Circles are to show value with picks the more white the better the value
Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014
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calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#36Comment -
ur moms fantasySBR Hustler
- 12-01-12
- 57
#37So I'm dumb n I just want his picks tonight, can I ask for that, or do I have to study this chart thingComment -
TankHankerousSBR MVP
- 03-22-12
- 2088
#38Study the chart and make your play brosephComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#39Sorry if the charts not clear enough. Ill see if i can get a better picture or something.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#40Philly game is an error due to Rangers goalie first start.
Gold - CGY
SILVER = CHI, WSH, PHX
Bronze = MIN
CHI Under, WPG Under, CAR Under
Leans - VAN Over, WSH OverComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#41W L % $ W L % Gold 15 7 68.18% $88.5 ML 57 36 61.29% Silver 12 7 63.16% $12.5 O/U 19 16 54.29% Bronze 8 9 47.06% -$7.26 REG 76 17 81.72% Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#42The "ML" and "REG" stats are based on the "Game Win %" column?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#43
Sorry for not clarifying that as well. So Yes ML is based on Game Win %. REG is not based on anything and is just keeping track of how many games go to OT.
Here is the breakdown on Game Win % (when it says 55 for example that is the range of 55-59%)
And based on those records SJS, VAN, MTL, CGY, and LAK would be the plays. So as you can see some plays will contradict eachother. Just remember the Gold Silver and Bronze plays are based on "Value". For example the PHX game, LAK have a higher Game win % but only by 2%pts and PHX at +135 makes PHX a "Value" Bet.W L % 50 8 1 88.89% 55 15 15 50.00% 60 11 9 55.00% 65 9 6 60.00% 70 15 2 88.24% Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#44Why are only those plays based on the Game Win % and not also CHI, NAS or MIN for example?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#45
I try to look at all the info i can with this, what certain ranges have been profitable and what Gold silver or bronze has been profitable and ill be more likely to play those games.Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#46Understood thanks.Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#47Well Manel88 they would be the play but im just looking at the records. For CHI 61% those plays have been 11-9. I was just saying that the records show between 50-54 plays are 8-1 so i was just saying those teams based on that.
I try to look at all the info i can with this, what certain ranges have been profitable and what Gold silver or bronze has been profitable and ill be more likely to play those games.
Another question, these plays are all for ML...do you think if we bet the same teams but in a 3way bet, would it also be profitable?Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#48In the ML you have a 57-36 record... if you sum the W and L that you have on the breakdown columns, they dont match...Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#49Manel, I usually dont load up the second unit on a play like CGY. If they were 70% then i would but at 51% i wouldnt.
As for the record discrepency ill go back and check but yes its seems im 3 games off. I think the first day of games i ddint record the breakdown of GAME Win %. Ill look into it and thanks for the heads up.Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#50Manel, I usually dont load up the second unit on a play like CGY. If they were 70% then i would but at 51% i wouldnt.
As for the record discrepency ill go back and check but yes its seems im 3 games off. I think the first day of games i ddint record the breakdown of GAME Win %. Ill look into it and thanks for the heads up.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#51...Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#52If possible, keep posting the game win % breakdown statsComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#53Error on DET game but id still go with the wings there.
...Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#54W L % $ W L % Gold 15 8 65.22% $78.5 ML 65 43 60.19% Silver 13 9 59.09% $6.5 O/U 20 18 52.63% Bronze 11 10 52.38% $0.12 REG 88 21 80.73% W L % 50 11 4 73.33% 55 16 16 50.00% 60 13 12 52.00% 65 10 6 62.50% 70 15 2 88.24% Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#55...Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#56Good day yesterday got the clean sweep on games
W L % $ W L % Gold 17 8 68.00% $100.5 ML 73 47 60.83% Silver 14 11 56.00% -$0.5 O/U 22 21 51.16% Bronze 12 10 54.55% $2.62 REG 100 24 80.65% W L % 50 12 4 75.00% 55 19 17 52.78% 60 16 13 55.17% 65 12 9 57.14% 70 16 2 88.89% Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#57...Comment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#58nice job yest. had both games. appreciate your work. noticed on o/u, not too many green arrows? not that I bet many any way. just curious.Comment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#59another good night. also took pit and chi. waiting on chi. up 3-1 in 3rd. i'm starting to really like hockey.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#60Thanks def 2 good nights. I cleaned up the stats so im hoping that will help with better simulations. I noticed this year that Briere was showing up in Phillys active roster still (it was going by ice time) so went through each team and got rid of each player not on the right team.
Also ill be running my original system as well to try to get a consensus picks. My other system is strictly stats no other info added. It does however use the stats for the home team home stats home and away team away stats. So we will see how that goes.
Tonight consensus picks were DAL PIT MTL and CHI. And also the under in DAL/BUF game.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#6110-0 Past 2 nights !!(Game win %)
Game Win %W L % $ W L % Gold 17 8 68.00% $100.5 ML 78 47 62.40% Silver 14 11 56.00% -$0.5 O/U 22 22 50.00% Bronze 13 10 56.52% $5.12
W L % 50 13 4 76.47% 55 21 17 55.26% 60 18 13 58.06% 65 12 9 57.14% 70 16 2 88.89%
...
Consensus picks are NJD and EDM (still just tracking these)Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#63calmeat, do you have a record like the game win % but for regulation plays instead of ML's?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#64ill see if i can do that for you.Comment -
Manel88SBR High Roller
- 03-19-12
- 191
#66thanksComment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#68rolling right along. went with chi, stl in reg. and mtl. I had bad feel about ana so I passed ...ooops... they were down 2-0. lets enjoy while goings good.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#69NOt bad 5-3 tonight 15-3 past 3 days. I was worried today usually when i say something is going well it all falls apart. And usually when i post my plays they always lose that is why im just posting the sheet and each can make their own decisions on what to play. I went with CHI STL ANA EDM. Also went though my tracking sheets and found some mistakes i made on the records. there still is one error but ill try and get that fixed as well.
Oh and the 3rd loss im saying PHX wins tonight even though its only end of 2nd. See ya tomorrow.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#70Cant wait to see if some goalies are confirmed gotta go to Halloween parade in a bit. so here it is.
Game win %W L % $ W L % Gold 17 8 68.00% $100.5 ML 85 48 63.91% Silver 15 11 57.69% $4.5 O/U 23 22 51.11% Bronze 14 10 58.33% $7.62 ML reg 72 14 83.72%
...W L % 50 14 6 70.00% 55 22 17 56.41% 60 20 13 60.61% 65 14 9 60.87% 70 16 2 88.89% Comment
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