NHL 2 'dog system. (begins 1/7/11)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Axis
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 1255

    #106
    I agree. Opening line for S1 is the way to go.
    Comment
    • MrMiami
      SBR MVP
      • 10-24-09
      • 2150

      #107
      Love these hockey systems, great job. Apologize if this has already been answered but what do you do on days like tomorrow when there are only 3 games? Is there a daily limit to games on the board for these systems to be "all systems go!"? Appreciate the response.
      Comment
      • rthoughton
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-09
        • 1992

        #108

        S1: DETROIT RED WINGS (62pt) +130
        S1 YTD 9-3, +8.15u

        S2: Columbus Blue Jackets +150
        S2 YTD 4-8, -0.70u

        S3: Anaheim Ducks -105
        S3 YTD 1-0-0, +1u
        Comment
        • Axis
          SBR MVP
          • 01-08-09
          • 1255

          #109
          Rough go for the Wings though...3rd string goalie starting.
          Comment
          • rthoughton
            SBR MVP
            • 12-27-09
            • 1992

            #110
            Originally posted by MrMiami
            Love these hockey systems, great job. Apologize if this has already been answered but what do you do on days like tomorrow when there are only 3 games? Is there a daily limit to games on the board for these systems to be "all systems go!"? Appreciate the response.
            What do you think we should do on days like tomorrow?

            I feel like it could be argued that the systems are affected by a short slate.
            What do you think the minimum game requirements should be, if you feel that way...?

            But then again, If you think about each system as its own independent system, instead of one part of three, then all of the systems would still function on a short schedule day. right?
            If you play System 1 (my current personal favorite), then you would just play the one game that fits.
            System 2, you'll play the biggest + number. 3, same deal.

            I kinda like that second idea. Ill probably just continue to track the system every day. And after enough short days, we'll start to notice trends there as well.
            Comment
            • rthoughton
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-09
              • 1992

              #111
              Also, I have no problem with the same team being played in multiple systems. It seems that would happen.
              Comment
              • snipeshow23
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-12-09
                • 153

                #112
                in those short days, couldn't you have 1 team that fits S1 and S2? that could throw a kink as well... i mean it may be highly unlikely, but let's say Detroit/Pitt and Anaheim/Ottawa were the only games today... Detroit was at +130 and Anaheim was a dog at -105... So technically the Wings would have been a play for S1 and S2, correct? Like I said, it may be unlikely but it's something to watch for...
                Comment
                • snipeshow23
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-12-09
                  • 153

                  #113
                  Originally posted by rthoughton
                  Also, I have no problem with the same team being played in multiple systems. It seems that would happen.
                  scratch my last comment ha....
                  Comment
                  • rthoughton
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-09
                    • 1992

                    #114
                    But for tomorrow, all three games would fit different systems.
                    Currently S1 would be Wild.
                    S2 would be Leafs.
                    S3 would be CBJ against Florida.
                    Comment
                    • bobturner
                      Restricted User
                      • 10-13-10
                      • 147

                      #115
                      Good luck with your picks today.
                      Comment
                      • rthoughton
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 1992

                        #116
                        I think I changed my mind. I will not be playing any games on the slate for today. The object is to win, not blindly bet games for the hell of it.
                        Sure, these all fit the system but the quality of the teams that fit the system are not that great. it is a forced play. NO PLAY for Wednesday with a 3 game slate.
                        I think that 5 should be the minimum.
                        Good luck playing african handball today. there are some really good games.
                        Comment
                        • MrMiami
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-24-09
                          • 2150

                          #117
                          I agree with this approach, I was thinking you needed at least 5 games on the slate as well, to make the system work properly. No need to force plays as you said. It is a good idea to track them outside this thread just to see how the system does work on these small slates.
                          Comment
                          • blaucoin
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-22-10
                            • 575

                            #118
                            I went ahead and plays S1 & S3 before you said you werent playing them lol. I guess I got lucky!
                            Comment
                            • blaucoin
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-22-10
                              • 575

                              #119
                              Looks like the lines are moving....are you playing the systems with opening lines? I got Anaheim-105 as S3 and Tampa Bay+105 as S1. Thanks and awesome thread! Keep up the good work
                              Comment
                              • rthoughton
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 1992

                                #120
                                i think that the opening lines are the way to go. You are gonna lose a lot of the better, more talented teams that may have a tendency to move toward favoritism as the day progresses.
                                I am back for the plays today! .
                                PLAYS FOR THURSDAY JANUARY 20:
                                S1 Detroit +105.
                                S1 YTD 9-3, +8.15u

                                S2 Ottawa +200.
                                S2 YTD 4-8, -0.70u

                                S3 Anaheim +Ev.

                                S3 YTD 1-0-0, +1u
                                Comment
                                • bjornbarspingvin
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-02-10
                                  • 39

                                  #121
                                  Anaheim is à good play
                                  Comment
                                  • easywinner
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-31-10
                                    • 336

                                    #122
                                    Is Howard going to start? I like it if he's in the pipes, if it's Osgood not as much.
                                    Comment
                                    • jonnyboy21
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-02-10
                                      • 973

                                      #123
                                      Ottawa has some value I have to agree, rthoughton.

                                      I like Anaheim also but have not bet them yet.

