BOL, Smut!
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good luck, SB.
let's get 'em!
good luck.Comment -
doubling down on south carolina.
Adding.
South Carolina +3.5 (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit
South Carolina ML +120 Risking .5 units to win .6 unitsComment -
hi smut, why did you add more play on SC? any lineup changes on LSU?Comment -
just more of a feeling, I talk a lot of college football with some of my friends, a lot of them were saying how overrated LSU was, but all of them sure as hell knew that LSU has won 21 straight home games, and they never lose 2 games back to back, they dont even follow football closely, ESPN loves talking about it, sorry but games they won years prior with different teams dont effect this game, I understand theyre a hard team to beat at home , but with coaching and everything this game is in my opinion edge to SC,
rough way to start the day, 0-4, syracuse two costly turnovers in the redzone, one going 75 yards for a TD, devastating....hopefully ole miss covers, although auburn is pulling out all the tricks including an onside kick,
maybe its a bit of a tilt bet cuz starting off 0-4, but I love the pick, hopefully dont get buried todayComment -
damn danny i never shoulda let u talk me outta oklahomaComment -
you continue to destroy me in head 2 head battles, liking rutgers today, i wish i woulda hedged out, atleast the ML, although it was a lame win by .5 where syracuse almost doubled rutgers in yardage, but 4 turnovers and still coulda covered even then if it werent for a missed fg......u have some sort of magic against meComment -
Adding.
Baylor -4 (2nd Half) (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unitComment -
Congrats on your S.Caro play....looks like we both won
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5-7-1 +.95 units
rough start to the day, but bounced back nicely, and ended plus units on a bad day, thats all that really matters, working on some plays for tmrw.....
im officially done doing 2nd half bets in games Im not watching, always burying meComment -
Rough Card. Might throw a game or 2 in before game time. going to lunch with the fam then ill be back hopefully before kickoff!
10/14/12
NFL Card
NYG/SF over 44.5 (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit
2 team 6.5 pt teaser. Dolphins +2 and Giants +13. (-120) Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units
Arizona Cards TT over 24 (-115) Risking 1.15 to win 1 unit
KC Team Total Under 17.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unitComment -
Adding.
Minn/Wash Over 43.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unitComment -
interesting nfl plays dan...very interestingComment -
pissed off about picking over in NYG/SF, stupid pick, both these coaches playing like conservative lil bitches,
and all these kicks instead of TDs in minn game is frustrating but still should be able to reach 43Comment -
Adding.
2 Team 6.5 pt Teaser. Hou/GB Over 41 and Denver +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unitComment -
3-2 on +1.55 units
still 1 pending teaser.....
another weekend in the plus.....I think maybe 1 weekend I was in the negative, gonna double check later and do a "weekly review"
im pissed b/c I screwed up my spreadsheet today, I missed my 1pm games and noticed late, so I decided to put my 4 pm games, but I really liked NYG so I teased it with the over instead of teaser with fins, oh well, anyways, on to next week, gotta remeber to put my bets on spreadsheet, on saturday I forgot to put one of my wins on it as well, the akron over, which I added late,Comment -
Thread YTD Results:
48-31-5
+18.98 unitsComment -
what u thinkin tonite danComment -
I like denver +7.5.....
i got this teaser pending.....
2 Team 6.5 pt Teaser. Hou/GB Over 41 and Denver +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
If I didnt have this teaser already, I would lean denver, Im a huge fan of the denver team, not a big fan of San Diego, havent watched them much, I saw their first game against, oakland, they couldnt move the ball at all on the ground, of course matthews was out, but I think they got offensive line struggles, their wins this year are all against TERRIBLE TEAMS (KC, Tenn, Oak), I mean KC even outplayed them in the game they lost to em, but they gave up 6 turnovers, they only won by 17 even though they were +5 in turnover margin?
