Playing the day's biggest ML underdog on the PL

groovey · 02-27-11, 10:45 PM

Looks like the two PL doggies came thru the ML doggie didn't

Stamkos91 · 02-27-11, 10:50 PM

looks like you had a rough night in the NHL side of things!

bombCanada · 02-28-11, 06:49 AM

COL covers again in back to back road games.

After running this system seriously since mid December, I'm here to tell you that you skip plays on a system hitting 64% at your peril. I'll have updated stats tomorrow.

rkelly110 · 02-28-11, 08:34 AM

groovey, Everything that I post in this thread is for entertainment only.

The biggest ML dog on the PL are the official plays.

I just like to hog up this thread, because I see other stuff when I cap my games.

A rough night? My bank roll begs to differ.

rkelly110 · 02-28-11, 04:30 PM

I have a ML dog play, other than that, nada.

Detroit @ 2.05

bombCanada · 02-28-11, 06:11 PM

Rkelly anyone who reads the whole threads knows you're a gentleman and generous with some solid information. I don't know where these critics come from.

bombCanada · 02-28-11, 06:12 PM

No doggy tonight.

groovey · 02-28-11, 06:21 PM

Pardon me if you thought my comment was being sarcastic, didn't mean to be sorry.

rkelly110 · 03-01-11, 08:16 AM

Sorry, groovey if you thought I was picking on you, it was the guy below you.
Thanks BC for the compliments.

The below stats are for entertainment that take away from the purpose of
this thread, which is "Playing the biggest ML underdog on the PL".

+PL 1.45 and over plays for Feb. is 36-21 63% Year to date is 195-110 64%

My ML dog picks for Feb. is 36-37 49% +5.43 units. +24.07 units from Jan.

NBA big dogs odds 5.00 and over plays from Jan to date is 51-44 54%

Pretty entertaining.

rkelly110 · 03-01-11, 02:10 PM

+PL 1.45 and over plays are:

NY Islanders +1.62

Florida +1.52

Ottawa +1.58

Columbus +1.58

Colorado +1.90 (dog)

ML dogs are:

Atlanta @ 1.95

Buffalo @2.10

Florida @2.65

Calgary @ 2.05

Edmonton @2.25

No NBA 5 and over plays today.

GL gentlemen.

bombCanada · 03-01-11, 03:23 PM

Tonight is COL for the 3d game in a row in 4 nights, a big dog nhl first. Good luck!

bombCanada · 03-02-11, 06:54 AM

Arf! COL covers again, 1-2 at San Jose. 3 in a row with Colorado.

rkelly110 · 03-02-11, 07:28 AM

Couldn't get a better day than that!$!$

rkelly110 · 03-02-11, 04:19 PM

+PL 1.45 and over play is:

Calgary +1.52 (dog also)

NBA 5 and over play is:

Cleveland +9 5.00 ML is 13-7 65%

(If you bought an extra 1.5 pts)
Will mark it a loss.

GL boys.

groovey · 03-02-11, 04:25 PM

Outstanding looks like nothing qualifies today.

bombCanada · 03-02-11, 04:48 PM

Tonight we're barking Calgary at Chicago. Good luck!

MexicanStallion · 03-02-11, 04:53 PM

How have you been doing this season with this method?

rkelly110 · 03-02-11, 10:43 PM

Around 64% for the dog on PL. Using labby's and kicking butt, MS.

rkelly110 · 03-03-11, 01:20 PM

+1.45 and over plays:

St louis +1.60 -166

Tampa +1.47 -212

Toronto +1.66 -150 (ML dog)

Ottawa +1.50 -200

Minnesota +1.45 -222

Nashville +1.52 -190

Phoenix +1.45 -222

ML dogs:

St Louis @ 2.70 +170

Buffalo @ 2.10 +110

Edmonton @ 2.14 +114

Phoenix @ 2.40 +140

Detroit @ 2.40 +140

A large plate, let's eat it up!

bombCanada · 03-03-11, 01:30 PM

an empty net goal at 19:21 left Calgary 4 to 6 losers... arg.

