Totolover's NCAA RLM

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  • beatthebookie
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-19-10
    • 39

    #561
    No one is mentioning Purdue who is going to absoloutely blow this game... yet will easily cover +20.5 RLM......

    The smart money is on the RLM team, if u are inclined to really like the "wrong side RLM team", than stay away.... because unlike women, numbers do not lie, as jbachta21 mentions in aforementioned post. will tail these teams in future
    Comment
    • GGPLAYER
      SBR MVP
      • 03-26-09
      • 2981

      #562
      Originally posted by Stevedore
      Up 28-7

      Defense is optional in this one boys. I took the over 73.5....they should have it midway thru the 3rdQ.
      Comment
      • GGPLAYER
        SBR MVP
        • 03-26-09
        • 2981

        #563
        Originally posted by beatthebookie
        No one is mentioning Purdue who is going to absoloutely blow this game... yet will easily cover +20.5 RLM......

        The smart money is on the RLM team, if u are inclined to really like the "wrong side RLM team", than stay away.... because unlike women, numbers do not lie, as jbachta21 mentions in aforementioned post. will tail these teams in future
        No one mentioned it because there was no RLM. Plus we stay away from games with a spread over 20. Games like Troy and App St both saw heavy RLM but you'd be losing both those bets. Both over 20pt spread. Your more likely to lose those games.

        11/20/2010
        12:00 PM 331 - Purdue

        332 - Michigan State
        20961 +20.5 -105
        -20.5 -105 +20.5 -104
        -20.5 -106
        Comment
        • beatthebookie
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-19-10
          • 39

          #564
          good point did not realize these teams over long term will end up on wrong side....
          what is the best Win% for certain point spreads... i.e. (0-3,3-7, 7-10) or are u just going off of those 2 games u mentioned
          Comment
          • GGPLAYER
            SBR MVP
            • 03-26-09
            • 2981

            #565
            Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
            northern illinois game had rlm... ball state 85 % on yet line still went up from 14.5 to 16....THIS IS NOT RLM


            and y is no one mentioning duke? georgia tech started at -13, down to 10 with 60% on them

            Every single week I come on here and read post after post of people putting up random plays where there is any line movement. I've said this countless times but I'll say it again..it's not that complicated. And another thing guys are playing way too many games. Bump up your min bets to around 10,000 and stop playing small schools espically when they play with the big boys.
            Comment
            • beatthebookie
              SBR Rookie
              • 11-19-10
              • 39

              #566
              POINTSPREADS
              11/14 19:05 +21 -110 / -21 -110
              11/14 20:36 +20½ -110 / -20½ -110
              11/15 08:43 +20 -110 / -20 -110
              11/15 08:43 +20 -110 / -19½ -110
              11/16 01:13 +19½ -110 / -19½ -110
              11/16 04:32 +19½ -110 / -19½ -110
              11/20 10:35 +20 -110 / -20 -110
              11/20 11:21 +20½ -110 / -20½ -110

              Over 70% were on it and it opened at 21 .5pt RLM plus a sandwich game for Mich St.
              Comment
              • GGPLAYER
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-09
                • 2981

                #567
                Originally posted by beatthebookie
                good point did not realize these teams over long term will end up on wrong side....
                what is the best Win% for certain point spreads... i.e. (0-3,3-7, 7-10) or are u just going off of those 2 games u mentioned

                Just going off of doing this for a few years. I look for games with RLM of 2 or more points where the line does not come back at all. Try to find games with a larger number of bets too.
                Comment
                • doublej95
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-26-10
                  • 14094

                  #568
                  Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                  You know I told myself not to bet the Noon games either but I took Mich and Lou. I just feel like for the past 3 weeks or so I have lost early and spent the rest of day making it back. Not that there is much of season left but next week I will be skipping the early plays for sure. I just think as the day goes on and more bets pour in on the later games we get better quality RLM plays.
                  Same here I'm a sucker for those noon games
                  Comment
                  • manicart
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-10-10
                    • 829

                    #569
                    Hit wyoming and duke. Any 7 or 8pm games?
                    Comment
                    • lvsportpro
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 06-26-10
                      • 102

                      #570
                      hey guys, does rlm work better when you find the one game with the largest movement. for example, today was rice. Opened at 11.5 and dropped down to 8 and I even saw a 7.5 somewhere. Just using something like this instead of playing every game with rlm. thoughts?
                      Comment
                      • QuantumLeap
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-22-08
                        • 6880

                        #571
                        Originally posted by ufcmma36
                        michigan isnt really a blow out
                        24-0 at halftime is a blowout.
                        Comment
                        • EricZ116
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-09-10
                          • 493

                          #572
                          Navy is up 28-13 in the 4th and they have the ball... Bleh. Any other plays for tonight?
                          Comment
                          • QuantumLeap
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-22-08
                            • 6880

                            #573
                            Originally posted by doublej95
                            I'm using a filter for my plays this week that I have came up with(first week trying it though with the filter), the DUKE play passes both the RLM and the filter I came up with.

                            Plays that matched both RLM and my filter for today.
                            Maryland
                            Duke
                            Cal
                            Colorado
                            Houston
                            Louisville
                            Texas A&M
                            Ark St

                            As of now will watch both RLM and my filter, my filter changes just like RLM can.
                            I had all those except I missed Colorado.