Denver on the other hand has lost to, Atlanta, Hou, and New England, not by that many points, in those games too they got fooled by some trickery/missed assignments and went down big early but still were able to keep it close, I think their defense will be able to get a pass rush going (o line for SD was already struggling, as Im reading this, new injury report says another offensive lineman will be out for the game), I just dont think SD offense will be able to keep up with Denvers offense, some behind the numbers show that although peyton struggled with the long ball in his first 2 games, in the last 3 he has shown significant improvement, but regardless peyton manning is smart enough to not even need the long ball, but Im not worried about it, he has the ability/form to throw it right, just because of old age, injury doesnt mean he lost it, he was a little rusty at the beginning of the season thats all, so a lean on denver +1, but Im not gonna add any units on my bets, very very confident with +7.5, maybe teaser with over if your desperate for action,
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yea i feel that...i do kinda like the over..peyton can throw up points on the board...and i do agree all three of denvers losses were to top caliber teams...but they play much better at mile high than on the road which worries meComment -
ugh, sometimes spot on anaylsis doesnt matter, this is retarded, all the idiots following RLM will truely think the "sharps" were on SD,
probably take a 2nd half line if I can, Im still confident in my man, manning, INT wasnt his fault, should have had a TD but POS decker (which I said was their weakness, WRs) trips over himself.....foooking bolognaComment -
Lets Pound it!
Adding.
Denver -4.5 (2nd Half) (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unitComment -
I was referring to, the thread, where a bunch of idiots were talking about how all the "sharps" were on SD, and all the "public" were on denver, sorry I should have stated that besides just "RLM", excuse me, that was wrong of me
banker let me know if by the end of the game you get your hard on for peyton ;-)
oh and yes, because I called you out on it, and stated it a few times in a couple threads obviously must mean, Im obsessed . :eye_roll:Comment -
no I didnt realize it thats why I stated that, 5 times in the thread,...trying to help out everyone, apparently you still believe in the public %'s though
oh and yes, because I called you out on it, and stated it a few times in a couple threads obviously must mean, Im obsessed . :eye_roll:Comment -
just go read the thread, if you really wanna know,
Ive told this to you before anyways, the public %s are complete bs, if you understand that, I consider this "help" weve had this conversation before, you believe theyre "relatively accurate", good for you, not gonna get in arguement and clog up my thread when we both know how each other feel about it,
on a complete side note, denver continues to get pressure and rattle rivers,
Denver offense looked good opening drive, hopefully they keep it up, lets see mccoy/fox do their magic with manning, saddly SD offense had 10 pts from a short field, and 7 pts from an INT......Comment -
Didn't Denver score on a long TD off a Rivers fumble?
As for that argument re: RLM, public %, etc., we have agreed to disagree. However, you saying it's all bullshit isn't exactly "helping" anyone unless you can prove it's all bullshit, right? I guess I'm not sure how you pushing your agenda is any different than someone who believes in it trying to sell a bettor on paying attention to it.Comment -
ya it kinda goes with the whole, SD offensive line will struggle part of my anaylsis,
lol, yes awesome obvious point, I cant prove it, but If in the event theirs some way to hack the free websites computers, some insider on these free websites/sportsbook who suddenly decides to spill the truth, we wont ever know for sure, but Im confident in my assumption, and If I was a bookie, I wouldnt realese my public % values to anyone, but thats just me, and the bueaty of the system is it can never be proven wrong,Comment -
Nice work.Comment -
Thanks No Coin,
Im gonna start shifting my focus to the NFL, Ive noticed a trend in my years of betting football, I always start real hot in NCAAF, (who doesnt ?) and cold in NFL, and then I struggle in NCAAF towards end/bowl season, then start exceling in NFL, so Imma try to limit my NCAAF plays from now on to only ones I see a CLEAR edge, and now that I got a better idea (atleast in my head I do) of whats going on in the NFL, probably start making more picks in it, honestly this last weekend I barely even looked into NFL games, just got sidetracked with other things/college football matchups, combination of laziness and didnt really like the card.
just got up gonna work on NFL in a bit to start week instead of NCAAF, anyone got any games they got questions on or sides they leaning let me know Ill look into/give my input.....Comment -
i would suggest keeping things the way they are dan. nfl is way more unpredictable. as we said underdogs had a huge week this week but next sunday the favorites will prevail. the public has to win sometimesComment -
joco, Im just saying Im gonna shift my focus to NFL, literally last week I spent so much freaking time on college football games, that I literally looked at nfl card for maybe 30min-hr, just exhausted myself of it and kinda just lazily looked over nfl looking for easy winners (thus the arz over and kc under) this week Im starting off with NFL studying, then gonna get around to NCAAF afterwards, that being said I really looked at thursday night game and I really like SF, gonna start rest of NFL card later tonight......
10/18/12
SF -4 (1st half) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
SF -7 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 unitsComment