                                      As for Detroit, I think the odds are trappy. Blues are generally strong at home and will be up for it tonight.
                                      Comment
                                      • rthoughton
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-27-09
                                        • 1992

                                        #124
                                        I cant believe Detroit fell apart like this. Hopefully they can pull it out.
                                        Tuff beat for Anaheim, makes me wanna start considering other things. hm.
                                        I think it's becoming pretty clear that S2 is useless.
                                        Comment
                                        • Axis
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 1255

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by easywinner
                                          Is Howard going to start? I like it if he's in the pipes, if it's Osgood not as much.
                                          Ozzy is out for 6 weeks.

                                          Nabokov has been signed if he clears waivers.
                                          Comment
                                          • easywinner
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-31-10
                                            • 336

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by rthoughton
                                            I cant believe Detroit fell apart like this. Hopefully they can pull it out. Tuff beat for Anaheim, makes me wanna start considering other things. hm. I think it's becoming pretty clear that S2 is useless.
                                            Lack of focus to almost blow a game when you are up 3-0 on a team that's not explosive offensively but at least they got the job done. S1 is awesome. People would be making good money just flat betting that thing, let alone chasing or using a labby or something. No offense i think all 3 systems are intriguing but i think I'm going to say the hell with S2 and S3 and just focus on betting bigger on S1 and hope the train keeps rolling. If the objective is to make money then bet the hell outta the things that work well and forget the ones that aren't doing as well. Proper money management and getting the best line is still key but say for instance i had been betting $100 each on all 3 systems for a total of $300 each day, i would rather just bet the $300 all on S1 because it is performing in the clutch.
                                            Comment
                                            • jnsbanman
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-08-11
                                              • 526

                                              #127
                                              I think at first glance S1 and 3 are the same team today... Dallas. They are the dog with best record playing the fav with the worst record... If I understand your system correctly.
                                              Comment
                                              • blaucoin
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-22-10
                                                • 575

                                                #128
                                                Theres not enough games to fit the system
                                                Comment
                                                • jnsbanman
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-08-11
                                                  • 526

                                                  #129
                                                  Oh.. I thought there had to be at least 4 games.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rthoughton
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 1992

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by easywinner
                                                    Lack of focus to almost blow a game when you are up 3-0 on a team that's not explosive offensively but at least they got the job done. S1 is awesome. People would be making good money just flat betting that thing, let alone chasing or using a labby or something. No offense i think all 3 systems are intriguing but i think I'm going to say the hell with S2 and S3 and just focus on betting bigger on S1 and hope the train keeps rolling. If the objective is to make money then bet the hell outta the things that work well and forget the ones that aren't doing as well. Proper money management and getting the best line is still key but say for instance i had been betting $100 each on all 3 systems for a total of $300 each day, i would rather just bet the $300 all on S1 because it is performing in the clutch.
                                                    This is exactly why there are 3. So that you can pick one to play. Playing all three systems could be counterproductive, even though only 2 is negative. Anyway, I think that you should do exactly that with S1 if you think it is that tight. which it clearly is. ha.
                                                    **also, I LOVE points.
                                                    S2 was just "to see" what would happen, and it clearly is useless... but I think youre getting rid of S3 too early. I dont see why 3 would fail if 1 is this successful.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rthoughton
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-27-09
                                                      • 1992

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by jnsbanman
                                                      I think at first glance S1 and 3 are the same team today... Dallas. They are the dog with best record playing the fav with the worst record... If I understand your system correctly.
                                                      You are correct. that is the system.
                                                      Earlier I suggested that a minimum of 5 games would be best. But it totally depends on the game, too.
                                                      When there were only three games, and all just not that great, I passed.
                                                      But when we have a setup like that... Dallas @ Calgary, it is just a definite play. thoughts?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • blaucoin
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-22-10
                                                        • 575

                                                        #132
                                                        I think you are right, Dallas should be a play! But would you count it as S1 or S3 or Both, as far as records?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • blaucoin
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-22-10
                                                          • 575

                                                          #133
                                                          actually, wouldnt Dallas be S1 and Tampa be S3?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dvw5bf
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-05-10
                                                            • 252

                                                            #134
                                                            Florida and Calgary are both at 46 points (but Calgary has played 2 more games)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • blaucoin
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-22-10
                                                              • 575

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by dvw5bf
                                                              Florida and Calgary are both at 46 points (but Calgary has played 2 more games)
                                                              Yes I know that, but Dallas is the dog with the most points so they qualify for S1. That leaves Tampa being S3 since both are at 46 points. Am i right?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Axis
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-08-09
                                                                • 1255

                                                                #136
                                                                Well, Calgary technically has a worse record. 20 wins as compared to 21 wins.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • blaucoin
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-22-10
                                                                  • 575

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Axis
                                                                  Well, Calgary technically has a worse record. 20 wins as compared to 21 wins.
                                                                  But, them having a worst record has nothing to do with Dallas being the dog with the most points.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • blaucoin
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-22-10
                                                                    • 575

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Guess it could go ethier way lol. All I know is im playing both games, its up too rtho to decide
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jnsbanman
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-08-11
                                                                      • 526

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Im definately on dallas... Leaning on TBL because of Florida injuries.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bobturner
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 10-13-10
                                                                        • 147

                                                                        #140
                                                                        So go Dallas go. Good Luck
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...