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At last some success! Just need King Mo to win so that my parlay with him, Hornbuckle and Paixao comes through then I'll have almost made up for the 2.5 units lost on Roller! Although nothing to do with MMA I also have 0.5 units on Mardy Fish to beat Andy Murray later today at 13/8...TIP OF THE DAY!Another bad night due to Roller's meltdown
Down 1.5 units but Paixao won so still have the parlay with King Mo and Hornbuckle (wouldn't be surprised if Blackburn beats Hornbuckle tho!).
Have added:
1 unit on Taylor to win 0.7 units (plus stake)
0.5 units on Frausto, Konrad & Grabowski to win 0.5 units (plus stake)
0.1 units on Barrett & King Mo to win 0.6 units (plus stake).Comment -
king mo is the safest bet.Comment -
Yee and Oliveira's stand up is not bad at all... definitely not inferior to Escudero's for sure so even if Escudero decides to stand with him he wont dominate. Escudero may go for the lay n pray but from what I can tell Oliveira will be too slick and tie Escudero up in knots! Hopefully due to him winning TUF and because he beat Miller he'll come in as favourite and Oliveira at Evens or better.Comment -
Strikeforce Houston Parlay:
0.9 units on Lashley, Noons, & King Mo to win 0.8 units (plus stake).Comment -
Boxing play for banter!:
0.08 units on Godfrey by decision over Marco Huck at 18/1!Comment -
Good call buying it back, Godrey looked intimidated from the opening bell."Real fight don't start till round 13, in round thriteen ya asshole locks up, ya balls get tight, and ya don't wanna go another second, that's when the real fight starts"- Mike MccalumComment -
New plays:
2 units on Florian/Maynard going the distance to win 1.45 units (plus stake);
Straddle 1 (of sorts): 1 unit on Couture winning in Rnd 1 to win 2 units (plus stake), and 0.3 units on Couture winning in Rnd 2 to win 1 unit (plus stake). Can only see Couture gettin a sub or TKO win either in 1st or 2nd round...would be MASSIVELY shocked if anything else occurs!
Straddle 2: 0.5 units on Edgar by decision to win 2.250 units (plus stake); and 0.3 units on Penn by submission to win 0.6 units (plus stake);
0.1 units on Miranda winning by TKO/KO to win 0.4 units (plus stake);
Parlay (Trebles from 5 to win): 0.5 units on Mir, Pearson, Miranda, Osipczak & Vega to win 3 units (plus stake) if all 5 win.
Also have the following parlays that I did a while back:
0.31 units on Pearson, Florian and Diaz to win 0.75 units (plus stake);
0.15 units on Warren (won), Ellenberger (won), Jones (won), Fitch (won), Penn, & Maynard. Need 4 out of 6 to at least win the stake back, and will win 1.23 units if Maynard and Penn both win;
0.19 units on Wanderlei Silva (void), Stevenson (void), Howard (lost), Jones (won), Schaub (won), Cristiane Santos (won), & Edgar. Need 5 out of 7 to win something back;
Parlay: Alves (lost), Dos Santos (won), Bisping, Hamill, Lesnar, Florian, Shields, Hathaway, & Varner (8 folds from 9) to win 3.25 units.Comment -
love the distance prop in the Maynard fight. GL Saturday !Comment -
Yee bro, hopefully Maynard goes for a lay n pray session or Florian pulls of an elusive jab and back-pedal masterclass leading to a decision win for either fighter!
Added a few Bellator 26 plays, a couple of live dogs in my opinion and may add more units on them before the event:
0.2 units on Jose Vega @ 11/10. This is a big grudge match between Vega & Tims as they have fought twice before. Tims won their first bought by a controversial decision in his home town (at amateur level). Vega won the re-match (professional level) after Tims quit - both had fought earlier in the night and were puking up in between rounds! From what I can tell Vega has evolved more than Tims adding a dangerous and quick striking game to his already solid ground game, and has confidence coming off a very quick KO at last Bellator event. Considering adding a unit to this as IMO the line Vega should be at 5/6 or at very least Evens.
0.1 units on Lisa Ward @ 6/5. I think Ward should be slight favourite due to experience, Evens at very least so value IMO.
0.1 units on Alexey Oleinik @ 5/6. Like Oleinik to pull off a sub against Hayes (most probably his trademark "Ezekiel choke". Oleinik has experience advantage as well.Comment -
I like Oleinik as well!Comment -
Liking Florian big time right now, especially at -160. He may be my biggest play just to win. Wouldn't be surprised if he subs Maynard though. Other than that, I like Diaz, but I'd like a little better odds on him than -210. Those are the two I'm really interested in, and Osipczak, but I don't know Soto well.
I think your straddle is a little bit risky in the Penn/Edgar fight. Not impossible that Penn wins a decision this time around. If he's the aggressor and stays very active for the first 3 rounds, he can coast to the end without taking any damage from Edgar. Even if Penn is completely gassed, he will not be finished by Edgar. I see almost all outcomes in this fight as equally likely, so I'll be staying away.Comment -
Florian - Maynard distance prop is a nice bet. Neither will finish by KO/TKO for sure. Maynard will look to dry hump for 3 rounds. I think the only other outcome is Florian catching some submission.Comment -
i think maynard has a solid shot at winning though...
