The HOFF's MMA 2011

**The HOFF** · 03-27-11, 03:47 PM

UFC Fight Night 24: 3-1 +10.50u

2011 MMA: 21-13 +29.45u

Finally had a really good UFC event. Even hit a small parlay to top it off.

**xelance** · 03-27-11, 06:52 PM

great job hoffy!

**The HOFF** · 04-02-11, 12:17 AM

Bellator 39 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Mohegan Sun - Uncasville, CT - MTV2
Lyman Good vs Rick Hawn

My Pick: Lyman Good -180 (4.5u to win 2.5u)

**The HOFF** · 04-03-11, 03:26 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Bellator 39 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Mohegan Sun - Uncasville, CT - MTV2
Lyman Good vs Rick Hawn

My Pick: Lyman Good -180 (4.5u to win 2.5u)

Just bad. The fight, the judging (30-27?), just plain bad.

Bellator 39: 0-1 -4.50u

2011 MMA: 21-14 +24.95u

**Camdemonium** · 04-03-11, 04:42 PM

Ya with 2 min left in fight I predicted to my friends that Hawn would get a take-down within the last min for the win. The 30-27 perplexed me too. I can't say I'm surprised though.

**GoGoGadget** · 04-03-11, 05:07 PM

He got the TD with under 10 seconds left I believe. I bet that swayed the judges who gave him the 3rd, but really.. what does getting a take down with no time left even accomplish? it's not an attempt to finish the fight. Plus he ate an up-kick or two in the process.
I hate the idea of "stealing a round" by getting a takedown with no time left to do anything with it, I think they weigh it way to highly.

**Camdemonium** · 04-05-11, 07:28 AM

Originally posted by GoGoGadget

He got the TD with under 10 seconds left I believe. I bet that swayed the judges who gave him the 3rd, but really.. what does getting a take down with no time left even accomplish? it's not an attempt to finish the fight. Plus he ate an up-kick or two in the process.
I hate the idea of "stealing a round" by getting a takedown with no time left to do anything with it, I think they weigh it way to highly.

+1.

**The HOFF** · 04-06-11, 07:10 PM

I like Nelson/Mir goes the 3 round distance +180 at 5Dimes right now.

**Vaughany** · 04-07-11, 03:10 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

I like Nelson/Mir goes the 3 round distance +180 at 5Dimes right now.

Yeah I like this as well, it was at +210 originally I think. Im findin it hard to imagine either fighter finishing the other, I guess a TKO is possible. But we've seen plenty of fights between buddys in past go to decision so I think this is most likely scenario.

**The HOFF** · 04-09-11, 12:39 AM

Strikeforce - Lightweight Championship 5 rounds - Valley View Casino Center - San Diego, CA - Showtime

Gilbert Melendez vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

My Pick: Gilbert Melendez -215 (4.3u to win 2u)

**The HOFF** · 04-09-11, 12:51 AM

BFC 40 - Lightweight Semifinal 3 rounds - First Council Casino, Newkirk, OK - MTV 2

Lloyd Woodard vs Mike Chandler

My Pick: Mike Chandler -115 (2.3u to win 2u)

**The HOFF** · 04-09-11, 01:19 AM

Strikeforce - Welterweight Championship 5 rounds - Valley View Casino Center - San Diego, CA - Showtime

Nick Diaz vs Paul Daley

My Pick: Nick Diaz ITD +100 (4u to win 4u)

**The HOFF** · 04-10-11, 01:28 AM

Bellator 40: 1-0 +2.00u
STRIKEFORCE: 2-0 +6.00u

2011 MMA: 24-14 +32.95u

*P.S. Don't F@ck with my STRIKEFORCE picks: 6-0 +25.15u*

**terpkeg** · 04-10-11, 02:54 AM

Great night there

**snake11eyes** · 04-10-11, 09:39 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Bellator 40: 1-0 +2.00u
STRIKEFORCE: 2-0 +6.00u

2011 MMA: 24-14 +32.95u

*P.S. Don't F@ck with my STRIKEFORCE picks: 6-0 +25.15u*

Another solid night Hoff.

**xelance** · 04-10-11, 12:57 PM

great job bud

**The HOFF** · 04-21-11, 03:43 AM

Looking ahead to UFC 129 bets I'm liking so far:

Jose Aldo ITD -180
Jason Brilz -120
Rory Macdonald -105
Possibly Jake Ellenberger if it keeps improving. Currently at -180
Ivan Menjivar - depending on the line

**bjpenn85** · 04-21-11, 06:14 AM

what do you think about John makdessi ? Makdessi was lecturing audinwood so well that its impossible to believe that he wont against kyle watson. He also seem to have good takedown defense which may able him to withstand watsons only chane, his BJJ.
Makdessi also seem razor quick, athlethic, which makes his takedown defense even better pluss working with gsp.

**The HOFF** · 04-21-11, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

what do you think about John makdessi ? Makdessi was lecturing audinwood so well that its impossible to believe that he wont against kyle watson. He also seem to have good takedown defense which may able him to withstand watsons only chane, his BJJ.
Makdessi also seem razor quick, athlethic, which makes his takedown defense even better pluss working with gsp.