Tonight is TOR at phi. Good luck!

atari5200 · 03-03-11, 09:34 PM

go leafs go

bombCanada · 03-04-11, 07:11 AM

And Toronto wins SU. Big Dog NHL rolls on...

groovey · 03-04-11, 07:14 AM

fantastic every puckline doggie won!!

rkelly110 · 03-04-11, 07:51 AM

Yeah groovey, I think this is a first for 2 days sweeping the board on the +PL's.

Last 3 days 12-1 on +PL's.

groovey · 03-04-11, 08:00 AM

I like the system but its almost like play the favorite on the money or even or even worst, the odds are extremely high don't you have to hit around 70% percent to make a profit if you betting odds @-160 or higher?

clazzi · 03-04-11, 11:20 AM

someone else can probably give a better answer but using labouchere lines you don't need to hit at that high of a rate.

also thank you for this thread

rkelly110 · 03-04-11, 01:03 PM

That's true groovey, we need a money management system for the +PL's
Any Ideas? I'm thinking one day bet the +PL's, if you lose money, bet the next day,
your losses + profit, divided by the amount of games played.

bombCanada · 03-04-11, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by groovey

I like the system but its almost like play the favorite on the money or even or even worst, the odds are extremely high don't you have to hit around 70% percent to make a profit if you betting odds @-160 or higher?

Yes if you flat bet, no if you use Labouchere (lab or labby) lines. Look at the various JW Cash threads for info on how that works.

What we do here is as much about money management as it is picking winners.

odog11 · 03-04-11, 01:17 PM

Originally posted by groovey

I like the system but its almost like play the favorite on the money or even or even worst, the odds are extremely high don't you have to hit around 70% percent to make a profit if you betting odds @-160 or higher?

Bookmark this, tells you exactly the odds you need to hit to break even on any odds. 70% turns out to break even at -233.33.

Sports Betting Lines Explained & How to Read Them

http://www.onlinegambling.com/sports/odds-converter-calculators.htm#odds-converter

Learn About Betting Lines - Our sports betting experts explain what betting lines are, how they work & how to use them to bet on your favorite sports.

I try to figure out the "odds" on a game first, then check to see if a play makes sense based on the line. Last night I had Ottawa - .5 at +200 so that was 33.33 percent and I saw it being at least a 45% chance they would beat Atlanta in regulation, so that for me was a super solid play.

rkelly110 · 03-04-11, 01:22 PM

Todays plays are:

Pittsburg +1.45 -222

Carolina +1.62 -162 (our dog) [only ML play also]

Columbus +1.45 -222

NBA dogs are:

Minnesota +9 5.00 (+400) ML is 13-8 62%

Golden St +9 5.00

Cleveland +12 8.50 (+750) ML is 4-2 67%

Charlotte +11.5 8.50

If you bet these, buy at least 1 1/2 points.

GL guys.

rkelly110 · 03-04-11, 01:47 PM

Thanks for the link odog. That's some system you got there. Nice hit on Ottawa -.5.
Do you win a lot of those bets?

bombCanada · 03-04-11, 02:35 PM

Carolina at Chicago is our Big Dog NHL play of the evening. My reaction to the play was "Chicago seems like a pretty tough place to cover" but this is not the case... EDMONTON (!) won SU in Chicago TWICE early in the season.

Let's growl!

bombCanada · 03-04-11, 02:35 PM

only need to say it once...

groovey · 03-05-11, 07:48 AM

I didn't play Carolina on the PL something told me to stay away played them on the money line though, along with the two others and the over with the hawks all in all not a bad night two units.

Do guys have a link for this Labby so I understand this money management system?

rkelly110 · 03-05-11, 08:28 AM

Good job groovey.

It all depends on your bank roll and how much you want to win per line.
My line is 4 numbers to win 5% of my roll. You want to keep your win %
low, because those numbers in your line can get up there.

I use Long Terms method of Lab lines. 5-5-5-5 win, 5-5, lose, $11 take the amount you lost
add to your remaining numbers, divide by 4, that is your new line. You are only two wins
from completing your line. New line is 5.25-5.25-5.25-5.25.