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Looks like the betting lines have all moved to what I thought they should of been at! Ward is now the favourite at -120 rather than the +120 that I got her at. Oleinik is now -140 rather than -120 and Vega is now Evens. Bodes well for tonight that all three are being picked by betters out there. Got a feeling I might end up regretting not putting a lot more on this and not so much on 118!Comment -
Great job tonight bud. Awesome 3-0! Glad Oleinik came through with the decision for us!Comment -
Cheers bro, thought Oleinik would get the sub but a win nonetheless.
Just hope it continues this wknd!
Bellator 26 Results: 3-0 +0.45 units (plus stake of 0.4 units).Added a few Bellator 26 plays, a couple of live dogs in my opinion and may add more units on them before the event:
0.2 units on Jose Vega @ 11/10. This is a big grudge match between Vega & Tims as they have fought twice before. Tims won their first bought by a controversial decision in his home town (at amateur level). Vega won the re-match (professional level) after Tims quit - both had fought earlier in the night and were puking up in between rounds! From what I can tell Vega has evolved more than Tims adding a dangerous and quick striking game to his already solid ground game, and has confidence coming off a very quick KO at last Bellator event. Considering adding a unit to this as IMO the line Vega should be at 5/6 or at very least Evens.
0.1 units on Lisa Ward @ 6/5. I think Ward should be slight favourite due to experience, Evens at very least so value IMO.
0.1 units on Alexey Oleinik @ 5/6. Like Oleinik to pull off a sub against Hayes (most probably his trademark "Ezekiel choke". Oleinik has experience advantage as well.
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Vaughany, What do you think of my ufc 118 plays.
Florian risking 260 to win 200
Winner risking 220 to win 200
Osipczak risking 160 to win 100
Lauzon risking 300 to win 100
Parlay all 4 together risking 100 to win 631.
This is just for fun
Alves, looked huge at the weigh-ins.
Miranda, everyone here loves him. I kinda like maia.
Edgar by decision. I like penn.
Alves, Miranda, Edgar, only risking 25 to win 1242.Comment -
Looks good to me bro. IMO 3 of those 4 plays (Florian, Winner, Osipczak and Lauzon) should pull through...id be shocked if it was worse than 50/50 at very least! Ive resisted puttin single bets on Winner and Osipzak simply because im worried that Lentz might grind out a decision and same with Soto. However, I have Osipczak in a parlay and will be doing one more parlay which I'll add WInner to. Either way, at least one of them will win, and more than likely both. Then Florian I think will get a decision, maybe a split over Maynard but u never know what might happen. Would be very surprised if Lauzon loses to Gabe (will be adding Lauzon to the parlay including WInner). As long as three of those four win u should be in plus figures (unless Lauzon loses maybe?) so u should be good! BOL
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Nothing wrong with putting it out there on the doggies Snake, but keep in mind Fitch had a considerable size advantage on Pierce as well and Pierce hung with him:
And yes, we all do love Miranda...
GLComment -
One more parlay added:
0.28 units (sixfolds from 8 to win) on: Lauzon, Maia, Pierce, Winner, Salter, BJ Penn, Pearson, & Doerksen - to win 8 units plus stake (if all 8 win).Comment -
i like pierce too but the juice is too much.Comment -
bol good sir!!Comment -
Yee got a play on Couture in Rnd 1 (got him at +200, now down to -175 or something silly!) and Rnd 2 (as back up at 10/3), my plays for tonight wer pretty high up on the page so I'll post them again:
UFC 118 Plays:
2 units on Florian/Maynard going the distance to win 1.45 units (plus stake);
Straddle 1 (of sorts): 1 unit on Couture winning in Rnd 1 to win 2 units (plus stake), and 0.3 units on Couture winning in Rnd 2 to win 1 unit (plus stake). Can only see Couture gettin a sub or TKO win either in 1st or 2nd round...would be MASSIVELY shocked if anything else occurs!
Straddle 2: 0.5 units on Edgar by decision to win 2.250 units (plus stake); and 0.3 units on Penn by submission to win 0.6 units (plus stake);
0.5 units on Florian and Pearson to win 1.1 units (plus stake);
0.1 units on Miranda winning by TKO/KO to win 0.4 units (plus stake);
Parlay (Trebles from 5 to win): 0.5 units on Mir, Pearson, Miranda, Osipczak & Vega to win 3 units (plus stake) if all 5 win.
Also have the following parlays that I did a while back:
0.31 units on Pearson, Florian and Diaz to win 0.75 units (plus stake);
0.15 units on Warren (won), Ellenberger (won), Jones (won), Fitch (won), Penn, & Maynard. Need 4 out of 6 to at least win the stake back, and will win 1.23 units if Maynard and Penn both win;
0.19 units on Wanderlei Silva (void), Stevenson (void), Howard (lost), Jones (won), Schaub (won), Cristiane Santos (won), & Edgar. Need 5 out of 7 to win something back;
Parlay: Alves (lost), Dos Santos (won), Bisping, Hamill, Lesnar, Florian, Shields, Hathaway, & Varner (8 folds from 9) to win 3.25 units.
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won my seattle-5.5 wnba
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