERIES: 15-1 (2 pending)

V2 ML: 23(A)-10(B)-3(C) (+15.72) SERIES: 21-1 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 23(A)-5(B)-3(C) (+5.08) SERIES: 22-1

[ElCapitan]

11/28 Plays

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Nashville Predators (C) ML -115 (4.24 to win 3.69) (5Dimes)

[UK_gixxer]

how's everyone feelin about the predators tomorrow? The V2 ML has been killin it this year, I haven't bet the V2 ML A or B bets for the predators series, but was thinking about jumping in on this one tomorrow.

[ElCapitan]

As promised, here are the rest of the V1 plays for the rest of 2011. These are the A bets that start each series.

11/29 OTT
11/30 MON, NJD
12/2 DET
12/6 CAR
12/8 DAL, VAN
12/13 CGY, LAK
12/15 NYR
12/16 ANA
12/17 NYI, TAM
12/19 MON, PHI
12/23 CGY
12/26 EDM
12/28 BOS
1/3 DET, NYI
1/7 NJD, VAN

[thelimit0310]

ElCapitan, there is an error in your schedule I believe albeit a small one. For January 3rd you have only the Islanders as a play yet I have Detroit as a play that day as well. I just checked Detroit's schedule and I can confirm there is a play for them on the 3rd.

[ElCapitan]

ElCapitan, there is an error in your schedule I believe albeit a small one. For January 3rd you have only the Islanders as a play yet I have Detroit as a play that day as well. I just checked Detroit's schedule and I can confirm there is a play for them on the 3rd.

You are correct. I had them as a V2 play because I overlooked the Maple Leafs as being OOC. Thanks for catching this. I corrected on the previous post.

[thelimit0310]

No problem!

[delbiand]

Thanks ElCapitain for your help.

[delbiand]

Thanks ElCapitain for your help.

[Win89]

how's everyone feelin about the predators tomorrow? The V2 ML has been killin it this year, I haven't bet the V2 ML A or B bets for the predators series, but was thinking about jumping in on this one tomorrow.

This game is looking 50/50. I didn't play any of the previous games either but I'll probably sit this one out. Have noticed that Edmonton still has a good home record and has been putting up their share of points the past few games.

[Spartacuss]

Ive been following the FREE NHL bets from covers.com for the last 13 days and so far im 9-3. I dont know how long it will last for. I followed there Free NFL and CFB about 2 years ago and i think i lost.

Just saying.........

[ElCapitan]

11/28 Results

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Nashville Predators (C) ML -115 (4.24 to win 3.69) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 18(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-2.47) SERIES: 14-2 (2 pending)
V1 PL: 18(A)-5(B)-1(C) (-3.06) SERIES: 15-1 (2 pending)

V2 ML: 23(A)-10(B)-4(C) (+19.41) SERIES: 22-1
V2 PL: 23(A)-5(B)-3(C) (+5.08) SERIES: 22-1

[ElCapitan]

11/29 Plays

V1 Florida Panthers (B) ML -115 (2.3 to win 2) (5Dimes)
V1 Florida Panthers (B) (fav, play ML) (3.97 to win 3.45) (5Dimes)

V1 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +110 (1 to win 1.1) (5Dimes)
V1 Ottawa Senators (A) PL -250 (2.50 to win 1) (5Dimes)


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) ML +185 (1 to win 1.85) (5Dimes)
V2 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) PL -150 (1.5 to win 1) (5Dimes)

[NickJ3]

I need an explanation of this system i feel i get a headache everytime i read the post that explains it..... ill keep reading

[NickJ3]

Quick Question Captain on the Excel file you released does the first column called PLAY mean thats our first bet and if that is a loss we make that up with betting enough with BET A to get our money and some winnings back and so forth?

Sorry i am new just trying to learn the system before i throw my money out there

[Kev the Brit]

Quick Question Captain on the Excel file you released does the first column called PLAY mean thats our first bet and if that is a loss we make that up with betting enough with BET A to get our money and some winnings back and so forth? Sorry i am new just trying to learn the system before i throw my money out there

"Play" is the selected team we bet on for up to 3 games (known as a chase) to win a target unit (value of your choice). The A bet is the first game for the selected team. If it wins, end of chase. If loses, you play the B bet to win your target unit plus the lost A bet stake, and so on.

Team selection is described elsewhere

HTH
KTB

[NickJ3]

Tonights was the jets but the a bet is the sens? I just didnt understand that when i opened the file? Jus didnt get it

[Win89]

Florida!

[NickJ3]

Took the under on the sabers/idlanders

[ElCapitan]

11/29 Results

V1 Florida Panthers (B) ML -115 (2.3 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Florida Panthers (B) (fav, play ML) (3.97 to win 3.45) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V1 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +110 (1 to win 1.1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Ottawa Senators (A) PL -250 (2.50 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) ML +185 (1 to win 1.85) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) PL -150 (1.5 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 19(A)-8(B)-3(C) (+0.63) SERIES: 16-2 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 19(A)-6(B)-1(C) (+1.39) SERIES: 17-1 (1 pending)

V2 ML: 24(A)-10(B)-4(C) (+18.41) SERIES: 22-1 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 24(A)-5(B)-3(C) (+3.58) SERIES: 22-1 (1 pending)

[ElCapitan]

11/30 Plays

V1 Montreal Canadiens (A) ML -110 (1.10 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 Montreal Canadiens (A) PL -320 (3.20 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V1 New Jersey Devils (A) ML -110 (1.10 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 New Jersey Devils (A) PL -320 (3.20 to win 1) (5Dimes)

[thelimit0310]

Huge PLs today

[DollarBill10]

V1 Montreal Canadiens (A) ML -110 (1.10 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 Montreal Canadiens (A) PL -320 (3.20 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V1 New Jersey Devils (A) ML -110 (1.10 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 New Jersey Devils (A) PL -320 (3.20 to win 1) (5Dimes)

I thought if they were favored we didn't play the PL we just played the ML for both?

[ElCapitan]

I thought if they were favored we didn't play the PL we just played the ML for both?

If you can find a +1.5, you should play that. When I posted these last night at the opening lines, both teams were +1.5. At this point, they are both -1.5 so you should only play the ML.

This is why I said earlier on in the thread that you should get on these plays as early as you can.