                            Comment
                            • balls2wall
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-20-09
                              • 2642

                              #574
                              the vandy line continues to drop guys

                              it is now at -7.5 at some places with over 80% on TN

                              it is looking like it is going to be a solid RLM play on Vandy


                              I am getting more TN at -7 -120


                              hope everyone is having a good day so far
                              Comment
                              • DarkNite
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-12-09
                                • 5023

                                #575
                                Still some games left over I like:
                                Vandy
                                Cincy
                                Maryland
                                Houston
                                Texam
                                Comment
                                • Stevedore
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-10-10
                                  • 1218

                                  #576
                                  Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                  You know I told myself not to bet the Noon games either but I took Mich and Lou. I just feel like for the past 3 weeks or so I have lost early and spent the rest of day making it back. Not that there is much of season left but next week I will be skipping the early plays for sure. I just think as the day goes on and more bets pour in on the later games we get better quality RLM plays.
                                  I made the same mistake as you did. Thankfully Rice, and Wyoming came through for me. I need Cincy -13.5 to close out a three team parlay. It was a RLM play this morning but not now. I'm going to hedge with Rutgers and make a little money; line is down to 10.5.
                                  Hope it goes down to 10 and maybe hit a middle. BOL to all.
                                  Comment
                                  • Stevedore
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-10-10
                                    • 1218

                                    #577
                                    Rutgers line is getting HAMMERED!! It's now at 10, can it go to 9.5? Sharp or square money moving this line?
                                    Comment
                                    • jakeandba
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-13-09
                                      • 1033

                                      #578
                                      Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                      Just going off of doing this for a few years. I look for games with RLM of 2 or more points where the line does not come back at all. Try to find games with a larger number of bets too.
                                      what is very difficult about following this is the fact it makes it very hard to back test. would love to see the results of the original parameters vs filters.
                                      Comment
                                      • Stevedore
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-10-10
                                        • 1218

                                        #579
                                        Originally posted by Stevedore
                                        My 3 team RLM parlay for today: Rice +8, Wyoming -2.5, and Cincy -13.5 $135 to make $810
                                        OH YEAH!! $$$$$$
                                        Comment
                                        • incomeraise
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-28-09
                                          • 1136

                                          #580
                                          so what was the record today?
                                          Comment
                                          • gangeriver
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-23-09
                                            • 2138

                                            #581
                                            Originally posted by gangeriver
                                            Enjoy Toto! Just curious why sharp bettors have been taking Vanderbilt for weeks? aren't they tired of losing? so interesting
                                            Good Luck everyone!
                                            again
                                            Comment
                                            • balls2wall
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-20-09
                                              • 2642

                                              #582
                                              Originally posted by Stevedore
                                              OH YEAH!! $$$$$$




                                              nice job steve
                                              Comment
                                              • Stevedore
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-10-10
                                                • 1218

                                                #583
                                                Originally posted by balls2wall
                                                nice job steve
                                                Comment
                                                • Totolover1409
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-14-08
                                                  • 1400

                                                  #584
                                                  Hello boys. I hope you all cashed big this weekend. I myself blew too much at spearmint rhino and some more at Bellagio.

                                                  Thank you all for the well wishes and i'm excited to be back!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-11-10
                                                    • 356

                                                    #585
                                                    TOTO------Glad you are back BRO---------HOPE YOU HAD A GREAT TIME--------BACK TO THE GAME WE LOVE-----"CAPPING"---------LET'S FIND THE WINNERS------GOOD LUCK TO ALL-----"REFUSE TO LOSE"
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Totolover1409
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-14-08
                                                      • 1400

                                                      #586
                                                      Originally posted by PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                      TOTO------Glad you are back BRO---------HOPE YOU HAD A GREAT TIME--------BACK TO THE GAME WE LOVE-----"CAPPING"---------LET'S FIND THE WINNERS------GOOD LUCK TO ALL-----"REFUSE TO LOSE"

                                                      Howd you do this weekend bro
                                                      Comment
                                                      • frognose20
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 04-09-10
                                                        • 249

                                                        #587
                                                        Originally posted by Totolover1409
                                                        Hello boys. I hope you all cashed big this weekend. I myself blew too much at spearmint rhino and some more at Bellagio.

                                                        Thank you all for the well wishes and i'm excited to be back!
                                                        Nice. Rino's is an easy place to blow some money at
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-11-10
                                                          • 356

                                                          #588
                                                          Thanks to you "TOTO"----WE MADE SOME MONEY----------KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK----"REFUSE TO LOSE"
                                                          Comment
                                                          • frankzig
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-26-09
                                                            • 2268

                                                            #589
                                                            thanks for all the info
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doin
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-27-09
                                                              • 457

                                                              #590
                                                              Betting analysis for the 2010 College Football season matchup between Kansas St and N Texas. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis.



                                                              team rankings.com has good information for following line movement.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Saintsfan1
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 07-30-10
                                                                • 72

                                                                #591
                                                                Originally posted by doin
                                                                http://www.teamrankings.com/college-...nt?trk=em_1052


                                                                team rankings.com has good information for following line movement.



                                                                Thanks for the info.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigMama
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 439

                                                                  #592
                                                                  great day for all
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • InTheDrink
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-23-09
                                                                    • 23983

                                                                    #593
                                                                    so who's jumping all over Nevada as RLM? lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pokerwhiz90
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-02-10
                                                                      • 2618

                                                                      #594
                                                                      which games do you guys like for tomorrow?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pacocn
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 07-05-10
                                                                        • 12934

                                                                        #595
                                                                        check out the palomino too, full bar
                                                                        Comment
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