I actually have not seen enough from Makdessi or Watson to make a good decision here. I wouldn't value the fight with Audinwood much because I don't think he was UFC caliber at all.

**Ladle** · 04-21-11, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

what do you think about John makdessi ? Makdessi was lecturing audinwood so well that its impossible to believe that he wont against kyle watson. He also seem to have good takedown defense which may able him to withstand watsons only chane, his BJJ.
Makdessi also seem razor quick, athlethic, which makes his takedown defense even better pluss working with gsp.

Makdessi is undersized for 155 and still isn't an awesome defensive wrestler. That said, he's got serious game and is swiftly improving working under Firas Zahabi. If he can stop Watson from getting a hold of him, he's going to absolutely bust him up.

Also, it's worth noting that Watson is no more of a UFC quality fighter than Audinwood is.

**bjpenn85** · 04-21-11, 02:52 PM

exactly what im thinking. I dont think watson is anything more than mediocre at best. while makdessi actually got game.

**Al0n3'** · 04-27-11, 07:29 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Looking ahead to UFC 129 bets I'm liking so far:

Jose Aldo ITD -180
Jason Brilz -120
Rory Macdonald -105
Possibly Jake Ellenberger if it keeps improving. Currently at -180
Ivan Menjivar - depending on the line

Where do you have Aldo ITD -180, on 5D i only get u2.5 or o2.5 or am i missing something? and Brilz is +105 atm @ 5D thats good right?

**rocky502** · 04-27-11, 07:51 AM

Aldo at -180 seems like a bargain. he is one of the most impressive fighters along with Jones, Silva, and GSP. Really dominated Faber and turned his legs purple. I think Aldo kos hominick inside two rounds.

**Al0n3'** · 04-27-11, 08:00 AM

But Hominick is much better striker than Faber is.. Why do you think he can KO him that fast?

**xelance** · 04-27-11, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by Al0n3'

But Hominick is much better striker than Faber is.. Why do you think he can KO him that fast?

I think you answered that one by yourself...Aldo is a better striker than both IMO and of course Hominicks game is to stand and trade. This should be a relatively fast one, and I love the ITD bet if you are going with Aldo.

**Al0n3'** · 04-27-11, 03:30 PM

I guess you're right there!

is ITD ment by u2.5 or is there ITD bet and im missing it? tnx for info i'm kinda new at this betting mma thing

**kevalev27** · 04-27-11, 04:08 PM

Madkessi was supposed to fight Jonathan Brookins so I don't think this guy is a bust! I was in Montreal for his fight against Audinwood and it was astonishing, this guy i so quick and elusive and he's training with Tristar! This guy is a prospect in the division and his striking will be too much for Watson. I dont expect the line to be that low for Makdessi because he's fighting a guy that has been to TUF and people knows more from Watson than Madkessi. I'm taking Madkessi at whatever price!

**The HOFF** · 04-28-11, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by Al0n3'

Where do you have Aldo ITD -180, on 5D i only get u2.5 or o2.5 or am i missing something? and Brilz is +105 atm @ 5D thats good right?

It's from 5Dimes. Under fighting check the props box. There you'll see props for all the main card fights. Currently Aldo inside the distance is -200. And yes I think Brilz at +$$$ is a good bet.

**The HOFF** · 04-30-11, 12:02 AM

UFC 129 - Featherweight Championship 5 rounds - Rogers Centre - Toronto, Ontario, Canada - PPV

Jose Aldo vs Mark Hominick

My Pick: Jose Aldo ITD -180 (9u to win 5u)

**The HOFF** · 04-30-11, 12:05 AM

UFC 129 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - Rogers Centre - Toronto, Ontario, Canada - Facebook

Ivan Menjivar vs Charlie Valencia

My Pick: Ivan Menjivar -140 (7u to win 5u)

**The HOFF** · 04-30-11, 12:07 AM

UFC 129 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Rogers Centre - Toronto, Ontario, Canada - PPV

Vladimir Matyushenko vs Jason Brilz

My Pick: Jason Brilz +100 (3u to win 3u)

**The HOFF** · 05-02-11, 01:00 AM

UFC 129: 1-2 -7.00u

2011 MMA: 25-16 +25.95u

Really disappointed in Jose Aldo. He looked out of shape and disinterested the whole fight.

**Ladle** · 05-02-11, 05:47 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC 129: 1-2 -7.00u

2011 MMA: 25-16 +25.95u

Really disappointed in Jose Aldo. He looked out of shape and disinterested the whole fight.

You got massively unlucky with that one; I don't think anyone predicated it would go all five given the style match-up. Aldo looked really, really drained.

Onwards and upwards.

**Camdemonium** · 05-02-11, 09:06 AM

Did any one see the piece on espn where Aldo said he let up at the end to make sure it went 5 rounds? Here it is.

403 Content Not Available

http://www.espn.co.uk/ufc/sport/story/88237.html?CMP=OTC-RSS

Sorry bro.

**sirchadwick1** · 05-02-11, 09:22 AM

I've heard he let up, he had a problem cutting b/c he added muscle and needed to adjust, and also that he was ill leading up to the fight. No clue which excuse is right (maybe all?)... but I think we can all agree he wasn't himself. He's fighting Mendes next right? Wonder what the lines will look like there. I don't think Chad will be "money" in this one.